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Week 7

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
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AVG
Playoffs
Chargers 8.1 -0.1 -1.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.5 0.6 1.4 -0.2 -1.7 0.0 -1.9 - -1.7 -2.1 -3.3 -0.4 -3.0 -1.3 -2.2
Lions 12.7 0.9 -1.8 -1.4 -0.1 0.5 1.0 -2.5 1.3 - 1.3 0.0 -1.1 1.8 1.0 0.7 -1.4 1.3 0.0 0.5 0.0
Packers 11.8 0.5 -0.9 -1.4 -1.7 1.6 - 1.4 1.1 -0.1 1.4 -0.5 1.1 -0.3 -0.9 -0.9 -3.3 -2.0 -2.4 -0.6 -2.6
Steelers 13.5 1.2 -1.2 2.2 -1.1 -0.6 - 0.0 1.1 0.6 1.3 1.6 2.2 -0.3 -2.7 -0.4 0.8 -0.2 1.5 0.5 0.7
Eagles 13.8 0.1 -0.6 -0.1 -1.0 -1.4 0.4 -0.9 0.9 -0.1 - -0.5 -0.5 1.0 0.1 1.2 -0.1 -0.6 -2.3 -0.1 -1.0
Cowboys 14.2 0.6 -2.3 0.3 -0.8 -0.5 0.2 -0.1 0.7 -1.6 2.7 - 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.9 1.8 2.5 0.9 1.1 1.7
Bengals 10.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 -0.7 -1.1 -0.1 -0.2 0.5 1.8 -0.2 - 1.1 0.0 0.5 -1.9 0.8 1.1 1.8 0.5 1.2
Broncos 11.3 0.1 -0.7 -0.8 -1.1 1.9 -0.5 1.0 0.4 1.1 -1.2 0.3 -0.7 - 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 -0.5 0.3 0.6
Panthers 11.3 -0.1 -1.6 -0.7 -2.7 -1.4 0.8 -0.7 0.3 -1.7 0.1 1.1 -0.4 -0.2 -1.0 - 1.2 0.8 -1.3 -0.1 0.2
Cardinals 14.6 0.0 0.0 2.0 -0.9 1.4 1.0 -0.1 0.3 - 1.1 -1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 -0.4 -1.7 -0.9 0.0 -0.2 -0.9
Jets 10.2 0.7 -1.2 -2.6 -1.4 1.1 1.5 -0.8 0.2 0.9 - 1.1 -1.0 0.3 -0.2 2.4 0.5 2.0 0.8 0.7 1.1
Commanders 9.8 -1.0 -0.7 -0.8 -1.4 -1.5 0.0 -0.5 0.1 -1.9 -1.3 -0.9 -0.1 - -2.7 -0.3 0.9 -0.7 -0.3 -0.7 0.0
Jaguars 9.5 -0.2 -0.3 0.5 -0.5 0.2 -0.2 0.3 0.0 - 0.5 -1.1 1.4 2.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 -2.3 0.4 0.2 -0.4
Falcons 9.8 0.5 -1.1 -1.5 0.2 0.6 - -1.6 -0.1 1.5 -0.5 0.8 0.6 -0.2 -1.0 -2.4 -1.8 -0.6 -2.4 -0.5 -1.6
Chiefs 13.0 -0.4 -0.7 -2.6 0.0 -0.5 -0.4 -0.9 -0.1 0.4 -1.6 - -1.2 0.6 0.9 -1.3 0.7 -0.8 -3.7 -0.6 -1.3
Buccaneers 8.5 -0.5 -0.3 -1.3 -0.4 -3.3 -1.1 0.1 -0.4 0.1 - -1.2 -3.6 -1.6 0.6 -0.2 -1.9 0.5 0.7 -0.7 -0.2
Colts 13.0 -0.8 -1.5 -2.3 -0.3 -0.4 0.4 0.4 -0.8 0.1 -0.5 -2.0 - -2.9 -2.5 -3.0 -4.0 -2.6 -3.5 -2.2 -3.4
Bears 8.3 0.4 -1.2 -0.2 -1.3 -0.8 - -0.2 -0.9 0.1 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.5 -1.5 -0.3 1.8 0.2 -1.1 0.1 0.3
Browns 15.4 -0.1 -1.3 1.9 -0.9 1.8 0.2 0.3 -1.0 -0.1 - 0.8 0.6 -0.2 0.5 0.8 -0.2 -1.6 1.2 0.1 -0.2
49ers 11.4 -0.8 -0.7 -0.5 0.5 -0.1 0.3 0.5 -1.2 -1.4 0.1 -0.6 2.3 2.0 2.5 - 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.8 1.5
Vikings 11.6 0.1 -0.9 -1.6 -1.4 2.1 -0.4 - -1.2 0.4 -0.2 1.3 0.2 -0.7 -2.4 -2.0 -0.6 -0.9 -1.5 -0.7 -1.0
Rams 8.9 -0.2 -0.6 -1.7 -2.3 0.9 1.2 -1.1 -1.5 - 1.0 -0.1 -0.9 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.6 -2.3 -1.8 -0.1 -1.2
Titans 11.4 -0.1 -1.2 -0.7 -0.3 -0.1 0.5 -0.6 -1.5 0.6 0.6 - -1.5 -1.0 -0.6 1.2 -0.5 -1.6 0.9 -0.3 -0.4
Dolphins 12.1 -0.9 -1.0 1.1 -1.8 -1.0 0.5 -1.2 -1.6 -0.9 0.7 -1.8 0.0 - 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.7
Saints 8.9 -0.8 -0.2 -1.2 0.3 -1.5 1.1 0.5 -1.7 0.7 -1.2 -1.2 - -2.7 -2.0 -2.4 -0.4 -1.3 -3.1 -1.5 -1.6
Seahawks 11.6 -0.1 -1.7 -2.0 -0.4 -0.4 0.5 -0.4 -1.7 - -0.2 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.1 2.7 0.5 1.3
Texans 10.6 -0.6 -1.2 0.4 -2.3 0.6 0.5 - -1.8 1.1 -1.3 -0.3 -2.8 -3.9 -1.9 -3.4 0.3 -1.3 -0.6 -1.4 -0.6
Patriots 11.2 -0.4 -1.1 0.2 -0.2 0.6 -0.5 1.3 -2.0 1.1 -1.1 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.4 - -2.0 -0.1 0.4 0.0 -0.5
Raiders 11.1 -1.2 -0.6 1.1 0.4 2.0 0.6 0.9 -2.4 - 0.5 -1.6 1.6 2.9 1.9 -0.7 -0.9 -1.3 1.3 0.1 -0.3
Giants 10.9 -0.8 -2.2 -1.0 -1.2 -2.2 -0.1 -1.7 -2.5 -0.7 0.7 -0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 - 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.1 0.5
Ravens 11.5 -0.1 -0.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 -0.5 - -0.6 0.3 0.1 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.2 2.1 1.6 2.2
Bills 12.0 -0.3 -1.2 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.9 -1.0 - 0.3 -1.7 0.5 0.4 -1.9 -0.1 0.3 -1.2 1.1 -1.6 -0.4 -0.6

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