Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 11.0 | -0.1 | Ravens -0.3 | Jets 0.6 | Dolphins 0.5 | Saints 0.8 | Patriots 0.5 | Falcons -0.8 | BYE - | Panthers -0.9 | Chiefs -0.2 | Dolphins 0.2 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Texans -0.8 | Steelers -0.4 | Bengals 1.1 | Patriots -0.3 | Browns -0.4 | Eagles -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| Buccaneers | 7.5 | 0.8 | Falcons 0.5 | Texans 0.0 | Jets 2.1 | Eagles -1.0 | Seahawks 0.1 | 49ers 1.1 | Lions 0.4 | Saints 2.3 | BYE - | Patriots -0.9 | Bills -1.4 | Rams 0.3 | Cardinals 1.1 | Saints 1.0 | Falcons 0.6 | Panthers 0.6 | Dolphins 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Jets | 8.5 | 0.9 | Steelers -0.1 | Bills -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Dolphins 0.9 | Cowboys 2.8 | Broncos -0.3 | Panthers 0.2 | Bengals 0.8 | BYE - | Browns -1.1 | Patriots -0.2 | Ravens -0.7 | Falcons -0.1 | Dolphins 1.0 | Jaguars 0.7 | Saints 1.5 | Patriots 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Vikings | 8.0 | 0.1 | Bears 0.0 | Falcons 1.2 | Bengals 0.4 | Steelers 2.0 | Browns 0.4 | BYE - | Eagles -0.8 | Chargers 0.6 | Lions 0.8 | Ravens 0.1 | Bears 0.9 | Packers -0.8 | Seahawks -0.2 | Commanders 0.7 | Cowboys 0.2 | Giants -0.7 | Lions 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Falcons | 8.9 | 0.4 | Buccaneers 0.3 | Vikings -0.2 | Panthers 0.9 | Commanders 1.0 | BYE - | Bills -1.5 | 49ers 1.9 | Dolphins 1.1 | Patriots 0.2 | Colts 0.5 | Panthers 0.5 | Saints -0.4 | Jets -0.8 | Seahawks 0.7 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Cardinals 0.3 | Rams 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Lions | 9.2 | 0.5 | Packers -0.9 | Bears -0.8 | Ravens 0.2 | Browns 2.1 | Bengals 0.9 | Chiefs -1.3 | Buccaneers 0.9 | BYE - | Vikings -0.1 | Commanders 0.3 | Eagles -1.6 | Giants 0.8 | Packers 0.2 | Cowboys 0.7 | Rams 0.6 | Steelers 0.2 | Vikings 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Cardinals | 17.2 | 0.5 | Saints 0.2 | Panthers 1.3 | 49ers -0.2 | Seahawks 1.0 | Titans 0.8 | Colts 0.0 | Packers 0.0 | BYE - | Cowboys -0.2 | Seahawks -0.1 | 49ers 0.6 | Jaguars 0.7 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Rams 0.6 | Texans -0.7 | Falcons 0.7 | Bengals 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Rams | 13.1 | 0.4 | Texans -0.5 | Titans -0.9 | Eagles -1.4 | Colts 0.4 | 49ers 0.3 | Ravens -1.2 | Jaguars -1.8 | BYE - | Saints -0.2 | 49ers -0.6 | Seahawks 0.8 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Panthers 0.1 | Cardinals 0.5 | Lions 0.6 | Seahawks 0.2 | Falcons 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Jaguars | 8.5 | 0.2 | Panthers -0.2 | Bengals 0.6 | Texans -0.3 | 49ers -0.1 | Chiefs -0.3 | Seahawks 1.7 | Rams -0.3 | BYE - | Raiders -0.9 | Texans -0.8 | Chargers -1.6 | Cardinals 0.2 | Titans -0.5 | Colts 0.4 | Jets 0.2 | Broncos -0.5 | Colts 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Commanders | 11.9 | 0.2 | Giants -0.1 | Packers 0.2 | Raiders -0.3 | Falcons -0.3 | Chargers 0.1 | Bears 0.8 | Cowboys 2.0 | Chiefs -0.7 | Seahawks 1.6 | Lions -1.1 | Dolphins -0.4 | BYE - | Broncos -1.6 | Vikings 0.4 | Giants 0.0 | Eagles -0.3 | Cowboys 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Packers | 9.9 | -0.3 | Lions -0.2 | Commanders -0.6 | Browns -0.8 | Cowboys 0.9 | BYE - | Bengals 0.7 | Cardinals 1.0 | Steelers 0.6 | Panthers 0.7 | Eagles -0.7 | Giants 0.9 | Vikings -0.6 | Lions -0.2 | Bears 0.3 | Broncos -0.7 | Bears -0.1 | Ravens -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 |
