Week 9

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
AVG
Playoffs
Colts 31.8 2.8 5.6 1.3 3.1 1.0 - 2.3 2.3 4.6 -2.2 2.3 1.6
49ers 35.1 1.1 4.9 4.8 -2.5 -2.8 -1.8 -1.5 -0.6 -2.0 2.4 0.1 -0.1
Falcons 30.6 0.1 3.8 0.8 - -4.1 2.9 -2.5 -2.2 -0.1 3.1 0.2 0.3
Dolphins 32.9 0.4 3.0 -0.5 -1.7 0.9 -0.3 -0.2 1.6 -0.3 1.4 0.4 0.9
Chargers 29.8 1.9 2.8 -2.7 2.9 4.7 -2.6 4.4 2.5 -1.6 3.0 1.5 1.3
Chiefs 34.0 0.6 2.5 1.2 0.0 -1.3 0.6 0.6 -1.5 -0.5 0.1 0.2 -0.6
Giants 32.9 0.8 2.2 0.3 0.6 0.0 -0.9 -2.7 -1.4 0.2 4.5 0.3 1.1
Bengals 43.5 -0.2 1.9 0.4 -3.8 0.8 -2.2 -0.6 -0.2 -0.6 1.7 -0.3 0.3
Packers 39.4 -0.9 1.7 -4.8 - 0.3 1.5 0.0 -0.9 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 -0.7
Browns 29.0 1.5 1.6 1.2 - 1.7 2.2 -0.7 -1.2 1.4 -1.6 0.6 -0.5
Patriots 38.1 1.6 1.4 3.6 - -0.2 -0.7 -4.3 -5.2 -0.3 0.3 -0.7 -1.8
Broncos 32.7 1.0 0.7 - 3.5 -1.2 -1.0 0.0 4.3 1.0 2.3 1.2 2.6
Cowboys 45.5 3.2 0.6 0.5 6.0 5.6 -7.5 - -0.6 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.2
Jaguars 38.4 1.6 0.3 3.0 -0.8 3.9 -2.2 -2.8 5.1 4.8 0.1 1.3 3.3
Saints 36.3 0.5 -0.2 4.1 -2.2 0.1 4.7 -1.1 -3.1 3.6 1.4 0.8 0.6
Buccaneers 32.4 0.0 -0.3 - 2.8 -2.4 -0.1 2.4 1.5 2.9 -0.2 0.8 1.4
Raiders 29.7 -1.5 -0.7 0.0 -2.3 -3.0 - 0.3 2.8 6.3 2.1 0.7 3.8
Rams 37.9 1.2 -0.7 1.2 - 3.1 1.3 -2.5 4.4 -3.4 -2.9 0.1 -0.6
Seahawks 41.6 0.2 -0.8 4.4 - -2.8 -0.8 0.0 2.6 -0.6 -0.4 0.2 0.5
Eagles 32.8 0.8 -0.9 - -0.9 4.2 2.0 -2.5 -1.2 3.7 0.0 0.6 0.9
Texans 38.6 0.0 -0.9 -3.2 -0.1 4.3 -1.3 -1.0 2.7 2.8 -3.0 0.0 0.8
Lions 40.8 0.3 -0.9 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.4 5.3 -3.3 -2.2 -2.1 -0.1 -2.6
Jets 34.5 -1.5 -1.1 -1.5 0.2 -3.5 - 0.6 1.7 2.1 -3.2 -0.6 0.2
Commanders 35.8 -0.7 -1.1 -2.5 -2.3 3.3 3.1 2.0 0.2 -1.7 1.2 0.2 -0.1
Vikings 30.2 -0.6 -1.2 -0.3 -2.4 1.6 2.6 1.3 3.4 3.3 0.2 1.0 2.3
Bears 37.5 0.3 -1.4 - 0.3 1.9 1.7 -2.7 -2.1 1.0 1.3 0.0 0.0
Panthers 36.2 -1.5 -1.7 1.4 1.6 -7.4 -3.2 0.7 1.8 -0.3 -1.8 -1.0 -0.1
Ravens 30.1 -1.7 -1.8 -5.9 -2.1 2.9 - -2.9 -1.6 -1.9 1.3 -1.5 -0.7
Cardinals 29.9 -2.5 -6.5 -0.4 -3.2 -0.1 5.2 - 2.6 1.3 4.3 0.4 2.7
Bills 34.4 -2.2 -7.1 0.1 -1.6 -0.3 1.3 0.4 -0.8 -0.5 -2.7 -1.2 -1.3
Titans 33.3 2.2 - 1.1 5.0 0.4 -0.1 4.4 -1.4 6.1 1.6 2.1 2.1
Steelers 34.6 2.0 - 0.9 3.5 1.7 3.8 -2.0 3.2 1.9 4.5 2.2 3.2

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