Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Texans | 30.2 | 3.5 | Titans 4.2 | Jaguars 3.4 | BYE - | Dolphins 2.9 | Chiefs -1.6 | Ravens 7.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
Dolphins | 28.6 | 0.0 | Patriots 3.9 | Packers -2.1 | Jets -3.1 | Texans 1.3 | 49ers 0.9 | Browns 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Commanders | 31.3 | 2.9 | Cowboys 2.9 | Titans 0.7 | BYE - | Saints 5.1 | Eagles 0.5 | Falcons 4.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
Colts | 29.2 | 0.7 | Lions 2.6 | Patriots 1.8 | BYE - | Broncos -2.3 | Titans 4.0 | Giants -3.4 | 0.6 | -0.5 |
Lions | 32.1 | 2.4 | Colts 2.4 | Bears 2.4 | Packers 2.2 | Bills 2.6 | Bears 0.1 | 49ers -1.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
Cowboys | 27.5 | 0.5 | Commanders 2.0 | Giants -0.6 | Bengals 0.7 | Panthers 0.1 | Buccaneers 6.1 | Eagles 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
Eagles | 30.5 | 0.2 | Rams 1.7 | Ravens 3.3 | Panthers -1.9 | Steelers -2.3 | Commanders -0.2 | Cowboys 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Raiders | 24.6 | 2.2 | Broncos 1.2 | Chiefs -1.5 | Buccaneers 3.5 | Falcons 5.6 | Jaguars 6.4 | Saints 5.6 | 3.5 | 5.8 |
Broncos | 31.9 | 0.0 | Raiders 1.0 | Browns -0.8 | BYE - | Colts -0.3 | Chargers -1.9 | Bengals -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.9 |
Packers | 36.4 | -0.6 | 49ers 0.4 | Dolphins -0.4 | Lions -0.2 | Seahawks -2.2 | Saints 0.9 | Vikings 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
Bears | 26.8 | 0.1 | Vikings 0.3 | Lions 0.1 | 49ers 0.6 | Vikings -0.7 | Lions -1.7 | Seahawks -1.6 | -0.5 | -1.3 |
Chargers | 34.7 | 1.2 | Ravens 0.0 | Falcons 5.7 | Chiefs -3.8 | Buccaneers 3.0 | Broncos -2.5 | Patriots -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
Titans | 26.8 | 1.0 | Texans -0.2 | Commanders 1.2 | Jaguars 3.1 | Bengals 0.1 | Colts 0.1 | Jaguars 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Rams | 45.0 | 0.7 | Eagles -0.4 | Saints 5.4 | Bills -2.2 | 49ers 0.0 | Jets -3.5 | Cardinals -0.7 | -0.2 | -1.4 |
Patriots | 21.0 | -0.6 | Dolphins -0.7 | Colts -1.6 | BYE - | Cardinals 0.3 | Bills -2.0 | Chargers -1.3 | -1.1 | -1.0 |
Chiefs | 27.7 | 0.0 | Panthers -1.0 | Raiders 0.5 | Chargers -0.6 | Browns 1.2 | Texans 0.8 | Steelers -2.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
Panthers | 25.6 | 1.7 | Chiefs -1.1 | Buccaneers 3.5 | Eagles 0.8 | Cowboys 3.4 | Cardinals -0.2 | Buccaneers 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
Giants | 35.4 | 2.4 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Cowboys 4.2 | Saints 3.1 | Ravens 3.5 | Falcons 5.7 | Colts -1.3 | 2.3 | 2.7 |
Cardinals | 25.8 | 1.4 | Seahawks -1.5 | Vikings 2.7 | Seahawks 0.7 | Patriots 3.5 | Panthers -1.1 | Rams 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Vikings | 32.2 | 1.3 | Bears -2.3 | Cardinals 1.9 | Falcons 6.8 | Bears -1.0 | Seahawks -0.4 | Packers 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
Seahawks | 40.4 | -1.4 | Cardinals -2.7 | Jets -3.4 | Cardinals 1.2 | Packers -0.6 | Vikings 0.2 | Bears -0.6 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
Buccaneers | 34.3 | -1.6 | Giants -3.5 | Panthers -1.8 | Raiders 0.9 | Chargers -2.0 | Cowboys 5.3 | Panthers -1.5 | -0.4 | 0.6 |
49ers | 31.7 | -1.9 | Packers -4.1 | Bills -2.1 | Bears -1.8 | Rams 0.3 | Dolphins -2.0 | Lions -4.2 | -2.3 | -2.0 |
Ravens | 30.0 | -2.7 | Chargers -4.1 | Eagles 0.1 | BYE - | Giants -4.3 | Steelers -3.0 | Texans 1.8 | -1.9 | -1.8 |
Browns | 25.8 | -3.5 | Steelers -4.1 | Broncos -5.2 | Steelers -3.0 | Chiefs -1.7 | Bengals -0.3 | Dolphins -0.9 | -2.5 | -1.0 |
Steelers | 26.7 | -1.5 | Browns -4.4 | Bengals -1.4 | Browns 0.9 | Eagles -1.1 | Ravens 3.3 | Chiefs -2.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
Bengals | 35.6 | -0.2 | BYE - | Steelers -2.8 | Cowboys 2.0 | Titans 0.2 | Browns 0.8 | Broncos -2.0 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
Bills | 33.0 | 0.4 | BYE - | 49ers 0.1 | Rams 1.4 | Lions -0.3 | Patriots 0.3 | Jets -3.6 | -0.4 | -1.2 |
Falcons | 28.7 | 0.9 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Vikings 2.8 | Raiders -0.8 | Giants -1.5 | Commanders 1.3 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
Jets | 27.9 | -0.1 | BYE - | Seahawks -1.6 | Dolphins -1.8 | Jaguars 2.9 | Rams 0.9 | Bills -2.1 | -0.3 | 0.6 |
Saints | 22.9 | 1.5 | BYE - | Rams 3.6 | Giants -3.3 | Commanders 4.1 | Packers -3.8 | Raiders 4.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Jaguars | 20.4 | -1.0 | BYE - | Texans 0.1 | Titans 0.3 | Jets -3.3 | Raiders 2.4 | Titans 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
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