Week 8
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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| Cowboys | 30.8 | 1.8 | Giants -2.0 | Commanders 2.4 | Ravens 0.6 | Texans 1.4 | Buccaneers 2.3 | Packers 0.4 | Eagles -3.1 | Cardinals 3.9 | Colts 0.5 | 49ers 0.9 | Titans 1.7 | Eagles 3.7 | Seahawks -5.0 | BYE - | Rams -0.3 | Jaguars 1.6 | Giants 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Commanders | 22.8 | -0.4 | Eagles -1.9 | Cowboys -0.4 | Seahawks -3.2 | Colts -0.1 | Giants -1.1 | 49ers -2.0 | BYE - | Eagles 2.8 | Rams 0.6 | Giants -1.7 | Bengals -3.2 | Cardinals 4.2 | Titans -0.5 | Texans 1.6 | Falcons 1.8 | Vikings 1.0 | Jaguars -0.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Cardinals | 18.1 | -1.3 | Chargers 0.9 | Seahawks 1.3 | 49ers 0.8 | Giants -2.4 | Lions 2.6 | Rams 0.8 | Broncos 0.4 | Cowboys 1.9 | Seahawks -3.7 | Rams 0.2 | Chiefs -3.4 | Commanders 1.0 | Eagles 3.9 | BYE - | Jets 3.2 | Saints 0.8 | Raiders 2.6 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Vikings | 19.1 | -0.6 | Packers 2.5 | Bears -1.0 | Buccaneers -1.6 | Dolphins 0.6 | Saints 0.5 | BYE - | Colts -0.2 | Lions 1.7 | Bills -1.6 | Packers -0.7 | 49ers -1.8 | Falcons 2.2 | Panthers 2.4 | Patriots -0.6 | Lions 2.3 | Commanders 3.8 | Jets 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Jets | 20.3 | -0.4 | Titans -1.2 | Packers -0.2 | Lions 3.1 | Bears -0.9 | Browns 0.3 | Patriots 1.1 | Dolphins -1.1 | Raiders 1.7 | Chiefs -2.7 | Bills -1.5 | Chargers 0.7 | Dolphins -2.5 | BYE - | Broncos 0.9 | Cardinals 2.4 | Patriots 0.7 | Vikings 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Bills | 22.9 | -0.7 | Texans 0.5 | Lions 3.0 | Chargers 3.1 | Patriots -0.4 | Rams 0.2 | Raiders 2.3 | BYE - | Ravens 1.3 | Vikings -2.3 | Jets -0.3 | Dolphins -1.5 | Chiefs -1.6 | Patriots -2.2 | Packers -0.9 | Bears -1.3 | Broncos -0.4 | Dolphins -2.5 | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| Rams | 24.5 | 0.4 | 49ers 0.4 | Giants 0.2 | Broncos -4.7 | Eagles -2.0 | Bills -0.2 | Cardinals 3.9 | Raiders -0.3 | Chargers 0.9 | Commanders -1.1 | Cardinals 1.3 | BYE - | Packers 1.6 | Chiefs -0.2 | 49ers -2.7 | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks -2.2 | Buccaneers -2.0 | -0.5 | -1.4 |
| Eagles | 20.9 | -0.7 | Commanders 0.6 | Titans -0.2 | Bears -1.2 | Rams -1.2 | Jaguars 1.0 | Panthers 1.0 | Cowboys -3.6 | Commanders 0.8 | Giants -1.9 | BYE - | Steelers -1.0 | Cowboys 0.2 | Cardinals 2.2 | Colts -0.7 | Seahawks -0.1 | Texans 1.6 | 49ers -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Packers | 24.9 | -0.4 | Vikings -0.4 | Jets 0.1 | Falcons 2.2 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Bears -2.3 | Cowboys 0.3 | Lions -0.1 | Panthers 0.8 | Patriots -0.8 | Vikings -1.2 | BYE - | Rams 0.3 | Saints 1.5 | Bills -0.6 | Dolphins -0.2 | Bears -0.7 | Texans -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| Chargers | 17.9 | 1.0 | Cardinals 3.2 | Raiders 3.2 | Bills 0.0 | Seahawks 0.8 | Broncos 1.6 | Chiefs -3.5 | BYE - | Rams 0.7 | Texans 2.4 | Ravens -2.9 | Jets 3.9 | Patriots 2.6 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Raiders 1.2 | 49ers 2.0 | Dolphins -0.8 | Chiefs 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Bengals | 26.9 | 0.7 | Buccaneers 0.3 | Texans -0.3 | Steelers -2.4 | Jaguars 0.7 | Dolphins -0.8 | BYE - | Ravens -0.8 | Titans 0.7 | Falcons 3.4 | Steelers 0.2 | Commanders -1.7 | Saints 0.4 | Browns -0.1 | Chiefs -1.3 | Panthers -0.2 | Colts 0.8 | Ravens 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Ravens | 21.8 | -1.4 | Colts 0.9 | Saints -0.2 | Cowboys 1.5 | Titans -1.5 | Falcons 1.6 | Browns 0.4 | Bengals -1.7 | Bills 0.6 | Jaguars -1.5 | Chargers -2.7 | Panthers -1.9 | Texans 0.1 | BYE - | Buccaneers -1.2 | Steelers -1.9 | Browns 0.1 | Bengals -1.6 | -1.1 | -1.1 |
