Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
|
Baseline
|
Next 4
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
AVG
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | 23.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -1.1 | 6.7 | -0.4 | -2.8 | 4.4 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -2.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -1.3 | 4.6 | -2.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Colts | 25.8 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.2 | -1.0 | 1.4 | 4.1 | -2.5 | 1.9 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 3.7 | -1.7 | 1.1 |
| Cowboys | 33.8 | 0.8 | -1.2 | 2.6 | 5.2 | -2.6 | -1.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 0.8 | -0.1 | -1.4 | 5.6 | -0.4 | 0.9 |
| Lions | 29.8 | 2.3 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 5.3 | -2.3 | 0.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4.4 | -1.1 | -0.7 | 1.8 |
| Bengals | 29.4 | -0.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | 4.1 | -2.5 | 0.1 | -2.5 | -4.5 | 1.4 | -0.2 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -1.3 | 0.7 | -2.9 | 0.1 | -1.0 |
| Bears | 20.7 | 2.1 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | -0.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 0.1 | -1.6 | -1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Cardinals | 27.4 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 4.2 | -0.9 | -1.4 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | -2.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -1.8 | -1.1 | 0.7 |
| Vikings | 27.7 | 0.9 | -2.5 | 2.1 | 3.8 | -2.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | -1.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Eagles | 32.3 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Texans | 38.6 | 3.2 | -2.6 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 3.0 | -1.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -0.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| Raiders | 32.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | -1.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -2.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1.5 | -2.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Buccaneers | 39.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 | 0.4 | -1.1 | -3.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -3.3 | 0.3 | -1.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | -0.5 |
| 49ers | 25.4 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Chiefs | 30.0 | -0.3 | 1.4 | -0.8 | 2.4 | -2.2 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.7 | 2.0 | -0.4 | 0.6 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0.1 | -2.3 | -0.5 |
| Falcons | 25.3 | 1.5 | 3.2 | -4.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4.5 | -2.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 3.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Seahawks | 41.4 | 0.1 | -0.8 | -4.7 | 1.7 | -1.6 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -2.8 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Bills | 32.4 | -1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -5.8 | 2.6 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 1.2 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| Panthers | 29.8 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.3 | 0.4 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Ravens | 28.2 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | -4.3 | 1.9 | -0.2 | -4.4 | 0.3 | -2.6 | -4.1 | -3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -0.4 | -1.2 |
| Browns | 27.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | -2.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -2.4 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -0.6 | -4.2 | 0.9 | -1.0 |
| Titans | 27.9 | -0.2 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -1.0 | 1.2 | -1.2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | -0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Broncos | 28.5 | -0.8 | -0.7 | 0.2 | 0.9 | -2.7 | -0.9 | -0.7 | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.3 | -3.1 | 0.2 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | -2.3 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| Jets | 27.1 | 0.1 | -1.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -1.2 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -2.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | -1.4 | -0.5 |
| Rams | 33.1 | 2.4 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Steelers | 25.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -4.0 | -3.8 | -2.3 | 0.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.7 |
| Giants | 29.6 | -0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 1.2 | -3.4 | 1.6 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Dolphins | 35.4 | 0.3 | 9.4 | 8.1 | -1.8 | 3.3 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 1.8 | 3.6 | -0.9 | 1.1 |
| Jaguars | 27.9 | -1.1 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -2.0 | -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.5 |
| Packers | 36.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | -0.8 | -2.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Chargers | 30.6 | -2.4 | 0.1 | -1.8 | -3.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -1.5 | 0.1 | -2.9 | 2.8 | -1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -3.3 | 3.1 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| Patriots | 19.3 | -1.1 | 1.1 | 3.7 | -3.6 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 1.2 | -2.6 | 1.0 | -0.7 | 1.3 | -2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 0.3 | -0.4 |
| Commanders | 30.4 | -1.3 | 0.5 | -0.9 | -3.9 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 0.1 | -0.5 | 1.1 | -3.4 | -0.9 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 2.8 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
Refreshed 54 seconds ago