Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Broncos | 26.8 | 2.5 | Chiefs 0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.2 | Raiders 3.9 | Packers 1.2 | Jaguars 2.7 | Chiefs -0.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
Bengals | 27.9 | 2.6 | Steelers 1.4 | Patriots -0.6 | Ravens 3.2 | Bills 0.9 | Ravens 4.3 | Dolphins 0.1 | Cardinals 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
Saints | 25.5 | 2.1 | BYE - | Falcons 2.7 | Dolphins -2.1 | Buccaneers 0.7 | Panthers 2.6 | Jets 3.4 | Titans 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Colts | 30.9 | 2.3 | BYE - | Chiefs 0.3 | Texans 1.3 | Jaguars 0.6 | Seahawks 0.1 | 49ers 0.9 | Jaguars 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Buccaneers | 30.3 | 0.0 | Bills -1.1 | Rams 1.9 | Cardinals 0.0 | Saints 1.9 | Falcons 1.6 | Panthers -0.1 | Dolphins -1.7 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
Eagles | 26.8 | 1.1 | Lions 2.8 | Cowboys 4.7 | Bears 2.1 | Chargers 0.6 | Raiders 4.1 | Commanders 1.2 | Bills -0.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Falcons | 24.3 | 1.4 | Panthers 4.3 | Saints 2.8 | Jets 0.3 | Seahawks 2.0 | Buccaneers 0.9 | Cardinals 0.7 | Rams 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
Ravens | 26.4 | 0.4 | Browns 0.8 | Jets 0.4 | Bengals 2.1 | Steelers 1.2 | Bengals 1.0 | Patriots -0.2 | Packers -1.9 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
Chargers | 33.4 | 1.5 | Jaguars 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 4.4 | Eagles -1.5 | Chiefs -1.3 | Cowboys 2.9 | Texans 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Dolphins | 24.6 | 1.5 | Commanders 0.7 | BYE - | Saints 3.1 | Jets 1.4 | Steelers -2.6 | Bengals 2.6 | Buccaneers 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Bears | 27.7 | 1.0 | Vikings 0.3 | Steelers 0.1 | Eagles -0.8 | Packers -2.7 | Browns 2.2 | Packers 0.3 | 49ers -1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
49ers | 22.8 | 1.5 | Cardinals 2.2 | Panthers 0.4 | Browns 1.9 | BYE - | Titans 3.3 | Colts -0.7 | Bears 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Texans | 26.1 | 2.4 | Titans 1.6 | Bills 2.9 | Colts 1.0 | Chiefs -1.7 | Cardinals 3.0 | Raiders 5.1 | Chargers 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.4 |
Bills | 29.0 | 0.6 | Buccaneers 2.9 | Texans 1.4 | Steelers -0.7 | Bengals 0.3 | Patriots -2.1 | Browns 0.8 | Eagles 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.4 |
Titans | 21.4 | 0.9 | Texans 1.0 | Seahawks 1.3 | Jaguars 1.9 | Browns 1.3 | 49ers 0.8 | Chiefs 1.0 | Saints 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Patriots | 27.4 | 1.9 | Jets 2.2 | Bengals 0.5 | Giants -0.7 | BYE - | Bills 0.9 | Ravens 1.4 | Jets 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Panthers | 24.7 | 1.7 | Falcons 2.7 | 49ers -2.2 | Rams 2.7 | BYE - | Saints 3.7 | Buccaneers 1.6 | Seahawks 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
Vikings | 28.9 | 2.3 | Bears 3.1 | Packers -0.4 | Seahawks -1.1 | Commanders 3.3 | Cowboys 2.3 | Giants -0.5 | Lions 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Chiefs | 29.8 | 0.0 | Broncos -1.1 | Colts 1.6 | Cowboys 5.3 | Texans 1.2 | Chargers 2.8 | Titans 2.3 | Broncos 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
Steelers | 22.3 | 1.3 | Bengals 2.6 | Bears -0.2 | Bills -0.4 | Ravens 0.4 | Dolphins -1.9 | Lions 2.6 | Browns 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Cowboys | 30.4 | 0.9 | Raiders 0.8 | Eagles 5.2 | Chiefs 3.8 | Lions 2.2 | Vikings 3.8 | Chargers 5.1 | Commanders 0.3 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
Giants | 23.1 | 1.3 | Packers 2.2 | Lions 4.2 | Patriots -3.7 | BYE - | Commanders 2.9 | Vikings 2.7 | Raiders 5.3 | 1.8 | 3.6 |
Packers | 27.3 | 0.4 | Giants 0.9 | Vikings 1.0 | Lions 2.5 | Bears -1.2 | Broncos -0.8 | Bears -0.7 | Ravens 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Jets | 22.2 | -1.1 | Patriots -2.8 | Ravens 0.1 | Falcons 0.6 | Dolphins -1.3 | Jaguars -0.2 | Saints 1.3 | Patriots -2.0 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
Browns | 17.6 | 0.5 | Ravens 3.3 | Raiders 3.5 | 49ers 1.9 | Titans 3.7 | Bears 0.0 | Bills 1.9 | Steelers 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Commanders | 28.2 | -3.3 | Dolphins -2.9 | BYE - | Broncos -2.1 | Vikings -1.9 | Giants -2.8 | Eagles -2.1 | Cowboys -0.5 | -2.5 | -1.8 |
Cardinals | 22.2 | 4.5 | 49ers 7.3 | Jaguars 7.5 | Buccaneers 5.6 | Rams 8.8 | Texans 5.1 | Falcons 6.2 | Bengals 4.7 | 5.7 | 5.4 |
Raiders | 22.7 | 0.8 | Cowboys 0.9 | Browns 4.4 | Chargers 1.9 | Broncos 1.1 | Eagles -0.1 | Texans 0.7 | Giants 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Jaguars | 27.1 | 1.7 | Chargers 0.9 | Cardinals 2.0 | Titans 1.5 | Colts 0.6 | Jets 2.5 | Broncos -1.3 | Colts 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Lions | 30.0 | 1.6 | Eagles 1.5 | Giants 4.6 | Packers 4.8 | Cowboys 4.5 | Rams 4.3 | Steelers 4.6 | Vikings 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
Seahawks | 30.1 | 2.6 | Rams 3.9 | Titans 2.4 | Vikings 1.9 | Falcons 3.8 | Colts 1.8 | Rams 4.4 | Panthers 1.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
Rams | 32.8 | 2.9 | Seahawks 3.4 | Buccaneers 5.6 | Panthers 1.6 | Cardinals 1.9 | Lions 2.7 | Seahawks -0.9 | Falcons -0.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
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