Week 2
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
|
Next 4
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 21.5 | -0.2 | Dolphins -0.6 | Chiefs -2.1 | Patriots -2.9 | Packers -0.9 | Bears 2.0 | Broncos -1.4 | Dolphins -1.7 | -0.9 | -0.4 |
| Cowboys | 26.7 | 2.1 | Titans 1.9 | Eagles 3.0 | Seahawks -5.8 | BYE - | Rams 1.7 | Jaguars 1.9 | Giants 3.7 | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Panthers | 22.3 | 1.3 | Ravens 1.5 | Buccaneers -4.2 | Vikings 2.4 | Saints 1.9 | Bengals -0.7 | Steelers -1.5 | Seahawks -0.8 | 0.6 | -1.0 |
| Chargers | 26.4 | 0.1 | Jets 2.0 | Patriots 1.7 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Raiders 0.2 | 49ers 2.1 | Dolphins -1.0 | Chiefs 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Commanders | 20.3 | 0.1 | Bengals -5.8 | Cardinals 1.6 | Titans -2.6 | Texans 0.3 | Falcons 0.5 | Vikings 2.0 | Jaguars -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.2 |
| Broncos | 20.8 | 0.5 | Raiders -0.5 | Steelers -2.3 | Dolphins 1.2 | Jets -0.6 | Raiders 0.5 | Bills 0.3 | Patriots -1.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Falcons | 17.1 | -0.3 | BYE - | Vikings 1.1 | Lions 4.8 | Browns -2.2 | Commanders -1.4 | Buccaneers 1.5 | Saints 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Raiders | 19.0 | 1.2 | Broncos 1.6 | Browns -0.7 | BYE - | Chargers 4.4 | Broncos 5.7 | Titans 4.9 | Cardinals 4.0 | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Eagles | 22.1 | -0.8 | Steelers -1.7 | Cowboys 1.7 | Cardinals 1.5 | Colts 0.1 | Seahawks -0.7 | Texans 1.8 | 49ers -0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| Rams | 25.4 | -1.2 | BYE - | Packers 1.5 | Chiefs 0.7 | 49ers -1.8 | Cowboys 1.4 | Seahawks -2.8 | Buccaneers -2.3 | -0.2 | -1.3 |
| Chiefs | 20.4 | -0.5 | Cardinals 0.3 | Bills -1.2 | Rams 0.8 | Bengals -4.4 | Patriots -6.1 | 49ers -1.1 | Chargers 0.9 | -1.1 | -2.1 |
| Lions | 28.1 | 1.3 | Buccaneers 1.5 | Bears 4.9 | Falcons 2.5 | Titans 1.8 | Vikings 2.2 | Giants -0.5 | Bears 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Titans | 19.8 | 0.7 | Cowboys 2.4 | Jaguars -0.2 | Commanders 0.7 | Lions 5.0 | Colts 0.6 | Raiders 2.4 | Steelers -0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 49ers | 22.5 | -1.8 | Vikings 1.8 | Seahawks -3.7 | Giants -2.3 | Rams -1.6 | Chargers -0.4 | Chiefs -5.4 | Eagles -1.7 | -1.8 | -2.5 |
| Packers | 25.0 | -0.3 | BYE - | Rams 0.2 | Saints 1.1 | Bills -0.5 | Dolphins 0.0 | Bears 0.3 | Texans -4.1 | -0.1 | -1.3 |
| Texans | 22.5 | -0.8 | Colts 0.9 | Ravens 1.3 | Steelers -4.2 | Commanders -3.1 | Jaguars -0.5 | Eagles -2.4 | Packers -7.0 | -1.7 | -3.3 |
| Bengals | 24.4 | -1.0 | Commanders -4.3 | Saints 0.8 | Browns -1.1 | Chiefs -1.7 | Panthers 1.6 | Colts 1.4 | Ravens 1.4 | -0.3 | 1.5 |
| Cardinals | 17.6 | 1.5 | Chiefs -1.2 | Commanders 3.9 | Eagles 4.3 | BYE - | Jets 3.1 | Saints 3.3 | Raiders 3.2 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Ravens | 21.8 | 0.0 | Panthers 0.4 | Texans 0.8 | BYE - | Buccaneers -1.4 | Steelers -4.0 | Browns -1.3 | Bengals -4.0 | -1.7 | -3.1 |
| Seahawks | 26.0 | -2.0 | BYE - | 49ers -2.1 | Cowboys -4.0 | Giants 1.0 | Eagles -0.8 | Rams 0.6 | Panthers 0.7 | -1.0 | 0.2 |
| Dolphins | 17.9 | -0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Jets 0.2 | Broncos 0.8 | Bears 2.4 | Packers 0.2 | Chargers -0.1 | Bills 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Bears | 22.6 | -0.4 | Saints 1.6 | Lions 5.1 | Jaguars 1.2 | Dolphins 0.0 | Bills 0.3 | Packers 1.4 | Lions 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Vikings | 21.5 | -0.4 | 49ers -1.2 | Falcons 1.4 | Panthers 3.7 | Patriots -2.3 | Lions 4.0 | Commanders 2.2 | Jets -1.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Saints | 22.5 | 1.5 | Bears 1.8 | Bengals -2.6 | Packers 4.2 | Panthers 2.3 | Buccaneers -1.4 | Cardinals 4.0 | Falcons 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Jets | 17.8 | 1.2 | Chargers 2.4 | Dolphins -0.5 | BYE - | Broncos 1.9 | Cardinals 2.6 | Patriots -0.5 | Vikings 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Steelers | 20.6 | -1.6 | Eagles -1.2 | Broncos 0.5 | Texans 1.2 | Jaguars -4.2 | Ravens 0.3 | Panthers 3.3 | Titans -1.5 | -0.9 | 0.7 |
| Colts | 22.3 | -0.3 | Texans 2.8 | Giants 3.5 | BYE - | Eagles -1.3 | Titans -1.6 | Bengals 0.6 | Browns -1.9 | 0.6 | -1.0 |
| Buccaneers | 23.2 | 0.0 | Lions 3.3 | Panthers -1.6 | Chargers 0.5 | Ravens -1.0 | Saints 0.8 | Falcons 1.9 | Rams 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Browns | 15.7 | -0.9 | BYE - | Raiders -1.2 | Bengals -1.2 | Falcons 0.5 | Giants 0.0 | Ravens -0.4 | Colts -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| Patriots | 20.9 | -3.1 | BYE - | Chargers -0.5 | Bills -1.3 | Vikings 0.2 | Chiefs -8.2 | Jets -3.7 | Broncos -0.9 | -2.0 | -4.3 |
| Jaguars | 25.4 | -1.2 | Giants 0.0 | Titans -0.1 | Bears 2.4 | Steelers -4.3 | Texans 3.1 | Cowboys 1.5 | Commanders 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 |
| Giants | 18.6 | -1.2 | Jaguars -0.2 | Colts 0.9 | 49ers -0.1 | Seahawks -2.6 | Browns -0.8 | Lions 0.1 | Cowboys 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
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