Week 6

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Rams 12.8 1.5 -0.7 -1.0 -2.1 -2.5 1.3 2.9 2.0 -0.5 1.5 2.1 - -0.4 1.5 -2.2 1.0 -1.6 0.1 0.6 -0.2
Bills 12.1 0.5 -1.0 2.9 1.6 -1.0 0.1 2.6 - -0.4 -0.6 -1.5 2.6 1.5 -1.9 -0.8 -1.0 0.5 2.4 0.3 0.6
49ers 12.9 1.6 -1.0 -0.5 0.2 1.3 -0.8 2.2 1.1 - 1.3 0.7 -0.7 -1.0 0.3 -1.9 -0.5 0.8 -1.0 0.1 -0.2
Raiders 17.0 -0.4 -0.3 1.5 -0.6 1.8 -0.3 1.8 -0.6 -1.2 -1.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 - 0.4 1.6 0.9 3.1 0.5 1.9
Eagles 8.8 1.0 -0.2 0.0 -0.4 -2.7 -0.6 1.2 0.4 1.8 0.4 - -0.5 1.2 2.4 0.0 -0.6 -0.9 -1.3 0.4 -1.0
Packers 9.9 0.8 -0.7 -1.6 1.2 0.7 -1.4 1.0 2.6 1.7 -1.9 -1.2 - -1.6 0.6 0.0 2.7 -1.3 -1.0 0.1 0.1
Bears 11.5 -0.1 -0.9 0.5 -3.0 -1.2 0.4 0.9 -1.3 -1.0 1.2 - 0.3 3.3 -0.1 2.5 0.0 -0.3 2.8 0.7 0.8
Chargers 10.4 -0.2 0.8 -1.1 -1.1 -0.1 0.6 0.7 - -1.2 -0.2 -0.8 0.2 -0.3 0.9 2.6 -0.2 3.0 2.6 0.7 1.8
Saints 12.4 0.1 -0.5 -1.5 0.3 2.5 0.3 0.5 -1.0 - 0.9 1.9 -1.7 0.9 -0.1 1.1 0.2 2.9 0.6 0.6 1.2
Giants 14.0 -0.2 -1.2 -1.6 -2.1 1.4 0.7 0.4 -0.3 - -0.6 2.9 0.2 1.0 -0.8 -0.4 0.9 3.5 2.0 0.8 2.1
Seahawks 8.9 0.9 -0.5 -0.3 1.4 0.9 -0.4 0.2 1.5 -0.8 2.6 2.4 - -1.9 0.9 1.0 -0.7 -1.4 1.5 0.5 -0.2
Colts 11.9 0.0 -0.3 -0.2 0.5 4.7 -1.0 0.2 -0.9 -0.9 1.4 3.5 -0.9 1.6 - -1.2 -1.2 2.4 0.1 0.4 0.4
Titans 7.2 0.1 -0.4 -1.9 -0.9 -2.1 -0.8 -0.2 -0.3 0.7 - -1.1 0.6 -1.2 1.6 2.6 -0.5 1.8 -0.4 0.3 0.3
Ravens 11.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.4 3.7 -1.2 0.3 -0.3 1.9 -0.3 -0.4 -0.7 1.4 -0.8 - 0.9 -0.7 0.1 1.4 0.2 0.2
Jaguars 11.6 -0.2 -1.5 -1.3 -1.5 2.3 0.5 -0.3 - 0.4 -0.6 -0.9 0.8 -0.5 -1.2 0.2 0.1 1.4 2.5 0.2 1.3
Steelers 13.4 0.0 -0.4 -2.7 -0.9 -0.6 -1.0 -0.3 0.3 0.1 - 0.7 -1.3 0.5 -1.0 -0.6 -0.4 1.7 -1.0 -0.1 0.1
Falcons 11.2 -0.1 -1.7 -0.2 -0.4 1.6 1.0 -0.4 -1.1 0.1 1.1 1.8 - -1.0 3.1 -0.2 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 1.4
Chiefs 11.6 -0.6 -1.9 -0.4 1.3 2.3 - -0.6 -1.1 0.2 -1.1 0.9 2.2 -0.1 -1.2 1.7 -1.3 -0.9 -0.1 -0.1 -0.8
Patriots 10.3 -0.2 -1.5 -3.5 -1.0 -1.7 0.0 -0.9 -1.6 2.3 -0.6 3.2 - -0.6 0.2 -1.2 0.9 -1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Panthers 12.0 -0.2 -1.1 1.3 -1.8 4.3 - -1.0 0.7 -1.3 0.7 1.0 -0.6 0.2 -0.6 0.3 1.9 -0.2 -0.5 0.0 0.4
Buccaneers 8.3 -0.1 -0.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 -1.2 1.4 0.6 -1.3 - 2.8 1.9 -0.4 -0.6 0.7 1.0 -1.3 0.3 0.1
Broncos 10.0 1.0 -2.1 -1.5 -2.9 -1.6 0.3 -1.2 2.9 1.0 1.1 - 1.5 -0.7 2.4 -1.4 2.3 0.2 -1.6 0.6 0.3
Browns 11.0 -1.1 -1.8 1.3 0.4 -2.1 -0.4 -1.4 -1.9 -1.2 0.0 -1.8 - 1.1 1.3 -0.1 0.1 -1.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.4
Jets 11.0 1.1 -1.0 0.5 2.6 -1.0 0.5 -1.6 2.8 2.1 1.1 0.1 -0.2 2.5 - 0.8 3.0 -1.3 -0.5 0.8 0.4
Cowboys 10.0 -0.5 -1.0 3.2 -2.4 0.4 2.0 -1.7 -2.0 2.3 -0.5 -1.5 -0.9 -1.0 -2.2 - -2.6 -0.2 0.4 -0.9 -0.8
Cardinals 16.6 -0.5 -0.8 0.0 -1.7 0.3 2.0 -1.7 0.8 0.7 -1.6 -1.4 0.7 2.3 -0.1 - -0.8 0.6 2.4 0.2 0.7
Texans 10.8 -0.4 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 3.8 -0.6 -1.8 1.4 - -0.8 -0.6 0.5 0.0 -0.8 1.6 -0.1 -1.1 -1.2 -0.3 -0.8
Commanders 9.6 -1.8 -1.2 2.9 -1.0 0.4 -0.3 -2.2 - -1.1 -2.1 0.1 1.3 2.9 -1.1 -1.3 0.3 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2
Dolphins 7.9 -0.4 -0.5 -2.9 0.8 0.9 0.2 - -1.9 -1.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 -1.1 0.6 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 0.6 -0.2 -0.1
Vikings 11.9 1.8 -0.2 -1.0 1.8 3.2 1.2 - 1.2 3.1 1.1 -0.3 -1.2 1.5 3.0 -1.1 3.9 3.6 -0.8 1.3 2.3
Bengals 12.1 -1.2 -0.5 1.2 -3.0 0.0 0.5 - -2.2 -1.4 0.1 -0.7 1.2 -0.2 -0.8 0.4 0.4 -0.2 -1.1 -0.4 -0.3
Lions 13.3 0.9 0.0 -1.5 -0.9 2.1 2.9 - 0.5 -0.2 2.5 -1.9 1.5 -0.6 0.3 -0.1 -0.8 1.6 -1.2 0.1 -0.2

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