Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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Next 4
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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AVG
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Playoffs
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| Rams | 34.1 | 1.9 | Buccaneers 5.6 | Panthers -0.8 | Cardinals 1.3 | Lions 1.4 | Seahawks -0.6 | Falcons -2.4 | 0.7 | -0.6 |
| Eagles | 24.1 | 2.3 | Cowboys 5.3 | Bears 2.6 | Chargers -0.8 | Raiders 2.2 | Commanders 1.3 | Bills -2.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Buccaneers | 29.4 | 4.4 | Rams 4.7 | Cardinals 4.1 | Saints 3.6 | Falcons 5.4 | Panthers 1.7 | Dolphins 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Lions | 30.6 | 3.2 | Giants 4.1 | Packers 3.5 | Cowboys 3.4 | Rams 1.9 | Steelers 4.3 | Vikings 0.2 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Saints | 23.9 | 1.2 | Falcons 3.1 | Dolphins -2.0 | Buccaneers 2.2 | Panthers 1.5 | Jets 1.5 | Titans 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Jaguars | 28.7 | 0.8 | Cardinals 2.9 | Titans -0.1 | Colts -0.2 | Jets 0.5 | Broncos -3.4 | Colts 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.8 |
| Ravens | 22.5 | 3.9 | Jets 2.6 | Bengals 4.9 | Steelers 3.8 | Bengals 4.1 | Patriots 2.9 | Packers 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Bears | 27.2 | -0.6 | Steelers 2.3 | Eagles -1.2 | Packers -2.4 | Browns -1.0 | Packers 1.6 | 49ers -1.7 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Cardinals | 22.3 | 1.6 | Jaguars 2.0 | Buccaneers 2.7 | Rams 3.8 | Texans -2.2 | Falcons 3.3 | Bengals 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Raiders | 18.0 | 0.6 | Browns 1.7 | Chargers 2.0 | Broncos -0.7 | Eagles -0.7 | Texans -2.4 | Giants 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Giants | 23.1 | 0.1 | Lions 1.3 | Patriots -3.6 | BYE - | Commanders 2.6 | Vikings 0.7 | Raiders 3.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Cowboys | 32.9 | 1.2 | Eagles 1.3 | Chiefs 1.0 | Lions 0.9 | Vikings 1.4 | Chargers 5.0 | Commanders 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Chiefs | 30.0 | 1.0 | Colts 1.1 | Cowboys 4.0 | Texans -3.4 | Chargers 2.3 | Titans 0.8 | Broncos -1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Titans | 21.2 | 0.0 | Seahawks 0.9 | Jaguars 1.1 | Browns -1.8 | 49ers -0.2 | Chiefs -1.8 | Saints 0.6 | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| 49ers | 21.7 | 0.3 | Panthers 0.5 | Browns -1.6 | BYE - | Titans 1.9 | Colts -1.8 | Bears 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Patriots | 30.7 | -0.4 | Bengals 0.2 | Giants -1.2 | BYE - | Bills -0.2 | Ravens 2.5 | Jets -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Browns | 16.9 | 0.0 | Raiders 0.1 | 49ers -0.5 | Titans 0.8 | Bears -0.5 | Bills -1.1 | Steelers 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Seahawks | 32.6 | 1.2 | Titans 0.1 | Vikings -0.2 | Falcons 3.3 | Colts 1.4 | Rams 3.8 | Panthers -0.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Bengals | 29.3 | 2.0 | Patriots 0.0 | Ravens 4.3 | Bills -1.2 | Ravens 5.1 | Dolphins -0.5 | Cardinals 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Jets | 18.4 | 0.4 | Ravens -0.1 | Falcons 2.4 | Dolphins -0.5 | Jaguars -0.1 | Saints 1.6 | Patriots -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Steelers | 21.8 | -0.5 | Bears -0.3 | Bills -0.7 | Ravens 2.2 | Dolphins -3.5 | Lions 1.5 | Browns -2.6 | -0.5 | -1.5 |
| Falcons | 23.4 | 0.3 | Saints -1.0 | Jets -2.1 | Seahawks 2.4 | Buccaneers 2.0 | Cardinals -1.0 | Rams -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Texans | 30.8 | -0.9 | Bills -1.1 | Colts -0.7 | Chiefs -4.4 | Cardinals 2.5 | Raiders 2.4 | Chargers 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
| Packers | 28.2 | -0.9 | Vikings -1.4 | Lions 1.4 | Bears -0.5 | Broncos -3.0 | Bears -0.5 | Ravens 2.2 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| Vikings | 28.3 | 1.1 | Packers -1.4 | Seahawks 0.2 | Commanders 3.0 | Cowboys 2.5 | Giants 0.2 | Lions 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Bills | 29.1 | -1.4 | Texans -1.9 | Steelers -1.8 | Bengals 0.9 | Patriots -2.7 | Browns -2.8 | Eagles -1.0 | -1.6 | -2.2 |
| Panthers | 26.8 | 0.2 | 49ers -2.2 | Rams 1.8 | BYE - | Saints 0.9 | Buccaneers 2.6 | Seahawks 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Colts | 31.8 | -2.2 | Chiefs -4.2 | Texans -2.4 | Jaguars -1.2 | Seahawks -0.8 | 49ers -1.1 | Jaguars 1.8 | -1.3 | -0.1 |
| Commanders | 22.2 | 2.0 | BYE - | Broncos 0.6 | Vikings 2.2 | Giants 3.3 | Eagles 2.6 | Cowboys 4.4 | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Dolphins | 25.0 | 0.0 | BYE - | Saints 1.6 | Jets 0.3 | Steelers -1.9 | Bengals 3.3 | Buccaneers 4.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Broncos | 26.4 | 2.0 | BYE - | Commanders 1.4 | Raiders 2.5 | Packers 1.9 | Jaguars 2.4 | Chiefs -1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Chargers | 31.1 | 0.6 | BYE - | Raiders 4.4 | Eagles -0.7 | Chiefs -2.0 | Cowboys 4.3 | Texans 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
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