Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Giants | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Cardinals | 8.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 | -1.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | - | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Bengals | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 2.5 | - | -0.4 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
Browns | 7.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -1.2 | - | -1.8 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -1.2 | -0.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
Buccaneers | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | - | 1.1 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | -1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
Saints | 10.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
Colts | 5.8 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 | - | 0.9 | -1.6 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Cowboys | 7.7 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -2.2 | 0.4 | - | 1.5 | -1.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | -0.6 | -2.4 | -2.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -1.3 |
Raiders | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | - | 1.2 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Texans | 11.3 | 0.1 | -1.9 | 0.3 | -1.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | - | -0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | -0.6 | -2.0 | -1.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -1.0 |
Lions | 10.9 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.9 | 1.4 | -0.6 | -3.2 | 1.0 | - | -0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 1.4 | -1.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
Jets | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | - | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | -0.9 | 1.3 | -1.1 | 0.4 | -0.2 |
Falcons | 11.4 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | - | 0.2 | -0.6 | 0.5 | -1.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Packers | 5.5 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | - | 1.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
Commanders | 5.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 0.2 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | 0.8 | 0.7 | -1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Ravens | 10.1 | -2.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -0.6 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | -0.1 | - | -2.6 | -4.1 | -6.8 | -4.7 | -3.7 | -5.2 |
Bears | 7.8 | -0.7 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -1.2 | 1.1 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -0.2 | - | 0.1 | -2.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
Eagles | 4.1 | -0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | - | -1.2 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
Vikings | 13.9 | -1.2 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -2.2 | -3.3 | -2.3 | -1.3 | -1.8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | - | -1.5 | -1.7 | -0.8 | -2.6 | -1.4 | -1.7 |
Jaguars | 10.5 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -2.3 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -1.1 | -2.2 | - | -2.9 | -2.2 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -3.2 | -2.3 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.4 | -1.3 |
Chiefs | 15.9 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -1.5 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.3 | -1.1 | - | -2.0 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.9 |
Patriots | 9.6 | -1.1 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -1.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -2.2 | -1.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | - | -0.5 | -0.8 | -2.0 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -3.4 | -1.4 | -1.7 |
Steelers | 3.4 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | -2.9 | - | -0.8 | -0.9 | -1.3 | -0.4 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Rams | 5.2 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -3.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | -1.7 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -1.6 | - | -1.7 | -0.9 | -2.5 | -3.6 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -1.2 | -1.7 | -1.1 |
Titans | 4.3 | -1.5 | 0.1 | -0.9 | -2.4 | 0.2 | -0.8 | -2.4 | - | -0.4 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -1.0 | -1.4 | -1.2 |
Panthers | 3.9 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.8 | -0.5 | - | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
49ers | 9.7 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -2.1 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -2.1 | -2.6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | - | -1.4 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -0.8 |
Dolphins | -0.5 | -1.9 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 0.2 | -2.9 | 0.6 | -0.5 | -3.0 | -1.9 | -3.4 | - | -0.8 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -1.0 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
Broncos | -1.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -0.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -2.7 | -0.9 | -1.7 | - | -2.6 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.5 | -1.8 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
Bills | 9.9 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -2.2 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -2.5 | - | -1.5 | -0.9 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -1.2 |
Seahawks | 5.7 | -2.4 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | -1.7 | -0.1 | -1.0 | -3.0 | -0.8 | -3.6 | -2.2 | -2.0 | -1.2 | -2.1 | -1.8 |
Chargers | 8.5 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -4.1 | -3.7 | -2.9 | - | -3.1 | -4.3 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -3.0 | -3.6 | -3.9 | -1.6 | -3.3 | -3.3 | -0.9 | -2.8 | -2.5 |
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