Week 1
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
|
Next 4
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
AVG
|
Playoffs
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 17.2 | 1.0 | Patriots 1.9 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Raiders 0.3 | 49ers 0.7 | Dolphins 1.3 | Chiefs 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Lions | 19.3 | 0.1 | Bears 1.3 | Falcons 0.7 | Titans 1.3 | Vikings 0.5 | Giants -0.3 | Bears -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
| Vikings | 17.7 | 0.1 | Falcons 1.0 | Panthers 0.3 | Patriots -0.6 | Lions 1.3 | Commanders 0.1 | Jets -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Raiders | 17.8 | -0.8 | Browns -1.4 | BYE - | Chargers -1.1 | Broncos -0.4 | Titans -0.1 | Cardinals -0.1 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| Ravens | 18.5 | 0.9 | Texans -1.1 | BYE - | Buccaneers -0.5 | Steelers 0.3 | Browns 1.4 | Bengals -1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Steelers | 19.6 | -0.4 | Broncos -0.7 | Texans -1.1 | Jaguars -1.1 | Ravens -0.4 | Panthers -0.3 | Titans -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Eagles | 17.5 | -0.3 | Cowboys -0.9 | Cardinals 1.1 | Colts -0.1 | Seahawks 1.0 | Texans -0.6 | 49ers -1.3 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Seahawks | 18.5 | -0.2 | 49ers -2.1 | Cowboys -1.7 | Giants -0.2 | Eagles -0.5 | Rams -0.6 | Panthers -1.2 | -0.6 | -0.8 |
| Jaguars | 18.1 | 0.1 | Titans 1.0 | Bears 0.0 | Steelers 0.3 | Texans -0.7 | Cowboys -1.0 | Commanders 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| Bengals | 18.1 | 0.7 | Saints 1.3 | Browns 0.8 | Chiefs 0.7 | Panthers 0.3 | Colts 0.7 | Ravens 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Bears | 18.2 | 0.8 | Lions 1.0 | Jaguars 0.9 | Dolphins 1.0 | Bills -1.3 | Packers 1.2 | Lions 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Chiefs | 17.4 | 0.9 | Bills -0.2 | Rams -0.2 | Bengals -1.2 | Patriots 0.5 | 49ers 0.1 | Chargers 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Titans | 18.0 | -0.8 | Jaguars -1.4 | Commanders -1.2 | Lions -0.2 | Colts -1.0 | Raiders -0.8 | Steelers -0.7 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| Saints | 16.4 | 0.4 | Bengals -1.4 | Packers 1.9 | Panthers -0.6 | Buccaneers -1.8 | Cardinals 2.1 | Falcons 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Cowboys | 17.8 | -0.1 | Eagles 1.7 | Seahawks -0.5 | BYE - | Rams -0.5 | Jaguars 1.4 | Giants 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Panthers | 18.5 | -0.2 | Buccaneers -2.1 | Vikings -0.2 | Saints -0.6 | Bengals -0.9 | Steelers -0.7 | Seahawks 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| Packers | 18.3 | -0.5 | Rams -1.1 | Saints -0.6 | Bills -0.4 | Dolphins 1.7 | Bears -0.5 | Texans -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| Rams | 19.0 | 0.5 | Packers 2.0 | Chiefs 1.3 | 49ers -0.1 | Cowboys 0.7 | Seahawks 1.1 | Buccaneers -0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Buccaneers | 18.5 | 1.3 | Panthers -0.1 | Chargers 0.8 | Ravens 0.0 | Saints 1.2 | Falcons 1.5 | Rams 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Texans | 17.7 | 0.5 | Ravens 1.6 | Steelers 0.1 | Commanders -0.9 | Jaguars 1.7 | Eagles 0.2 | Packers -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Colts | 18.8 | -0.6 | Giants 0.7 | BYE - | Eagles -0.5 | Titans -0.7 | Bengals 0.0 | Browns -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| Giants | 18.3 | 0.4 | Colts 0.0 | 49ers -0.1 | Seahawks 0.1 | Browns 0.9 | Lions 0.6 | Cowboys -1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Commanders | 17.2 | -0.2 | Cardinals 1.3 | Titans -0.6 | Texans -0.9 | Falcons 1.4 | Vikings 0.9 | Jaguars -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.5 |
| 49ers | 20.0 | 1.1 | Seahawks 1.2 | Giants -0.6 | Rams 0.1 | Chargers 0.1 | Chiefs -1.0 | Eagles 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Jets | 17.2 | -0.5 | Dolphins -0.1 | BYE - | Broncos -0.6 | Cardinals 0.4 | Patriots -0.2 | Vikings 0.5 | -0.3 | 0.3 |
| Bills | 19.1 | 1.1 | Chiefs 0.7 | Patriots 0.8 | Packers 1.1 | Bears 1.6 | Broncos 0.0 | Dolphins 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Patriots | 17.6 | -0.1 | Chargers -0.2 | Bills 0.5 | Vikings 1.8 | Chiefs -1.3 | Jets -0.4 | Broncos 0.7 | 0.4 | -0.3 |
| Falcons | 20.1 | -0.7 | Vikings 0.0 | Lions 1.4 | Browns -0.8 | Commanders -1.8 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Saints 0.5 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| Broncos | 17.9 | 0.0 | Steelers 0.6 | Dolphins 2.4 | Jets -0.2 | Raiders 0.4 | Bills 0.8 | Patriots 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Dolphins | 19.1 | -1.5 | Jets -1.2 | Broncos -1.5 | Bears -0.9 | Packers -0.9 | Chargers -1.6 | Bills -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.1 |
| Cardinals | 17.6 | -1.9 | Commanders -1.5 | Eagles -0.3 | BYE - | Jets -1.2 | Saints -1.5 | Raiders -1.0 | -1.5 | -1.2 |
| Browns | 17.9 | -1.3 | Raiders -0.7 | Bengals -1.0 | Falcons 0.2 | Giants -1.4 | Ravens -1.4 | Colts -0.8 | -1.0 | -1.2 |
Refreshed 19 minutes ago