Week 6
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 20.2 | 0.1 | Cowboys 2.2 | Lions -1.4 | Panthers 0.5 | Patriots -0.9 | Vikings -1.6 | BYE - | Rams -0.7 | Saints 1.8 | Bills 1.1 | Dolphins 2.2 | Bears -1.1 | Texans -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Raiders | 22.3 | 0.4 | Bills 2.0 | Rams -0.3 | Jets 0.2 | 49ers -0.5 | Seahawks -0.5 | Broncos -0.7 | Browns -0.5 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Broncos 0.4 | Titans 0.7 | Cardinals 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Patriots | 22.7 | 0.9 | Jets 1.7 | Bears -1.0 | Dolphins 1.7 | Packers 1.1 | Lions -0.3 | BYE - | Chargers 0.7 | Bills 1.5 | Vikings -1.0 | Chiefs -1.1 | Jets 0.8 | Broncos 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Rams | 27.2 | 0.8 | Cardinals 1.7 | Raiders 1.7 | Chargers 0.9 | Commanders -1.2 | Cardinals 0.4 | BYE - | Packers 0.8 | Chiefs -0.4 | 49ers -0.3 | Cowboys 1.2 | Seahawks -1.2 | Buccaneers -1.8 | 0.2 | -0.6 |
| Bills | 24.9 | -0.5 | Raiders 1.6 | BYE - | Ravens -1.1 | Vikings -1.9 | Jets 0.4 | Dolphins 1.7 | Chiefs -0.7 | Patriots -1.3 | Packers 0.1 | Bears -0.8 | Broncos -0.4 | Dolphins 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
| Giants | 19.5 | 0.1 | Saints 1.5 | Texans -1.5 | BYE - | Eagles 0.2 | Commanders 0.2 | Jaguars -0.7 | Colts 1.1 | 49ers 0.9 | Seahawks -0.6 | Browns 1.0 | Lions -0.9 | Cowboys 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Chiefs | 25.9 | 0.3 | Chargers 1.0 | Seahawks -0.9 | Broncos -0.2 | Jets 1.1 | Falcons 0.3 | Cardinals 1.1 | Bills 0.5 | Rams -0.8 | Bengals -0.9 | Patriots -0.3 | 49ers 1.0 | Chargers 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Titans | 19.6 | 0.0 | Colts 0.8 | Browns 0.4 | Bengals -1.1 | BYE - | Jaguars -1.3 | Cowboys 1.1 | Jaguars -1.8 | Commanders -0.5 | Lions -1.1 | Colts 1.1 | Raiders 1.8 | Steelers 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Commanders | 19.3 | 0.4 | 49ers 0.5 | BYE - | Eagles 0.9 | Rams -0.2 | Giants -0.5 | Bengals -0.5 | Cardinals 1.6 | Titans -0.3 | Texans -0.9 | Falcons 1.1 | Vikings -1.2 | Jaguars -1.5 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| Colts | 22.1 | -0.6 | Titans 0.5 | Vikings -2.1 | Jaguars -2.5 | Cowboys 1.6 | Dolphins 2.5 | Texans -1.7 | Giants 0.6 | BYE - | Eagles -0.1 | Titans -0.6 | Bengals -0.1 | Browns 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Bears | 26.0 | -0.5 | Falcons 0.5 | Patriots -0.4 | Seahawks -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.6 | BYE - | Saints 2.2 | Lions -0.8 | Jaguars -0.8 | Dolphins 1.7 | Bills 0.5 | Packers 1.2 | Lions -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Panthers | 21.0 | 0.1 | Eagles 0.3 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Packers 0.2 | Broncos 0.6 | Saints 2.1 | Ravens -1.0 | Buccaneers -1.7 | Vikings -1.8 | Saints 2.3 | Bengals 0.0 | Steelers -0.3 | Seahawks 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cowboys | 21.3 | 0.2 | Packers 0.2 | Eagles -0.8 | Cardinals 1.2 | Colts 0.3 | 49ers 0.6 | Titans 0.0 | Eagles 0.4 | Seahawks -1.8 | BYE - | Rams -1.3 | Jaguars -1.1 | Giants 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| Saints | 21.3 | 0.0 | Giants 0.1 | Steelers -1.2 | BYE - | Browns 1.0 | Panthers 0.4 | Bears -1.4 | Bengals -1.5 | Packers 1.0 | Panthers -0.6 | Buccaneers -1.8 | Cardinals 1.7 | Falcons 0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| 49ers | 25.2 | 0.8 | Commanders 0.1 | Falcons 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 1.8 | Cowboys 0.6 | Vikings -1.3 | Seahawks -0.5 | Giants -0.7 | Rams -0.6 | Chargers 0.5 | Chiefs -1.6 | Eagles 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Falcons | 27.4 | -0.7 | Bears -0.2 | 49ers 0.5 | Buccaneers -1.9 | Bengals -1.3 | Chiefs -0.5 | BYE - | Vikings -2.0 | Lions -0.3 | Browns 0.0 | Commanders -1.5 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Saints 2.4 | -0.5 | 0.1 |
