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Week 7

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
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AVG
Playoffs
Steelers 21.9 2.5 0.0 0.7 -0.1 -1.0 - -0.9 2.0 0.8 1.8 5.4 4.6 2.6 2.0 0.7 3.0 1.1 4.2 2.6 2.7
Broncos 20.0 1.6 1.3 0.3 -1.9 6.8 0.9 1.7 1.8 3.8 -0.8 1.6 0.7 - 2.2 3.2 7.0 3.5 3.9 2.7 4.8
Browns 19.6 0.5 0.0 -0.4 -2.5 0.2 1.7 -1.2 1.4 -0.8 - 0.9 2.1 0.5 3.5 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.7 2.8 4.9
Chiefs 18.4 1.8 -0.4 -1.6 1.8 2.4 1.5 -0.6 1.3 1.9 2.4 - 0.9 3.6 3.0 2.1 6.6 3.6 -2.9 2.2 2.4
Cowboys 20.3 1.2 -1.7 1.0 2.6 -4.0 0.1 -0.5 1.2 -0.8 3.0 - 2.1 4.8 2.9 4.4 4.5 8.4 4.5 3.5 5.8
Packers 22.2 0.7 0.6 -0.5 -1.3 2.0 - 3.8 1.0 -1.3 0.6 2.6 4.4 0.3 -0.7 3.4 -3.6 2.5 -1.7 0.7 -0.9
Commanders 18.8 -1.5 0.8 -2.2 -1.0 -1.5 -1.0 2.5 0.8 -2.1 -3.4 -1.2 0.5 - -1.8 1.4 5.0 4.2 2.1 0.6 3.8
Patriots 19.5 0.6 -0.5 -1.5 1.0 0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.0 5.3 - 4.4 1.5 0.9 1.9 2.2
Lions 23.5 1.3 -1.2 0.4 0.5 -0.8 4.7 -1.4 0.8 - 1.8 1.4 2.5 5.3 4.3 2.9 -2.6 4.0 3.5 2.4 1.7
Eagles 17.8 0.3 1.7 0.5 0.3 1.9 1.9 2.0 0.4 0.9 - -0.5 0.4 2.8 4.3 5.7 2.4 1.1 3.8 2.1 2.4
Chargers 18.2 -0.8 -0.7 0.1 2.1 4.5 2.5 2.1 0.4 -1.3 0.0 -2.0 -2.7 - -1.5 0.8 -2.8 0.7 -0.6 -0.9 -0.9
Bears 19.0 2.4 -0.7 -1.5 -0.1 0.5 - -1.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 4.0 -0.4 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.7 5.0 1.4 2.2 3.4
Falcons 25.8 0.7 -1.0 -2.3 1.0 -1.1 - -1.1 0.0 2.6 -1.0 1.2 -1.0 1.5 -2.5 -5.2 -1.0 -0.4 -4.0 -0.9 -1.8
Saints 18.2 -1.8 -0.3 -0.4 -0.1 -0.8 2.8 -1.6 -0.1 0.0 -3.6 -3.4 - -1.9 -1.9 -1.3 -0.7 -3.2 -0.1 -1.6 -1.3
Vikings 20.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 - -0.2 2.9 -0.8 2.7 1.8 1.1 -4.3 -1.8 0.7 2.4 0.1 0.4 1.1
Jets 17.8 0.8 -0.2 0.6 0.0 2.8 4.4 -0.8 -0.4 1.6 - 1.0 -0.7 1.5 2.8 4.5 2.0 5.8 3.9 2.2 3.9
Panthers 21.9 1.2 -0.3 -0.9 -2.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 -0.4 1.6 -0.2 3.7 1.2 2.2 -1.5 - 5.0 4.1 -2.1 1.4 2.3
Colts 23.8 -0.6 -0.6 -2.7 1.1 -3.3 1.4 0.6 -0.4 1.9 -2.0 -1.8 - -2.6 -1.1 -2.9 -7.0 -1.4 -3.6 -2.1 -4.0
Rams 20.7 1.1 0.2 -0.2 -1.7 1.5 2.1 2.2 -0.8 - 1.8 2.3 -3.0 2.8 2.5 3.1 3.1 -3.8 1.1 0.9 0.1
Bengals 15.7 0.7 2.6 2.3 1.1 0.4 -0.6 -1.3 -0.9 1.7 1.2 - 0.9 1.0 1.9 3.3 2.2 2.9 4.8 1.9 3.3
Seahawks 18.5 1.2 -0.9 -1.2 1.2 2.1 1.7 0.5 -0.9 - 1.3 3.3 0.2 4.0 3.4 3.6 6.5 1.2 5.9 2.9 4.6
49ers 24.9 -0.8 0.5 -0.7 0.9 0.6 -2.2 -0.7 -0.9 -1.7 1.3 -2.1 2.9 2.6 3.4 - 5.8 6.9 8.4 2.7 7.0
Cardinals 19.6 -0.4 1.3 1.7 -0.4 -0.4 3.8 -2.1 -1.3 - 3.2 -3.0 2.1 -0.1 1.9 -1.7 0.0 1.8 3.1 0.6 1.6
Titans 15.6 0.7 -0.1 -0.6 0.8 0.9 1.9 1.1 -1.4 -0.8 4.2 - 1.1 -2.6 0.1 2.1 2.5 0.9 5.7 1.2 3.0
Jaguars 19.2 -0.1 1.3 -0.6 2.2 -1.9 1.5 -0.3 -1.4 - 1.1 0.0 6.3 3.4 3.5 3.8 0.2 -1.7 5.1 2.0 1.2
Buccaneers 21.4 -1.6 0.1 -1.9 1.2 -0.9 -1.5 0.1 -1.9 -0.8 - -2.1 -0.1 -3.8 1.9 2.9 0.9 1.4 3.2 0.1 1.8
Dolphins 21.5 0.3 -0.8 0.3 -0.7 2.9 2.0 -0.1 -2.4 -0.8 2.0 2.2 1.7 - 5.2 0.8 2.9 5.5 2.8 2.0 3.7
Raiders 18.7 -0.9 0.2 -0.2 -1.1 3.4 0.8 4.1 -2.5 - 0.3 -0.7 3.2 2.9 5.9 -0.4 2.8 0.8 4.6 1.7 2.7
Giants 19.7 0.6 -1.7 -0.7 -0.9 -2.2 0.5 -1.6 -2.7 1.9 2.8 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.0 - 1.7 3.9 3.9 1.4 3.2
Texans 18.5 -0.5 -1.2 0.4 -2.0 3.7 2.8 - -3.0 2.0 -0.2 -0.9 -1.2 -0.5 -0.5 -2.5 1.9 0.6 4.4 0.0 2.3
Bills 19.3 0.0 0.0 -0.1 3.1 3.2 1.4 -1.6 - -0.7 -1.4 2.0 2.1 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.2 3.7 3.6 1.3 2.5
Ravens 19.6 0.4 0.2 1.6 2.1 2.8 1.4 -2.0 - 0.5 1.2 -0.4 2.4 3.8 6.3 5.3 6.4 5.9 9.7 4.1 7.3

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