Week 8

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
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AVG
Playoffs
Cowboys 47.5 2.6 -1.2 3.2 1.2 2.8 2.6 -0.6 -5.1 5.3 1.1 1.6 2.3 4.7 -6.6 - 0.5 2.9 1.5 1.5 1.6
Commanders 36.4 -0.1 -1.1 0.5 -3.9 0.2 -2.3 -3.1 - 3.7 1.1 -1.5 -3.8 5.3 -0.3 2.4 2.5 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.5
Cardinals 29.3 -1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 -4.1 3.4 0.7 -0.9 3.4 -4.6 0.5 -3.7 2.0 4.5 - 3.8 1.1 2.9 1.1 2.6
Vikings 29.7 -0.1 2.0 -0.9 -1.9 -1.2 0.3 - -1.1 3.1 -1.2 0.0 -2.0 3.0 2.6 0.2 3.5 5.1 1.0 1.5 3.2
Bills 34.5 -0.9 0.5 2.4 3.1 -1.5 0.0 3.0 - 2.2 -3.9 -0.1 -2.0 -1.5 -1.6 -0.2 -1.1 -0.2 -2.7 -1.1 -1.3
Ravens 34.2 -1.3 1.0 -0.9 2.8 -2.8 3.2 -0.2 -2.2 2.1 -0.8 -4.4 -2.0 1.3 - -1.5 -1.7 -0.2 -1.2 -0.9 -1.0
Jets 31.9 0.0 -2.0 -0.7 4.8 -1.5 -0.9 1.6 -3.1 2.0 -2.6 -0.3 1.1 -2.8 - 1.2 3.4 1.3 -0.1 0.3 1.5
Eagles 33.8 -0.6 -0.3 -0.7 -3.9 -1.8 1.7 0.3 -6.0 1.6 -2.3 - -1.0 1.6 3.0 -0.9 -0.7 2.1 -0.2 0.4 0.4
Chargers 28.7 1.5 1.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 1.9 -3.0 - 1.4 3.4 -3.5 4.8 3.7 -1.0 1.8 2.6 -1.1 2.5 1.4 1.4
Raiders 28.9 -1.3 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.1 -0.7 3.0 -1.4 1.1 -3.9 -0.4 -2.0 -2.4 - 1.5 2.8 2.6 2.4 0.2 2.6
Rams 37.9 0.8 -0.6 -1.2 -5.8 -2.3 -0.1 3.3 -0.9 1.1 -0.5 1.9 - 2.7 0.2 -2.9 1.3 -2.9 -2.3 -0.1 -1.3
Bengals 41.3 1.1 0.4 1.7 -3.6 0.8 -2.1 - -1.6 1.0 4.6 0.5 -1.9 0.4 -0.1 -0.9 0.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.9
Packers 39.0 -0.5 0.5 -0.8 1.5 -2.4 -3.0 0.7 -0.2 0.9 -0.2 -2.2 - 1.2 2.2 0.7 -0.3 -0.2 -1.2 0.1 -0.6
Steelers 34.7 0.4 0.3 0.6 -2.3 -2.5 -1.3 -2.3 -5.0 0.4 - -1.3 2.1 2.0 2.6 -2.6 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.8 1.4
Panthers 36.9 0.8 0.6 2.6 -0.4 2.0 - 2.2 -4.3 0.3 1.4 1.0 0.4 -5.9 -0.5 0.1 -0.1 0.1 -0.7 -0.4 -0.2
Browns 30.4 -0.1 -1.6 0.3 -1.6 -4.1 -1.5 0.1 -2.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 - -0.5 0.1 1.3 -1.2 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.4
Buccaneers 34.3 0.3 1.3 1.1 2.1 -1.7 3.5 -3.0 -3.7 -0.1 -1.9 - 2.7 -2.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 3.6 0.5 0.5 1.6
Titans 33.4 0.9 -0.3 1.3 -0.9 -0.8 1.0 2.4 -1.0 -0.6 - 0.6 2.6 -0.3 1.8 4.3 -0.1 3.2 1.7 1.5 1.6
Seahawks 42.6 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.5 2.1 -0.6 -0.1 -3.1 -1.0 2.7 2.5 - -2.1 -2.4 0.4 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.8
Lions 41.2 -0.8 1.5 -1.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 - -0.5 -1.1 -1.9 -1.3 1.0 1.8 2.4 1.3 -1.0 -2.3 -1.9 -0.3 -1.7
Jaguars 39.9 -1.2 -3.1 -0.9 0.5 1.7 2.2 3.7 - -1.3 0.0 -1.5 -2.1 -0.5 -1.7 -3.1 2.3 1.6 1.6 -0.5 1.8
Dolphins 31.5 0.2 -0.8 1.3 -1.0 2.3 -1.4 - -1.4 -1.4 1.6 1.2 -0.8 1.8 0.6 0.5 1.7 1.2 2.0 0.8 1.6
Chiefs 34.3 1.1 -5.6 -0.2 -2.4 0.6 - -0.2 -2.2 -2.6 1.7 3.3 1.8 -0.4 1.3 -1.3 -2.5 0.3 1.6 0.3 -0.2
Broncos 31.4 -1.0 -5.9 -0.3 -0.6 1.6 1.3 -0.5 -0.9 -3.2 -0.9 - 1.2 -0.5 -0.3 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.3 0.4 1.9
Colts 33.2 0.6 1.9 -0.5 5.7 2.0 -1.9 2.6 -1.2 -3.7 2.3 1.9 1.8 2.4 - 1.4 -0.8 2.4 0.2 0.9 0.6
Patriots 38.7 0.6 -0.1 -1.5 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 1.6 -0.2 -3.9 1.7 3.9 - 1.3 1.0 -1.7 -5.8 0.6 1.1 -0.2 -1.4
Falcons 33.3 -2.1 -1.9 1.9 0.3 -3.2 2.3 3.0 -0.1 -5.0 -1.6 0.1 - -0.9 3.2 -0.4 -0.2 2.1 2.5 0.0 1.5
Bears 37.1 -2.1 -0.8 1.2 -5.7 -1.2 -1.9 4.5 -0.4 -5.2 -0.6 - -0.4 2.3 0.8 -2.3 -1.3 1.1 1.4 -0.5 0.4
Giants 30.7 1.7 -0.7 -0.5 -1.2 0.8 -0.8 -1.4 0.1 - 1.4 2.4 1.3 1.0 -0.6 -1.5 0.9 0.5 2.7 0.9 1.4
49ers 31.6 0.0 0.8 0.2 4.7 2.9 -0.7 -0.6 1.5 - -0.4 1.0 -0.5 -2.3 -2.0 -1.1 0.7 -2.9 1.4 -0.7 -0.3
Saints 34.0 2.7 2.3 -2.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 -0.7 -4.8 - 4.1 4.7 -0.8 -1.1 4.4 -0.1 -1.0 5.7 4.1 2.2 2.9
Texans 40.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 3.5 2.4 -2.8 -2.3 -0.3 - 1.4 -1.0 1.8 3.2 -1.3 -0.4 3.2 1.7 -3.5 0.6 0.5

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