Week 8
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 23.0 | 0.7 | Titans -1.1 | Packers -0.2 | Lions 0.6 | Bears -1.0 | Browns -0.1 | Patriots -1.8 | Dolphins 1.0 | Raiders 2.9 | Chiefs -1.6 | Bills 0.2 | Chargers 1.2 | Dolphins 0.9 | BYE - | Broncos 0.2 | Cardinals 1.4 | Patriots -0.1 | Vikings -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Buccaneers | 25.3 | 0.0 | Bengals -0.6 | Browns 0.8 | Vikings -1.3 | Packers 3.0 | Cowboys -0.5 | Steelers -1.7 | Panthers -1.3 | Falcons 2.5 | Bears -1.7 | BYE - | Lions -0.9 | Panthers 1.6 | Chargers 2.0 | Ravens -0.6 | Saints 2.5 | Falcons 2.0 | Rams 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Bengals | 24.1 | 1.1 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Texans -2.3 | Steelers 0.1 | Jaguars -1.1 | Dolphins 1.8 | BYE - | Ravens -1.5 | Titans 2.2 | Falcons 2.8 | Steelers -0.8 | Commanders 0.1 | Saints 2.4 | Browns 0.6 | Chiefs -0.7 | Panthers 1.1 | Colts 0.1 | Ravens -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Commanders | 21.7 | 0.4 | Eagles -1.4 | Cowboys -0.9 | Seahawks -2.8 | Colts 0.9 | Giants 0.2 | 49ers -0.4 | BYE - | Eagles 1.9 | Rams 0.9 | Giants -0.2 | Bengals -1.1 | Cardinals 2.5 | Titans 1.5 | Texans 1.7 | Falcons 3.0 | Vikings -0.6 | Jaguars -0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Packers | 23.1 | 0.1 | Vikings -0.8 | Jets -1.6 | Falcons -1.5 | Buccaneers -1.5 | Bears -1.4 | Cowboys 1.1 | Lions -1.0 | Panthers 1.9 | Patriots -0.8 | Vikings -0.9 | BYE - | Rams -0.3 | Saints 1.9 | Bills 0.6 | Dolphins 2.2 | Bears -1.3 | Texans 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Cowboys | 23.7 | 0.8 | Giants -1.9 | Commanders -0.8 | Ravens -1.2 | Texans -2.2 | Buccaneers 1.4 | Packers -0.5 | Eagles -0.9 | Cardinals 1.9 | Colts -0.2 | 49ers -0.4 | Titans 1.9 | Eagles 1.9 | Seahawks -2.3 | BYE - | Rams -0.5 | Jaguars -0.3 | Giants 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Jaguars | 24.8 | 0.4 | Browns -0.6 | Broncos -0.4 | Patriots -0.5 | Bengals -0.2 | Eagles 2.6 | Texans -0.9 | BYE - | Colts 1.7 | Ravens -0.5 | Titans 1.0 | Giants -0.7 | Titans 1.7 | Bears -1.7 | Steelers -1.0 | Texans 0.6 | Cowboys 0.7 | Commanders 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Cardinals | 20.8 | -0.8 | Chargers -2.1 | Seahawks -2.1 | 49ers -0.8 | Giants 0.9 | Lions 0.9 | Rams -1.9 | Broncos -0.5 | Cowboys 1.5 | Seahawks -2.6 | Rams -0.3 | Chiefs -2.0 | Commanders -0.1 | Eagles 2.2 | BYE - | Jets 1.5 | Saints 1.3 | Raiders 2.9 | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Rams | 27.8 | 0.6 | 49ers -1.0 | Giants -0.6 | Broncos -0.3 | Eagles -0.7 | Bills 1.7 | Cardinals 1.0 | Raiders 0.3 | Chargers 1.4 | Commanders -0.6 | Cardinals 1.2 | BYE - | Packers 0.3 | Chiefs -0.7 | 49ers -1.5 | Cowboys 0.9 | Seahawks -2.0 | Buccaneers -1.5 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
| Patriots | 24.6 | 0.6 | Seahawks -2.0 | Steelers -1.0 | Jaguars -2.2 | Bills -0.4 | Raiders 0.7 | Jets 1.3 | Bears -1.2 | Dolphins 1.3 | Packers 0.5 | Lions 0.0 | BYE - | Chargers 1.4 | Bills 0.8 | Vikings -0.6 | Chiefs -1.6 | Jets 0.7 | Broncos 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
