Week 7
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | 16.0 | 0.6 | Dolphins 2.5 | Raiders 1.6 | Chiefs -1.8 | Bills 0.3 | Chargers 1.4 | Dolphins 0.9 | BYE - | Broncos 0.2 | Cardinals 0.6 | Patriots -0.3 | Vikings -0.6 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| Steelers | 17.7 | 0.7 | Saints 2.3 | Browns 0.4 | BYE - | Bengals -0.6 | Eagles 1.1 | Broncos 0.7 | Texans 0.3 | Jaguars -0.8 | Ravens 0.2 | Panthers 0.8 | Titans 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Vikings | 15.4 | 0.3 | Colts 2.2 | Lions -1.0 | Bills 0.4 | Packers -0.2 | 49ers -0.8 | Falcons 1.2 | Panthers 0.3 | Patriots -0.8 | Lions -0.1 | Commanders 0.9 | Jets 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Texans | 16.8 | 1.1 | Giants 1.9 | BYE - | Chargers 1.7 | Browns -0.2 | Colts 1.7 | Ravens 0.7 | Steelers -0.4 | Commanders 0.2 | Jaguars 0.4 | Eagles 1.2 | Packers -0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Rams | 19.6 | 0.5 | Raiders 1.5 | Chargers 1.4 | Commanders -1.0 | Cardinals 0.2 | BYE - | Packers 0.1 | Chiefs -1.4 | 49ers -1.2 | Cowboys 0.7 | Seahawks -1.1 | Buccaneers -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.7 |
| Broncos | 19.5 | -0.4 | Cardinals 1.3 | Chiefs -1.7 | Panthers -0.7 | BYE - | Raiders 1.7 | Steelers -0.8 | Dolphins 1.7 | Jets 0.7 | Raiders 1.1 | Bills 0.5 | Patriots -0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Eagles | 14.5 | 0.2 | Cowboys 1.0 | Commanders -0.9 | Giants 0.4 | BYE - | Steelers -0.9 | Cowboys -0.1 | Cardinals -0.1 | Colts 0.2 | Seahawks -0.1 | Texans -0.3 | 49ers -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Lions | 21.8 | 0.0 | Packers 1.0 | Vikings -0.6 | Dolphins 1.1 | Patriots -1.4 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Bears -0.9 | Falcons 0.3 | Titans 0.5 | Vikings -1.6 | Giants 0.8 | Bears -2.0 | -0.3 | -0.9 |
| 49ers | 20.9 | 1.2 | Falcons 1.0 | BYE - | Raiders 2.0 | Cowboys 0.6 | Vikings -0.7 | Seahawks 0.1 | Giants 0.4 | Rams 0.2 | Chargers 1.2 | Chiefs -2.5 | Eagles 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Bears | 21.0 | 0.0 | Patriots 0.9 | Seahawks -0.9 | Buccaneers 0.1 | BYE - | Saints 2.1 | Lions 0.0 | Jaguars 0.2 | Dolphins 1.6 | Bills 0.2 | Packers 0.7 | Lions 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Browns | 15.0 | -0.1 | Titans 0.7 | Steelers -1.3 | Saints 0.7 | Texans -0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 1.2 | Bengals 0.0 | Falcons 0.9 | Giants 0.6 | Ravens -0.9 | Colts 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Buccaneers | 16.7 | -0.2 | Panthers 0.4 | Falcons 0.6 | Bears -1.6 | BYE - | Lions -1.0 | Panthers -0.3 | Chargers 1.7 | Ravens -0.7 | Saints 1.6 | Falcons 0.8 | Rams 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Raiders | 17.6 | 0.0 | Rams 0.4 | Jets 0.5 | 49ers -1.1 | Seahawks 0.1 | Broncos -0.4 | Browns -0.6 | BYE - | Chargers 2.0 | Broncos 1.1 | Titans 1.3 | Cardinals 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Falcons | 21.2 | -0.7 | 49ers 0.4 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Bengals -1.0 | Chiefs -1.4 | BYE - | Vikings -1.5 | Lions 0.4 | Browns -0.5 | Commanders -0.8 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Saints 2.2 | -0.3 | 0.5 |
| Dolphins | 16.8 | 0.0 | Jets 0.3 | Patriots -0.4 | Lions -0.4 | Colts 0.5 | Bills -0.1 | Jets 1.1 | Broncos 0.2 | Bears -0.8 | Packers 0.2 | Chargers 1.7 | Bills 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Ravens | 18.9 | 0.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Bills -0.5 | Jaguars -1.0 | Chargers 1.2 | Panthers -0.9 | Texans -1.0 | BYE - | Buccaneers -0.6 | Steelers -1.2 | Browns -0.1 | Bengals -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.7 |
