Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Falcons | 8.9 | 1.3 | Panthers 2.6 | Commanders 2.0 | BYE - | Bills -0.8 | 49ers -1.2 | Dolphins 1.0 | Patriots -1.4 | Colts 0.0 | Panthers 1.8 | Saints 1.1 | Jets -0.2 | Seahawks 1.1 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Cardinals 0.7 | Rams -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.4 |
Raiders | 12.0 | 1.3 | Commanders 1.7 | Bears 1.4 | Colts 0.3 | Titans 1.7 | Chiefs -0.8 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.1 | Broncos -0.5 | Cowboys 1.1 | Browns 0.1 | Chargers -1.0 | Broncos 0.2 | Eagles -1.3 | Texans 0.3 | Giants 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Seahawks | 7.9 | 0.2 | Saints 1.2 | Cardinals 0.4 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Jaguars -0.9 | Texans -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders 0.7 | Cardinals 0.3 | Rams -1.1 | Titans 0.8 | Vikings -0.1 | Falcons -1.4 | Colts 0.0 | Rams -0.8 | Panthers 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Chiefs | 11.9 | 0.4 | Giants 1.2 | Ravens 0.9 | Jaguars -1.0 | Lions 0.4 | Raiders -0.5 | Commanders 1.9 | Bills -1.0 | BYE - | Broncos -1.1 | Colts 0.7 | Cowboys 0.6 | Texans -0.3 | Chargers -0.4 | Titans 0.7 | Broncos 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Patriots | 10.1 | 0.7 | Steelers 0.8 | Panthers 1.5 | Bills -1.0 | Saints 1.4 | Titans 0.6 | Browns -0.6 | Falcons -1.2 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Jets 0.4 | Bengals -0.5 | Giants 1.0 | BYE - | Bills -1.0 | Ravens 0.5 | Jets 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Titans | 8.4 | 0.6 | Colts 0.5 | Texans -0.1 | Cardinals 1.8 | Raiders -0.1 | Patriots 0.1 | Colts 0.9 | Chargers -0.2 | BYE - | Texans -0.5 | Seahawks 1.0 | Jaguars 0.0 | Browns -0.6 | 49ers -0.1 | Chiefs 0.0 | Saints 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Eagles | 9.1 | 0.1 | Rams 0.5 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Broncos 0.1 | Giants 0.8 | Vikings 0.1 | Giants 1.1 | BYE - | Packers -0.3 | Lions -0.3 | Cowboys 0.6 | Bears 0.7 | Chargers -1.2 | Raiders -0.4 | Commanders 1.6 | Bills -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Cowboys | 11.1 | 0.7 | Bears 0.5 | Packers 0.9 | Jets 0.2 | Panthers 1.4 | Commanders 2.5 | Broncos -0.8 | Cardinals 1.4 | BYE - | Raiders -1.2 | Eagles 0.0 | Chiefs -0.2 | Lions -0.2 | Vikings 1.0 | Chargers -0.5 | Commanders 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Vikings | 8.1 | 0.1 | Bengals 0.4 | Steelers 1.2 | Browns -1.2 | BYE - | Eagles -1.1 | Chargers -1.3 | Lions -0.2 | Ravens 1.3 | Bears 1.1 | Packers -0.1 | Seahawks -0.1 | Commanders 1.8 | Cowboys -0.2 | Giants 0.8 | Lions 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Lions | 11.5 | 0.1 | Ravens 0.4 | Browns 0.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Chiefs -0.4 | Buccaneers 0.6 | BYE - | Vikings 0.0 | Commanders 1.5 | Eagles -0.9 | Giants 1.6 | Packers 1.5 | Cowboys 0.8 | Rams -0.6 | Steelers 2.0 | Vikings 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Bills | 13.0 | -0.3 | Dolphins 0.4 | Saints 1.1 | Patriots -1.0 | Falcons -1.7 | BYE - | Panthers 0.2 | Chiefs -0.9 | Dolphins -0.2 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Texans -0.9 | Steelers 0.5 | Bengals -0.8 | Patriots -1.2 | Browns -1.6 | Eagles -1.4 | -0.6 | -1.4 |
