Week 2

Position

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Cowboys 9.6 1.9 -0.8 3.4 -0.4 1.6 2.8 0.8 -2.6 1.0 0.0 -1.9 1.3 -0.5 -1.5 - -1.4 -1.0 -0.6 0.1 -1.0
Commanders 9.7 0.3 -1.1 3.4 -0.9 0.3 -1.7 -3.3 - -1.7 -1.6 -1.9 -2.2 0.5 -0.3 1.1 1.0 1.2 -2.4 -0.6 -0.1
Bills 12.7 0.3 -1.2 3.1 1.9 -2.1 -1.6 -1.5 - -0.3 0.8 -2.5 -0.8 0.7 -2.8 0.9 0.1 -0.4 -1.3 -0.4 -0.5
Raiders 9.9 0.6 -0.3 2.0 0.5 1.8 -1.9 1.2 0.2 -1.2 -2.4 0.7 0.5 0.6 - 3.6 2.0 2.4 1.3 0.8 1.9
Panthers 10.5 1.6 -0.7 1.6 0.1 3.2 - -2.0 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.6 -0.2 1.3 1.2 0.1 -1.5 -3.0 -0.7 0.3 -1.7
Bengals 14.1 -1.1 -0.6 0.7 -2.9 -1.3 -0.8 - -0.4 0.8 2.1 -2.5 2.4 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4
Browns 9.9 -0.7 -2.1 0.6 0.8 -2.6 -1.7 -0.4 0.1 -3.1 0.1 1.2 - -2.1 -1.5 1.2 -1.6 -0.7 -0.4 -0.7 -0.9
Jets 10.2 1.1 -1.3 0.4 3.6 -0.4 0.9 -2.3 -0.3 -1.4 0.6 0.1 2.8 -1.0 - 0.7 0.7 -2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0
Eagles 11.0 -1.1 0.0 0.4 -1.0 -1.7 -2.0 0.8 2.8 2.3 -1.7 - -3.0 3.5 0.2 -0.4 -0.6 1.5 -3.0 -0.1 -0.7
Bears 10.9 -0.3 -1.6 0.2 -1.5 -1.2 1.3 1.8 -2.0 -1.6 2.3 - 0.0 3.7 -1.5 -0.8 -0.5 1.6 3.3 0.3 1.4
Falcons 9.5 0.3 -1.1 0.1 0.8 -0.3 0.4 1.0 -1.7 1.6 -2.1 1.3 - 0.9 3.8 0.0 2.2 2.8 0.8 0.8 1.9
Seahawks 8.7 0.0 -0.4 -0.1 1.6 1.4 -3.1 -0.4 0.8 -0.3 0.4 -1.4 - -3.4 2.7 -1.3 -1.8 -1.4 0.3 -0.4 -0.9
Colts 10.2 0.3 -0.3 -0.1 2.3 2.7 -3.5 1.3 1.1 -2.5 3.9 0.2 1.8 -0.5 - -2.3 -0.3 -1.0 0.0 0.2 -0.4
Buccaneers 9.2 1.4 -0.8 -0.3 1.0 1.4 3.5 -2.7 0.4 1.0 -0.5 - 3.1 0.4 2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.5 -1.7 0.5 -0.1
Cardinals 14.1 0.0 -1.2 -0.3 -2.5 -1.6 4.5 -0.6 1.5 4.2 -0.6 -0.1 0.8 4.3 0.3 - -0.2 0.9 -0.5 0.7 0.1
Rams 11.5 -0.8 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -2.1 0.0 0.9 -1.5 2.5 2.3 0.3 - 1.8 1.4 -3.3 3.6 -1.3 1.3 0.3 1.2
Chiefs 12.0 -1.1 -1.8 -0.6 -1.1 -1.6 - 2.0 -1.5 -0.5 -1.9 1.4 0.1 -0.9 -1.4 -2.7 -3.1 -2.9 2.4 -0.8 -1.2
49ers 11.8 -0.7 -1.0 -0.7 -0.2 -0.2 -1.6 2.3 1.3 - -2.1 3.1 1.4 -1.3 -2.3 -2.0 2.0 -0.4 -1.9 -0.2 -0.1
Ravens 12.4 1.1 -0.7 -0.7 3.5 0.2 1.3 -0.3 -2.2 -1.2 -2.3 1.5 0.2 1.4 - 1.8 -3.6 0.4 -2.6 -0.2 -1.9
Chargers 10.5 -0.5 0.9 -1.0 -0.9 -1.3 1.2 0.2 - -1.3 2.3 -1.2 -0.8 -1.2 1.6 -1.6 -1.8 -1.0 1.5 -0.3 -0.4
Vikings 12.0 0.1 0.0 -1.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 - 0.6 3.2 -0.1 0.8 -3.0 1.7 1.7 -2.7 4.0 3.8 -2.1 0.6 1.9
Texans 12.7 0.4 -0.5 -1.1 -0.4 3.6 -0.5 -2.7 -1.2 - 1.6 -0.7 0.1 0.1 -3.7 1.6 -1.7 -2.4 -0.3 -0.5 -1.5
Lions 10.9 -0.3 -0.2 -1.2 -0.8 0.4 0.4 - 2.1 1.8 -1.0 -2.7 2.6 0.9 1.6 1.2 1.2 -1.0 -0.3 0.3 0.0
Broncos 11.0 -0.7 -1.6 -1.2 -1.3 -2.9 2.4 -0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 - -1.9 -3.1 -0.4 -1.9 -1.6 -0.2 -2.5 -0.9 -1.5
Saints 14.4 0.5 -0.6 -1.4 -0.7 1.8 2.3 -1.7 -2.9 - 1.8 2.0 -0.3 -2.2 2.6 0.7 1.5 1.3 1.7 0.4 1.5
Jaguars 10.5 -1.6 -1.6 -1.6 -1.9 -1.7 -1.3 2.4 - -0.1 -0.4 0.0 -1.8 0.6 -0.1 -2.8 2.2 3.6 3.1 0.0 3.0
Packers 11.2 0.2 -0.7 -1.8 1.1 1.4 0.1 3.2 3.3 1.0 -2.8 0.8 - -1.6 0.1 -0.3 -0.5 -0.5 0.8 0.3 -0.1
Titans 9.1 -0.6 -0.4 -2.1 -1.3 -0.4 1.5 0.5 0.8 -1.4 - -1.6 3.8 -1.9 3.0 3.8 -0.1 -1.0 -2.5 0.1 -1.2
Giants 13.5 0.1 -1.5 -2.6 0.3 0.3 2.2 -0.1 1.7 - -2.3 2.7 -2.0 -0.2 -2.8 -1.4 0.5 2.9 3.2 0.2 2.2
Steelers 11.3 -1.0 -0.2 -2.8 -1.6 0.4 0.0 1.8 -0.3 0.9 - -2.1 -2.0 0.5 1.7 -2.1 -0.2 1.4 0.3 -0.3 0.5
Dolphins 7.9 -0.6 -0.7 -3.1 0.8 1.5 -1.6 - -1.9 -2.3 3.1 0.4 -0.7 -1.5 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.9 0.0 -0.1 1.0
Patriots 10.2 -2.4 -1.3 -3.4 -2.7 -1.3 -2.2 -1.9 -0.7 -1.4 1.0 3.3 - 1.9 -0.6 0.7 -0.5 -2.7 -0.1 -0.7 -1.1

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