| Seahawks | 23.5 | 0.0 | Broncos -0.5 | Chiefs -0.4 | Bears -0.4 | Cardinals 1.4 | Raiders 1.9 | BYE - | 49ers -0.4 | Cowboys 1.4 | Giants 0.4 | Eagles 0.1 | Rams -0.1 | Panthers -0.5 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Eagles | 19.6 | -0.3 | Panthers -0.6 | Cowboys 1.0 | Commanders -1.2 | Giants -0.2 | BYE - | Steelers -0.2 | Cowboys 1.0 | Cardinals 0.6 | Colts 1.1 | Seahawks -0.2 | Texans -0.8 | 49ers 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| Ravens | 24.5 | -0.7 | Browns -0.7 | Bengals -0.5 | Bills 0.0 | Jaguars -1.8 | Chargers 0.7 | Panthers -0.8 | Texans -1.8 | BYE - | Buccaneers -1.0 | Steelers -1.0 | Browns 0.5 | Bengals -1.3 | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| Jets | 20.0 | 0.5 | Patriots -0.8 | Dolphins 1.8 | Raiders 2.2 | Chiefs -1.1 | Bills 0.9 | Chargers 0.5 | Dolphins 1.3 | BYE - | Broncos 0.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | Patriots -0.1 | Vikings -0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Broncos | 24.8 | -0.3 | Seahawks -0.8 | Cardinals 1.3 | Chiefs -0.9 | Panthers -0.7 | BYE - | Raiders 2.1 | Steelers -0.7 | Dolphins 2.1 | Jets 0.8 | Raiders 1.7 | Bills 1.3 | Patriots -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Steelers | 22.3 | 0.8 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Saints 2.6 | Browns 0.8 | BYE - | Bengals -1.2 | Eagles 0.1 | Broncos 0.6 | Texans -0.5 | Jaguars -1.6 | Ravens -0.6 | Panthers 0.7 | Titans 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaguars | 22.4 | -0.2 | Texans -1.0 | BYE - | Colts 1.6 | Ravens -1.3 | Titans -0.4 | Giants -0.4 | Titans 0.1 | Bears -1.3 | Steelers 0.2 | Texans -0.7 | Cowboys 1.0 | Commanders -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| Buccaneers | 23.9 | -0.5 | Steelers -1.0 | Panthers -0.5 | Falcons 0.8 | Bears -1.2 | BYE - | Lions -1.2 | Panthers 0.3 | Chargers 1.3 | Ravens -1.6 | Saints 2.5 | Falcons 0.4 | Rams -0.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Cardinals | 16.8 | -0.7 | Rams -1.3 | Broncos -0.2 | Cowboys 0.5 | Seahawks -1.7 | Rams -0.6 | Chiefs -1.5 | Commanders -1.0 | Eagles 0.8 | BYE - | Jets 1.0 | Saints 1.4 | Raiders 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Browns | 20.1 | -0.4 | Ravens -1.4 | Titans -0.8 | Steelers -0.9 | Saints 1.3 | Texans -1.3 | BYE - | Raiders 2.0 | Bengals -0.3 | Falcons 0.6 | Giants -0.3 | Ravens -1.7 | Colts 1.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Chargers | 25.6 | -1.3 | Chiefs -2.0 | BYE - | Rams -0.9 | Texans -1.1 | Ravens -2.1 | Jets 1.5 | Patriots 0.0 | Buccaneers -1.6 | Raiders 1.7 | 49ers 0.7 | Dolphins 1.7 | Chiefs -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.7 |
| Texans | 19.1 | -0.1 | Jaguars -2.1 | Giants 1.0 | BYE - | Chargers 0.8 | Browns 0.0 | Colts 1.8 | Ravens -0.4 | Steelers -0.6 | Commanders -0.8 | Jaguars -1.2 | Eagles 0.2 | Packers 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Dolphins | 21.8 | 0.1 | BYE - | Jets 0.8 | Patriots 0.0 | Lions -0.6 | Colts 1.3 | Bills 0.8 | Jets 1.5 | Broncos 0.3 | Bears -0.1 | Packers 1.0 | Chargers 1.4 | Bills 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Vikings | 21.9 | 0.8 | BYE - | Colts 2.0 | Lions -1.2 | Bills 1.5 | Packers 0.6 | 49ers 0.1 | Falcons 1.0 | Panthers 1.0 | Patriots -0.4 | Lions 0.1 | Commanders 0.6 | Jets 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Lions | 29.4 | 0.6 | BYE - | Packers 1.3 | Vikings -1.0 | Dolphins 1.4 | Patriots -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Bears -0.9 | Falcons -0.5 | Titans 0.1 | Vikings -2.3 | Giants 0.1 | Bears -1.5 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
| Bengals | 23.3 | -0.5 | BYE - | Ravens -2.4 | Titans 0.0 | Falcons 0.8 | Steelers 0.0 | Commanders -1.2 | Saints 2.0 | Browns -0.1 | Chiefs -0.9 | Panthers -0.7 | Colts 0.8 | Ravens -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
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