December 16, 2025

If you were lucky enough to make playoffs, I hope you guys are holding up!

The Subvertadown models kind of crushed it for week 15, especially up against other sources.

It frankly feels kind of cringey to write such good news, but you know I always try to let you know how things are going compared to usual.

This was week 15:

• Defense. The model overperformed relative to all others. The worst you could have done at D/ST was the 49ers (0 pts). Otherwise having the Eagles+Bears+Jaguars as top 3 was perfect. You might only have chosen the top-scoring Ravens (23 pts) if you listened to my bold take on JJ’s podcast, but my listing of them at #12 was higher than anyone else apparently dared.

• Kicker. The top 7 were double digit, the top 10 averaged 13 points, and the lowest among them was 7 points from Santos at #8. Just an incredibly good week for kicker.

• QB. Yes, it was a trifecta— I also didn’t see anyone do better at ranking QB. Having Lawrence, Purdy, and Stroud all higher, in exchange for being slightly lower on Prescott and Mahomes. Not sure how many of you went for Lawrence at #7, but hurray if you did!

So, into week 16, I really hope the models can keep coming through for you, at this critical time!

The only thing that suffered last week was a loss on Betting Lines. This week, I notice a LOT of discrepancies against Vegas, especially for my Spreads model. It’s either a sign of great pickings or something seriously off, but either way I hope you’re having fun with the season.

/Subvertadown