Week 17
Colts *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Patriots vs Bears | 2022 | 7 | 4 |
Similar | Seahawks @ Rams | 2022 | 13 | 8 |
Boom | Seahawks vs Jets | 2012 | 10 | 16 |
Bust | Texans vs Broncos | 2019 | 14 | 1 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Dolphins *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Rams vs Jaguars | 2013 | 5 | 13 |
Similar | Jaguars vs Commanders | 2018 | 15 | 12 |
Boom | Bears @ Cardinals | 2012 | 16 | 27 |
Bust | Texans vs Raiders | 2013 | 11 | 7 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Bills *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Bills vs Jets | 2022 | 14 | 11 |
Similar | Seahawks vs Jets | 2020 | 14 | 12 |
Boom | Packers vs Titans | 2012 | 16 | 17 |
Bust | Steelers vs Ravens | 2022 | 14 | 3 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Seahawks
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Panthers vs Titans | 2019 | 9 | 7 |
Similar | Seahawks vs Giants | 2020 | 13 | 7 |
Boom | Rams @ Cardinals | 2012 | 12 | 22 |
Bust | Cowboys @ Packers | 2022 | 10 | 2 |
Why so high?
Why so low?
Eagles *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Jaguars vs Commanders | 2018 | 15 | 12 |
Similar | Ravens vs Falcons | 2022 | 16 | 7 |
Boom | Browns vs Chiefs | 2012 | 14 | 16 |
Bust | Chargers vs Chiefs | 2011 | 3 | 6 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Browns
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Jets vs Bills | 2014 | 8 | 3 |
Similar | Bills vs Jets | 2014 | 12 | 21 |
Boom | Bengals vs Browns | 2013 | 11 | 25 |
Bust | Jets vs Bills | 2014 | 8 | 3 |
Why so high?
Why so low?
Chargers
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Jets vs Bears | 2022 | 12 | 9 |
Similar | Chiefs vs Bills | 2015 | 12 | 2 |
Boom | Ravens @ Packers | 2017 | 11 | 23 |
Bust | Chiefs vs Bills | 2015 | 12 | 2 |
Why so high?
Jaguars *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Buccaneers vs Vikings | 2014 | 8 | 4 |
Similar | Dolphins vs Broncos | 2017 | 13 | 21 |
Boom | Dolphins vs Broncos | 2017 | 13 | 21 |
Bust | Buccaneers vs Titans | 2015 | 1 | 1 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Saints *
Similar historical matchups
Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Similar | Titans @ Raiders | 2013 | 12 | 3 |
Similar | Cowboys vs Raiders | 2013 | 13 | 4 |
Boom | Commanders vs Cardinals | 2017 | 15 | 12 |
Bust | Seahawks @ Bears | 2012 | 13 | 0 |
Crowd-sourced average from 24 votes
Why so high?
Why so low?
Refreshed 1 week ago
Week 17
Lamar Jackson | BAL
Why so high?
Why so low?
Josh Allen | BUF
Why so high?
Why so low?
Baker Mayfield | TB
Why so high?
Why so low?
Jayden Daniels | WAS
Why so high?
Why so low?
Joe Burrow | CIN
Why so high?
Why so low?
Sam Darnold | MIN
Why so high?
Why so low?
Bo Nix | DEN
Why so high?
Why so low?
Jared Goff | DET
Why so high?
Why so low?
Refreshed 1 week ago
Week 17 Tier
Chase McLaughlin | TB
Why so high?
Why so low?
Jake Bates | DET
Why so high?
Why so low?
Will Reichard | MIN
Why so high?
Why so low?
Refreshed 1 week ago
Tagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Prev. Season / Archive , Updates / News , BackgroundTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Accuracy , Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonTagged under
Current SeasonBy Subvertadown
Tagged under
Current Season[Update: Season wrap-up post on Reddit]
December 31, 2024
That’s a wrap, folks!
The website is now in off-season mode. As of Jan 5th, the website 17-week charts display the past weeks as they would have been calculated if we had started the season with all the data averages. If you’re curious whether you really made the best possible pick a certain week, given close-to-perfect input data, this offers one way to continue obsessing over those pivotal moments.
Here’s a link to my final Accuracy Report!
Week 18 is not part of the website offering, but here’s my Reddit post with D/ST rankings, and the other one for Kicker rankings.
I hope you all enjoyed the season, whether you won or lost.
And congratulations to HiggsBoson for winning the Pick6×6 Accuracy competition! You have been so close, for two years running, and now the crown is yours.
In brief, these are the highlights I’ll remember for 2024:
A great year for streaming predictability: Great QB accuracy. Showed a more accurate D/ST model for the Yahoo scoring setting. And a return to accurate Kicker rankings after a couple down years and implementing a huge makeover of the model.
New website tools that I still feel excited about: Commenting, Crowd-sourcing (Pick6×6), and the new Kicker opportunity curve visualization.
We’ll be back with more of the same… and probably a bit more!
Thanks for your support, to keep things going here!
Wishing you a great new year, and see you again when we kick off the 2025 season.
/Subvertadown