Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Patriots | 19.7 | -0.2 | Raiders -0.2 | Dolphins -2.1 | Steelers 2.5 | Panthers 1.7 | Bills 0.9 | Saints 1.0 | Titans 2.4 | Browns -0.7 | Falcons -1.5 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Jets 0.7 | Bengals 2.4 | Giants 1.0 | BYE - | Bills 0.6 | Ravens 2.1 | Jets 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Steelers | 22.7 | -0.2 | Jets -0.9 | Seahawks -1.5 | Patriots -1.4 | Vikings -0.5 | BYE - | Browns -2.1 | Bengals 2.2 | Packers -1.6 | Colts -1.3 | Chargers -0.3 | Bengals 2.2 | Bears 1.0 | Bills 0.2 | Ravens 1.6 | Dolphins 1.5 | Lions -1.4 | Browns -1.6 | 0.2 | -0.5 |
Bears | 18.5 | 1.7 | Vikings -0.4 | Lions -1.7 | Cowboys 0.0 | Raiders 0.6 | BYE - | Commanders -1.8 | Saints 1.9 | Ravens 1.9 | Bengals 2.3 | Giants 0.6 | Vikings -0.8 | Steelers -1.5 | Eagles 0.3 | Packers -2.0 | Browns -0.7 | Packers -1.5 | 49ers 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.6 |
Saints | 17.7 | -0.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | 49ers 0.8 | Seahawks 0.3 | Bills 0.5 | Giants 3.2 | Patriots -0.7 | Bears 1.6 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Rams -2.3 | Panthers 0.1 | BYE - | Falcons -1.7 | Dolphins 1.0 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Panthers 0.8 | Jets 0.9 | Titans 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Broncos | 20.3 | 0.3 | Titans 2.1 | Colts 0.3 | Chargers -0.6 | Bengals 5.1 | Eagles 1.9 | Jets 0.9 | Giants 1.5 | Cowboys 1.7 | Texans -2.1 | Raiders -0.1 | Chiefs -1.7 | BYE - | Commanders -1.2 | Raiders -0.2 | Packers -1.4 | Jaguars 0.4 | Chiefs -2.1 | -0.5 | -1.0 |
Commanders | 20.4 | -0.6 | Giants 1.2 | Packers -2.1 | Raiders -1.8 | Falcons 0.0 | Chargers -2.9 | Bears 2.6 | Cowboys 1.5 | Chiefs -1.9 | Seahawks -1.8 | Lions -0.3 | Dolphins 1.6 | BYE - | Broncos -1.7 | Vikings -0.4 | Giants 0.4 | Eagles 0.7 | Cowboys 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Packers | 22.2 | 0.4 | Lions 0.4 | Commanders -0.7 | Browns -1.3 | Cowboys 1.4 | BYE - | Bengals 3.0 | Cardinals 1.5 | Steelers -1.9 | Panthers 1.2 | Eagles 0.7 | Giants 0.7 | Vikings -0.2 | Lions -0.8 | Bears 1.7 | Broncos -2.4 | Bears 1.3 | Ravens 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Chiefs | 19.0 | 0.4 | Chargers 0.5 | Eagles -2.6 | Giants 0.8 | Ravens 2.5 | Jaguars 0.5 | Lions -0.4 | Raiders 1.2 | Commanders -0.1 | Bills 0.3 | BYE - | Broncos -2.0 | Colts -0.4 | Cowboys 1.7 | Texans -1.3 | Chargers 0.2 | Titans 2.3 | Broncos -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Cowboys | 20.9 | 0.3 | Eagles -2.4 | Giants 1.3 | Bears 2.2 | Packers -2.2 | Jets 1.1 | Panthers 0.0 | Commanders 1.0 | Broncos -2.0 | Cardinals 1.9 | BYE - | Raiders 0.5 | Eagles 1.6 | Chiefs -0.6 | Lions -0.3 | Vikings 0.7 | Chargers 1.1 | Commanders -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Jets | 18.6 | 0.7 | Steelers 1.0 | Bills 1.5 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Dolphins 2.6 | Cowboys 3.9 | Broncos -1.0 | Panthers 0.9 | Bengals 2.2 | BYE - | Browns -0.9 | Patriots -1.5 | Ravens 1.4 | Falcons -2.0 | Dolphins 1.7 | Jaguars -0.2 | Saints 0.6 | Patriots -1.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
Browns | 19.1 | -0.1 | Bengals 0.5 | Ravens -1.5 | Packers -1.4 | Lions 1.2 | Vikings 1.6 | Steelers -1.1 | Dolphins 0.9 | Patriots -1.2 | BYE - | Jets 0.0 | Ravens 2.4 | Raiders -0.1 | 49ers 0.8 | Titans 2.8 | Bears 1.2 | Bills 0.4 | Steelers -1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
