Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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AVG
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Saints | 23.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | -1.0 | 6.7 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | -0.4 | -2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -1.3 | 4.7 | -2.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
Colts | 25.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 3.3 | -1.0 | 1.4 | 2.9 | -2.4 | 2.0 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 3.7 | -1.6 | 1.1 |
Cowboys | 33.3 | 0.9 | -1.0 | 2.9 | 5.5 | -2.6 | -1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 4.9 | -0.4 | 0.9 |
Lions | 29.7 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 5.3 | -2.2 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 3.3 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 1.7 |
Bengals | 29.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 4.5 | -2.5 | 0.3 | -2.4 | -4.5 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -1.4 | -1.6 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -1.1 | 0.8 | -2.8 | 0.2 | -0.8 |
Bears | 20.6 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Cardinals | 27.3 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 4.2 | -1.4 | -1.3 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | -2.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | -1.7 | -1.1 | 0.7 |
Vikings | 27.8 | 1.0 | -2.4 | 2.1 | 3.8 | -2.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | -1.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
Eagles | 32.7 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.0 |
Texans | 38.5 | 2.9 | -2.4 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 3.1 | -1.7 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -0.7 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
Chiefs | 29.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.2 | -2.2 | -1.1 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 1.3 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 0.1 | -2.1 | -0.6 |
Raiders | 31.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | -1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -2.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1.5 | -2.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
49ers | 25.4 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 |
Falcons | 25.3 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -3.8 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 3.8 | -2.4 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 3.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Buccaneers | 40.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.9 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -3.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | -2.1 | -3.2 | 0.4 | -1.0 | 0.9 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
Seahawks | 41.3 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 1.9 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.1 | -2.8 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
Panthers | 29.7 | -0.3 | -0.9 | 0.2 | 1.8 | -1.1 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 0.5 | -1.1 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.2 |
Ravens | 28.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | -4.2 | 1.9 | -1.0 | -4.3 | 0.3 | -2.5 | -4.0 | -2.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -2.3 | -0.4 | -1.3 |
Browns | 26.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -2.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -2.8 | -3.9 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 1.0 | -0.9 |
Titans | 27.7 | -0.1 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | -0.9 | 1.2 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Bills | 34.1 | -1.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -5.7 | 2.8 | -1.5 | -0.2 | 1.4 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.9 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
Jets | 27.0 | -0.1 | -1.1 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -2.3 | -2.8 | -2.8 | -0.5 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -2.5 | -0.6 |
Rams | 32.6 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
Broncos | 28.4 | -0.8 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -2.7 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.5 | -3.0 | 0.2 | -0.8 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -0.9 |
Steelers | 24.6 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -1.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -3.9 | -3.8 | -2.2 | 0.3 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
Giants | 29.4 | -0.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -0.8 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 1.2 | -3.2 | 1.6 | -1.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
Dolphins | 35.3 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 8.3 | -1.6 | 3.3 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | -0.9 | 1.0 |
Packers | 36.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -0.6 | -1.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Jaguars | 28.2 | -1.2 | 0.4 | -0.5 | -2.3 | -1.6 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | -0.5 |
Chargers | 30.5 | -2.4 | 0.3 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -1.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -1.4 | 0.1 | -2.8 | 2.8 | -1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -3.2 | 2.4 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
Patriots | 19.3 | -1.1 | 1.3 | 3.8 | -3.5 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 1.4 | -2.6 | 1.0 | -0.7 | 1.4 | -1.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -2.3 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
Commanders | 30.3 | -1.1 | 0.8 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 0.1 | -1.1 | 0.3 | -0.4 | 1.2 | -3.3 | -0.8 | -1.2 | -0.5 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
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