49ers | 11.9 | 0.2 | Cardinals 0.3 | Jaguars -0.2 | Rams -0.9 | Buccaneers 1.4 | Falcons 1.4 | Texans 3.1 | Giants 4.0 | Rams 3.0 | Cardinals 4.3 | Panthers 4.9 | Browns 2.3 | BYE - | Titans 3.9 | Colts 3.3 | Bears 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
Buccaneers | 7.3 | 0.0 | Jets 0.2 | Eagles -0.5 | Seahawks 0.7 | 49ers -0.5 | Lions -0.1 | Saints 2.3 | BYE - | Patriots 0.3 | Bills -0.9 | Rams -1.0 | Cardinals 1.0 | Saints 1.4 | Falcons -1.1 | Panthers 1.4 | Dolphins 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Ravens | 9.6 | -0.3 | Lions 0.2 | Chiefs -0.6 | Texans -0.5 | Rams -0.4 | BYE - | Bears 0.8 | Dolphins 0.4 | Vikings -0.1 | Browns -1.0 | Jets 0.4 | Bengals 0.5 | Steelers 1.4 | Bengals -0.6 | Patriots -0.3 | Packers -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
Chargers | 6.2 | 0.6 | Broncos 0.0 | Giants 0.4 | Commanders 1.6 | Dolphins 0.3 | Colts 0.4 | Vikings 0.1 | Titans 0.3 | Steelers 1.2 | Jaguars -0.6 | BYE - | Raiders -0.4 | Eagles -0.9 | Chiefs -1.4 | Cowboys 0.2 | Texans -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 |
Colts | 10.5 | -0.2 | Titans -0.1 | Rams -1.6 | Raiders -0.2 | Cardinals 1.1 | Chargers -1.7 | Titans 1.2 | Steelers 1.0 | Falcons -1.1 | BYE - | Chiefs -1.8 | Texans 0.0 | Jaguars -0.5 | Seahawks 0.4 | 49ers 0.4 | Jaguars 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.4 |
Browns | 12.0 | 0.1 | Packers -0.1 | Lions -0.1 | Vikings 0.1 | Steelers 0.7 | Dolphins 1.0 | Patriots -0.9 | BYE - | Jets -0.6 | Ravens 1.0 | Raiders -0.7 | 49ers -0.4 | Titans 1.6 | Bears 0.3 | Bills -0.6 | Steelers 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Bears | 6.9 | -0.4 | Cowboys -0.2 | Raiders -1.3 | BYE - | Commanders 0.3 | Saints 0.9 | Ravens 0.3 | Bengals -1.3 | Giants 0.6 | Vikings -0.9 | Steelers 1.1 | Eagles -2.0 | Packers -0.3 | Browns -1.4 | Packers 0.6 | 49ers -1.3 | -0.3 | -0.7 |
Saints | 11.4 | 0.4 | Seahawks -0.2 | Bills -0.8 | Giants 1.8 | Patriots 0.7 | Bears -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Rams -1.0 | Panthers 1.5 | BYE - | Falcons -1.3 | Dolphins 0.2 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Panthers 2.4 | Jets 1.2 | Titans 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.7 |
Cardinals | 13.1 | 0.7 | 49ers -0.3 | Seahawks 1.6 | Titans 1.6 | Colts 0.1 | Packers 0.9 | BYE - | Cowboys -0.4 | Seahawks 0.8 | 49ers 0.1 | Jaguars 0.6 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Rams -0.3 | Texans 0.0 | Falcons -0.5 | Bengals -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.3 |
Steelers | 11.9 | -0.8 | Patriots -0.4 | Vikings -0.7 | BYE - | Browns -1.2 | Bengals -0.7 | Packers 0.0 | Colts 0.2 | Chargers -1.7 | Bengals -0.4 | Bears -0.6 | Bills -1.0 | Ravens 0.2 | Dolphins 0.7 | Lions -0.5 | Browns -1.6 | -0.5 | -0.5 |