Panthers | 20.5 | 0.5 | Jaguars 0.2 | Cardinals -1.4 | Falcons -2.2 | Patriots 0.5 | Dolphins 1.9 | Cowboys 1.1 | Jets 0.9 | Bills 0.7 | Packers -1.4 | Saints 1.8 | Falcons -1.5 | 49ers 0.7 | Rams -1.7 | BYE - | Saints 1.7 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Seahawks -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
Eagles | 18.4 | 0.1 | Cowboys 3.1 | Chiefs 0.5 | Rams 1.1 | Buccaneers 2.7 | Broncos 2.1 | Giants 2.9 | Vikings 0.7 | Giants 1.2 | BYE - | Packers -1.5 | Lions -0.4 | Cowboys 2.1 | Bears 1.9 | Chargers 0.2 | Raiders 0.8 | Commanders -0.5 | Bills 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Lions | 24.1 | 0.0 | Packers -1.6 | Bears -1.2 | Ravens -0.5 | Browns 1.3 | Bengals 6.0 | Chiefs -1.2 | Buccaneers 0.5 | BYE - | Vikings 0.2 | Commanders -0.8 | Eagles 0.5 | Giants 1.6 | Packers -0.6 | Cowboys 2.3 | Rams -2.2 | Steelers -0.4 | Vikings -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.9 |
Falcons | 24.9 | -0.1 | Buccaneers -2.2 | Vikings -3.5 | Panthers 1.5 | Commanders -1.4 | BYE - | Bills -1.0 | 49ers 0.4 | Dolphins 2.0 | Patriots -1.6 | Colts -1.1 | Panthers 1.3 | Saints 0.9 | Jets 0.0 | Seahawks -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Cardinals 0.8 | Rams -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
Rams | 20.3 | 0.6 | Texans -0.2 | Titans 0.4 | Eagles -2.0 | Colts 1.8 | 49ers 0.7 | Ravens 2.6 | Jaguars 0.1 | BYE - | Saints 1.3 | 49ers 0.4 | Seahawks -1.4 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Panthers 0.4 | Cardinals 0.7 | Lions -0.5 | Seahawks -2.5 | Falcons -2.4 | -0.4 | -1.8 |
Bengals | 15.3 | 0.8 | Browns 3.5 | Jaguars 3.9 | Vikings 0.8 | Broncos 0.5 | Lions -0.9 | Packers -1.5 | Steelers -0.2 | Jets 0.8 | Bears 2.0 | BYE - | Steelers -1.3 | Patriots -0.5 | Ravens 2.1 | Bills 0.3 | Ravens 2.4 | Dolphins 1.6 | Cardinals 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Titans | 15.3 | -0.4 | Broncos 1.5 | Rams 0.2 | Colts 1.4 | Texans 2.1 | Cardinals 2.0 | Raiders 1.0 | Patriots -0.3 | Colts -0.8 | Chargers -0.2 | BYE - | Texans -1.6 | Seahawks -1.5 | Jaguars 0.4 | Browns -1.3 | 49ers 0.4 | Chiefs -1.3 | Saints 1.1 | -0.5 | 0.1 |
Chargers | 17.7 | 0.0 | Chiefs -0.2 | Raiders -0.3 | Broncos 0.7 | Giants 3.7 | Commanders 0.1 | Dolphins 0.8 | Colts -0.3 | Vikings -0.5 | Titans 2.1 | Steelers -1.4 | Jaguars -0.2 | BYE - | Raiders 0.4 | Eagles 0.9 | Chiefs -1.9 | Cowboys 1.3 | Texans -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.8 |
Vikings | 20.0 | 0.4 | Bears 0.5 | Falcons 0.4 | Bengals 0.5 | Steelers 1.6 | Browns -1.8 | BYE - | Eagles -0.3 | Chargers 0.2 | Lions -0.9 | Ravens 2.9 | Bears 2.3 | Packers -1.7 | Seahawks -2.0 | Commanders -0.2 | Cowboys 1.5 | Giants 0.4 | Lions -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
49ers | 23.5 | -1.0 | Seahawks -0.4 | Saints -0.3 | Cardinals 0.1 | Jaguars 2.3 | Rams -2.0 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Falcons -0.3 | Texans -1.8 | Giants 0.3 | Rams -2.1 | Cardinals 1.1 | Panthers 1.2 | Browns -1.0 | BYE - | Titans 2.8 | Colts -0.9 | Bears 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
