Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 21.9 | 2.5 | Jets 0.0 | Seahawks 0.7 | Patriots -0.1 | Vikings -1.0 | BYE - | Browns -0.9 | Bengals 2.0 | Packers 0.8 | Colts 1.8 | Chargers 5.4 | Bengals 4.6 | Bears 2.6 | Bills 2.0 | Ravens 0.7 | Dolphins 3.0 | Lions 1.1 | Browns 4.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| Broncos | 20.0 | 1.6 | Titans 1.3 | Colts 0.3 | Chargers -1.9 | Bengals 6.8 | Eagles 0.9 | Jets 1.7 | Giants 1.8 | Cowboys 3.8 | Texans -0.8 | Raiders 1.6 | Chiefs 0.7 | BYE - | Commanders 2.2 | Raiders 3.2 | Packers 7.0 | Jaguars 3.5 | Chiefs 3.9 | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| Browns | 19.6 | 0.5 | Bengals 0.0 | Ravens -0.4 | Packers -2.5 | Lions 0.2 | Vikings 1.7 | Steelers -1.2 | Dolphins 1.4 | Patriots -0.8 | BYE - | Jets 0.9 | Ravens 2.1 | Raiders 0.5 | 49ers 3.5 | Titans 5.2 | Bears 5.1 | Bills 5.0 | Steelers 4.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| Chiefs | 18.4 | 1.8 | Chargers -0.4 | Eagles -1.6 | Giants 1.8 | Ravens 2.4 | Jaguars 1.5 | Lions -0.6 | Raiders 1.3 | Commanders 1.9 | Bills 2.4 | BYE - | Broncos 0.9 | Colts 3.6 | Cowboys 3.0 | Texans 2.1 | Chargers 6.6 | Titans 3.6 | Broncos -2.9 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Cowboys | 20.3 | 1.2 | Eagles -1.7 | Giants 1.0 | Bears 2.6 | Packers -4.0 | Jets 0.1 | Panthers -0.5 | Commanders 1.2 | Broncos -0.8 | Cardinals 3.0 | BYE - | Raiders 2.1 | Eagles 4.8 | Chiefs 2.9 | Lions 4.4 | Vikings 4.5 | Chargers 8.4 | Commanders 4.5 | 3.5 | 5.8 |
| Packers | 22.2 | 0.7 | Lions 0.6 | Commanders -0.5 | Browns -1.3 | Cowboys 2.0 | BYE - | Bengals 3.8 | Cardinals 1.0 | Steelers -1.3 | Panthers 0.6 | Eagles 2.6 | Giants 4.4 | Vikings 0.3 | Lions -0.7 | Bears 3.4 | Broncos -3.6 | Bears 2.5 | Ravens -1.7 | 0.7 | -0.9 |
| Commanders | 18.8 | -1.5 | Giants 0.8 | Packers -2.2 | Raiders -1.0 | Falcons -1.5 | Chargers -1.0 | Bears 2.5 | Cowboys 0.8 | Chiefs -2.1 | Seahawks -3.4 | Lions -1.2 | Dolphins 0.5 | BYE - | Broncos -1.8 | Vikings 1.4 | Giants 5.0 | Eagles 4.2 | Cowboys 2.1 | 0.6 | 3.8 |
| Patriots | 19.5 | 0.6 | Raiders -0.5 | Dolphins -1.5 | Steelers 1.0 | Panthers 0.0 | Bills -0.4 | Saints 0.0 | Titans 0.8 | Browns 0.2 | Falcons 0.4 | Buccaneers 1.1 | Jets 1.8 | Bengals 3.0 | Giants 5.3 | BYE - | Bills 4.4 | Ravens 1.5 | Jets 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Lions | 23.5 | 1.3 | Packers -1.2 | Bears 0.4 | Ravens 0.5 | Browns -0.8 | Bengals 4.7 | Chiefs -1.4 | Buccaneers 0.8 | BYE - | Vikings 1.8 | Commanders 1.4 | Eagles 2.5 | Giants 5.3 | Packers 4.3 | Cowboys 2.9 | Rams -2.6 | Steelers 4.0 | Vikings 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Eagles | 17.8 | 0.3 | Cowboys 1.7 | Chiefs 0.5 | Rams 0.3 | Buccaneers 1.9 | Broncos 1.9 | Giants 2.0 | Vikings 0.4 | Giants 0.9 | BYE - | Packers -0.5 | Lions 0.4 | Cowboys 2.8 | Bears 4.3 | Chargers 5.7 | Raiders 2.4 | Commanders 1.1 | Bills 3.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Chargers | 18.2 | -0.8 | Chiefs -0.7 | Raiders 0.1 | Broncos 2.1 | Giants 4.5 | Commanders 2.5 | Dolphins 2.1 | Colts 0.4 | Vikings -1.3 | Titans 0.0 | Steelers -2.0 | Jaguars -2.7 | BYE - | Raiders -1.5 | Eagles 0.8 | Chiefs -2.8 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans -0.6 | -0.9 | -0.9 |
