Week 3
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | 10.0 | 0.5 | Cowboys 2.7 | Titans -1.0 | Falcons 1.7 | Browns -1.3 | Bengals 0.0 | Bills -0.7 | Jaguars -0.4 | Chargers 0.8 | Panthers 0.4 | Texans 0.3 | BYE - | Buccaneers 1.3 | Steelers -2.4 | Browns -0.5 | Bengals -0.4 | 0.0 | -1.1 |
| Jets | 6.6 | 0.2 | Lions 2.5 | Bears -0.3 | Browns -0.2 | Patriots -1.4 | Dolphins 1.3 | Raiders 0.2 | Chiefs 0.8 | Bills 0.6 | Chargers 2.0 | Dolphins 0.6 | BYE - | Broncos -0.4 | Cardinals 0.9 | Patriots -1.3 | Vikings 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Packers | 6.2 | 1.4 | Falcons 2.2 | Buccaneers 1.1 | Bears 0.0 | Cowboys 2.1 | Lions 2.9 | Panthers 1.3 | Patriots -1.6 | Vikings 0.5 | BYE - | Rams -1.7 | Saints -0.4 | Bills 0.1 | Dolphins 1.2 | Bears -0.3 | Texans -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Vikings | 8.8 | 1.2 | Buccaneers 1.9 | Dolphins 2.0 | Saints -0.2 | BYE - | Colts 1.0 | Lions 3.0 | Bills 0.7 | Packers -0.2 | 49ers -1.9 | Falcons 2.3 | Panthers 2.1 | Patriots -1.5 | Lions 3.7 | Commanders 3.3 | Jets -1.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Seahawks | 7.0 | -0.2 | Commanders 0.7 | Chargers 1.1 | 49ers -1.7 | Broncos -0.8 | Chiefs 1.4 | Bears 0.0 | Cardinals 0.7 | Raiders 0.5 | BYE - | 49ers -1.8 | Cowboys 2.0 | Giants 0.9 | Eagles -1.6 | Rams -1.4 | Panthers 1.0 | 0.1 | -0.7 |
| Bills | 12.3 | -0.6 | Chargers 0.6 | Patriots -1.3 | Rams -1.9 | Raiders 0.1 | BYE - | Ravens -1.3 | Vikings 0.6 | Jets -2.2 | Dolphins 0.8 | Chiefs 0.9 | Patriots -1.9 | Packers -0.2 | Bears 0.0 | Broncos -1.2 | Dolphins 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Dolphins | 6.1 | 0.5 | Chiefs 0.4 | Vikings 0.9 | Bengals 0.3 | BYE - | Jets -2.2 | Patriots -1.6 | Lions 2.4 | Colts 0.1 | Bills -0.4 | Jets -1.9 | Broncos -1.0 | Bears -0.2 | Packers -0.3 | Chargers 0.7 | Bills 0.1 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Browns | 9.1 | -1.2 | Panthers 0.4 | Steelers -1.7 | Jets -1.9 | Ravens -1.6 | Titans -1.3 | Steelers -2.2 | Saints -0.5 | Texans 0.1 | BYE - | Raiders -0.4 | Bengals 0.5 | Falcons 1.5 | Giants 0.1 | Ravens -1.9 | Colts -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| Saints | 8.4 | 0.9 | Raiders 0.4 | Falcons 1.9 | Vikings 1.5 | Giants 0.0 | Steelers -2.1 | BYE - | Browns 0.4 | Panthers 2.0 | Bears -0.6 | Bengals -0.3 | Packers 0.9 | Panthers 0.5 | Buccaneers 0.7 | Cardinals 1.1 | Falcons 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Chiefs | 9.7 | 0.5 | Dolphins 0.4 | Raiders 0.0 | BYE - | Chargers 1.0 | Seahawks -0.3 | Broncos -1.2 | Jets -1.9 | Falcons 1.7 | Cardinals 0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Rams -1.9 | Bengals -0.3 | Patriots -2.2 | 49ers -2.1 | Chargers 1.4 | -0.4 | -1.0 |
| Steelers | 7.3 | 0.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Browns -0.8 | Colts -0.5 | Buccaneers 1.2 | Saints -1.1 | Browns -0.7 | BYE - | Bengals 0.0 | Eagles -2.2 | Broncos -0.8 | Texans 0.2 | Jaguars -0.5 | Ravens -1.6 | Panthers 1.0 | Titans -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.6 |
