Oct 24th, 2023

[Reddit discussion about D/ST is here.]

[Reddit discussion about Kicker is here.]

NOTE Saturday, October 28th: You will notice some of the Kickers got shuffled during a minor update today (usually within half a point projection). (The model is getting updated based on a new study into betting line adjustments!)

Week 7 was great for most projection models. QB had a 3rd boom week of accuracy. The betting lines came through. Most of all, I’m glad the Kicker model finally produced the accuracy I expect of it (while surpassing most other sources).

The one downside was… D/ST. While I maintained positive accuracy, most other sources showed negative correlations. Busts like the Bills, 49ers, and Buccaneers came together with surprise booms from Bears, Dolphins, and Eagles.

The top options for week 8 are many of the same your league might have held last week. Unless the Falcons or Dolphins are on your waivers, you might need to dig a little deeper for streaming.

Members should note that the histograms are now available for the top 18 teams! (Not just the top 10.) Please use them to assist with your decision making. As always, also look at the “why-high/why-low” tool.

/Subvertadown