Week 6

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Packers 18.2 0.2 -0.1 -1.1 -0.9 -1.0 -1.2 2.4 -1.3 0.4 -1.0 -1.6 - -0.7 1.9 1.3 2.3 -1.2 -1.1 0.1 0.0
Raiders 19.7 0.4 0.7 -0.3 1.2 0.9 1.6 2.0 -0.2 0.2 -0.6 -0.5 -0.7 -0.6 - 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.5
Rams 23.5 0.8 -0.7 -0.3 0.2 -0.2 2.1 1.8 1.7 1.0 -1.1 0.5 - 0.9 -0.3 -0.3 1.4 -1.2 -1.8 0.2 -0.5
Patriots 20.3 0.9 -1.3 -0.4 -1.5 0.3 1.3 1.7 -0.9 1.8 1.1 -0.3 - 0.8 1.6 -1.0 -1.2 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1
Giants 18.0 0.1 -0.7 -0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.7 -1.6 - 0.1 0.2 -0.7 1.2 1.0 -0.6 1.0 -0.9 1.5 0.3 0.5
Bills 22.5 -0.4 -1.8 0.7 1.1 2.9 -0.4 1.7 - -1.1 -1.9 0.4 1.9 -0.6 -1.2 0.1 -0.7 -0.4 1.2 0.0 0.0
Chiefs 23.2 0.3 -1.1 1.2 3.2 1.3 - 1.2 -0.9 -0.2 1.2 0.3 1.1 0.7 -0.7 -0.9 -0.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.4
Titans 17.8 0.0 0.5 -0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.3 -1.1 - -1.4 1.2 -1.9 -0.6 -1.1 1.1 1.7 0.1 -0.1 1.0
Bears 23.1 -0.4 -0.8 0.0 -1.4 3.0 3.2 0.5 -0.4 -1.3 -0.6 - 2.4 -0.7 -0.7 1.8 0.7 1.3 -0.4 0.2 0.5
Commanders 17.6 0.4 -0.6 0.0 -1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 - 0.9 -0.1 -0.5 -0.5 1.6 -0.4 -1.0 1.1 -1.3 -1.7 -0.1 -0.6
Panthers 19.8 0.2 -0.9 -1.2 -1.2 0.5 - 0.4 -0.6 0.2 0.6 2.2 -0.9 -1.7 -1.8 2.4 0.0 -0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Colts 20.7 -0.6 -0.3 -2.2 -0.4 0.6 1.0 0.4 -2.0 -2.5 1.8 2.6 -1.7 0.7 - -0.1 -0.7 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2
Saints 18.9 0.0 0.0 -1.2 0.6 -0.7 -0.1 0.2 -1.2 - 1.0 0.5 -1.4 -1.5 1.1 -0.7 -1.9 1.8 0.1 -0.2 0.0
Cowboys 20.0 0.3 -1.2 0.0 -0.3 -1.2 2.7 0.2 -0.9 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.5 -1.7 - -1.1 -1.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.7
49ers 22.7 0.8 -1.6 1.6 0.5 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.5 - 2.0 0.8 -1.2 -0.4 -0.7 -0.5 0.6 -1.6 0.2 0.0 -0.3
Falcons 25.1 -0.7 -1.5 0.8 -0.1 3.0 2.3 -0.2 0.7 -1.9 -1.3 -0.4 - -2.0 -0.2 -0.1 -1.5 -0.4 2.6 -0.4 0.2
Ravens 22.3 -0.7 0.1 1.5 1.7 2.6 -0.8 -0.5 -0.5 0.1 -1.7 0.7 -0.8 -1.9 - -1.0 -0.9 0.5 -1.3 -0.7 -0.6
Eagles 17.5 -0.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 -1.0 -1.4 -0.6 1.1 -1.3 -0.2 - -0.3 1.0 0.5 1.0 -0.3 -1.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3
Seahawks 20.7 0.0 0.5 -1.5 -0.6 2.8 1.6 -0.6 -0.3 -0.4 1.5 2.0 - -0.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 -0.5 0.3 -0.1
Jets 18.0 0.5 -0.5 0.6 1.3 -0.4 0.4 -0.8 1.7 2.2 -1.1 0.9 0.5 1.3 - 0.2 1.1 -0.2 -1.0 0.5 0.0
Steelers 20.6 0.9 0.6 -1.6 -2.0 -0.4 0.8 -0.8 2.6 0.8 - -1.2 0.0 0.5 -0.6 -1.7 -0.7 0.7 -0.2 0.0 0.0
Broncos 21.7 -0.3 -1.4 -1.0 -0.9 1.3 2.1 -0.9 1.3 -0.9 -0.7 - 2.2 -0.7 2.2 0.7 1.8 1.3 -0.7 0.5 0.8
Buccaneers 21.0 -0.5 -0.1 1.2 -0.8 4.1 -0.3 -1.0 -0.5 0.8 -1.2 - -1.2 0.2 1.4 -1.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0
Jaguars 20.4 -0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.6 3.3 -1.1 - 1.7 -1.3 -0.5 -0.5 0.2 -1.2 0.2 -0.8 1.2 0.0 -0.2 0.1
Cardinals 16.1 -0.6 -1.4 -1.2 0.1 1.8 1.4 -1.2 -0.2 0.6 -1.7 -0.6 -1.5 -1.0 0.8 - 0.9 1.4 2.4 0.0 1.6
Browns 17.8 -0.4 -0.9 -1.1 2.6 0.9 3.6 -1.3 -0.9 -0.9 1.4 -1.5 - 1.9 -0.4 0.5 -0.4 -1.8 1.2 -0.2 -0.3
Texans 17.7 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 1.5 3.2 1.0 -1.9 1.0 - 0.8 -0.1 1.9 -0.4 -0.6 -0.9 -1.1 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.3
Chargers 22.0 -1.4 2.5 -0.1 0.0 -1.1 0.9 -2.0 - -0.9 -1.2 -2.2 1.4 0.0 -1.6 1.7 0.6 1.6 -0.3 -0.3 0.7
Vikings 19.0 0.8 1.2 -0.5 -0.5 5.5 3.5 - 2.0 -1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.5
Dolphins 19.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 -1.7 0.1 - 0.8 -0.1 -0.6 1.3 0.8 1.5 0.2 -0.2 0.9 1.3 1.9 0.7 1.4
Lions 25.8 0.6 0.3 -1.4 0.0 2.8 2.5 - 1.3 -0.9 1.5 -1.3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.4 0.2 -2.2 0.1 -1.5 -0.4 -1.2
Bengals 20.3 -0.5 -0.2 -1.2 1.1 0.1 2.9 - -2.3 0.0 0.8 0.1 -1.3 2.2 -0.1 -0.8 -0.7 0.9 -1.0 -0.2 -0.3

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