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Week 2

Position

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
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AVG
Playoffs
49ers 18.6 0.6 -0.6 2.7 -0.5 2.1 -1.7 0.0 -0.1 - -0.1 0.9 0.4 -1.2 -0.6 0.3 0.5 -2.0 0.6 0.1 -0.3
Chiefs 18.5 1.0 -0.3 2.2 1.6 -0.8 - 0.9 -2.1 1.3 -1.2 -0.3 -0.4 0.3 -0.1 -2.3 -1.6 -0.2 0.7 -0.1 -0.4
Ravens 19.1 1.1 0.3 1.9 1.3 1.5 -0.3 -0.3 -1.4 -0.3 -1.4 0.4 2.1 -0.6 - 0.4 -0.4 1.0 -2.1 0.1 -0.5
Eagles 15.5 -0.4 1.0 1.5 -0.9 -0.2 -1.8 2.5 0.4 -1.1 -0.6 - 0.0 0.3 -1.7 1.6 -1.5 -0.1 -1.2 -0.2 -0.9
Bills 17.8 0.7 -1.0 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 -0.5 - 1.0 -0.8 -2.0 2.4 -0.4 -1.2 0.8 1.7 1.4 1.5 0.4 1.5
Rams 19.3 0.9 0.5 1.4 1.1 -0.1 1.2 0.2 -0.7 1.1 -0.4 -0.9 - 1.5 0.2 -0.9 1.4 -1.9 -0.6 0.2 -0.3
Falcons 20.0 0.3 -0.7 0.8 -0.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.1 -0.8 -2.0 -1.0 - -1.4 0.9 -0.4 -1.3 0.4 1.8 -0.1 0.3
Buccaneers 18.0 0.8 -0.2 0.7 -0.1 1.4 0.9 0.8 2.2 0.0 0.3 - 0.3 2.4 1.1 -0.6 1.9 -0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7
Cowboys 18.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.3 -0.3 1.0 0.4 -1.0 0.2 1.7 0.4 2.2 1.5 -2.3 - 0.3 -0.3 1.2 0.4 0.4
Commanders 16.4 0.2 -0.4 0.5 -1.3 2.0 -0.6 -1.5 - 0.3 0.2 -1.0 -1.9 -1.2 0.0 -0.5 -0.4 -1.2 -2.4 -0.6 -1.3
Lions 19.9 0.4 1.0 0.4 -0.1 2.2 -0.9 - 1.9 0.7 1.7 -1.2 0.8 2.0 0.0 2.2 -0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2
Broncos 16.3 0.0 -1.0 0.3 0.5 -1.0 0.0 -1.4 -1.1 -1.4 1.9 - -0.8 -0.4 2.4 -2.0 -1.6 0.8 -1.6 -0.4 -0.8
Chargers 16.1 0.2 2.7 0.3 -0.2 -2.1 2.7 -1.8 - 0.0 0.7 -0.9 -0.6 0.0 -0.6 -1.3 0.3 1.4 -0.5 -0.2 0.4
Patriots 16.2 -0.8 -0.5 0.3 -2.2 -0.5 -0.7 -1.2 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 - 0.2 1.0 -0.1 -2.3 -2.5 1.9 -0.2 -1.0
Texans 18.0 0.9 0.1 0.1 1.5 1.5 0.4 -2.3 0.3 - -0.1 -0.5 2.3 0.8 -0.7 -1.4 -1.1 -0.6 -1.0 -0.1 -0.9
Vikings 17.4 0.5 1.3 0.0 -1.4 2.5 0.8 - 2.8 -0.1 0.7 0.0 -1.1 0.0 3.2 -1.7 1.1 0.8 -2.1 0.4 0.0
Panthers 18.3 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.6 0.5 - -0.6 0.4 0.2 2.1 1.3 0.1 -1.2 -1.2 1.5 -1.0 -0.4 -1.5 0.0 -1.0
Jets 17.9 0.2 -1.0 -0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 -1.2 2.3 -0.2 -1.4 1.4 0.7 1.2 - 2.4 -0.7 -0.6 0.1 0.3 -0.4
Bears 20.0 0.7 -0.7 -0.2 1.2 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.3 -2.0 1.3 - 2.5 1.3 0.2 2.3 1.0 2.0 1.5 0.9 1.5
Jaguars 17.9 0.3 0.5 -0.3 0.5 -0.5 1.4 1.5 - 3.0 0.9 1.4 0.0 2.3 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.2
Packers 16.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.2 -0.9 1.1 1.1 0.1 3.0 -1.7 -0.6 - -0.3 1.0 0.9 2.2 0.1 -0.7 0.3 0.6
Raiders 19.0 -0.3 0.6 -0.7 0.9 -0.5 -1.0 1.9 1.7 -1.3 -0.8 -0.5 1.7 -0.1 - 1.8 3.6 3.0 -0.5 0.6 2.0
Saints 15.6 0.0 0.1 -1.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 -0.8 0.0 - 1.6 3.6 0.2 -2.1 2.1 2.1 -1.0 0.1 -0.5 0.4 -0.5
Seahawks 17.2 -1.1 1.2 -1.0 -2.1 -0.3 -0.9 0.8 -0.8 0.8 -0.2 -0.8 - -1.4 0.5 0.6 -0.1 0.7 2.1 -0.1 0.9
Titans 16.2 -0.8 0.2 -1.2 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 1.4 0.0 -1.5 - -1.4 0.4 -2.0 -0.4 -0.1 1.5 -1.2 0.1 -0.4 0.1
Browns 16.2 -0.3 -1.4 -1.5 2.1 0.1 -2.0 -0.4 0.2 -0.8 0.2 -0.9 - -1.4 -1.3 -0.7 -1.0 -1.0 1.2 -0.5 -0.3
Giants 18.3 -0.1 -0.8 -1.5 1.6 0.0 -0.5 1.9 0.1 - -0.2 0.3 -0.7 1.6 -0.1 -2.1 0.9 -0.1 0.6 0.1 0.5
Bengals 18.4 0.3 0.4 -1.5 0.6 0.0 2.2 - 0.8 2.3 1.3 1.4 -0.3 2.5 1.0 0.1 2.9 2.5 1.6 1.2 2.4
Cardinals 17.6 -0.2 -1.9 -1.6 -0.4 -0.7 1.8 0.5 2.9 1.3 -1.7 1.5 -1.1 1.2 2.2 - -0.1 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.7
Steelers 18.0 -0.1 1.0 -1.6 -1.2 -0.1 2.2 -0.5 0.8 0.8 - -1.8 -0.4 2.0 0.2 -2.0 0.3 3.3 0.8 0.2 1.5
Dolphins 16.8 -1.5 -0.8 -1.8 -1.5 -1.1 -1.4 - -2.2 -1.2 0.2 1.4 -0.4 -1.6 0.9 0.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.7 -0.5 0.1
Colts 19.2 -0.7 0.3 -2.0 0.5 -0.4 -0.9 1.8 -1.2 -2.4 1.4 2.5 -0.4 0.7 - -0.7 0.3 -0.7 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3

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