| Steelers | 22.0 | 0.2 | Falcons 0.6 | Patriots 0.2 | Bengals -1.4 | Browns -1.6 | Colts -0.5 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Saints -3.0 | Browns 0.6 | BYE - | Bengals -1.8 | Eagles 1.8 | Broncos 1.8 | Texans 2.1 | Jaguars -2.3 | Ravens 1.4 | Panthers 1.6 | Titans 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Raiders | 18.8 | -1.4 | Dolphins 2.0 | Chargers 1.6 | Saints 1.8 | Chiefs 0.4 | Patriots -0.8 | Bills 1.4 | Rams -0.7 | Jets 0.5 | 49ers -3.8 | Seahawks -0.3 | Broncos -1.9 | Browns -1.8 | BYE - | Chargers 1.4 | Broncos 2.3 | Titans 2.1 | Cardinals 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Buccaneers | 21.9 | -0.4 | Bengals 0.8 | Browns 1.6 | Vikings 2.0 | Packers -1.3 | Cowboys 2.0 | Steelers -2.4 | Panthers -2.6 | Falcons -0.1 | Bears -2.1 | BYE - | Lions 1.1 | Panthers -1.4 | Chargers 1.0 | Ravens 0.2 | Saints 0.7 | Falcons 2.4 | Rams 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Browns | 18.8 | -0.6 | Jaguars -1.6 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Panthers -0.2 | Steelers -3.2 | Jets -1.0 | Ravens 0.7 | Titans -0.8 | Steelers -0.5 | Saints -0.6 | Texans -0.7 | BYE - | Raiders -0.4 | Bengals -0.4 | Falcons 0.7 | Giants -1.2 | Ravens -0.3 | Colts -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| Panthers | 23.6 | 0.3 | Bears 0.1 | Falcons 2.1 | Browns -0.1 | Lions 1.4 | BYE - | Eagles 2.6 | Buccaneers -2.2 | Packers -0.5 | Broncos 1.4 | Saints 0.3 | Ravens 0.1 | Buccaneers -4.5 | Vikings -0.2 | Saints 0.2 | Bengals -0.6 | Steelers -0.3 | Seahawks -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Lions | 27.3 | -0.9 | Saints 1.8 | Bills -2.5 | Jets 0.3 | Panthers -0.8 | Cardinals 2.9 | BYE - | Packers -0.3 | Vikings -0.6 | Dolphins -1.6 | Patriots -2.1 | Buccaneers 0.8 | Bears 0.9 | Falcons 1.2 | Titans 0.7 | Vikings -0.9 | Giants -1.6 | Bears -2.4 | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| Seahawks | 28.1 | 1.0 | Patriots -0.2 | Cardinals 0.7 | Commanders 1.2 | Chargers 2.2 | 49ers -0.6 | Broncos -0.5 | Chiefs -2.4 | Bears -1.0 | Cardinals 2.4 | Raiders 1.7 | BYE - | 49ers -2.4 | Cowboys -2.3 | Giants 0.2 | Eagles 1.2 | Rams -0.2 | Panthers -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.3 |
| Jaguars | 26.6 | -1.4 | Browns -2.3 | Broncos -0.9 | Patriots 1.4 | Bengals 1.0 | Eagles 2.1 | Texans 2.6 | BYE - | Colts -1.1 | Ravens -0.5 | Titans -1.5 | Giants -2.4 | Titans -0.5 | Bears -2.2 | Steelers -2.4 | Texans 1.0 | Cowboys -0.2 | Commanders 0.8 | -0.9 | 0.5 |
