Week 10

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
AVG
Playoffs
49ers 28.7 0.6 2.3 1.1 -0.5 -0.4 -0.6 1.6 -1.0 0.4 0.4 0.3
Seahawks 23.0 0.2 2.2 - -3.2 1.5 0.0 -0.2 -0.9 0.9 0.0 -0.1
Chiefs 29.0 -0.2 2.1 1.3 -2.7 -1.4 -0.5 0.7 -1.8 1.5 -0.1 0.1
Saints 22.1 0.1 2.0 -1.7 -1.0 1.1 0.3 -2.5 1.5 2.1 0.2 0.4
Jaguars 25.5 0.8 1.9 -0.4 3.0 -1.3 -1.3 1.6 1.9 0.7 0.8 1.4
Texans 20.1 0.8 1.1 3.0 1.2 -2.3 0.2 -1.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 -0.2
Bills 25.6 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.3 -0.6 0.4 0.0
Dolphins 20.3 0.2 0.8 -2.8 2.6 0.4 -0.5 0.5 1.8 -1.0 0.2 0.4
Ravens 24.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 - -1.6 -2.4 2.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2
Rams 26.5 0.6 0.8 - 1.2 -0.3 -2.7 2.1 -1.4 -2.6 -0.4 -0.6
Packers 20.4 0.1 0.6 - -1.2 0.9 -1.8 0.4 -0.9 1.5 -0.1 0.3
Browns 21.1 1.0 0.4 - 2.3 0.2 2.4 -0.6 -0.7 1.8 0.8 0.2
Giants 21.4 -0.1 0.3 -0.9 2.1 -1.9 -1.2 1.9 -1.6 1.6 0.0 0.6
Colts 23.2 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 -0.4 - -0.5 1.4 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.8
Panthers 23.5 -0.5 0.2 0.4 -2.6 0.0 1.4 0.3 -2.0 -0.7 -0.4 -0.8
Lions 27.3 0.2 0.2 -1.4 -0.1 2.1 2.7 -0.1 -0.1 -1.3 0.3 -0.5
Steelers 24.8 1.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 2.1 -1.2 1.0 2.4 2.6 1.1 2.0
Vikings 19.8 0.2 -0.1 -3.1 2.4 1.7 -0.3 -1.6 0.8 1.4 0.1 0.2
Falcons 26.4 -0.9 -0.8 - -0.1 -1.8 1.2 -0.6 -1.5 1.5 -0.3 -0.2
Commanders 20.4 0.6 -0.9 -0.1 1.3 2.0 0.7 2.7 0.4 -1.5 0.6 0.6
Titans 20.7 -0.5 -0.9 1.0 -2.2 0.1 -2.0 1.7 2.1 -1.4 -0.2 0.8
Bengals 21.2 0.5 -1.0 0.1 1.5 1.4 -0.5 1.2 1.9 0.4 0.6 1.2
Chargers 22.9 -0.3 -1.1 2.2 0.4 -2.8 1.1 -2.1 -0.8 -0.8 -0.5 -1.2
Jets 21.3 -0.6 -1.3 0.8 -1.5 - 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 -0.1 0.4
Patriots 22.5 -1.1 -1.5 - 0.9 -2.6 0.2 -2.0 1.4 0.1 -0.5 -0.2
Cowboys 22.3 -0.1 -1.8 3.0 0.8 -2.2 - -1.9 -1.3 0.1 -0.5 -1.0
Raiders 23.4 -0.7 -2.1 -0.9 0.8 - 2.3 1.0 3.3 0.4 0.7 1.6
Cardinals 20.0 -0.9 -2.2 -2.2 -0.2 0.9 - 2.6 0.4 3.0 0.4 2.0
Eagles 21.5 -0.2 - -2.2 1.1 0.4 1.6 -0.6 1.2 -1.8 0.0 -0.4
Broncos 24.7 0.1 - 3.1 -2.4 -0.3 2.0 2.2 -1.4 0.3 0.5 0.3
Buccaneers 25.9 0.5 - -2.2 1.5 2.1 -0.3 1.3 2.7 -0.3 0.7 1.2
Bears 27.4 -0.3 - 1.6 -2.0 -0.3 -0.3 -2.6 1.3 -1.2 -0.5 -0.8

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