Fantasy Football Articles & Model Guides

This year's Kicker Wall of Shame. No serious accuracy report here— just a fun and cathartic way to deal with each week’s biggest disappointments. To qualify, a kicker normally needs to be high in my ranked list (top 8-is

Here is a description of our new visualization for kickers, which can enhance your decision making. In very short: The curve in the tool shows, for each yard line, the expected number of occurrences of a drive stopping t

I got a lot of requests to analyze kicker streaming. So I crunched a whole bunch new simulation programs, to try and find out whether it's better to hold or stream kickers. There were some mixed inputs from discussions h

Here’s a mathy post to improve your understanding of the game, with a stats breakdown that I had searched for but never found. The goal is to give some perspective on how predictable / unpredictable fantasy is, in order

While making all my kicker model improvements, I have had my eye on this particular accuracy number. A correlation coefficient of 0.3 is sometimes considered an unofficial "cut-off" for what is reliably predictable. You'

What factors of kicker performance are predictable-- and what is not? Fantasy kicker scoring is most of all linked to the production of field goals. I have made an analysis of different components, and how strongly they

The idea of focusing on this specific position pairing (QB+Kicker) was partly based on columns I had read years back (one example is here). For some time, I've been wanting to investigate this methodically, and I hope yo

Good kicker projections can make it viable to stream the kicker position. And it can actually be easier to stream than D/ST, because your league-mates are probably not rostering 2 kickers (whereas rostering 2 D/STs can b

Kickers are notoriously difficult to predict, and many consider it hopeless to improve. This—combined with a perceived “lack of game action”-- has led some to advocate deleting the position. The Subvertadown view is some

I have always said that the kicker position is where I hope to make the biggest improvement. Kickers get overlooked, so there is room to improve accuracy—which in turn makes it viable to maximize points by streaming (ins

Kickers are one of the least predictable fantasy positions—with around the same level of predictability as individual WR1s. Control: Remember, kickers don't make their own destiny by just "being awesome". Their team is l

November 19th Here is a new analysis about how significant it is when a kicker scores multiple weeks in a row with 10+ fantasy points! November 15th, 2022 Here is the Reddit post for community discussion Kicker-geddon wa