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2023 - Week 5

Nick Folk CHARLOTTE, NC - OCTOBER 01: Minnesota Vikings free safety Harrison Smith (22) tackles Carolina Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard (30) during an NFL football game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Carolina Panthers on October 1, 2023 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C. (Photo by John Byrum/Icon Sportswire)

October 3rd, 2023

[10:45EST — Slight shuffle due to an update; but tried to fix the Thursday values as they were.]

Reddit post for D/ST discussion

Four weeks have passed. The season always feels more officially in full swing when October hits. Here are the week’s notes:

  • My first monthly accuracy update is here. (Upshot is most things look good except week 1’s QB projections.)

  • There will not be a Kicker discussion post on Thursday this week. I will come back with the consensus on Saturday.

  • I’m really happy with my new analysis of “How a good model helps you rather than just using past D/ST fantasy scores”. Please have a read!

Model Update: This past Saturday, I completed my latest model upgrade. While I started the season touting the new “early season models”, we are now late enough to start turning to “mid-season”. How much to mix the two models, in weeks 4 and 5? That was the question— and it has a different answer for each model.