Giants | 6.1 | -0.4 | Chiefs -0.6 | Chargers -0.8 | Saints 1.0 | Eagles -1.1 | Broncos -0.7 | Eagles -1.4 | 49ers 0.4 | Bears -0.1 | Packers 0.5 | Lions 0.0 | Patriots -0.8 | BYE - | Commanders 1.2 | Vikings 0.0 | Raiders -0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
Dolphins | 6.8 | 0.2 | Bills -0.7 | Jets 0.6 | Panthers 2.0 | Chargers -1.0 | Browns -1.4 | Falcons -1.5 | Ravens 0.9 | Bills -0.7 | Commanders 1.9 | BYE - | Saints 0.9 | Jets -0.4 | Steelers 0.5 | Bengals 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Broncos | 8.7 | -0.7 | Chargers -0.8 | Bengals -0.3 | Eagles -1.7 | Jets 0.1 | Giants 0.9 | Cowboys 0.1 | Texans -0.4 | Raiders -0.7 | Chiefs -0.4 | BYE - | Commanders 1.0 | Raiders 0.3 | Packers 0.2 | Jaguars -0.2 | Chiefs -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
Commanders | 10.0 | -1.0 | Raiders -1.0 | Falcons -1.3 | Chargers -1.7 | Bears 0.2 | Cowboys -0.6 | Chiefs -1.5 | Seahawks 0.5 | Lions -0.8 | Dolphins 0.1 | BYE - | Broncos -1.3 | Vikings -0.5 | Giants 0.2 | Eagles -1.7 | Cowboys -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.5 |
Texans | 9.2 | 0.2 | Jaguars -1.2 | Titans 1.4 | Ravens 0.4 | BYE - | Seahawks -0.5 | 49ers -0.1 | Broncos -0.2 | Jaguars 0.3 | Titans 0.5 | Bills 0.4 | Colts -0.1 | Chiefs -1.2 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders -0.1 | Chargers -1.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
Jaguars | 8.3 | -0.2 | Texans -1.2 | 49ers -0.3 | Chiefs -0.2 | Seahawks 0.9 | Rams -1.1 | BYE - | Raiders -0.7 | Texans -0.8 | Chargers -1.0 | Cardinals 0.3 | Titans 0.7 | Colts -0.2 | Jets 0.5 | Broncos -1.0 | Colts 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.2 |
Bengals | 11.0 | -1.4 | Vikings -1.3 | Broncos -1.4 | Lions -1.6 | Packers -1.2 | Steelers -0.4 | Jets -1.4 | Bears -0.7 | BYE - | Steelers -1.1 | Patriots -1.9 | Ravens -0.7 | Bills -2.2 | Ravens 0.3 | Dolphins -1.3 | Cardinals -1.1 | -1.1 | -0.7 |
Panthers | 8.5 | -1.1 | Falcons -1.5 | Patriots -1.6 | Dolphins -0.4 | Cowboys -1.1 | Jets -1.1 | Bills -1.3 | Packers -0.7 | Saints 0.0 | Falcons -2.2 | 49ers -1.5 | Rams -1.5 | BYE - | Saints -0.2 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Seahawks -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.6 |
Jets | 7.6 | -0.8 | Buccaneers -1.6 | Dolphins -0.3 | Cowboys -0.5 | Broncos -0.8 | Panthers 2.2 | Bengals -0.6 | BYE - | Browns -1.0 | Patriots -1.2 | Ravens 0.4 | Falcons -1.8 | Dolphins 0.7 | Jaguars -1.2 | Saints 0.7 | Patriots -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
Rams | 7.9 | -0.4 | Eagles -1.7 | Colts 0.3 | 49ers -0.2 | Ravens 0.2 | Jaguars -0.6 | BYE - | Saints 0.6 | 49ers -1.2 | Seahawks 1.3 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Panthers 0.9 | Cardinals 0.6 | Lions -0.7 | Seahawks 0.3 | Falcons -1.3 | -0.1 | -0.5 |
Packers | 12.5 | -1.4 | Browns -3.6 | Cowboys 0.1 | BYE - | Bengals -0.8 | Cardinals 0.6 | Steelers 0.8 | Panthers 1.3 | Eagles -1.0 | Giants 0.3 | Vikings -0.6 | Lions -0.6 | Bears 0.2 | Broncos -0.8 | Bears -0.1 | Ravens 1.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 |
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