Week 1

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
12
13
14
15
16
17
AVG
Playoffs
Lions 25.1 0.4 3.6 1.9 1.3 1.2 -1.9 -0.4 0.8 -0.4
Chargers 22.0 1.6 5.0 -0.5 0.3 3.4 -0.3 4.6 1.8 2.5
Vikings 19.8 1.1 2.5 1.8 0.6 4.0 2.2 -1.5 1.2 1.6
Saints 20.2 1.0 -0.2 4.2 -0.8 -0.8 3.3 2.8 1.5 1.8
Ravens 19.1 1.9 1.3 - 0.1 -0.3 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.2
Bengals 24.0 1.8 2.0 0.1 1.8 -0.1 2.1 2.1 1.0 1.4
Buccaneers 21.9 1.8 -3.5 2.0 0.3 2.1 3.1 1.7 1.4 2.3
Panthers 20.5 0.2 -4.8 0.5 -0.4 0.1 -1.4 0.1 -0.4 -0.4
Raiders 16.9 1.2 -2.4 - 1.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.1
Steelers 18.5 -0.1 0.5 -0.3 -3.6 0.1 -0.5 -2.4 -0.8 -0.9
Colts 21.9 0.7 3.0 - -1.3 -3.0 2.4 -1.9 0.4 -0.8
Eagles 20.6 -1.1 1.3 1.3 -0.5 1.7 0.4 -1.1 -0.4 0.3
Bears 21.7 -0.2 3.3 1.6 -1.0 -1.3 1.1 2.1 0.3 0.6
Texans 21.8 2.7 4.0 -0.5 -1.5 4.6 0.3 -4.3 1.3 0.2
Seahawks 25.2 -1.1 -3.1 -5.8 -0.4 -1.5 -0.2 -2.9 -1.7 -1.5
Cardinals 18.0 -0.7 -0.4 1.2 - -0.8 0.6 -1.4 -0.1 -0.6
Giants 19.9 0.1 1.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 -0.5 0.9 0.5 0.3
Packers 22.4 -0.9 0.8 1.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 -5.1 -0.3 -1.7
Titans 18.0 -0.4 -0.7 -1.6 2.2 -1.2 -0.5 -1.3 -0.4 -1.0
Cowboys 26.4 0.3 2.6 -5.0 - 1.0 2.7 2.1 0.2 1.9
49ers 21.3 0.8 0.7 -0.9 0.8 1.9 -0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5
Bills 20.6 1.7 2.1 1.5 0.5 1.9 1.0 -0.6 0.8 0.8
Rams 26.4 -0.1 2.2 3.6 -0.5 1.9 0.7 -1.4 0.6 0.4
Commanders 19.7 0.9 1.7 -2.6 -0.4 1.5 2.5 -0.3 0.1 1.2
Patriots 23.6 -0.2 1.7 1.0 1.2 -3.9 -1.9 1.8 0.1 -1.3
Jets 17.5 0.3 -1.8 - 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.8
Dolphins 17.8 -0.8 -2.3 0.1 -0.3 -0.8 -1.0 -0.1 -0.7 -0.6
Jaguars 23.0 0.2 -0.7 0.3 -3.7 1.5 0.6 -0.5 -0.2 0.5
Falcons 19.2 -1.1 0.7 4.0 -1.9 -2.3 1.1 2.9 0.6 0.6
Browns 16.2 -1.3 -2.1 0.7 0.4 -0.2 -0.5 -0.7 -0.8 -0.5
Chiefs 23.2 -0.4 0.3 2.3 -0.9 -2.2 0.2 2.4 0.3 0.1
Broncos 24.8 -0.1 -0.4 0.9 -1.6 0.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.8

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