| Bears | 19.0 | 2.4 | Vikings -0.7 | Lions -1.5 | Cowboys -0.1 | Raiders 0.5 | BYE - | Commanders -1.0 | Saints 0.3 | Ravens 1.5 | Bengals 3.7 | Giants 4.0 | Vikings -0.4 | Steelers 0.6 | Eagles 1.5 | Packers 2.5 | Browns 3.7 | Packers 5.0 | 49ers 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Falcons | 25.8 | 0.7 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Vikings -2.3 | Panthers 1.0 | Commanders -1.1 | BYE - | Bills -1.1 | 49ers 0.0 | Dolphins 2.6 | Patriots -1.0 | Colts 1.2 | Panthers -1.0 | Saints 1.5 | Jets -2.5 | Seahawks -5.2 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Cardinals -0.4 | Rams -4.0 | -0.9 | -1.8 |
| Saints | 18.2 | -1.8 | Cardinals -0.3 | 49ers -0.4 | Seahawks -0.1 | Bills -0.8 | Giants 2.8 | Patriots -1.6 | Bears -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Rams -3.6 | Panthers -3.4 | BYE - | Falcons -1.9 | Dolphins -1.9 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Panthers -0.7 | Jets -3.2 | Titans -0.1 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| Vikings | 20.0 | 1.1 | Bears 0.5 | Falcons 0.1 | Bengals 1.5 | Steelers 0.8 | Browns 0.2 | BYE - | Eagles -0.2 | Chargers 2.9 | Lions -0.8 | Ravens 2.7 | Bears 1.8 | Packers 1.1 | Seahawks -4.3 | Commanders -1.8 | Cowboys 0.7 | Giants 2.4 | Lions 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Jets | 17.8 | 0.8 | Steelers -0.2 | Bills 0.6 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Dolphins 2.8 | Cowboys 4.4 | Broncos -0.8 | Panthers -0.4 | Bengals 1.6 | BYE - | Browns 1.0 | Patriots -0.7 | Ravens 1.5 | Falcons 2.8 | Dolphins 4.5 | Jaguars 2.0 | Saints 5.8 | Patriots 3.9 | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| Panthers | 21.9 | 1.2 | Jaguars -0.3 | Cardinals -0.9 | Falcons -2.2 | Patriots 0.7 | Dolphins 1.4 | Cowboys 1.8 | Jets -0.4 | Bills 1.6 | Packers -0.2 | Saints 3.7 | Falcons 1.2 | 49ers 2.2 | Rams -1.5 | BYE - | Saints 5.0 | Buccaneers 4.1 | Seahawks -2.1 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Colts | 23.8 | -0.6 | Dolphins -0.6 | Broncos -2.7 | Titans 1.1 | Rams -3.3 | Raiders 1.4 | Cardinals 0.6 | Chargers -0.4 | Titans 1.9 | Steelers -2.0 | Falcons -1.8 | BYE - | Chiefs -2.6 | Texans -1.1 | Jaguars -2.9 | Seahawks -7.0 | 49ers -1.4 | Jaguars -3.6 | -2.1 | -4.0 |
| Rams | 20.7 | 1.1 | Texans 0.2 | Titans -0.2 | Eagles -1.7 | Colts 1.5 | 49ers 2.1 | Ravens 2.2 | Jaguars -0.8 | BYE - | Saints 1.8 | 49ers 2.3 | Seahawks -3.0 | Buccaneers 2.8 | Panthers 2.5 | Cardinals 3.1 | Lions 3.1 | Seahawks -3.8 | Falcons 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Bengals | 15.7 | 0.7 | Browns 2.6 | Jaguars 2.3 | Vikings 1.1 | Broncos 0.4 | Lions -0.6 | Packers -1.3 | Steelers -0.9 | Jets 1.7 | Bears 1.2 | BYE - | Steelers 0.9 | Patriots 1.0 | Ravens 1.9 | Bills 3.3 | Ravens 2.2 | Dolphins 2.9 | Cardinals 4.8 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Seahawks | 18.5 | 1.2 | 49ers -0.9 | Steelers -1.2 | Saints 1.2 | Cardinals 2.1 | Buccaneers 1.7 | Jaguars 0.5 | Texans -0.9 | BYE - | Commanders 1.3 | Cardinals 3.3 | Rams 0.2 | Titans 4.0 | Vikings 3.4 | Falcons 3.6 | Colts 6.5 | Rams 1.2 | Panthers 5.9 | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 49ers | 24.9 | -0.8 | Seahawks 0.5 | Saints -0.7 | Cardinals 0.9 | Jaguars 0.6 | Rams -2.2 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Falcons -0.9 | Texans -1.7 | Giants 1.3 | Rams -2.1 | Cardinals 2.9 | Panthers 2.6 | Browns 3.4 | BYE - | Titans 5.8 | Colts 6.9 | Bears 8.4 | 2.7 | 7.0 |
