Week 6

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Rams 44.4 2.8 5.5 3.3 1.9 0.5 3.1 - 0.9 -0.1 -2.6 2.0 -2.2 -1.7 0.9 -0.7
Raiders 23.0 -0.1 4.7 0.7 -2.5 -3.3 0.4 -2.5 -1.8 - 1.2 1.6 2.8 3.4 0.4 2.6
Bears 35.4 -0.4 4.4 -0.2 -5.5 -0.2 - -0.8 4.1 1.4 -2.6 0.1 -0.2 2.4 0.3 0.8
Bills 31.3 0.2 3.7 - 0.6 -3.8 -1.6 -2.9 -2.1 -2.2 -2.0 -0.6 -0.8 -3.1 -1.3 -1.5
Colts 32.1 1.0 3.3 -1.1 -1.1 2.7 1.3 2.1 2.4 - 0.8 -0.8 2.2 0.8 1.1 0.7
Falcons 32.6 -0.1 2.7 0.9 -2.3 -1.7 -0.1 - -0.8 4.9 0.5 0.2 2.7 2.3 0.8 1.7
Packers 39.2 1.4 2.6 3.3 1.0 -1.2 -2.2 - 0.7 1.2 1.5 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 0.5 -0.7
Jaguars 36.6 0.4 1.8 - -0.8 0.0 -1.8 -1.5 -1.0 -1.4 -3.8 3.8 1.3 1.7 -0.2 2.3
Titans 37.1 0.9 1.7 1.8 -0.7 - 1.7 3.5 1.3 2.8 5.4 0.6 4.9 1.8 2.2 2.4
Patriots 38.9 -0.8 0.9 -1.1 -2.7 -0.2 4.6 - 1.8 1.9 -1.1 -6.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.2 -2.0
49ers 33.9 1.8 0.4 4.8 - 0.3 0.7 -0.5 -1.7 -2.0 -1.3 1.1 -3.6 0.8 -0.1 -0.6
Cardinals 28.6 -0.5 -0.1 1.0 0.6 -3.4 0.4 -3.8 2.4 3.7 - 1.6 0.7 4.3 0.7 2.2
Browns 29.0 -1.1 -0.2 -2.0 -2.2 0.2 0.6 - 1.8 0.3 3.0 -0.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.4
Panthers 39.5 -0.2 -0.2 0.4 -1.5 0.7 2.1 1.0 -5.0 0.0 -0.3 0.9 0.0 0.8 -0.1 0.6
Jets 29.2 -0.9 -0.3 -2.2 2.0 -2.9 0.8 1.4 -2.9 - 0.5 5.4 0.7 -0.2 0.2 1.9
Cowboys 49.0 0.7 -0.9 -2.9 5.9 0.8 2.3 2.5 4.0 -5.4 - 0.2 4.2 2.4 1.2 2.3
Saints 33.2 0.0 -1.0 -2.6 - 3.7 2.7 -0.8 -2.1 1.7 -0.5 -1.4 6.0 4.3 0.9 3.0
Chiefs 35.7 -0.9 -1.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.1 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.5 -1.2 -3.3 0.3 2.0 0.1 -0.3
Eagles 33.1 -1.5 -1.6 -3.9 0.6 -1.3 - -1.0 2.2 4.3 -0.5 0.1 2.5 -0.1 0.1 0.8
Ravens 34.6 -0.7 -1.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.2 -3.7 -1.4 1.9 - -0.6 -2.4 0.6 -1.7 -0.9 -1.2
Seahawks 38.8 -1.0 -1.7 -2.1 -3.0 2.8 3.0 - -2.5 -3.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 -0.6 -0.5 0.1
Broncos 31.7 -0.1 -2.3 5.2 -2.6 -0.9 - 1.3 -1.4 -1.6 0.0 3.5 2.2 0.2 0.3 2.0
Steelers 31.8 -0.3 -2.4 -0.1 1.4 - -1.7 1.1 1.1 2.8 -2.0 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.5 1.7
Giants 30.0 0.2 -2.6 2.5 - 0.7 2.4 1.2 1.2 -0.3 -0.9 1.7 0.9 2.6 0.9 1.8
Texans 40.1 0.6 -3.1 2.9 - 2.1 0.1 2.5 3.9 -1.0 1.6 3.1 1.9 -4.4 0.9 0.2
Commanders 36.5 -0.7 -3.8 - 2.0 -0.1 -1.3 -3.9 5.9 -0.2 1.7 3.4 1.6 1.6 0.6 2.2
Buccaneers 33.2 -1.0 -4.7 -1.0 2.5 -1.0 - 3.3 -2.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.4 0.1 0.2 1.5
Chargers 25.4 -1.1 -6.0 - 0.1 2.6 -4.2 2.3 2.1 -1.4 2.7 1.6 -2.1 0.8 -0.1 0.1
Vikings 28.3 2.0 - 2.4 3.4 0.4 -1.5 -1.5 4.5 3.3 -0.1 5.3 5.4 0.4 2.0 3.7
Dolphins 30.9 0.8 - -1.2 0.6 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.9 2.0 0.7 2.0 3.9 1.5 2.2
Lions 35.6 -0.1 - 2.2 0.6 -3.0 -2.2 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.3 -0.2 -1.6
Bengals 41.8 1.7 - -0.8 0.7 5.1 0.2 -1.6 0.0 1.0 -1.8 -0.2 1.9 2.1 0.6 1.3

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