Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
|
Next 4
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
AVG
|
Playoffs
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 10.7 | 1.7 | Commanders 0.6 | BYE - | Saints -0.7 | Jets 0.0 | Steelers 0.0 | Bengals 2.9 | Buccaneers 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Steelers | 14.6 | 0.9 | Bengals 1.4 | Bears -0.6 | Bills -1.0 | Ravens -1.0 | Dolphins 0.3 | Lions 1.9 | Browns -0.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Bengals | 10.3 | 1.4 | Steelers -1.1 | Patriots -0.4 | Ravens -0.5 | Bills -0.8 | Ravens 0.2 | Dolphins 1.8 | Cardinals 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Eagles | 10.7 | 0.2 | Lions 1.6 | Cowboys 0.5 | Bears 0.6 | Chargers -0.8 | Raiders 1.0 | Commanders 1.2 | Bills -0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Falcons | 11.7 | 0.6 | Panthers 0.4 | Saints -0.4 | Jets -0.8 | Seahawks 0.6 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Cardinals 1.0 | Rams 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Lions | 8.8 | 0.3 | Eagles -1.7 | Giants 0.5 | Packers 0.0 | Cowboys 0.6 | Rams -0.5 | Steelers 0.8 | Vikings -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Saints | 10.6 | 0.7 | BYE - | Falcons -1.6 | Dolphins -0.2 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Panthers 0.1 | Jets 0.7 | Titans 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 49ers | 13.1 | 1.5 | Cardinals 0.0 | Panthers 0.1 | Browns 0.7 | BYE - | Titans -0.8 | Colts 0.7 | Bears 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Ravens | 14.2 | -0.3 | Browns -1.4 | Jets 0.2 | Bengals 2.3 | Steelers -0.2 | Bengals 0.9 | Patriots 0.6 | Packers -1.2 | -0.3 | 0.1 |
| Broncos | 8.9 | 0.0 | Chiefs -0.6 | BYE - | Commanders -0.9 | Raiders -0.3 | Packers -0.2 | Jaguars 0.5 | Chiefs -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Texans | 10.5 | 0.2 | Titans -0.5 | Bills -1.2 | Colts 0.7 | Chiefs -0.2 | Cardinals 0.8 | Raiders 0.5 | Chargers 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Cardinals | 17.3 | 1.0 | 49ers 0.7 | Jaguars 0.8 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Rams 0.9 | Texans -0.8 | Falcons 0.5 | Bengals 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Panthers | 8.2 | 0.3 | Falcons -0.4 | 49ers 0.1 | Rams 1.4 | BYE - | Saints -0.8 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Seahawks 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Chargers | 8.5 | 0.1 | Jaguars 1.1 | BYE - | Raiders -0.8 | Eagles -0.4 | Chiefs 0.6 | Cowboys 0.3 | Texans 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Jets | 8.8 | 0.2 | Patriots -0.1 | Ravens -0.6 | Falcons 0.0 | Dolphins 1.4 | Jaguars -0.8 | Saints 0.3 | Patriots 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Buccaneers | 7.0 | 0.5 | Bills -1.2 | Rams 0.2 | Cardinals 1.0 | Saints 1.0 | Falcons -0.1 | Panthers 0.2 | Dolphins 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Jaguars | 8.8 | 0.4 | Chargers -1.7 | Cardinals -0.1 | Titans -0.6 | Colts 0.1 | Jets 0.0 | Broncos 0.1 | Colts 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Titans | 11.5 | 0.4 | Texans -2.2 | Seahawks -0.1 | Jaguars 0.2 | Browns -0.7 | 49ers -0.2 | Chiefs 0.1 | Saints 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Cowboys | 11.6 | 0.6 | Raiders -1.8 | Eagles 0.7 | Chiefs -0.2 | Lions 0.3 | Vikings 0.5 | Chargers 0.1 | Commanders 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Packers | 11.3 | -0.3 | Giants 0.9 | Vikings -0.7 | Lions -0.3 | Bears 0.3 | Broncos -0.7 | Bears 0.0 | Ravens -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| Vikings | 10.0 | 0.2 | Bears 0.6 | Packers -1.0 | Seahawks -0.4 | Commanders -0.3 | Cowboys 0.1 | Giants -0.1 | Lions 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Chiefs | 12.7 | 0.0 | Broncos -2.0 | Colts 0.8 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans -0.3 | Chargers -0.3 | Titans -0.1 | Broncos 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| Giants | 10.6 | -0.1 | Packers -1.1 | Lions -0.3 | Patriots -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.7 | Vikings -0.2 | Raiders 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Colts | 11.4 | 0.4 | BYE - | Chiefs -2.3 | Texans -0.3 | Jaguars 0.1 | Seahawks -1.5 | 49ers -0.3 | Jaguars 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 |
| Bills | 14.1 | -0.4 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Texans -0.9 | Steelers -0.5 | Bengals 0.7 | Patriots -0.4 | Browns -0.3 | Eagles -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Raiders | 13.8 | -0.2 | Cowboys 0.7 | Browns 2.0 | Chargers -0.1 | Broncos -0.1 | Eagles -1.4 | Texans -0.6 | Giants 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| Commanders | 10.5 | -0.2 | Dolphins -0.2 | BYE - | Broncos -1.4 | Vikings 0.8 | Giants -0.4 | Eagles -0.8 | Cowboys 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Browns | 14.4 | -0.3 | Ravens -1.8 | Raiders -0.5 | 49ers -0.3 | Titans 0.0 | Bears -0.3 | Bills -0.8 | Steelers 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| Bears | 11.7 | -0.5 | Vikings 0.3 | Steelers -0.4 | Eagles -1.4 | Packers -1.1 | Browns 0.0 | Packers -0.9 | 49ers 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Patriots | 11.3 | -0.4 | Jets -0.2 | Bengals 1.2 | Giants 0.4 | BYE - | Bills -2.0 | Ravens -1.1 | Jets 0.3 | -0.4 | -0.9 |
| Seahawks | 10.5 | -0.8 | Rams 0.2 | Titans 0.2 | Vikings 0.7 | Falcons 0.3 | Colts 0.3 | Rams -1.4 | Panthers -0.2 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Rams | 13.7 | -0.5 | Seahawks 0.5 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Panthers -0.1 | Cardinals 0.1 | Lions 0.3 | Seahawks -1.5 | Falcons 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
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