Week 9
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 29.2 | 1.3 | Vikings 0.5 | Seahawks 0.0 | Giants -0.2 | Rams -0.3 | Chargers 1.2 | Chiefs -1.0 | Eagles 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Bengals | 22.8 | 0.8 | Commanders -0.2 | Saints 2.0 | Browns 0.9 | Chiefs -0.6 | Panthers 0.7 | Colts 1.2 | Ravens 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Cowboys | 23.2 | 0.7 | Titans 1.2 | Eagles 1.6 | Seahawks -1.7 | BYE - | Rams -1.4 | Jaguars -1.5 | Giants 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
| Broncos | 25.5 | 0.6 | Raiders 2.3 | Steelers -2.0 | Dolphins 1.6 | Jets 0.3 | Raiders 1.3 | Bills -0.4 | Patriots -1.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| Chiefs | 28.1 | 0.8 | Cardinals 1.0 | Bills -1.5 | Rams -1.0 | Bengals -1.1 | Patriots -1.0 | 49ers -1.2 | Chargers 1.1 | 0.0 | -0.4 |
| Seahawks | 23.5 | 0.3 | BYE - | 49ers -2.3 | Cowboys 1.8 | Giants 0.6 | Eagles 1.0 | Rams -0.2 | Panthers 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Browns | 22.3 | 1.1 | BYE - | Raiders 1.5 | Bengals -0.3 | Falcons 2.5 | Giants -0.3 | Ravens -0.3 | Colts 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Colts | 24.2 | 0.7 | Texans -0.3 | Giants -0.1 | BYE - | Eagles 0.5 | Titans -0.1 | Bengals -0.3 | Browns 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Saints | 22.4 | -0.2 | Bears -2.6 | Bengals -1.5 | Packers 0.6 | Panthers 0.3 | Buccaneers -2.4 | Cardinals 1.5 | Falcons 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Lions | 29.1 | -0.8 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Bears -1.4 | Falcons 1.8 | Titans 1.0 | Vikings -0.7 | Giants 0.0 | Bears -2.5 | -0.4 | -1.0 |
| Texans | 21.5 | 1.2 | Colts 2.0 | Ravens 1.0 | Steelers -2.1 | Commanders -0.1 | Jaguars -1.3 | Eagles 1.1 | Packers -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.3 |
| Giants | 23.0 | 0.5 | Jaguars -1.2 | Colts 1.6 | 49ers -1.2 | Seahawks -0.9 | Browns 1.7 | Lions -1.0 | Cowboys 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Rams | 26.9 | 0.3 | BYE - | Packers 0.2 | Chiefs -0.3 | 49ers -2.1 | Cowboys 1.8 | Seahawks -1.2 | Buccaneers -2.4 | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| Chargers | 23.0 | -0.2 | Jets 0.8 | Patriots -0.7 | Buccaneers -2.3 | Raiders 1.0 | 49ers -1.0 | Dolphins 0.6 | Chiefs -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| Falcons | 27.0 | -0.4 | BYE - | Vikings -0.8 | Lions -0.7 | Browns 0.9 | Commanders -0.9 | Buccaneers -1.4 | Saints 2.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
| Vikings | 20.8 | -0.1 | 49ers -2.2 | Falcons 2.7 | Panthers 1.7 | Patriots -1.5 | Lions -0.8 | Commanders 0.9 | Jets 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Patriots | 24.1 | 0.0 | BYE - | Chargers 1.0 | Bills -0.9 | Vikings 0.0 | Chiefs -1.4 | Jets 0.3 | Broncos 0.6 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Jaguars | 25.9 | 0.4 | Giants -0.3 | Titans 1.3 | Bears -2.4 | Steelers -1.0 | Texans 1.0 | Cowboys 1.7 | Commanders 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 |
| Eagles | 21.4 | -0.4 | Steelers -1.9 | Cowboys 1.0 | Cardinals 0.0 | Colts 1.1 | Seahawks -0.3 | Texans 0.8 | 49ers -1.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Bears | 28.2 | 0.1 | Saints 2.1 | Lions -1.3 | Jaguars -0.7 | Dolphins 0.8 | Bills -1.5 | Packers 0.2 | Lions -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| Dolphins | 22.0 | 0.2 | Bills -1.4 | Jets 1.2 | Broncos 0.1 | Bears -1.3 | Packers -0.2 | Chargers 1.8 | Bills 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Panthers | 24.3 | -0.5 | Ravens 0.3 | Buccaneers -2.6 | Vikings -0.8 | Saints 1.9 | Bengals -0.4 | Steelers -2.0 | Seahawks -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.9 |
| Commanders | 21.3 | -0.2 | Bengals -0.7 | Cardinals 1.3 | Titans 0.7 | Texans 0.6 | Falcons 3.0 | Vikings -0.1 | Jaguars -1.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Bills | 27.0 | 0.2 | Dolphins 1.4 | Chiefs -0.3 | Patriots -1.1 | Packers -0.3 | Bears -1.2 | Broncos 0.1 | Dolphins 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Packers | 20.7 | -0.8 | BYE - | Rams -1.0 | Saints 1.2 | Bills -0.7 | Dolphins 1.5 | Bears -2.0 | Texans 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| Jets | 22.7 | -0.3 | Chargers 1.2 | Dolphins 0.2 | BYE - | Broncos 0.8 | Cardinals 0.5 | Patriots -0.8 | Vikings 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Raiders | 24.5 | -0.4 | Broncos -0.6 | Browns 0.8 | BYE - | Chargers 1.8 | Broncos 1.2 | Titans 1.6 | Cardinals 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Buccaneers | 26.5 | -0.6 | Lions -1.3 | Panthers 1.5 | Chargers 2.0 | Ravens 0.1 | Saints 2.4 | Falcons 2.9 | Rams 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Cardinals | 21.1 | -1.3 | Chiefs -1.8 | Commanders -0.3 | Eagles 1.9 | BYE - | Jets 1.2 | Saints 1.1 | Raiders 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| Ravens | 23.9 | -0.7 | Panthers -0.3 | Texans -0.5 | BYE - | Buccaneers -2.1 | Steelers -2.5 | Browns 1.0 | Bengals -1.3 | -0.9 | -0.9 |
| Titans | 21.8 | -0.5 | Cowboys 1.7 | Jaguars -1.9 | Commanders 0.3 | Lions -0.7 | Colts 1.9 | Raiders 2.0 | Steelers -0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Steelers | 25.1 | 0.7 | Eagles 1.6 | Broncos 1.4 | Texans 1.7 | Jaguars -1.5 | Ravens 1.1 | Panthers 2.3 | Titans 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
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