| Raiders | 24.7 | -0.8 | Dolphins -0.1 | Chargers -1.3 | Saints 0.2 | Chiefs -0.2 | Patriots 0.5 | Bills 1.1 | Rams 0.3 | Jets 1.0 | 49ers -2.0 | Seahawks -1.2 | Broncos -1.1 | Browns 0.0 | BYE - | Chargers 1.9 | Broncos 0.5 | Titans 2.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Ravens | 24.8 | 0.3 | Colts 0.0 | Saints 1.4 | Cowboys 1.5 | Titans 2.4 | Falcons -0.6 | Browns -1.1 | Bengals -1.3 | Bills 0.9 | Jaguars -1.2 | Chargers 1.3 | Panthers 0.2 | Texans -0.2 | BYE - | Buccaneers -1.1 | Steelers -2.2 | Browns 0.8 | Bengals -2.0 | -0.4 | -1.1 |
| Steelers | 25.4 | 0.2 | Falcons 0.1 | Patriots -2.3 | Bengals -2.6 | Browns -1.1 | Colts 0.5 | Buccaneers -1.8 | Saints 1.1 | Browns 0.8 | BYE - | Bengals -1.8 | Eagles 1.5 | Broncos 0.7 | Texans 1.8 | Jaguars -0.7 | Ravens 0.4 | Panthers 2.3 | Titans 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Seahawks | 24.3 | 1.7 | Patriots -0.3 | Cardinals -2.2 | Commanders -1.3 | Chargers 1.8 | 49ers 0.9 | Broncos -1.3 | Chiefs -2.5 | Bears 0.1 | Cardinals 2.5 | Raiders 2.7 | BYE - | 49ers -1.3 | Cowboys 1.5 | Giants 0.8 | Eagles 1.4 | Rams 0.6 | Panthers 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Eagles | 22.7 | -0.7 | Commanders 1.2 | Titans 1.0 | Bears 1.2 | Rams -1.0 | Jaguars -1.5 | Panthers -0.6 | Cowboys -0.6 | Commanders 0.0 | Giants -0.5 | BYE - | Steelers -1.6 | Cowboys 0.4 | Cardinals 0.7 | Colts -0.2 | Seahawks -1.1 | Texans 1.0 | 49ers -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Chargers | 25.2 | 0.2 | Cardinals 2.3 | Raiders -0.3 | Bills -0.3 | Seahawks -1.5 | Broncos 0.7 | Chiefs -2.2 | BYE - | Rams -0.3 | Texans 0.7 | Ravens -1.3 | Jets 1.6 | Patriots -0.1 | Buccaneers -1.5 | Raiders 1.7 | 49ers -0.5 | Dolphins 1.2 | Chiefs -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Bills | 26.9 | 0.2 | Texans -2.5 | Lions -0.1 | Chargers 0.4 | Patriots 1.8 | Rams -1.2 | Raiders 0.3 | BYE - | Ravens -0.3 | Vikings -1.1 | Jets 0.6 | Dolphins 1.7 | Chiefs -0.9 | Patriots -1.3 | Packers -0.5 | Bears -1.0 | Broncos -0.5 | Dolphins 1.0 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Panthers | 24.0 | 0.2 | Bears -1.2 | Falcons -1.4 | Browns -1.3 | Lions 0.0 | BYE - | Eagles -0.1 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Packers -0.4 | Broncos 0.4 | Saints 1.3 | Ravens -0.3 | Buccaneers -1.7 | Vikings -1.4 | Saints 2.1 | Bengals -1.3 | Steelers -1.7 | Seahawks -1.1 | -0.4 | -1.3 |
| Vikings | 22.6 | -0.5 | Packers 0.6 | Bears -1.2 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Dolphins 4.5 | Saints 3.0 | BYE - | Colts 1.0 | Lions -0.5 | Bills 0.3 | Packers -0.4 | 49ers -1.5 | Falcons 2.1 | Panthers 1.9 | Patriots -0.8 | Lions -0.2 | Commanders 1.1 | Jets 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Dolphins | 23.3 | -0.3 | Raiders -0.9 | 49ers -1.6 | Chiefs -1.0 | Vikings -2.8 | Bengals -0.8 | BYE - | Jets 0.3 | Patriots -0.5 | Lions -0.4 | Colts -0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Jets 1.6 | Broncos -0.2 | Bears -0.6 | Packers 0.1 | Chargers 2.1 | Bills 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Chiefs | 27.2 | 1.1 | Broncos -1.3 | Colts 0.7 | Dolphins 2.8 | Raiders 0.7 | BYE - | Chargers 0.3 | Seahawks -1.0 | Broncos -0.9 | Jets 1.4 | Falcons 2.0 | Cardinals 1.9 | Bills 0.0 | Rams -0.3 | Bengals -1.8 | Patriots -0.2 | 49ers -0.2 | Chargers 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Broncos | 26.4 | 0.8 | Chiefs -1.5 | Jaguars -1.2 | Rams -1.0 | 49ers 0.8 | Chargers 1.8 | Seahawks -1.1 | Cardinals -0.3 | Chiefs -1.1 | Panthers 0.6 | BYE - | Raiders 2.9 | Steelers -1.6 | Dolphins 2.2 | Jets 1.0 | Raiders 2.2 | Bills 0.8 | Patriots -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Falcons | 27.6 | -1.3 | Steelers -2.0 | Panthers 0.2 | Packers -0.8 | Saints 2.2 | Ravens 1.3 | Bears -0.6 | 49ers -0.3 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Bengals -2.0 | Chiefs -0.7 | BYE - | Vikings -1.1 | Lions -0.1 | Browns 0.6 | Commanders -0.6 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Saints 2.6 | -0.3 | 0.7 |
| Browns | 22.7 | 0.2 | Jaguars -1.5 | Buccaneers -1.6 | Panthers 2.0 | Steelers 0.2 | Jets 2.9 | Ravens -2.0 | Titans -0.4 | Steelers -1.2 | Saints 1.2 | Texans 0.6 | BYE - | Raiders 2.4 | Bengals -0.9 | Falcons 2.1 | Giants -0.1 | Ravens -0.7 | Colts 0.3 | 0.4 | -0.2 |
| Lions | 28.5 | -0.4 | Saints -0.8 | Bills -2.6 | Jets -1.1 | Panthers 1.5 | Cardinals 1.0 | BYE - | Packers 0.0 | Vikings -1.3 | Dolphins 1.3 | Patriots -1.2 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Bears -0.6 | Falcons 1.6 | Titans 1.6 | Vikings -1.4 | Giants 0.2 | Bears -1.7 | -0.2 | -1.0 |
| Titans | 22.7 | -0.5 | Jets 0.2 | Eagles -0.7 | Giants 0.6 | Ravens 0.1 | Texans -0.1 | Colts 0.5 | Browns -0.3 | Bengals -1.7 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.6 | Cowboys 0.9 | Jaguars -1.2 | Commanders 0.4 | Lions -0.4 | Colts 0.2 | Raiders 2.3 | Steelers -0.6 | -0.1 | 0.6 |
| Bears | 27.8 | 0.0 | Panthers -1.4 | Vikings -0.7 | Eagles -2.2 | Jets 2.0 | Packers 2.1 | Falcons -0.1 | Patriots -0.3 | Seahawks -2.0 | Buccaneers -0.3 | BYE - | Saints 2.3 | Lions -0.8 | Jaguars 0.0 | Dolphins 1.4 | Bills -0.2 | Packers 0.5 | Lions -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Colts | 25.3 | 0.3 | Ravens -0.7 | Chiefs -2.6 | Texans -0.7 | Commanders 0.0 | Steelers 0.4 | Titans 0.0 | Vikings -2.9 | Jaguars -2.4 | Cowboys 1.2 | Dolphins 2.3 | Texans 0.2 | Giants 0.8 | BYE - | Eagles 1.0 | Titans 0.9 | Bengals -1.0 | Browns 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Giants | 19.8 | 1.1 | Cowboys -0.9 | Rams -0.7 | Titans -0.1 | Cardinals -0.3 | Commanders 0.2 | Saints 1.1 | Texans -1.4 | BYE - | Eagles 1.6 | Commanders 1.2 | Jaguars 0.4 | Colts 0.1 | 49ers -0.2 | Seahawks -1.2 | Browns 1.6 | Lions -0.3 | Cowboys 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Texans | 20.2 | 1.0 | Bills -1.5 | Bengals -1.6 | Colts 0.5 | Cowboys 2.0 | Titans 0.0 | Jaguars -3.6 | Giants 1.5 | BYE - | Chargers 1.6 | Browns 0.5 | Colts 0.7 | Ravens 0.5 | Steelers -1.8 | Commanders -0.4 | Jaguars 0.0 | Eagles 1.3 | Packers -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Saints | 21.5 | 1.2 | Lions -0.4 | Ravens -1.5 | Raiders 0.4 | Falcons -1.0 | Vikings -0.8 | Giants -0.4 | Steelers -1.6 | BYE - | Browns 2.1 | Panthers 2.8 | Bears -1.3 | Bengals -1.8 | Packers 1.0 | Panthers 1.1 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Cardinals 2.8 | Falcons 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 49ers | 28.8 | 1.0 | Rams -2.1 | Dolphins 1.1 | Cardinals 0.0 | Broncos 2.1 | Seahawks 0.0 | Commanders -0.3 | Falcons 1.0 | BYE - | Raiders 2.7 | Cowboys 0.6 | Vikings -0.5 | Seahawks -1.1 | Giants -0.3 | Rams 0.0 | Chargers 1.3 | Chiefs -1.6 | Eagles 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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