| Eagles | 7.0 | -0.4 | Bears 0.2 | Rams -2.3 | Jaguars -0.4 | Panthers 0.9 | Cowboys 1.6 | Commanders 1.5 | Giants 0.5 | BYE - | Steelers -1.9 | Cowboys 2.3 | Cardinals 0.3 | Colts -0.2 | Seahawks 0.5 | Texans 0.5 | 49ers -2.3 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
| Colts | 7.9 | 0.0 | Texans 0.0 | Commanders 2.1 | Steelers -2.4 | Titans 0.1 | Vikings 0.8 | Jaguars -0.7 | Cowboys 2.8 | Dolphins 1.9 | Texans 0.8 | Giants 1.5 | BYE - | Eagles -2.3 | Titans -1.4 | Bengals 1.2 | Browns -0.9 | 0.3 | -0.4 |
| Falcons | 8.5 | 0.1 | Packers 0.0 | Saints -0.5 | Ravens -0.4 | Bears 1.3 | 49ers -0.6 | Buccaneers 1.4 | Bengals 0.4 | Chiefs 1.8 | BYE - | Vikings 1.1 | Lions 3.9 | Browns -0.5 | Commanders 1.7 | Buccaneers 2.6 | Saints 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Buccaneers | 6.2 | 0.4 | Vikings -0.2 | Packers 0.4 | Cowboys 2.6 | Steelers -1.4 | Panthers 0.9 | Falcons 1.8 | Bears -0.3 | BYE - | Lions 3.2 | Panthers 0.9 | Chargers 1.6 | Ravens -1.9 | Saints -0.2 | Falcons 2.2 | Rams -2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Texans | 8.9 | -0.2 | Colts -0.2 | Cowboys 2.2 | Titans -1.8 | Jaguars -1.0 | Giants 0.7 | BYE - | Chargers 0.7 | Browns -1.6 | Colts 0.2 | Ravens -1.2 | Steelers -2.6 | Commanders 0.9 | Jaguars -0.1 | Eagles -2.6 | Packers -1.3 | -0.6 | -1.3 |
| Raiders | 7.8 | 0.7 | Saints -0.2 | Chiefs 2.1 | Patriots -1.1 | Bills 2.0 | Rams -0.2 | Jets -1.4 | 49ers -1.7 | Seahawks 1.8 | Broncos -0.4 | Browns -0.4 | BYE - | Chargers 3.0 | Broncos 1.2 | Titans 1.1 | Cardinals 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Chargers | 7.6 | -0.1 | Bills -0.3 | Seahawks -0.1 | Broncos -0.2 | Chiefs 0.3 | BYE - | Rams -2.0 | Texans 0.8 | Ravens -2.2 | Jets -1.4 | Patriots -0.9 | Buccaneers 0.8 | Raiders -0.3 | 49ers -1.5 | Dolphins 0.1 | Chiefs 1.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| 49ers | 9.8 | 0.1 | Cardinals -0.3 | Broncos -0.9 | Seahawks -0.3 | Commanders 1.8 | Falcons 1.8 | BYE - | Raiders -0.3 | Cowboys 2.1 | Vikings 1.1 | Seahawks 0.2 | Giants -0.2 | Rams -2.3 | Chargers 1.3 | Chiefs 0.1 | Eagles -2.0 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| Lions | 8.1 | 0.3 | Jets -0.6 | Panthers 0.9 | Cardinals 0.8 | BYE - | Packers 1.2 | Vikings 1.7 | Dolphins 0.9 | Patriots -1.7 | Buccaneers 2.5 | Bears 1.1 | Falcons 2.3 | Titans 0.3 | Vikings 1.0 | Giants 1.2 | Bears -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Patriots | 7.4 | -0.9 | Jaguars -0.7 | Bills -0.6 | Raiders -0.4 | Jets -1.9 | Bears -0.5 | Dolphins 0.4 | Packers -0.1 | Lions 3.0 | BYE - | Chargers 1.5 | Bills 0.2 | Vikings 0.6 | Chiefs -0.1 | Jets -2.6 | Broncos -0.8 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| Titans | 6.4 | -0.5 | Giants -0.8 | Ravens -1.7 | Texans 0.2 | Colts 0.3 | Browns -0.5 | Bengals 0.4 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.1 | Cowboys 2.5 | Jaguars -0.4 | Commanders 2.0 | Lions 2.9 | Colts -0.1 | Raiders 0.3 | Steelers -1.7 | 0.2 | -0.5 |
