The website is unlocked and in off-season mode. You can explore all the site features freely from week 7.
Week 15 - 2024
By Subvertadown
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Prev. Season / Archive
INGLEWOOD, CA - DECEMBER 08: Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) scrambles for a touchdown in the second half of an NFL football game between the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium, December 8, 2024, in Inglewood, California. (Photo by Tony Ding/Icon Sportswire)
December 10, 2024
No particular news this time. Here are a few small notes:
All Survivor teams won again in week 14, and Betting Lines finally yielded positive returns, after a poor stretch.
QB, Kicker, and D/ST accuracy have continued to prove themselves in relative accuracy. I’m sure 2024 will end as a good year.
Don’t forget to look-ahead to weeks 16 and 17.
Good luck in playoffs!
/Subvertadown
Check-list -- Reminders -- Things That Always Need Repeating
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Expectations , Weekly StrategyAnalysis of Holding vs. Streaming Kickers
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Season Strategy , Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , KickerSurvivor Pool Strategy
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How to Use , Understanding Statistics , Survivor PoolsThe Correlation Coefficient Represents the Ratio of Skill:Luck (for Each Fantasy Position)
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Accuracy , KickerFantasy Score Distributions: Point Distributions vs. Error Distributions
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Expectations , Understanding StatisticsHow the Roster Skill/Luck ratio is Affected by Removing a Fantasy Position
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Expectations , Weekly StrategyStreaming QBs can be a Viable Strategy (if your league is not too deep)
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Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , QuarterbackIs QB Really More Predictable Than D/ST?
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , D/ST , Quarterback"Fantasy Points Allowed": Too Weak for Making Lineup Decisions
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Expectations , Weekly Strategy , AccuracyPairing/Stacking Analysis: Correlations Between the Different Fantasy Positions
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Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , ExclusiveWeek-to-week Predictability: "The 0.3 Target"
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Accuracy , KickerWeek-to-week Predictability of Each Fantasy Position
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Expectations , Modeling , AccuracyPredictability of Game Scores and Fantasy Positions (during five years: 2017-2021)
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Expectations , AccuracyAccuracy of Betting Lines, by Week# (during five years 2017-2021)
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Expectations , Betting Lines20 Fantasy Parameters, from Most to Least Predictable
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Expectations , Understanding StatisticsAccuracy report -- First Third of the Season, Weeks 1 - 6
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Expectations , Accuracy , Prev. Season / ArchiveWeek 3 - 2024
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Expectations , Updates / News , Prev. Season / ArchiveFinal Accuracy Report 2023
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Expectations , Accuracy , Updates / NewsComponents Contributing to Kicker Predictability
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , KickerShould You Pair QB + Kicker?
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , Kicker , Quarterback , ExclusivePitfalls of Trying to Make Your Own Forecasting Models
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Modeling , Understanding StatisticsBetting on Spreads
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Understanding Statistics , Betting LinesBetting on Totals (O/U)
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Understanding Statistics , Betting LinesCalculating Weekly Accuracy: Pros & Cons of Different Methods
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Understanding Statistics , Accuracy3 Ways to Intuitively Understand Skill/Luck Ratios (and ranking accuracy)
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Understanding Statistics , AccuracyRemembering How to Have Fun with the Game
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Expectations , Weekly StrategyCorrelation is Not Causation... (So how can we believe stats can make accurate forecasting?)
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Understanding StatisticsWhat People Say About Kickers
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Expectations , KickerSetting Expectation Level for Kickers: How Random/Predictable are Kickers?
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Expectations , KickerWhat People Say about D/ST
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Expectations , Weekly Strategy , D/STSetting Expectation Levels for D/ST
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Expectations , D/ST