| Cardinals | 19.6 | -0.4 | Saints 1.3 | Panthers 1.7 | 49ers -0.4 | Seahawks -0.4 | Titans 3.8 | Colts -2.1 | Packers -1.3 | BYE - | Cowboys 3.2 | Seahawks -3.0 | 49ers 2.1 | Jaguars -0.1 | Buccaneers 1.9 | Rams -1.7 | Texans 0.0 | Falcons 1.8 | Bengals 3.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Titans | 15.6 | 0.7 | Broncos -0.1 | Rams -0.6 | Colts 0.8 | Texans 0.9 | Cardinals 1.9 | Raiders 1.1 | Patriots -1.4 | Colts -0.8 | Chargers 4.2 | BYE - | Texans 1.1 | Seahawks -2.6 | Jaguars 0.1 | Browns 2.1 | 49ers 2.5 | Chiefs 0.9 | Saints 5.7 | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| Jaguars | 19.2 | -0.1 | Panthers 1.3 | Bengals -0.6 | Texans 2.2 | 49ers -1.9 | Chiefs 1.5 | Seahawks -0.3 | Rams -1.4 | BYE - | Raiders 1.1 | Texans 0.0 | Chargers 6.3 | Cardinals 3.4 | Titans 3.5 | Colts 3.8 | Jets 0.2 | Broncos -1.7 | Colts 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Buccaneers | 21.4 | -1.6 | Falcons 0.1 | Texans -1.9 | Jets 1.2 | Eagles -0.9 | Seahawks -1.5 | 49ers 0.1 | Lions -1.9 | Saints -0.8 | BYE - | Patriots -2.1 | Bills -0.1 | Rams -3.8 | Cardinals 1.9 | Saints 2.9 | Falcons 0.9 | Panthers 1.4 | Dolphins 3.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 |
| Dolphins | 21.5 | 0.3 | Colts -0.8 | Patriots 0.3 | Bills -0.7 | Jets 2.9 | Panthers 2.0 | Chargers -0.1 | Browns -2.4 | Falcons -0.8 | Ravens 2.0 | Bills 2.2 | Commanders 1.7 | BYE - | Saints 5.2 | Jets 0.8 | Steelers 2.9 | Bengals 5.5 | Buccaneers 2.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 |
| Raiders | 18.7 | -0.9 | Patriots 0.2 | Chargers -0.2 | Commanders -1.1 | Bears 3.4 | Colts 0.8 | Titans 4.1 | Chiefs -2.5 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.3 | Broncos -0.7 | Cowboys 3.2 | Browns 2.9 | Chargers 5.9 | Broncos -0.4 | Eagles 2.8 | Texans 0.8 | Giants 4.6 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Giants | 19.7 | 0.6 | Commanders -1.7 | Cowboys -0.7 | Chiefs -0.9 | Chargers -2.2 | Saints 0.5 | Eagles -1.6 | Broncos -2.7 | Eagles 1.9 | 49ers 2.8 | Bears 0.4 | Packers 0.6 | Lions 0.5 | Patriots 1.0 | BYE - | Commanders 1.7 | Vikings 3.9 | Raiders 3.9 | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| Texans | 18.5 | -0.5 | Rams -1.2 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Jaguars -2.0 | Titans 3.7 | Ravens 2.8 | BYE - | Seahawks -3.0 | 49ers 2.0 | Broncos -0.2 | Jaguars -0.9 | Titans -1.2 | Bills -0.5 | Colts -0.5 | Chiefs -2.5 | Cardinals 1.9 | Raiders 0.6 | Chargers 4.4 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Bills | 19.3 | 0.0 | Ravens 0.0 | Jets -0.1 | Dolphins 3.1 | Saints 3.2 | Patriots 1.4 | Falcons -1.6 | BYE - | Panthers -0.7 | Chiefs -1.4 | Dolphins 2.0 | Buccaneers 2.1 | Texans 0.0 | Steelers 1.0 | Bengals 3.0 | Patriots 0.2 | Browns 3.7 | Eagles 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Ravens | 19.6 | 0.4 | Bills 0.2 | Browns 1.6 | Lions 2.1 | Chiefs 2.8 | Texans 1.4 | Rams -2.0 | BYE - | Bears 0.5 | Dolphins 1.2 | Vikings -0.4 | Browns 2.4 | Jets 3.8 | Bengals 6.3 | Steelers 5.3 | Bengals 6.4 | Patriots 5.9 | Packers 9.7 | 4.1 | 7.3 |
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