Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Falcons | 25.1 | 2.1 | Broncos -0.5 | BYE - | Chargers 2.9 | Vikings 2.0 | Raiders 1.5 | Giants 2.0 | Commanders 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Patriots | 16.1 | 0.5 | Rams 0.6 | Dolphins 0.4 | Colts -0.9 | BYE - | Cardinals 0.7 | Bills -2.1 | Chargers -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.7 |
Texans | 31.1 | 0.9 | Cowboys 1.9 | Titans 2.9 | Jaguars 2.7 | BYE - | Dolphins 5.4 | Chiefs -3.0 | Ravens 3.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
Steelers | 21.4 | -0.2 | Ravens 0.7 | Browns 0.1 | Bengals -0.8 | Browns 0.6 | Eagles -2.0 | Ravens 0.2 | Chiefs -1.0 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
Commanders | 30.7 | 0.9 | Eagles -0.9 | Cowboys 1.5 | Titans 1.2 | BYE - | Saints 2.2 | Eagles -0.4 | Falcons 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
Browns | 22.6 | 0.5 | Saints 1.5 | Steelers -3.1 | Broncos -5.0 | Steelers -3.7 | Chiefs -2.0 | Bengals 0.0 | Dolphins 4.0 | -0.6 | 0.7 |
Packers | 30.5 | 1.4 | Bears -1.5 | 49ers 1.7 | Dolphins 2.8 | Lions -1.7 | Seahawks -2.5 | Saints -1.5 | Vikings -0.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 |
Broncos | 26.3 | 0.9 | Falcons 0.2 | Raiders 2.5 | Browns -0.2 | BYE - | Colts -1.4 | Chargers -2.3 | Bengals 0.5 | 0.1 | -1.1 |
Bears | 24.5 | 1.6 | Packers -2.4 | Vikings -0.8 | Lions -0.8 | 49ers 0.2 | Vikings -1.9 | Lions -2.0 | Seahawks -1.1 | -0.1 | -1.7 |
Bills | 27.5 | -1.5 | Chiefs -0.9 | BYE - | 49ers 1.8 | Rams 1.1 | Lions -0.7 | Patriots 0.9 | Jets -2.8 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
Bengals | 31.0 | -0.2 | Chargers -0.5 | BYE - | Steelers -2.7 | Cowboys -1.1 | Titans 0.6 | Browns 0.6 | Broncos -1.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
Buccaneers | 34.6 | 0.3 | BYE - | Giants -1.8 | Panthers -0.9 | Raiders 1.4 | Chargers -0.4 | Cowboys 3.5 | Panthers -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
Ravens | 25.8 | -0.4 | Steelers -4.2 | Chargers -4.0 | Eagles -0.9 | BYE - | Giants -3.1 | Steelers -3.7 | Texans 1.8 | -1.5 | -1.7 |
Cardinals | 23.6 | 0.4 | BYE - | Seahawks -2.5 | Vikings 1.3 | Seahawks 0.0 | Patriots 4.3 | Panthers 0.7 | Rams -0.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Giants | 25.0 | -1.2 | BYE - | Buccaneers 2.1 | Cowboys 2.0 | Saints 0.8 | Ravens 2.6 | Falcons 2.0 | Colts -0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
Dolphins | 20.1 | -0.6 | Raiders 0.0 | Patriots 1.9 | Packers -2.3 | Jets -4.0 | Texans 1.5 | 49ers 0.6 | Browns -0.4 | -0.8 | 0.6 |
49ers | 30.3 | -1.3 | Seahawks -1.8 | Packers -3.9 | Bills -3.4 | Bears -0.8 | Rams -0.2 | Dolphins 1.5 | Lions -5.4 | -1.7 | -1.4 |
Chiefs | 22.6 | 0.1 | Bills -2.5 | Panthers -0.2 | Raiders 0.6 | Chargers -0.7 | Browns 0.9 | Texans 1.8 | Steelers -4.0 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
Panthers | 29.0 | -0.9 | BYE - | Chiefs -2.2 | Buccaneers 1.2 | Eagles -1.3 | Cowboys 1.1 | Cardinals -0.3 | Buccaneers 0.6 | -0.4 | 0.5 |
Seahawks | 37.0 | -0.1 | 49ers -2.1 | Cardinals -0.9 | Jets -3.3 | Cardinals 0.3 | Packers -1.3 | Vikings -1.3 | Bears -1.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 |
Rams | 33.6 | -0.4 | Patriots 1.4 | Eagles 0.6 | Saints 0.8 | Bills -1.7 | 49ers -1.2 | Jets -4.3 | Cardinals 0.1 | -0.6 | -1.8 |
Colts | 32.2 | 0.6 | Jets -2.7 | Lions -0.1 | Patriots 1.0 | BYE - | Broncos -2.1 | Titans 2.0 | Giants -1.8 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
Jaguars | 25.4 | -0.7 | Lions 0.0 | BYE - | Texans -0.6 | Titans -1.3 | Jets -3.1 | Raiders 1.3 | Titans -0.8 | -0.7 | -0.9 |
Raiders | 22.3 | -0.6 | Dolphins 4.0 | Broncos -0.5 | Chiefs -2.7 | Buccaneers 2.1 | Falcons 0.5 | Jaguars 6.7 | Saints 2.3 | 0.9 | 3.2 |
Cowboys | 30.0 | -0.6 | Texans 0.0 | Commanders 0.0 | Giants 1.0 | Bengals 2.8 | Panthers 1.0 | Buccaneers 3.7 | Eagles -2.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Jets | 27.1 | -3.0 | Colts -2.1 | BYE - | Seahawks -2.1 | Dolphins 1.5 | Jaguars 2.5 | Rams 1.4 | Bills -3.3 | -1.0 | 0.2 |
Vikings | 31.3 | -0.4 | Titans 1.0 | Bears -0.7 | Cardinals 2.8 | Falcons 3.3 | Bears -0.7 | Seahawks -0.2 | Packers 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
Saints | 20.1 | 0.6 | Browns 4.6 | BYE - | Rams 4.6 | Giants -0.3 | Commanders 3.8 | Packers -3.6 | Raiders 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Lions | 30.2 | 2.3 | Jaguars 5.3 | Colts 1.3 | Bears 1.5 | Packers 0.8 | Bills 2.2 | Bears -0.8 | 49ers -0.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
Chargers | 24.5 | -1.7 | Bengals 1.1 | Ravens -0.2 | Falcons 1.5 | Chiefs -3.5 | Buccaneers 1.8 | Broncos -1.3 | Patriots 2.0 | -0.1 | 0.8 |
Titans | 22.0 | -1.4 | Vikings -0.2 | Texans 0.7 | Commanders 0.4 | Jaguars 3.0 | Bengals 0.8 | Colts -0.9 | Jaguars 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
Eagles | 20.7 | -0.1 | Commanders -0.1 | Rams -0.7 | Ravens 1.0 | Panthers 0.8 | Steelers -1.2 | Commanders -0.6 | Cowboys 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
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