| Commanders | 7.3 | -0.8 | Seahawks -0.9 | Colts 0.2 | Giants 0.1 | 49ers -2.7 | BYE - | Eagles -2.2 | Rams -2.3 | Giants -0.3 | Bengals -0.3 | Cardinals 0.2 | Titans -1.9 | Texans -0.2 | Falcons 1.1 | Vikings 0.6 | Jaguars -1.0 | -0.7 | 0.2 |
| Cardinals | 10.8 | 0.4 | 49ers -1.4 | Giants 0.2 | Lions 3.7 | Rams -1.1 | Broncos 0.3 | Cowboys 2.7 | Seahawks 0.6 | Rams -1.0 | Chiefs 1.0 | Commanders 3.2 | Eagles -0.4 | BYE - | Jets -0.8 | Saints 0.1 | Raiders 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Jaguars | 7.7 | -0.5 | Patriots -1.7 | Bengals 0.2 | Eagles -1.7 | Texans 1.1 | BYE - | Colts -0.1 | Ravens -1.6 | Titans -1.2 | Giants 0.0 | Titans -0.7 | Bears -0.3 | Steelers -1.9 | Texans 0.9 | Cowboys 2.4 | Commanders 2.3 | -0.2 | 1.9 |
| Panthers | 8.7 | -0.8 | Browns -1.7 | Lions 2.2 | BYE - | Eagles -2.9 | Buccaneers 1.3 | Packers -0.9 | Broncos -1.1 | Saints -0.6 | Ravens -1.9 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Vikings 0.2 | Saints -1.0 | Bengals 0.0 | Steelers -2.6 | Seahawks -0.3 | -0.7 | -1.0 |
| Cowboys | 7.9 | 0.5 | Ravens -1.8 | Texans 1.0 | Buccaneers 2.7 | Packers 0.1 | Eagles -2.3 | Cardinals 1.3 | Colts 0.4 | 49ers -0.7 | Titans 0.3 | Eagles -0.5 | Seahawks -0.1 | BYE - | Rams -1.2 | Jaguars 1.0 | Giants 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Rams | 10.9 | -0.9 | Broncos -1.9 | Eagles -2.7 | Bills 0.4 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders -0.2 | Chargers 1.4 | Commanders 1.5 | Cardinals 0.1 | BYE - | Packers 0.4 | Chiefs 1.4 | 49ers -2.7 | Cowboys 2.2 | Seahawks -0.5 | Buccaneers 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Broncos | 7.1 | -0.4 | Rams -2.0 | 49ers -2.0 | Chargers 1.6 | Seahawks 0.6 | Cardinals 0.8 | Chiefs 0.8 | Panthers 0.8 | BYE - | Raiders -0.2 | Steelers -1.9 | Dolphins 1.4 | Jets -1.9 | Raiders 0.1 | Bills 0.3 | Patriots -1.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
| Giants | 10.1 | -0.5 | Titans -2.4 | Cardinals 0.1 | Commanders 1.3 | Saints -1.0 | Texans 0.4 | BYE - | Eagles -2.6 | Commanders 1.7 | Jaguars -0.4 | Colts -0.1 | 49ers -2.3 | Seahawks 0.0 | Browns -0.8 | Lions 2.1 | Cowboys 1.8 | -0.2 | 1.0 |
| Bengals | 8.6 | -0.6 | Steelers -2.6 | Jaguars 0.1 | Dolphins 0.7 | BYE - | Ravens -1.9 | Titans -0.6 | Falcons 2.5 | Steelers -1.6 | Commanders 1.4 | Saints -0.3 | Browns -0.6 | Chiefs 0.8 | Panthers 0.9 | Colts 0.3 | Ravens -1.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| Bears | 10.3 | -1.6 | Eagles -3.4 | Jets -2.7 | Packers -1.3 | Falcons 1.0 | Patriots -2.6 | Seahawks -1.2 | Buccaneers 0.7 | BYE - | Saints -1.3 | Lions 2.2 | Jaguars -0.9 | Dolphins -0.2 | Bills -1.5 | Packers -0.7 | Lions 1.8 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
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