Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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Next 4
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Cardinals | 19.3 | 1.6 | Jaguars 1.6 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Rams -0.1 | Texans -0.3 | Falcons 0.5 | Bengals 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Bengals | 19.2 | -0.1 | Patriots 1.0 | Ravens -0.8 | Bills -0.3 | Ravens -0.3 | Dolphins -0.9 | Cardinals -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
Cowboys | 20.5 | 0.2 | Eagles -1.3 | Chiefs -0.8 | Lions -0.3 | Vikings -0.8 | Chargers -0.3 | Commanders -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.5 |
Lions | 21.0 | 0.7 | Giants 1.9 | Packers -0.3 | Cowboys 2.0 | Rams -1.4 | Steelers 1.3 | Vikings -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
Rams | 20.5 | 0.1 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Panthers 0.7 | Cardinals -1.0 | Lions 0.4 | Seahawks -0.3 | Falcons -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Dolphins | 19.4 | 1.2 | BYE - | Saints 3.1 | Jets 0.0 | Steelers 0.0 | Bengals 2.2 | Buccaneers -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Giants | 14.9 | 0.7 | Lions 0.1 | Patriots 0.2 | BYE - | Commanders 0.6 | Vikings -0.4 | Raiders -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Saints | 18.3 | 0.7 | Falcons 0.2 | Dolphins -0.6 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Panthers 2.1 | Jets 0.3 | Titans 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 |
Chargers | 16.9 | 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 0.6 | Eagles -1.6 | Chiefs -1.4 | Cowboys 1.5 | Texans 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
Jaguars | 20.3 | 0.0 | Cardinals -0.9 | Titans 2.1 | Colts 0.7 | Jets 0.6 | Broncos -1.2 | Colts -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
49ers | 20.7 | -1.4 | Panthers -0.3 | Browns -2.2 | BYE - | Titans 0.9 | Colts -2.3 | Bears -1.4 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
Broncos | 19.7 | -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.5 | Raiders -0.1 | Packers -1.3 | Jaguars 1.6 | Chiefs -1.4 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
Vikings | 19.1 | 1.0 | Packers -1.4 | Seahawks 0.7 | Commanders 0.2 | Cowboys 1.8 | Giants 1.6 | Lions 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
Ravens | 22.3 | -0.1 | Jets 0.4 | Bengals 1.2 | Steelers 0.7 | Bengals 0.8 | Patriots 0.5 | Packers -1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Packers | 22.2 | 0.1 | Vikings -0.6 | Lions -1.1 | Bears 0.5 | Broncos -0.8 | Bears 0.1 | Ravens -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
Panthers | 17.6 | 0.2 | 49ers 0.5 | Rams -0.3 | BYE - | Saints 1.8 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Seahawks 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Colts | 18.4 | 0.8 | Chiefs -1.0 | Texans 0.8 | Jaguars 0.7 | Seahawks -0.3 | 49ers 1.8 | Jaguars 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Raiders | 18.1 | 0.3 | Browns 0.5 | Chargers -0.7 | Broncos 0.0 | Eagles -1.7 | Texans -0.8 | Giants 2.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
Texans | 17.3 | 0.7 | Bills 0.5 | Colts -0.2 | Chiefs -1.4 | Cardinals -0.1 | Raiders 0.6 | Chargers -0.9 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
Jets | 19.8 | 0.0 | Ravens -0.8 | Falcons 0.6 | Dolphins 0.6 | Jaguars 0.4 | Saints 2.1 | Patriots 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
Seahawks | 18.4 | 0.6 | Titans 1.7 | Vikings -0.7 | Falcons -0.3 | Colts 1.4 | Rams -0.4 | Panthers 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
Steelers | 18.8 | -0.5 | Bears 0.1 | Bills 0.3 | Ravens -0.6 | Dolphins 0.9 | Lions -0.4 | Browns 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Bills | 22.5 | 0.5 | Texans -0.8 | Steelers 0.0 | Bengals 1.1 | Patriots -0.3 | Browns -0.9 | Eagles -1.3 | -0.1 | -0.8 |
Titans | 15.6 | 0.6 | Seahawks 2.5 | Jaguars 2.4 | Browns 0.7 | 49ers 1.7 | Chiefs 0.6 | Saints 4.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 |
Patriots | 16.9 | 0.2 | Bengals -0.2 | Giants 1.3 | BYE - | Bills 0.0 | Ravens -1.1 | Jets -0.9 | 0.2 | -0.6 |
Bears | 16.5 | -0.3 | Steelers 0.6 | Eagles -2.5 | Packers -2.2 | Browns -0.3 | Packers -1.8 | 49ers 0.3 | -0.5 | -0.6 |
Browns | 16.6 | -0.7 | Raiders -0.2 | 49ers 1.0 | Titans 3.1 | Bears 0.4 | Bills 0.8 | Steelers 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Falcons | 20.9 | 0.0 | Saints 2.0 | Jets -0.5 | Seahawks 0.8 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Cardinals -0.7 | Rams -0.8 | 0.2 | -0.9 |
Chiefs | 17.6 | 0.0 | Colts 0.8 | Cowboys 1.3 | Texans 0.0 | Chargers 0.2 | Titans 2.1 | Broncos 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Eagles | 20.7 | -0.8 | Cowboys 0.7 | Bears 0.5 | Chargers -0.8 | Raiders -0.2 | Commanders -1.3 | Bills -1.0 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
Commanders | 19.4 | -0.7 | BYE - | Broncos -0.1 | Vikings -1.0 | Giants 0.7 | Eagles -1.1 | Cowboys 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.3 |
Buccaneers | 20.1 | -0.6 | Rams -1.5 | Cardinals 0.6 | Saints 2.3 | Falcons 0.5 | Panthers 1.1 | Dolphins 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
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