Colts | 23.5 | -0.2 | Dolphins -2.7 | Broncos -3.5 | Titans 1.7 | Rams -1.5 | Raiders -0.3 | Cardinals 0.5 | Chargers -0.7 | Titans 3.0 | Steelers -1.4 | Falcons -1.7 | BYE - | Chiefs -1.9 | Texans -1.2 | Jaguars 0.2 | Seahawks -1.8 | 49ers 1.3 | Jaguars 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.1 |
Buccaneers | 21.2 | 0.1 | Falcons 0.9 | Texans -1.6 | Jets 1.4 | Eagles -0.6 | Seahawks -0.6 | 49ers 0.0 | Lions -0.8 | Saints 1.5 | BYE - | Patriots -0.3 | Bills 0.0 | Rams -2.2 | Cardinals 1.5 | Saints 1.7 | Falcons -1.7 | Panthers 1.0 | Dolphins 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Seahawks | 19.1 | 0.1 | 49ers 0.6 | Steelers -0.9 | Saints 1.1 | Cardinals 1.8 | Buccaneers 1.8 | Jaguars 0.3 | Texans -0.9 | BYE - | Commanders -0.3 | Cardinals 1.6 | Rams -2.0 | Titans 2.6 | Vikings 0.1 | Falcons -1.7 | Colts -0.4 | Rams -1.4 | Panthers 1.2 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
Jaguars | 19.6 | -1.1 | Panthers 1.2 | Bengals -0.8 | Texans 1.9 | 49ers 0.3 | Chiefs 1.3 | Seahawks -0.3 | Rams -1.5 | BYE - | Raiders 0.0 | Texans -1.9 | Chargers 0.1 | Cardinals 1.1 | Titans 2.2 | Colts -0.8 | Jets 0.7 | Broncos -2.3 | Colts -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.8 |
Dolphins | 20.5 | 0.1 | Colts 1.2 | Patriots 0.1 | Bills 0.8 | Jets 3.3 | Panthers 1.8 | Chargers -1.5 | Browns -1.6 | Falcons -1.6 | Ravens 2.9 | Bills 0.7 | Commanders -0.3 | BYE - | Saints 1.9 | Jets 0.3 | Steelers -1.5 | Bengals 3.2 | Buccaneers -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Raiders | 18.5 | -1.2 | Patriots 1.0 | Chargers -0.2 | Commanders -0.9 | Bears 3.2 | Colts 2.0 | Titans 3.9 | Chiefs -1.7 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.6 | Broncos -2.4 | Cowboys 1.6 | Browns -0.4 | Chargers -0.3 | Broncos -1.8 | Eagles -0.1 | Texans -1.9 | Giants 0.9 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
Cardinals | 19.5 | -1.0 | Saints 3.0 | Panthers 2.2 | 49ers 1.3 | Seahawks 1.0 | Titans 3.5 | Colts -1.8 | Packers -2.1 | BYE - | Cowboys 1.3 | Seahawks -2.2 | 49ers 1.0 | Jaguars 0.5 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Rams -2.0 | Texans -1.9 | Falcons -1.7 | Bengals 2.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
Giants | 19.0 | 0.1 | Commanders -0.8 | Cowboys -1.3 | Chiefs -1.9 | Chargers -0.5 | Saints 1.2 | Eagles -1.7 | Broncos -2.2 | Eagles 0.2 | 49ers 1.1 | Bears 1.5 | Packers -1.5 | Lions -0.9 | Patriots -1.4 | BYE - | Commanders -0.5 | Vikings -0.2 | Raiders 0.2 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
Texans | 19.1 | -0.4 | Rams -0.2 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Jaguars -0.1 | Titans 3.1 | Ravens 4.0 | BYE - | Seahawks -2.3 | 49ers 1.3 | Broncos -1.5 | Jaguars 0.8 | Titans 2.0 | Bills 0.8 | Colts -1.1 | Chiefs -2.0 | Cardinals 1.4 | Raiders 0.4 | Chargers -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Ravens | 20.0 | 0.8 | Bills 1.3 | Browns 2.4 | Lions 1.2 | Chiefs 2.1 | Texans 2.1 | Rams -2.3 | BYE - | Bears 1.7 | Dolphins 1.3 | Vikings -0.6 | Browns -1.4 | Jets 0.8 | Bengals 2.9 | Steelers -1.2 | Bengals 2.5 | Patriots -0.8 | Packers -1.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Bills | 20.4 | 0.2 | Ravens 0.8 | Jets -0.3 | Dolphins 2.9 | Saints 4.6 | Patriots 1.6 | Falcons -1.3 | BYE - | Panthers 0.7 | Chiefs -1.6 | Dolphins 1.4 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Texans -2.1 | Steelers -2.1 | Bengals 2.7 | Patriots -1.5 | Browns -1.3 | Eagles 0.7 | -0.3 | -0.7 |
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