Week 5 - 2024

Nick Folk SANTA CLARA, CA - SEPTEMBER 29: San Francisco 49ers linebacker Fred Warner (54) intercepts the ball for a touchdown during the NFL game between the New England Patriots and the San Francisco 49ers on September 29, 2024 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. (Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire)

(Monday 3:30pm: All week 5 projections are recorded as usual; you might notice some changes before MNF, while betting lines models get an update in preparation for week 6.)

(Sunday 3:30pm: Anyone who noticed a duplicate bet on Vikings Jets: The second one was the correct one. There was a duplicate incorrect version related to there being no “home” team, but it’s fixed now.)

October 1, 2024

Tuesday pre-waivers Reddit post for D/STs

That was a week back to fantasy normalcy!

Welcome to a new month, everyone.

In contrast to a bizarre week 3, week 4 showed us the average levels of predictability vs. randomness.

  • The 3rd Survivor pathway lost with the Jets,

    • but Betting Lines returned positive (after 2 bad weeks).

  • Bad call on Elliott,

    • but otherwise this was a great week for Kickers by my models— All other sources had a much tougher time with kickers.

  • Cowboys were too high,

    • but my model should otherwise have steered you better than most other ranking sources.

We’ll take all that. About the right mix.

Remember to add and upvote comments. (Find them and upvote them at the bottom of the “Details” page.)

/Subvertadown