Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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Next 4
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | 25.2 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 4.6 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Cowboys | 35.0 | 0.5 | -2.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | -3.4 | -2.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | -0.7 |
| Saints | 25.6 | 2.2 | - | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 5.2 | -2.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Broncos | 24.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 3.7 | -0.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Lions | 26.5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.2 | -2.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | -1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Dolphins | 37.7 | -1.4 | -2.4 | -5.8 | 1.9 | -0.2 | -3.4 | -4.0 | -4.5 | -2.3 | -4.0 |
| Steelers | 18.6 | 0.3 | -3.9 | -2.4 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| Panthers | 21.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3.7 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Cardinals | 23.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | - | 1.0 | -0.8 | -1.3 | 0.4 | -0.3 |
| Commanders | 24.2 | -1.1 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 0.7 | - | -2.0 | -1.8 | -0.5 | -1.0 | -1.4 |
| Colts | 21.9 | 2.0 | - | 4.3 | 0.2 | -1.0 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 4.4 |
| Titans | 18.8 | -1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -0.4 | -4.4 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | -0.8 | 0.5 |
| Bengals | 22.7 | 1.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | -0.7 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | -1.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Buccaneers | 20.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 5.7 | -1.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| Rams | 27.5 | 0.3 | -0.9 | 6.1 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 | -0.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Jaguars | 24.8 | -1.1 | -0.5 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -3.2 | -2.4 | 2.4 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.4 |
| Eagles | 30.7 | -2.0 | -9.5 | -3.8 | -1.6 | -2.6 | -0.8 | -3.0 | 1.3 | -2.4 | -0.8 |
| 49ers | 26.4 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.7 | 1.6 | -4.7 | 0.9 | -1.7 | -0.7 |
| Packers | 26.0 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 1.2 | -1.9 | -1.7 | 5.3 | -2.7 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 2.4 |
| Seahawks | 28.2 | -1.9 | -5.1 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -4.3 | -1.5 | 0.2 | 1.7 | -1.9 | 0.2 |
| Chiefs | 23.2 | -2.9 | -7.1 | 1.2 | -2.2 | -2.9 | -2.6 | -4.0 | -0.7 | -2.1 | -2.4 |
| Browns | 16.6 | 0.4 | -1.4 | -4.2 | -2.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -1.3 | -0.5 | 0.5 |
| Patriots | 14.9 | -1.9 | - | 0.2 | -3.1 | 1.6 | -3.7 | -2.5 | -4.6 | -1.5 | -3.6 |
| Jets | 13.4 | -0.9 | -1.9 | -4.3 | -3.6 | 0.6 | -3.7 | 3.0 | -3.4 | -1.6 | -1.4 |
| Chargers | 30.5 | -1.6 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -4.1 | -1.2 | 1.6 | -2.7 | -3.5 | -1.4 | -1.5 |
| Falcons | 15.6 | -0.3 | - | 2.8 | -6.9 | 6.6 | -4.6 | 3.6 | -1.9 | 0.3 | -1.0 |
| Bills | 34.9 | -2.6 | -5.1 | -4.6 | - | -3.9 | -3.4 | -0.6 | -0.9 | -3.1 | -1.6 |
| Vikings | 26.5 | 1.4 | -3.2 | 3.2 | - | 2.5 | -0.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Raiders | 23.6 | 1.4 | -2.7 | 0.8 | - | 6.4 | 3.8 | -6.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Ravens | 22.9 | -2.7 | -3.9 | -0.3 | - | -1.0 | -0.8 | -6.4 | -1.9 | -2.1 | -3.0 |
| Bears | 17.8 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | - | -0.2 | -0.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Giants | 11.1 | -0.6 | -1.4 | 0.1 | - | -2.1 | 4.5 | -4.3 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
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