| Seahawks | 10.4 | 0.6 | 49ers -1.2 | Steelers -1.3 | Saints -0.3 | Cardinals -0.7 | Buccaneers 0.1 | Jaguars -1.1 | Texans -1.3 | BYE - | Commanders -0.9 | Cardinals -0.5 | Rams 0.2 | Titans 0.3 | Vikings 0.8 | Falcons 0.3 | Colts 0.8 | Rams 0.9 | Panthers 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Cowboys | 11.3 | 0.4 | Eagles -1.3 | Giants 0.2 | Bears -0.7 | Packers -0.5 | Jets -0.2 | Panthers -0.7 | Commanders 0.2 | Broncos -0.1 | Cardinals 1.7 | BYE - | Raiders -1.6 | Eagles 0.7 | Chiefs -0.1 | Lions 0.3 | Vikings 1.0 | Chargers -0.1 | Commanders 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Dolphins | 8.2 | 0.6 | Colts 0.3 | Patriots 1.1 | Bills -0.3 | Jets 0.4 | Panthers 1.9 | Chargers -0.4 | Browns -0.7 | Falcons -0.4 | Ravens 0.5 | Bills -1.1 | Commanders 0.8 | BYE - | Saints -0.5 | Jets 0.2 | Steelers -0.5 | Bengals 3.2 | Buccaneers -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Colts | 12.3 | 1.0 | Dolphins -0.9 | Broncos -1.4 | Titans 0.0 | Rams -0.1 | Raiders 0.5 | Cardinals -0.1 | Chargers -0.1 | Titans 0.7 | Steelers 1.8 | Falcons -1.0 | BYE - | Chiefs -2.3 | Texans -0.4 | Jaguars 0.1 | Seahawks 0.0 | 49ers 1.3 | Jaguars 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Ravens | 14.3 | 0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Browns 1.4 | Lions 0.6 | Chiefs 1.9 | Texans 0.5 | Rams -0.1 | BYE - | Bears -0.7 | Dolphins 1.1 | Vikings 1.2 | Browns -1.4 | Jets 0.5 | Bengals 2.7 | Steelers 0.1 | Bengals 1.2 | Patriots 0.0 | Packers -1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Texans | 9.8 | 0.3 | Rams -0.3 | Buccaneers 0.7 | Jaguars 0.8 | Titans 0.9 | Ravens 0.4 | BYE - | Seahawks -1.8 | 49ers 1.6 | Broncos 0.3 | Jaguars 0.3 | Titans -0.4 | Bills -1.2 | Colts 0.9 | Chiefs -0.2 | Cardinals 1.0 | Raiders 0.5 | Chargers -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Browns | 12.7 | 0.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Ravens 1.7 | Packers 0.3 | Lions 1.6 | Vikings 0.7 | Steelers 1.6 | Dolphins 0.0 | Patriots 0.1 | BYE - | Jets -1.4 | Ravens -2.0 | Raiders -0.5 | 49ers -0.4 | Titans -0.3 | Bears 0.4 | Bills -0.5 | Steelers 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Eagles | 8.6 | 0.0 | Cowboys 0.5 | Chiefs 0.2 | Rams 0.1 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Broncos 0.6 | Giants -0.2 | Vikings 0.4 | Giants 0.5 | BYE - | Packers -1.3 | Lions 1.7 | Cowboys 0.8 | Bears 0.8 | Chargers -0.4 | Raiders 1.4 | Commanders 0.3 | Bills -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Chiefs | 13.4 | -0.2 | Chargers -0.4 | Eagles -1.2 | Giants 0.1 | Ravens 0.1 | Jaguars -0.1 | Lions 2.5 | Raiders 0.2 | Commanders 0.4 | Bills 1.0 | BYE - | Broncos -2.1 | Colts 0.7 | Cowboys 0.6 | Texans -0.6 | Chargers -0.5 | Titans 0.3 | Broncos 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
