Week 17 - 2024
By Subvertadown
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Prev. Season / Archive
CINCINNATI, OH - DECEMBER 22: Cincinnati Bengals safety Geno Stone (22) intercepts the ball during the game against the Cleveland Browns and the Cincinnati Bengals on December 22, 2024, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. (Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire)
December 24, 2024
Happy holidays to everyone, and good luck in the finals!
In week 16, D/STs and Kickers turned out to be extremely predictable, for fantasy.
Hopefully that benefited you more than your opponent!
The main major upsets were the Buccaneers losing (disturbed the 3rd Survivor pathway), and QBs were more off (affected by Hurts) than usual.
I will be back soon with an analysis of betting lines probabilities, as a prelude to the final accuracy report that will close out the season.
Best wishes for a great new year.
/Subvertadown
How the Roster Skill/Luck ratio is Affected by Removing a Fantasy Position
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Expectations , Weekly StrategyCheck-list -- Reminders -- Things That Always Need Repeating
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Expectations , Weekly StrategyAnalysis of Holding vs. Streaming Kickers
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Season Strategy , Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , KickerThe Correlation Coefficient Represents the Ratio of Skill:Luck (for Each Fantasy Position)
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Accuracy , KickerFantasy Score Distributions: Point Distributions vs. Error Distributions
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Expectations , Understanding StatisticsStreaming QBs can be a Viable Strategy (if your league is not too deep)
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Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , QuarterbackIs QB Really More Predictable Than D/ST?
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , D/ST , Quarterback"Fantasy Points Allowed": Too Weak for Making Lineup Decisions
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Expectations , Weekly Strategy , AccuracyPairing/Stacking Analysis: Correlations Between the Different Fantasy Positions
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Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , ExclusiveWeek-to-week Predictability: "The 0.3 Target"
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Accuracy , KickerWeek-to-week Predictability of Each Fantasy Position
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Expectations , Modeling , AccuracyPredictability of Game Scores and Fantasy Positions (during five years: 2017-2021)
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Expectations , AccuracyAccuracy of Betting Lines, by Week# (during five years 2017-2021)
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Expectations , Betting Lines20 Fantasy Parameters, from Most to Least Predictable
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Expectations , Understanding StatisticsComponents Contributing to Kicker Predictability
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , KickerShould You Pair QB + Kicker?
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Expectations , Understanding Statistics , Weekly Strategy , Kicker , Quarterback , ExclusiveHow To Use Betting Line Projection Tables
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How to Use , Weekly Strategy , Betting LinesWeekly Strategy for D/ST: Streaming
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Weekly Strategy , D/STWhat People Say about D/ST
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Expectations , Weekly Strategy , D/STWeekly Strategy for Choosing a Kicker
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Weekly Strategy , KickerWhat People Say About Kickers
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Expectations , KickerSetting Expectation Levels for D/ST
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Expectations , D/STRemembering How to Have Fun with the Game
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Expectations , Weekly StrategySetting Expectation Level for Kickers: How Random/Predictable are Kickers?
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Expectations , KickerAccuracy report -- First Third of the Season, Weeks 1 - 6
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Expectations , Accuracy , Prev. Season / ArchiveWeek 3 - 2024
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Expectations , Betting Lines , Prev. Season / ArchiveFinal Accuracy Report 2023
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Expectations , Accuracy , Prev. Season / Archive