The website is unlocked and in off-season mode. You can explore all the site features freely from week 7.

Final Accuracy Report 2025

Hold-My-BeerSheets: Free Printable 1-Pager Cheat Sheets for your Fantasy Football Draft

Thanks for 2025!

Simple Explainer of Value-Based Drafting

Week 17 - 2025

Week 16 - 2025

Week 15 - 2025

Subvertadown -- Week 15 -- D/ST and Kicker rankings for Reddit, first week of playoffs

Week 14 - 2025

Accuracy Report 2025 Weeks 9 - 12

Thanksgiving 2025 - Week 13

2025 - Week 12

Announcing new tool: D/ST Pairing

Accuracy Report 2025 Weeks 5 - 8

2025 - Week 9

2025 - Week 8

Kickers -- Week 9 for Reddit

Week 9 D/ST Rankings for Reddit

How to Use the Open Bets Table, in the Subvertadown Betting Lines

How to Get Most Out of the Subvertadown Website 2025

Compendium of Subvertadown Reddit Posts 2017 - 2024

D/ST Historical Histograms for Week 3, 2025

Check-list -- Reminders -- Things That Always Need Repeating

VIDEO GUIDE: How to Use TapThatDraft -- Answering Frequently Asked Questions

Kicker Wall of Shame 2025

Drafting for Upside Potential in Fantasy Football - Analysis of Upside Potential of Fantasy Positions and Dependence on Pre-draft Player Rank

2025 - Week 7

How TapThatDraft goes beyond Just a BeerSheets Replacement

Guide to understanding the different baselines in Value Based Drafting (VBD): VOLS vs. VORP vs. Man-games (and BEER +)

Fantasy Snake Drafts and Strategizing for Scarcity -- Snake Value Based Drafting

How Auction Pricing and Positional Scarcity % Work -- Value Based Drafting in Fantasy Football Auction Drafts

The Purpose of VBD Cheat Sheets -- How Value Based Drafting Tools Help Your Fantasy Draft Strategy

How to Use TapThatDraft in your Strategy for your Fantasy Draft

Thanks for 2024!

How to Interpret the Kicker Curve Visualizations

Subvertadown Overview

Survivor Pool Example

Analysis of Holding vs. Streaming Kickers

Update + Analysis of Betting Lines at Subvertadown

Survivor Pool Strategy

Calculating Survivor Expected Longevity

The Correlation Coefficient Represents the Ratio of Skill:Luck (for Each Fantasy Position)

Fantasy Score Distributions: Point Distributions vs. Error Distributions

How the Roster Skill/Luck ratio is Affected by Removing a Fantasy Position

Streaming QBs can be a Viable Strategy (if your league is not too deep)

Is QB Really More Predictable Than D/ST?

"Fantasy Points Allowed": Too Weak for Making Lineup Decisions

Pairing/Stacking Analysis: Correlations Between the Different Fantasy Positions

Some Perspective on Accuracy at the Season Mid-point

Week-to-week Predictability: "The 0.3 Target"

Week-to-week Predictability of Each Fantasy Position

Predictability of Game Scores and Fantasy Positions (during five years: 2017-2021)

Accuracy of Betting Lines, by Week# (during five years 2017-2021)

20 Fantasy Parameters, from Most to Least Predictable

Components Contributing to Kicker Predictability

Should You Pair QB + Kicker?

Pitfalls of Trying to Make Your Own Forecasting Models

Welcome to the 2024 Season!

Attempting to Find a More Predictable D/ST Scoring Scheme

How To Use Betting Line Projection Tables

Betting on Spreads

Betting on Totals (O/U)

Calculating Weekly Accuracy: Pros & Cons of Different Methods

When to Consider Stashing D/STs for the Playoffs

3 Ways to Intuitively Understand Skill/Luck Ratios (and ranking accuracy)

Are these projections even accurate?

What is Overfit? (and how to deal with it)

The Overall Goal of Subvertadown Predictive Models (and what I don't do)

What Was the Motivation for Starting This Work?

Things I Had Found Missing From Fantasy Football Resources

Who Is Behind Subvertadown?

How is Subvertadown Work Conducted?

Why Did Content Move from Free to Paywalled?

Isn’t the Modeling Easy? Can’t You Sit Back Once a Model is Finished?

A Brief History of Subvertadown Model Development

Accuracy Report 2025 Weeks 1 - 4

Final Accuracy Report 2023

Kicker Wall of Shame 2024

Week 17 - 2024

Week 16 - 2024

Week 15 - 2024

Week 13 - 2024

Accuracy Report Weeks 1 - 12

Week 12 - 2024

Week 11 - 2024

Week 10 - 2024

Week 9 - 2024

Week 8 - 2024

Accuracy report -- First Third of the Season, Weeks 1 - 6

Week 6 - 2024

Week 5 - 2024

Week 4 - 2024

Week 3 - 2024

Week 2 - 2024

2024 - Week 1

What's In the Model?

Remembering How to Have Fun with the Game

Who Follows Subvertadown?

Correlation is Not Causation... (So how can we believe stats can make accurate forecasting?)

Motivation for Modeling Kickers

What People Say About Kickers

Weekly Strategy for Choosing a Kicker

Setting Expectation Level for Kickers: How Random/Predictable are Kickers?

Motivation for Modeling D/ST

Weekly Strategy for D/ST: Streaming

What People Say about D/ST

Setting Expectation Levels for D/ST

What Goes into the D/ST Model?

Motivation for Modeling QB

Weekly Strategy for Choosing Quarterback

Setting Expectation Levels for QB

What People Say about QB

Charts FAQ

Website is entering off-season mode: Unlocked charts and free to browse!

FAQ-- Flex Position Charts (RB, WR, TE)

2023 - Week 17

2023 - Week 16

2023 - Week 15

2023 - Week 13

Third Month Accuracy Report 2023; Weeks 1 - 12

2023 - Week 12

2023 - Week 11

2023 - Week 10

2023 - Week 9

Second Month Accuracy Report 2023; Weeks 1 - 8

2023 - Week 8

2023 - Week 7

2023 - Week 6

2023 - Week 5

2023 Week 4

2023 Week 3

Week 2

September, Week 1: New Hope

Pre-season 2023. Let's do this.

Final Accuracy Round-up of 2022

Championship Week - 2022

Week 18 -- Website is entering off-season mode

Week 16 - 2022

Week 15 - 2022

Week 13 - 2022

Subvertadown -- 2022 Accuracy Report, after Week 12

Week 12 -- Happy Thanksgiving 2022

Week 11 - 2022

Week 10 - 2022

Week 7 Update - 2022

Week 6 is here - 2022

2022 First Month Accuracy Roundup

Welcome to Week 3 - 2022

Welcome to Week 2 - 2022

Welcome to Week 1 - 2022

Welcome to the New Website

Streaming Awards 2021

Best Holds in 2021 (Retrospective): D/STs, Kickers, and QBs -- Rankings vs. Expectations