Week 8

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Cowboys 30.8 1.8 -2.0 2.4 0.6 1.4 2.3 0.4 -3.1 3.9 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.7 -5.0 - -0.3 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.7
Commanders 22.8 -0.4 -1.9 -0.4 -3.2 -0.1 -1.1 -2.0 - 2.8 0.6 -1.7 -3.2 4.2 -0.5 1.6 1.8 1.0 -0.1 0.6 0.9
Cardinals 18.1 -1.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 -2.4 2.6 0.8 0.4 1.9 -3.7 0.2 -3.4 1.0 3.9 - 3.2 0.8 2.6 0.7 2.2
Vikings 19.1 -0.6 2.5 -1.0 -1.6 0.6 0.5 - -0.2 1.7 -1.6 -0.7 -1.8 2.2 2.4 -0.6 2.3 3.8 0.2 0.8 2.1
Jets 20.3 -0.4 -1.2 -0.2 3.1 -0.9 0.3 1.1 -1.1 1.7 -2.7 -1.5 0.7 -2.5 - 0.9 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.2
Bills 22.9 -0.7 0.5 3.0 3.1 -0.4 0.2 2.3 - 1.3 -2.3 -0.3 -1.5 -1.6 -2.2 -0.9 -1.3 -0.4 -2.5 -1.2 -1.4
Rams 24.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 -4.7 -2.0 -0.2 3.9 -0.3 0.9 -1.1 1.3 - 1.6 -0.2 -2.7 0.0 -2.2 -2.0 -0.5 -1.4
Eagles 20.9 -0.7 0.6 -0.2 -1.2 -1.2 1.0 1.0 -3.6 0.8 -1.9 - -1.0 0.2 2.2 -0.7 -0.1 1.6 -0.1 0.1 0.5
Packers 24.9 -0.4 -0.4 0.1 2.2 -1.2 -2.3 0.3 -0.1 0.8 -0.8 -1.2 - 0.3 1.5 -0.6 -0.2 -0.7 -0.8 -0.2 -0.6
Chargers 17.9 1.0 3.2 3.2 0.0 0.8 1.6 -3.5 - 0.7 2.4 -2.9 3.9 2.6 -0.8 1.2 2.0 -0.8 1.9 1.0 1.0
Bengals 26.9 0.7 0.3 -0.3 -2.4 0.7 -0.8 - -0.8 0.7 3.4 0.2 -1.7 0.4 -0.1 -1.3 -0.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3
Ravens 21.8 -1.4 0.9 -0.2 1.5 -1.5 1.6 0.4 -1.7 0.6 -1.5 -2.7 -1.9 0.1 - -1.2 -1.9 0.1 -1.6 -1.1 -1.1
Steelers 22.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 -1.4 -1.6 -0.5 -1.2 -3.0 0.6 - -1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 -2.3 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.6 1.1
Raiders 18.8 -1.4 2.0 1.6 1.8 0.4 -0.8 1.4 -0.7 0.5 -3.8 -0.3 -1.9 -1.8 - 1.4 2.3 2.1 1.5 0.0 2.0
Buccaneers 21.9 -0.4 0.8 1.6 2.0 -1.3 2.0 -2.4 -2.6 -0.1 -2.1 - 1.1 -1.4 1.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 0.2 0.2 1.1
Browns 18.8 -0.6 -1.6 0.2 -0.2 -3.2 -1.0 0.7 -0.8 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 - -0.4 -0.4 0.7 -1.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 -0.5
Panthers 23.6 0.3 0.1 2.1 -0.1 1.4 - 2.6 -2.2 -0.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 -4.5 -0.2 0.2 -0.6 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4
Lions 27.3 -0.9 1.8 -2.5 0.3 -0.8 2.9 - -0.3 -0.6 -1.6 -2.1 0.8 0.9 1.2 0.7 -0.9 -1.6 -2.4 -0.6 -1.6
Seahawks 28.1 1.0 -0.2 0.7 1.2 2.2 -0.6 -0.5 -2.4 -1.0 2.4 1.7 - -2.4 -2.3 0.2 1.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 0.3
Jaguars 26.6 -1.4 -2.3 -0.9 1.4 1.0 2.1 2.6 - -1.1 -0.5 -1.5 -2.4 -0.5 -2.2 -2.4 1.0 -0.2 0.8 -0.9 0.5
Titans 20.7 -0.2 0.2 1.1 -0.9 -1.0 1.3 2.9 0.6 -1.3 - -0.2 1.0 -0.9 1.3 2.7 -0.1 2.4 1.4 0.7 1.2
Dolphins 20.6 -0.6 0.0 1.1 -0.1 1.7 -0.7 - -0.2 -1.8 0.5 0.6 -1.9 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.0
Chiefs 22.4 0.7 -3.8 0.0 -2.0 1.4 - 0.7 -1.7 -2.4 1.5 2.3 1.6 -1.6 0.5 -1.7 -2.1 0.0 1.2 -0.1 -0.3
Broncos 19.7 -1.0 -4.2 0.4 0.5 1.4 1.6 -0.2 0.2 -3.0 -1.2 - 1.2 -0.8 0.0 1.4 1.8 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.0
Patriots 25.6 -0.1 -1.1 -0.8 -1.1 -1.1 0.1 2.0 0.2 -3.2 0.6 2.4 - 0.9 -0.2 -0.9 -4.7 0.0 0.8 -0.5 -1.3
Colts 21.0 0.1 1.3 -0.2 4.4 2.8 -1.8 2.9 -0.3 -3.7 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.3 - 1.3 -0.5 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Bears 24.0 -1.4 0.0 2.0 -4.9 -0.3 -1.1 3.6 0.1 -3.9 -0.2 - -0.2 0.8 0.2 -1.9 -2.4 0.4 0.5 -0.7 -0.5
Falcons 22.1 -2.1 -1.6 1.8 -0.2 -1.7 1.8 3.1 0.5 -4.0 -2.0 -0.3 - -0.4 1.8 0.0 -0.8 1.9 2.1 -0.2 1.1
49ers 20.9 -0.4 0.4 1.7 4.0 3.4 -0.5 0.7 1.7 - -0.5 -0.8 -0.1 -1.8 -2.0 -1.6 0.1 -3.2 0.6 -1.0 -0.8
Giants 19.7 1.4 -0.1 -0.7 -1.4 0.4 -0.7 -0.9 -0.4 - 1.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 -0.5 -1.0 1.3 0.1 1.2 0.6 0.9
Saints 20.5 1.9 1.1 -2.4 1.3 1.7 0.1 -0.2 -3.2 - 3.5 3.7 -1.6 -2.0 2.7 -0.5 -1.2 4.3 2.5 1.3 1.9
Texans 27.2 0.3 -1.2 0.0 0.9 0.9 -2.3 -2.6 0.7 - 0.7 -0.9 1.0 2.0 -2.1 -1.4 1.6 0.8 -3.5 -0.2 -0.4

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