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Week 7

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Steelers 19.3 2.6 2.0 0.8 1.9 5.5 4.7 2.7 2.1 0.8 3.0 1.1 4.4 2.6 2.8
Broncos 17.8 1.7 1.9 3.8 -0.7 1.7 0.8 - 2.2 3.3 7.3 3.6 4.0 2.8 4.9
Browns 17.6 0.5 1.4 -0.8 - 1.0 2.2 0.6 3.6 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.8 2.8 5.0
Chiefs 16.2 1.9 1.3 1.9 2.4 - 1.0 3.7 3.0 2.3 6.7 3.8 -2.9 2.3 2.5
Cowboys 18.1 1.2 1.2 -0.7 3.1 - 2.2 4.9 3.0 4.5 4.6 8.5 4.6 3.6 5.9
Packers 19.9 0.7 1.0 -1.3 0.7 2.7 4.6 0.3 -0.7 3.5 -3.6 2.6 -1.6 0.7 -0.9
Patriots 17.5 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.1 5.5 - 4.5 1.6 1.0 2.0 2.4
Commanders 17.1 -1.5 0.8 -2.2 -3.5 -1.2 0.5 - -1.8 1.4 5.2 4.4 2.2 0.6 3.9
Lions 21.7 1.3 0.8 - 1.8 1.4 2.6 5.5 4.5 3.0 -2.7 4.1 3.7 2.5 1.7
Chargers 16.2 -0.8 0.4 -1.3 0.0 -2.1 -2.7 - -1.5 0.9 -2.8 0.8 -0.4 -0.9 -0.8
Eagles 16.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 - -0.5 0.4 2.8 4.4 5.8 2.5 1.2 3.9 2.2 2.5
Bears 17.1 2.5 0.3 1.6 3.8 4.2 -0.4 0.6 1.5 2.7 3.9 5.2 1.6 2.3 3.6
Falcons 23.2 0.8 0.1 2.7 -1.0 1.3 -0.9 1.6 -2.4 -5.3 -0.9 -0.4 -4.1 -0.9 -1.8
Saints 16.7 -1.8 -0.1 0.0 -3.7 -3.3 - -1.9 -1.9 -1.3 -0.5 -3.1 0.0 -1.6 -1.2
Vikings 18.0 1.2 -0.2 3.0 -0.8 2.7 1.9 1.2 -4.4 -1.8 0.8 2.6 0.2 0.5 1.2
Jets 15.5 0.8 -0.3 1.7 - 1.0 -0.7 1.6 2.8 4.5 2.1 6.0 4.1 2.3 4.1
Panthers 20.2 1.2 -0.4 1.6 -0.1 3.8 1.2 2.3 -1.6 - 5.2 4.2 -2.2 1.4 2.4
Colts 22.2 -0.6 -0.4 1.9 -2.0 -1.8 - -2.6 -1.0 -2.9 -7.1 -1.3 -3.6 -2.1 -4.0
Seahawks 17.4 1.3 -0.8 - 1.3 3.4 0.2 4.1 3.4 3.6 6.7 1.2 6.2 2.9 4.7
Rams 18.7 1.2 -0.8 - 1.9 2.4 -3.0 2.9 2.6 3.2 3.1 -3.8 1.2 1.0 0.2
Bengals 14.1 0.7 -0.9 1.8 1.2 - 0.9 1.1 2.0 3.4 2.3 3.0 4.9 2.0 3.4
49ers 20.3 -0.8 -0.9 -1.7 1.4 -2.1 3.0 2.8 3.5 - 6.0 7.1 8.6 2.8 7.2
Cardinals 17.2 -0.4 -1.3 - 3.3 -3.1 2.2 -0.1 2.0 -1.7 0.1 1.9 3.2 0.7 1.7
Titans 14.5 0.7 -1.4 -0.8 4.2 - 1.2 -2.7 0.2 2.2 2.6 1.0 5.9 1.2 3.2
Jaguars 17.0 -0.1 -1.5 - 1.1 0.1 6.4 3.4 3.6 3.9 0.3 -1.7 5.3 2.1 1.3
Buccaneers 18.9 -1.6 -1.9 -0.8 - -2.0 -0.1 -3.8 2.0 3.0 0.9 1.5 3.3 0.2 1.9
Dolphins 19.0 0.3 -2.4 -0.8 2.0 2.3 1.7 - 5.3 0.9 3.0 5.6 2.9 2.0 3.8
Raiders 17.3 -0.9 -2.5 - 0.3 -0.7 3.3 3.0 6.1 -0.4 2.9 0.9 4.8 1.8 2.9
Giants 17.8 0.7 -2.7 1.9 2.9 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.1 - 1.8 4.0 4.0 1.5 3.2
Texans 16.7 -0.5 -3.1 2.1 -0.2 -0.9 -1.2 -0.5 -0.4 -2.5 1.9 0.7 4.5 0.0 2.4
Ravens 17.8 0.4 - 0.5 1.2 -0.4 2.5 4.0 6.4 5.4 6.6 6.1 10.0 4.2 7.6
Bills 18.3 0.0 - -0.6 -1.4 2.1 2.2 0.1 1.0 3.1 0.3 3.8 3.8 1.4 2.6

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