| Bengals | 9.6 | 0.4 | Browns 0.3 | Jaguars 0.2 | Vikings -0.4 | Broncos -1.0 | Lions 1.0 | Packers 0.0 | Steelers 0.0 | Jets 0.7 | Bears 0.7 | BYE - | Steelers -1.1 | Patriots -0.4 | Ravens -0.6 | Bills -0.7 | Ravens 0.2 | Dolphins 1.3 | Cardinals 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Chargers | 8.2 | 0.2 | Chiefs -0.7 | Raiders 0.3 | Broncos 1.9 | Giants 0.5 | Commanders 0.7 | Dolphins 1.1 | Colts 0.5 | Vikings 0.3 | Titans 0.8 | Steelers 0.7 | Jaguars 1.1 | BYE - | Raiders -0.7 | Eagles -0.8 | Chiefs 1.1 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Titans | 11.1 | 0.2 | Broncos -0.3 | Rams 0.5 | Colts 0.5 | Texans 0.5 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders 0.1 | Patriots -0.8 | Colts 0.9 | Chargers 0.2 | BYE - | Texans -2.1 | Seahawks 0.0 | Jaguars 0.3 | Browns -0.8 | 49ers 0.7 | Chiefs 0.0 | Saints 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Saints | 11.0 | 0.0 | Cardinals 0.2 | 49ers -0.4 | Seahawks 0.3 | Bills -0.4 | Giants 0.9 | Patriots 1.0 | Bears -0.6 | Buccaneers 0.6 | Rams 0.1 | Panthers -1.2 | BYE - | Falcons -1.3 | Dolphins -0.1 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Panthers 0.9 | Jets 0.3 | Titans -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Steelers | 13.9 | 0.3 | Jets -0.3 | Seahawks 1.9 | Patriots -0.2 | Vikings 0.4 | BYE - | Browns -0.7 | Bengals 1.4 | Packers 0.7 | Colts 1.6 | Chargers -0.5 | Bengals 1.8 | Bears -0.4 | Bills -0.9 | Ravens -1.1 | Dolphins 1.0 | Lions 1.7 | Browns -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Bears | 11.1 | -0.4 | Vikings -0.7 | Lions 1.1 | Cowboys -0.5 | Raiders -0.5 | BYE - | Commanders -2.2 | Saints 1.0 | Ravens -0.1 | Bengals 1.7 | Giants -0.2 | Vikings 0.4 | Steelers -0.3 | Eagles -1.5 | Packers -1.4 | Browns -0.1 | Packers -0.6 | 49ers 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 |
| Giants | 10.7 | 0.2 | Commanders -0.8 | Cowboys 0.2 | Chiefs -0.5 | Chargers -0.5 | Saints 0.2 | Eagles -1.6 | Broncos -1.3 | Eagles -0.5 | 49ers 0.6 | Bears -0.7 | Packers -1.2 | Lions -0.3 | Patriots -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.4 | Vikings 0.7 | Raiders 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Panthers | 7.3 | 0.1 | Jaguars -0.4 | Cardinals 0.3 | Falcons -1.1 | Patriots -0.2 | Dolphins 0.9 | Cowboys 0.5 | Jets 0.6 | Bills -0.4 | Packers 0.0 | Saints 0.5 | Falcons -0.3 | 49ers 0.2 | Rams 1.4 | BYE - | Saints 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Seahawks 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Broncos | 9.6 | 0.0 | Titans 0.1 | Colts -0.4 | Chargers -0.3 | Bengals 1.7 | Eagles 1.7 | Jets 0.1 | Giants 0.3 | Cowboys 1.1 | Texans 0.3 | Raiders 0.1 | Chiefs -0.4 | BYE - | Commanders -0.5 | Raiders 0.0 | Packers -0.5 | Jaguars 0.8 | Chiefs -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Patriots | 12.3 | -0.8 | Raiders -0.8 | Dolphins 0.3 | Steelers 0.1 | Panthers 0.3 | Bills -0.3 | Saints -0.3 | Titans -0.9 | Browns 0.1 | Falcons -0.4 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Jets -0.2 | Bengals 1.4 | Giants 0.4 | BYE - | Bills -1.7 | Ravens -0.6 | Jets -0.1 | -0.8 | -0.8 |
| 49ers | 14.0 | 0.6 | Seahawks -0.8 | Saints -0.3 | Cardinals -0.4 | Jaguars 0.2 | Rams -0.7 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Falcons -1.0 | Texans -0.6 | Giants 0.3 | Rams -0.8 | Cardinals -0.1 | Panthers 0.1 | Browns 0.4 | BYE - | Titans -0.8 | Colts 0.5 | Bears 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Raiders | 15.1 | -0.3 | Patriots 0.0 | Chargers 0.8 | Commanders 2.6 | Bears 1.9 | Colts 1.1 | Titans 1.0 | Chiefs -0.9 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.4 | Broncos -0.4 | Cowboys 0.7 | Browns 1.9 | Chargers -0.1 | Broncos 0.0 | Eagles -1.0 | Texans -0.6 | Giants 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.5 |
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