Week 6
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 18.2 | 0.2 | Vikings -0.1 | Jets -1.1 | Falcons -0.9 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Bears -1.2 | Cowboys 2.4 | Lions -1.3 | Panthers 0.4 | Patriots -1.0 | Vikings -1.6 | BYE - | Rams -0.7 | Saints 1.9 | Bills 1.3 | Dolphins 2.3 | Bears -1.2 | Texans -1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Raiders | 19.7 | 0.4 | Dolphins 0.7 | Chargers -0.3 | Saints 1.2 | Chiefs 0.9 | Patriots 1.6 | Bills 2.0 | Rams -0.2 | Jets 0.2 | 49ers -0.6 | Seahawks -0.5 | Broncos -0.7 | Browns -0.6 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Broncos 0.4 | Titans 0.6 | Cardinals 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Rams | 23.5 | 0.8 | 49ers -0.7 | Giants -0.3 | Broncos 0.2 | Eagles -0.2 | Bills 2.1 | Cardinals 1.8 | Raiders 1.7 | Chargers 1.0 | Commanders -1.1 | Cardinals 0.5 | BYE - | Packers 0.9 | Chiefs -0.3 | 49ers -0.3 | Cowboys 1.4 | Seahawks -1.2 | Buccaneers -1.8 | 0.2 | -0.5 |
| Patriots | 20.3 | 0.9 | Seahawks -1.3 | Steelers -0.4 | Jaguars -1.5 | Bills 0.3 | Raiders 1.3 | Jets 1.7 | Bears -0.9 | Dolphins 1.8 | Packers 1.1 | Lions -0.3 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Bills 1.6 | Vikings -1.0 | Chiefs -1.2 | Jets 0.8 | Broncos 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Giants | 18.0 | 0.1 | Cowboys -0.7 | Rams -0.4 | Titans 0.2 | Cardinals 0.1 | Commanders 0.6 | Saints 1.7 | Texans -1.6 | BYE - | Eagles 0.1 | Commanders 0.2 | Jaguars -0.7 | Colts 1.2 | 49ers 1.0 | Seahawks -0.6 | Browns 1.0 | Lions -0.9 | Cowboys 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bills | 22.5 | -0.4 | Texans -1.8 | Lions 0.7 | Chargers 1.1 | Patriots 2.9 | Rams -0.4 | Raiders 1.7 | BYE - | Ravens -1.1 | Vikings -1.9 | Jets 0.4 | Dolphins 1.9 | Chiefs -0.6 | Patriots -1.2 | Packers 0.1 | Bears -0.7 | Broncos -0.4 | Dolphins 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chiefs | 23.2 | 0.3 | Broncos -1.1 | Colts 1.2 | Dolphins 3.2 | Raiders 1.3 | BYE - | Chargers 1.2 | Seahawks -0.9 | Broncos -0.2 | Jets 1.2 | Falcons 0.3 | Cardinals 1.1 | Bills 0.7 | Rams -0.7 | Bengals -0.9 | Patriots -0.4 | 49ers 0.9 | Chargers 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Titans | 17.8 | 0.0 | Jets 0.5 | Eagles -0.3 | Giants 1.0 | Ravens 0.7 | Texans 0.2 | Colts 0.8 | Browns 0.3 | Bengals -1.1 | BYE - | Jaguars -1.4 | Cowboys 1.2 | Jaguars -1.9 | Commanders -0.6 | Lions -1.1 | Colts 1.1 | Raiders 1.7 | Steelers 0.1 | -0.1 | 1.0 |
| Bears | 23.1 | -0.4 | Panthers -0.8 | Vikings 0.0 | Eagles -1.4 | Jets 3.0 | Packers 3.2 | Falcons 0.5 | Patriots -0.4 | Seahawks -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.6 | BYE - | Saints 2.4 | Lions -0.7 | Jaguars -0.7 | Dolphins 1.8 | Bills 0.7 | Packers 1.3 | Lions -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Commanders | 17.6 | 0.4 | Eagles -0.6 | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks -1.9 | Colts 2.0 | Giants 1.0 | 49ers 0.4 | BYE - | Eagles 0.9 | Rams -0.1 | Giants -0.5 | Bengals -0.5 | Cardinals 1.6 | Titans -0.4 | Texans -1.0 | Falcons 1.1 | Vikings -1.3 | Jaguars -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| Panthers | 19.8 | 0.2 | Bears -0.9 | Falcons -1.2 | Browns -1.2 | Lions 0.5 | BYE - | Eagles 0.4 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Packers 0.2 | Broncos 0.6 | Saints 2.2 | Ravens -0.9 | Buccaneers -1.7 | Vikings -1.8 | Saints 2.4 | Bengals 0.0 | Steelers -0.3 | Seahawks 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Colts | 20.7 | -0.6 | Ravens -0.3 | Chiefs -2.2 | Texans -0.4 | Commanders 0.6 | Steelers 1.0 | Titans 0.4 | Vikings -2.0 | Jaguars -2.5 | Cowboys 1.8 | Dolphins 2.6 | Texans -1.7 | Giants 0.7 | BYE - | Eagles -0.1 | Titans -0.7 | Bengals -0.1 | Browns 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Saints | 18.9 | 0.0 | Lions 0.0 | Ravens -1.2 | Raiders 0.6 | Falcons -0.7 | Vikings -0.1 | Giants 0.2 | Steelers -1.2 | BYE - | Browns 1.0 | Panthers 0.5 | Bears -1.4 | Bengals -1.5 | Packers 1.1 | Panthers -0.7 | Buccaneers -1.9 | Cardinals 1.8 | Falcons 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| Cowboys | 20.0 | 0.3 | Giants -1.2 | Commanders 0.0 | Ravens -0.3 | Texans -1.2 | Buccaneers 2.7 | Packers 0.2 | Eagles -0.9 | Cardinals 1.2 | Colts 0.4 | 49ers 0.7 | Titans 0.0 | Eagles 0.5 | Seahawks -1.7 | BYE - | Rams -1.1 | Jaguars -1.0 | Giants 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.7 |
| 49ers | 22.7 | 0.8 | Rams -1.6 | Dolphins 1.6 | Cardinals 0.5 | Broncos 3.0 | Seahawks 0.5 | Commanders 0.1 | Falcons 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 2.0 | Cowboys 0.8 | Vikings -1.2 | Seahawks -0.4 | Giants -0.7 | Rams -0.5 | Chargers 0.6 | Chiefs -1.6 | Eagles 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Falcons | 25.1 | -0.7 | Steelers -1.5 | Panthers 0.8 | Packers -0.1 | Saints 3.0 | Ravens 2.3 | Bears -0.2 | 49ers 0.7 | Buccaneers -1.9 | Bengals -1.3 | Chiefs -0.4 | BYE - | Vikings -2.0 | Lions -0.2 | Browns -0.1 | Commanders -1.5 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Saints 2.6 | -0.4 | 0.2 |
| Ravens | 22.3 | -0.7 | Colts 0.1 | Saints 1.5 | Cowboys 1.7 | Titans 2.6 | Falcons -0.8 | Browns -0.5 | Bengals -0.5 | Bills 0.1 | Jaguars -1.7 | Chargers 0.7 | Panthers -0.8 | Texans -1.9 | BYE - | Buccaneers -1.0 | Steelers -0.9 | Browns 0.5 | Bengals -1.3 | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| Eagles | 17.5 | -0.2 | Commanders 1.1 | Titans 1.1 | Bears 1.1 | Rams -1.0 | Jaguars -1.4 | Panthers -0.6 | Cowboys 1.1 | Commanders -1.3 | Giants -0.2 | BYE - | Steelers -0.3 | Cowboys 1.0 | Cardinals 0.5 | Colts 1.0 | Seahawks -0.3 | Texans -1.0 | 49ers 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
| Seahawks | 20.7 | 0.0 | Patriots 0.5 | Cardinals -1.5 | Commanders -0.6 | Chargers 2.8 | 49ers 1.6 | Broncos -0.6 | Chiefs -0.3 | Bears -0.4 | Cardinals 1.5 | Raiders 2.0 | BYE - | 49ers -0.4 | Cowboys 1.5 | Giants 0.5 | Eagles 0.1 | Rams 0.0 | Panthers -0.5 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Jets | 18.0 | 0.5 | Titans -0.5 | Packers 0.6 | Lions 1.3 | Bears -0.4 | Browns 0.4 | Patriots -0.8 | Dolphins 1.7 | Raiders 2.2 | Chiefs -1.1 | Bills 0.9 | Chargers 0.5 | Dolphins 1.3 | BYE - | Broncos 0.2 | Cardinals 1.1 | Patriots -0.2 | Vikings -1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Steelers | 20.6 | 0.9 | Falcons 0.6 | Patriots -1.6 | Bengals -2.0 | Browns -0.4 | Colts 0.8 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Saints 2.6 | Browns 0.8 | BYE - | Bengals -1.2 | Eagles 0.0 | Broncos 0.5 | Texans -0.6 | Jaguars -1.7 | Ravens -0.7 | Panthers 0.7 | Titans -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Broncos | 21.7 | -0.3 | Chiefs -1.4 | Jaguars -1.0 | Rams -0.9 | 49ers 1.3 | Chargers 2.1 | Seahawks -0.9 | Cardinals 1.3 | Chiefs -0.9 | Panthers -0.7 | BYE - | Raiders 2.2 | Steelers -0.7 | Dolphins 2.2 | Jets 0.7 | Raiders 1.8 | Bills 1.3 | Patriots -0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Buccaneers | 21.0 | -0.5 | Bengals -0.1 | Browns 1.2 | Vikings -0.8 | Packers 4.1 | Cowboys -0.3 | Steelers -1.0 | Panthers -0.5 | Falcons 0.8 | Bears -1.2 | BYE - | Lions -1.2 | Panthers 0.2 | Chargers 1.4 | Ravens -1.6 | Saints 2.6 | Falcons 0.5 | Rams 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Jaguars | 20.4 | -0.2 | Browns 0.1 | Broncos 0.4 | Patriots 0.3 | Bengals 0.6 | Eagles 3.3 | Texans -1.1 | BYE - | Colts 1.7 | Ravens -1.3 | Titans -0.5 | Giants -0.5 | Titans 0.2 | Bears -1.2 | Steelers 0.2 | Texans -0.8 | Cowboys 1.2 | Commanders 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| Cardinals | 16.1 | -0.6 | Chargers -1.4 | Seahawks -1.2 | 49ers 0.1 | Giants 1.8 | Lions 1.4 | Rams -1.2 | Broncos -0.2 | Cowboys 0.6 | Seahawks -1.7 | Rams -0.6 | Chiefs -1.5 | Commanders -1.0 | Eagles 0.8 | BYE - | Jets 0.9 | Saints 1.4 | Raiders 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Browns | 17.8 | -0.4 | Jaguars -0.9 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Panthers 2.6 | Steelers 0.9 | Jets 3.6 | Ravens -1.3 | Titans -0.9 | Steelers -0.9 | Saints 1.4 | Texans -1.5 | BYE - | Raiders 1.9 | Bengals -0.4 | Falcons 0.5 | Giants -0.4 | Ravens -1.8 | Colts 1.2 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Texans | 17.7 | -0.1 | Bills -0.5 | Bengals -0.6 | Colts 1.5 | Cowboys 3.2 | Titans 1.0 | Jaguars -1.9 | Giants 1.0 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Browns -0.1 | Colts 1.9 | Ravens -0.4 | Steelers -0.6 | Commanders -0.9 | Jaguars -1.1 | Eagles 0.2 | Packers 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Chargers | 22.0 | -1.4 | Cardinals 2.5 | Raiders -0.1 | Bills 0.0 | Seahawks -1.1 | Broncos 0.9 | Chiefs -2.0 | BYE - | Rams -0.9 | Texans -1.2 | Ravens -2.2 | Jets 1.4 | Patriots 0.0 | Buccaneers -1.6 | Raiders 1.7 | 49ers 0.6 | Dolphins 1.6 | Chiefs -0.3 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Vikings | 19.0 | 0.8 | Packers 1.2 | Bears -0.5 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Dolphins 5.5 | Saints 3.5 | BYE - | Colts 2.0 | Lions -1.2 | Bills 1.5 | Packers 0.6 | 49ers 0.1 | Falcons 1.0 | Panthers 1.0 | Patriots -0.5 | Lions 0.0 | Commanders 0.6 | Jets 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Dolphins | 19.1 | 0.0 | Raiders -0.1 | 49ers -0.7 | Chiefs 0.0 | Vikings -1.7 | Bengals 0.1 | BYE - | Jets 0.8 | Patriots -0.1 | Lions -0.6 | Colts 1.3 | Bills 0.8 | Jets 1.5 | Broncos 0.2 | Bears -0.2 | Packers 0.9 | Chargers 1.3 | Bills 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Lions | 25.8 | 0.6 | Saints 0.3 | Bills -1.4 | Jets 0.0 | Panthers 2.8 | Cardinals 2.5 | BYE - | Packers 1.3 | Vikings -0.9 | Dolphins 1.5 | Patriots -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Bears -0.7 | Falcons -0.4 | Titans 0.2 | Vikings -2.2 | Giants 0.1 | Bears -1.5 | -0.4 | -1.2 |
| Bengals | 20.3 | -0.5 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Texans -1.2 | Steelers 1.1 | Jaguars 0.1 | Dolphins 2.9 | BYE - | Ravens -2.3 | Titans 0.0 | Falcons 0.8 | Steelers 0.1 | Commanders -1.3 | Saints 2.2 | Browns -0.1 | Chiefs -0.8 | Panthers -0.7 | Colts 0.9 | Ravens -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
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