| Titans | 20.7 | -0.2 | Jets 0.2 | Eagles 1.1 | Giants -0.9 | Ravens -1.0 | Texans 1.3 | Colts 2.9 | Browns 0.6 | Bengals -1.3 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.2 | Cowboys 1.0 | Jaguars -0.9 | Commanders 1.3 | Lions 2.7 | Colts -0.1 | Raiders 2.4 | Steelers 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Dolphins | 20.6 | -0.6 | Raiders 0.0 | 49ers 1.1 | Chiefs -0.1 | Vikings 1.7 | Bengals -0.7 | BYE - | Jets -0.2 | Patriots -1.8 | Lions 0.5 | Colts 0.6 | Bills -1.9 | Jets 1.6 | Broncos 0.3 | Bears 0.2 | Packers 0.8 | Chargers 1.2 | Bills 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Chiefs | 22.4 | 0.7 | Broncos -3.8 | Colts 0.0 | Dolphins -2.0 | Raiders 1.4 | BYE - | Chargers 0.7 | Seahawks -1.7 | Broncos -2.4 | Jets 1.5 | Falcons 2.3 | Cardinals 1.6 | Bills -1.6 | Rams 0.5 | Bengals -1.7 | Patriots -2.1 | 49ers 0.0 | Chargers 1.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| Broncos | 19.7 | -1.0 | Chiefs -4.2 | Jaguars 0.4 | Rams 0.5 | 49ers 1.4 | Chargers 1.6 | Seahawks -0.2 | Cardinals 0.2 | Chiefs -3.0 | Panthers -1.2 | BYE - | Raiders 1.2 | Steelers -0.8 | Dolphins 0.0 | Jets 1.4 | Raiders 1.8 | Bills 0.5 | Patriots 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| Patriots | 25.6 | -0.1 | Seahawks -1.1 | Steelers -0.8 | Jaguars -1.1 | Bills -1.1 | Raiders 0.1 | Jets 2.0 | Bears 0.2 | Dolphins -3.2 | Packers 0.6 | Lions 2.4 | BYE - | Chargers 0.9 | Bills -0.2 | Vikings -0.9 | Chiefs -4.7 | Jets 0.0 | Broncos 0.8 | -0.5 | -1.3 |
| Colts | 21.0 | 0.1 | Ravens 1.3 | Chiefs -0.2 | Texans 4.4 | Commanders 2.8 | Steelers -1.8 | Titans 2.9 | Vikings -0.3 | Jaguars -3.7 | Cowboys 1.0 | Dolphins 2.0 | Texans 1.0 | Giants 2.3 | BYE - | Eagles 1.3 | Titans -0.5 | Bengals 1.6 | Browns 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Bears | 24.0 | -1.4 | Panthers 0.0 | Vikings 2.0 | Eagles -4.9 | Jets -0.3 | Packers -1.1 | Falcons 3.6 | Patriots 0.1 | Seahawks -3.9 | Buccaneers -0.2 | BYE - | Saints -0.2 | Lions 0.8 | Jaguars 0.2 | Dolphins -1.9 | Bills -2.4 | Packers 0.4 | Lions 0.5 | -0.7 | -0.5 |
| Falcons | 22.1 | -2.1 | Steelers -1.6 | Panthers 1.8 | Packers -0.2 | Saints -1.7 | Ravens 1.8 | Bears 3.1 | 49ers 0.5 | Buccaneers -4.0 | Bengals -2.0 | Chiefs -0.3 | BYE - | Vikings -0.4 | Lions 1.8 | Browns 0.0 | Commanders -0.8 | Buccaneers 1.9 | Saints 2.1 | -0.2 | 1.1 |
| 49ers | 20.9 | -0.4 | Rams 0.4 | Dolphins 1.7 | Cardinals 4.0 | Broncos 3.4 | Seahawks -0.5 | Commanders 0.7 | Falcons 1.7 | BYE - | Raiders -0.5 | Cowboys -0.8 | Vikings -0.1 | Seahawks -1.8 | Giants -2.0 | Rams -1.6 | Chargers 0.1 | Chiefs -3.2 | Eagles 0.6 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| Giants | 19.7 | 1.4 | Cowboys -0.1 | Rams -0.7 | Titans -1.4 | Cardinals 0.4 | Commanders -0.7 | Saints -0.9 | Texans -0.4 | BYE - | Eagles 1.3 | Commanders 1.9 | Jaguars 0.8 | Colts 0.3 | 49ers -0.5 | Seahawks -1.0 | Browns 1.3 | Lions 0.1 | Cowboys 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Saints | 20.5 | 1.9 | Lions 1.1 | Ravens -2.4 | Raiders 1.3 | Falcons 1.7 | Vikings 0.1 | Giants -0.2 | Steelers -3.2 | BYE - | Browns 3.5 | Panthers 3.7 | Bears -1.6 | Bengals -2.0 | Packers 2.7 | Panthers -0.5 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Cardinals 4.3 | Falcons 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Texans | 27.2 | 0.3 | Bills -1.2 | Bengals 0.0 | Colts 0.9 | Cowboys 0.9 | Titans -2.3 | Jaguars -2.6 | Giants 0.7 | BYE - | Chargers 0.7 | Browns -0.9 | Colts 1.0 | Ravens 2.0 | Steelers -2.1 | Commanders -1.4 | Jaguars 1.6 | Eagles 0.8 | Packers -3.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
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