| Cowboys | 18.5 | 0.3 | Eagles 0.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | Colts -0.1 | 49ers -0.3 | Titans 0.7 | Eagles 1.5 | Seahawks -1.5 | BYE - | Rams -0.6 | Jaguars -0.4 | Giants 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Titans | 15.7 | -0.5 | Browns -0.1 | Bengals -0.6 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.7 | Cowboys 0.4 | Jaguars -1.2 | Commanders 0.2 | Lions -0.5 | Colts 0.6 | Raiders 1.4 | Steelers -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.6 |
| Cardinals | 15.7 | -0.2 | Broncos -0.2 | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks -1.1 | Rams 0.3 | Chiefs -2.1 | Commanders 0.0 | Eagles 1.9 | BYE - | Jets 1.3 | Saints 0.9 | Raiders 1.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 |
| Packers | 14.7 | -0.5 | Lions -0.3 | Panthers 0.2 | Patriots -0.8 | Vikings -1.0 | BYE - | Rams 0.1 | Saints 1.6 | Bills 1.1 | Dolphins 2.3 | Bears -1.3 | Texans -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Saints | 17.1 | 0.3 | Steelers -0.4 | BYE - | Browns 0.7 | Panthers 0.7 | Bears -1.6 | Bengals -0.9 | Packers 0.7 | Panthers -0.5 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Cardinals 1.9 | Falcons 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Panthers | 18.9 | 0.5 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Packers -0.2 | Broncos 0.6 | Saints 1.7 | Ravens -0.1 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Vikings -1.2 | Saints 2.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Steelers -0.7 | Seahawks 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Seahawks | 17.2 | 0.4 | Chiefs -0.7 | Bears -1.1 | Cardinals 1.5 | Raiders 1.9 | BYE - | 49ers -1.0 | Cowboys 0.7 | Giants 1.5 | Eagles 1.0 | Rams 0.6 | Panthers -0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Patriots | 17.2 | 0.6 | Bears -0.9 | Dolphins 1.8 | Packers 0.8 | Lions 0.6 | BYE - | Chargers 1.6 | Bills 1.4 | Vikings -0.3 | Chiefs -1.9 | Jets 0.8 | Broncos 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
| Giants | 15.4 | 0.1 | Texans -1.0 | BYE - | Eagles 0.9 | Commanders 0.4 | Jaguars 0.0 | Colts 0.7 | 49ers 0.2 | Seahawks -0.2 | Browns 0.3 | Lions -0.4 | Cowboys 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Bengals | 16.8 | 0.3 | Ravens -1.0 | Titans 0.7 | Falcons 1.7 | Steelers -0.2 | Commanders -0.8 | Saints 1.9 | Browns -0.5 | Chiefs -1.6 | Panthers -0.6 | Colts 0.6 | Ravens -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| Chiefs | 22.3 | 0.3 | Seahawks -1.4 | Broncos 0.2 | Jets 1.2 | Falcons 1.3 | Cardinals 1.4 | Bills 0.9 | Rams 0.3 | Bengals -0.3 | Patriots -0.1 | 49ers 0.7 | Chargers 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Colts | 19.0 | -0.2 | Vikings -2.5 | Jaguars -1.8 | Cowboys 1.1 | Dolphins 2.4 | Texans -0.8 | Giants 1.5 | BYE - | Eagles 0.5 | Titans -0.3 | Bengals 0.0 | Browns -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
| Commanders | 15.1 | 1.1 | BYE - | Eagles 1.8 | Rams 0.7 | Giants 0.7 | Bengals -0.1 | Cardinals 1.3 | Titans -0.2 | Texans -0.3 | Falcons 1.5 | Vikings -1.1 | Jaguars -1.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
| Chargers | 17.9 | -0.8 | BYE - | Rams -0.5 | Texans -0.5 | Ravens -1.4 | Jets 0.7 | Patriots -0.3 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Raiders 0.7 | 49ers -0.2 | Dolphins 0.9 | Chiefs -1.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
| Jaguars | 17.8 | 0.4 | BYE - | Colts 1.4 | Ravens -0.4 | Titans 0.1 | Giants 0.5 | Titans 0.9 | Bears -1.4 | Steelers -0.1 | Texans 0.0 | Cowboys 0.8 | Commanders 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Bills | 19.6 | 0.0 | BYE - | Ravens 0.3 | Vikings -1.0 | Jets 0.7 | Dolphins 2.2 | Chiefs -1.3 | Patriots -0.7 | Packers -0.2 | Bears -0.4 | Broncos 0.1 | Dolphins 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
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