Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Giants | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 8.1 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 7.7 | - | 3.6 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 6.2 |
Cowboys | 37.1 | 3.4 | -1.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -3.8 | -1.7 | - | 2.1 | -0.6 | 3.7 | -0.6 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 5.4 | -4.9 | -2.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 | -0.8 |
Bengals | 24.0 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 8.4 | - | 4.6 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 3.4 | -1.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
Cardinals | 16.6 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 6.7 | 2.4 | -0.3 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 5.8 | - | 8.0 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 7.1 |
Texans | 29.5 | -1.5 | -6.0 | -0.8 | -3.2 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 4.8 | - | -5.8 | 5.8 | -2.2 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | -8.4 | -5.3 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -1.5 | -2.7 |
Buccaneers | 25.7 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 5.5 | - | 1.9 | 1.0 | -1.4 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 4.7 | -0.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 |
Colts | 22.3 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | -0.5 | 4.5 | 4.8 | -1.3 | 0.4 | 4.7 | -1.4 | 0.6 | - | 3.7 | 0.3 | -1.4 | 5.7 | -1.6 | -2.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Bears | 19.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | -2.3 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4.8 | -2.0 | 2.7 | 3.3 | - | -1.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
Falcons | 15.0 | -1.6 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 2.5 | -0.1 | 3.1 | 5.9 | -1.2 | -0.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | - | 2.0 | -6.0 | 4.7 | -7.0 | 1.8 | -4.7 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
Packers | 29.6 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.6 | - | -1.1 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | -2.9 | -1.9 | 3.2 | -3.8 | 2.4 | -0.2 | 0.6 |
Lions | 28.6 | 0.2 | -1.1 | 6.0 | 5.6 | -0.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | -5.8 | 1.5 | - | -1.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | -4.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -4.6 | -0.4 | -0.8 |
Raiders | 24.5 | 4.7 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 11.0 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 1.7 | - | 6.6 | 5.8 | -5.6 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
Panthers | 24.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -3.1 | -3.8 | 2.4 | 2.9 | -2.6 | - | -0.5 | 3.1 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | -3.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | -0.4 |
Saints | 27.3 | 3.5 | 11.8 | -1.4 | 1.7 | 9.3 | -0.3 | 5.7 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 6.2 | - | 0.9 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 6.1 | -1.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
Ravens | 25.9 | -0.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -3.0 | -0.9 | 3.2 | -2.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 | -4.4 | -1.8 | 0.8 | - | -1.7 | 0.1 | -3.8 | 0.2 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
Vikings | 26.8 | -1.9 | 4.8 | -1.1 | 5.0 | -3.8 | 1.4 | -4.9 | -0.1 | -2.2 | -3.4 | -0.4 | -6.6 | 0.7 | - | -2.5 | -3.8 | -0.1 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -1.1 |
Browns | 12.7 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 7.1 | 3.4 | - | -4.0 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 5.8 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 4.3 | -1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Rams | 36.0 | -2.4 | -5.4 | -6.8 | -5.2 | 0.9 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 0.1 | -2.8 | -6.9 | - | -6.2 | 0.2 | -3.5 | -8.3 | 1.9 | -4.0 | -3.3 | -2.8 | -1.8 |
Chiefs | 24.4 | -2.2 | -0.5 | -2.0 | 1.8 | -2.6 | 5.6 | -5.8 | -1.8 | -4.3 | -7.8 | - | -5.8 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -3.4 | -3.4 | -6.0 | -0.6 | -2.6 | -3.3 |
Jaguars | 24.2 | -4.3 | 0.6 | -5.0 | -1.7 | 1.6 | -3.7 | -2.7 | 1.0 | -2.9 | - | -2.9 | -2.5 | -0.5 | -3.7 | -6.1 | -7.0 | -2.1 | -8.0 | -4.6 | -5.7 |
Commanders | 24.8 | -0.3 | 2.4 | -1.1 | -2.6 | -3.4 | 2.8 | 1.8 | -2.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | -2.8 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.1 | - | -0.1 | -4.0 | 0.8 | -0.8 | -1.1 |
Jets | 10.6 | -0.5 | 1.9 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 7.5 | - | 1.5 | 5.3 | 5.8 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -1.6 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
Patriots | 15.6 | -2.2 | -0.7 | -1.9 | -7.8 | 1.5 | -0.9 | 1.9 | -5.0 | -4.9 | 4.1 | 1.0 | - | -1.9 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -5.4 | -3.9 | -5.8 | -3.0 | -5.0 |
Eagles | 32.1 | -1.2 | -0.3 | 4.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | -1.9 | -1.6 | 2.5 | -1.9 | - | -8.6 | -2.6 | 0.9 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -1.0 | 2.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
Steelers | 21.0 | -0.4 | 1.9 | -4.8 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -2.9 | - | -2.4 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -4.2 | -2.6 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 1.0 | -2.2 | -2.6 | -1.1 | -1.3 |
Seahawks | 33.2 | -3.8 | -1.4 | 2.0 | -3.1 | -1.3 | - | -3.6 | -1.6 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -1.8 | -5.6 | -2.8 | -3.2 | -5.5 | -3.6 | -1.8 | -1.9 | -3.1 | -2.4 |
49ers | 29.9 | -0.9 | 3.1 | -2.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | -3.5 | -7.6 | 3.4 | -1.8 | - | -2.5 | -0.3 | -2.8 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 1.2 | -5.5 | 2.0 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
Bills | 35.8 | -5.4 | -6.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -3.2 | 0.2 | -1.7 | -3.9 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -5.0 | -6.2 | -2.9 | - | -6.1 | -7.3 | -1.6 | -2.5 | -4.1 | -3.8 |
Broncos | 28.6 | -2.0 | -6.8 | -0.9 | -8.4 | -0.9 | -3.9 | -9.7 | -3.0 | -5.8 | - | -10.4 | -2.5 | -3.5 | -0.5 | -3.2 | -0.7 | -2.9 | -4.0 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
Titans | 26.8 | -5.2 | 0.7 | -1.6 | -7.1 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -5.4 | - | -8.7 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -2.8 | -5.0 | -3.9 | -8.0 | -4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -4.4 | -3.1 |
Chargers | 34.1 | -8.4 | -11.3 | -7.0 | -2.3 | -8.4 | - | -10.9 | -11.0 | -6.2 | -12.2 | -6.7 | -6.3 | -7.2 | -7.0 | -7.7 | -11.8 | -18.4 | -22.4 | -12.4 | -17.5 |
Dolphins | 41.5 | -6.9 | -2.5 | -1.5 | -4.1 | -6.8 | -3.6 | -5.6 | -5.4 | -5.5 | -11.7 | - | -5.3 | -10.3 | -1.0 | -3.2 | -13.2 | -12.5 | -12.5 | -8.8 | -12.7 |
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