Week 10

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
49ers 21.5 0.7 2.3 1.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.7 2.0 -1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4
Seahawks 17.7 0.1 2.3 - -3.3 1.4 -0.2 -0.4 -1.2 0.7 -0.1 -0.3
Saints 16.4 0.2 2.2 -1.6 -1.0 1.2 0.4 -2.7 1.3 2.1 0.2 0.2
Chiefs 23.0 -0.2 2.1 1.2 -2.6 -1.6 -0.5 0.9 -2.0 1.8 -0.1 0.2
Jaguars 20.4 0.8 1.9 -0.7 3.3 -1.2 -1.8 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.7 1.4
Bills 20.2 0.5 1.3 0.0 -0.2 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.3 -0.9 0.4 -0.1
Texans 15.6 0.8 1.2 3.2 1.2 -2.5 -0.1 -0.8 0.2 -0.1 0.3 -0.2
Ravens 18.5 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 - -1.7 -2.5 2.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2
Dolphins 16.4 0.3 0.9 -2.5 2.6 0.3 -0.5 0.4 1.7 -1.1 0.2 0.3
Rams 20.7 0.6 0.9 - 1.3 -0.4 -3.0 2.2 -1.5 -2.8 -0.5 -0.7
Packers 15.3 0.0 0.5 - -1.5 0.8 -2.0 0.0 -1.2 1.3 -0.3 0.1
Browns 15.2 1.0 0.5 - 2.3 0.1 2.4 -0.6 -0.9 1.8 0.8 0.1
Giants 17.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.9 2.2 -2.1 -1.2 1.8 -2.0 1.5 0.0 0.5
Panthers 18.4 -0.5 0.2 0.2 -2.6 0.0 1.1 0.3 -2.3 -0.8 -0.5 -0.9
Lions 21.4 0.2 0.2 -1.3 0.0 2.2 3.1 -0.1 -0.3 -1.4 0.3 -0.6
Colts 18.9 -0.2 0.1 -0.2 -0.5 - -0.6 1.5 -0.1 1.0 0.2 0.8
Vikings 15.4 0.2 0.0 -3.1 2.4 1.6 -0.5 -1.8 0.5 1.4 0.1 0.0
Steelers 19.5 0.9 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 -1.2 1.0 2.4 3.0 1.1 2.1
Falcons 20.7 -0.9 -0.7 - -0.1 -1.9 1.2 -0.7 -1.6 1.4 -0.4 -0.3
Titans 16.4 -0.4 -0.8 1.2 -2.0 0.0 -2.1 1.8 2.1 -1.8 -0.2 0.7
Commanders 15.6 0.5 -0.9 -0.3 1.0 2.3 0.8 2.7 0.4 -1.6 0.5 0.5
Jets 16.4 -0.5 -0.9 1.0 -1.5 - 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.5
Chargers 16.8 -0.3 -1.0 2.2 0.5 -2.9 1.2 -2.4 -1.1 -1.2 -0.6 -1.6
Bengals 16.0 0.4 -1.0 -0.3 1.4 1.5 -0.7 1.2 2.1 0.5 0.6 1.3
Patriots 17.6 -1.0 -1.4 - 1.1 -2.7 0.2 -2.3 1.5 -0.1 -0.5 -0.3
Raiders 17.8 -0.6 -2.0 -0.7 0.9 - 2.6 1.1 3.7 0.4 0.8 1.7
Cowboys 18.2 -0.1 -2.0 3.2 0.6 -2.1 - -2.0 -1.2 0.0 -0.5 -1.1
Cardinals 15.9 -1.0 -2.3 -2.1 -0.2 0.7 - 2.7 0.2 3.0 0.3 2.0
Eagles 16.7 -0.2 - -2.1 1.3 0.3 1.7 -0.6 1.1 -2.2 -0.1 -0.6
Bears 20.7 -0.2 - 1.6 -2.0 -0.3 -0.5 -2.7 1.7 -1.3 -0.5 -0.7
Broncos 19.1 0.1 - 3.1 -2.4 -0.5 2.0 2.2 -1.6 0.2 0.4 0.3
Buccaneers 20.5 0.5 - -2.2 1.4 2.4 -0.4 1.2 2.7 -0.6 0.7 1.1

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