Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | 9.4 | 0.4 | Cowboys 0.7 | Chiefs 0.4 | Rams 0.3 | Buccaneers 0.1 | Broncos 0.8 | Giants 0.0 | Vikings 0.6 | Giants 0.6 | BYE - | Packers -1.1 | Lions 2.0 | Cowboys 1.0 | Bears 1.0 | Chargers -0.4 | Raiders 1.9 | Commanders 0.3 | Bills -0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Ravens | 13.8 | 0.4 | Bills 0.0 | Browns 1.5 | Lions 0.7 | Chiefs 2.1 | Texans 0.6 | Rams 0.0 | BYE - | Bears -0.6 | Dolphins 1.2 | Vikings 1.3 | Browns -1.2 | Jets 0.6 | Bengals 2.7 | Steelers 0.1 | Bengals 1.5 | Patriots 0.0 | Packers -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Texans | 9.1 | 0.7 | Rams 0.0 | Buccaneers 0.9 | Jaguars 1.1 | Titans 1.0 | Ravens 0.6 | BYE - | Seahawks -1.6 | 49ers 1.9 | Broncos 0.5 | Jaguars 0.5 | Titans -0.2 | Bills -1.0 | Colts 1.1 | Chiefs 0.1 | Cardinals 1.3 | Raiders 0.7 | Chargers 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Jaguars | 8.5 | 0.3 | Panthers -0.1 | Bengals 0.7 | Texans -0.2 | 49ers 0.0 | Chiefs -0.2 | Seahawks 1.9 | Rams -0.2 | BYE - | Raiders -0.9 | Texans -0.7 | Chargers -1.4 | Cardinals 0.3 | Titans -0.3 | Colts 0.5 | Jets 0.8 | Broncos -0.5 | Colts 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Chargers | 7.9 | 0.4 | Chiefs -0.4 | Raiders 0.5 | Broncos 2.2 | Giants 0.7 | Commanders 1.0 | Dolphins 1.3 | Colts 0.7 | Vikings 0.5 | Titans 1.0 | Steelers 0.9 | Jaguars 1.4 | BYE - | Raiders -0.6 | Eagles -0.2 | Chiefs 0.7 | Cowboys 0.6 | Texans -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Rams | 11.6 | 0.1 | Texans -0.5 | Titans -0.9 | Eagles -1.3 | Colts 0.4 | 49ers 0.3 | Ravens -1.2 | Jaguars -1.7 | BYE - | Saints -0.3 | 49ers -0.6 | Seahawks 0.7 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Panthers 0.1 | Cardinals 0.3 | Lions 0.7 | Seahawks -0.2 | Falcons -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Saints | 11.2 | 0.5 | Cardinals 0.3 | 49ers -0.3 | Seahawks 0.4 | Bills -0.3 | Giants 0.9 | Patriots 1.0 | Bears -0.5 | Buccaneers 0.7 | Rams 0.2 | Panthers -1.1 | BYE - | Falcons -1.3 | Dolphins 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Panthers 0.6 | Jets 0.8 | Titans 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Steelers | 13.1 | 0.7 | Jets -0.2 | Seahawks 1.9 | Patriots -0.1 | Vikings 0.4 | BYE - | Browns -0.7 | Bengals 1.4 | Packers 0.7 | Colts 1.6 | Chargers -0.4 | Bengals 1.8 | Bears -0.3 | Bills -0.8 | Ravens -0.8 | Dolphins 0.6 | Lions 1.6 | Browns -0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Vikings | 9.2 | 0.2 | Bears 0.2 | Falcons 1.4 | Bengals 0.5 | Steelers 2.0 | Browns 0.6 | BYE - | Eagles -0.7 | Chargers 0.7 | Lions 0.9 | Ravens 0.3 | Bears 1.0 | Packers -0.6 | Seahawks 0.0 | Commanders 0.1 | Cowboys 0.5 | Giants -0.1 | Lions 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Bengals | 10.5 | 0.8 | Browns 0.3 | Jaguars 0.2 | Vikings -0.4 | Broncos -0.9 | Lions 1.1 | Packers 0.0 | Steelers 0.1 | Jets 0.7 | Bears 0.7 | BYE - | Steelers -1.1 | Patriots -0.4 | Ravens -0.5 | Bills -0.9 | Ravens 0.5 | Dolphins 0.8 | Cardinals 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Cowboys | 11.9 | 0.5 | Eagles -1.2 | Giants 0.2 | Bears -0.6 | Packers -0.5 | Jets -0.2 | Panthers -0.7 | Commanders 0.2 | Broncos -0.1 | Cardinals 1.7 | BYE - | Raiders -1.7 | Eagles 0.8 | Chiefs -0.1 | Lions 0.4 | Vikings 0.5 | Chargers 0.4 | Commanders 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Buccaneers | 6.8 | 0.3 | Falcons 0.7 | Texans 0.3 | Jets 2.3 | Eagles -0.7 | Seahawks 0.3 | 49ers 1.4 | Lions 0.6 | Saints 2.6 | BYE - | Patriots -0.7 | Bills -1.0 | Rams 0.5 | Cardinals 1.3 | Saints 1.4 | Falcons 0.3 | Panthers 0.4 | Dolphins 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Seahawks | 10.5 | 0.3 | 49ers -1.1 | Steelers -1.3 | Saints -0.3 | Cardinals -0.7 | Buccaneers 0.1 | Jaguars -1.1 | Texans -1.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.9 | Cardinals -0.4 | Rams 0.2 | Titans 0.3 | Vikings 0.8 | Falcons 0.4 | Colts 0.3 | Rams 0.1 | Panthers 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Dolphins | 8.5 | 1.2 | Colts 0.3 | Patriots 1.1 | Bills -0.2 | Jets 0.4 | Panthers 2.0 | Chargers -0.3 | Browns -0.5 | Falcons -0.3 | Ravens 0.6 | Bills -1.0 | Commanders 0.8 | BYE - | Saints -0.4 | Jets 0.1 | Steelers 0.2 | Bengals 3.0 | Buccaneers 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Falcons | 8.9 | 0.2 | Buccaneers 0.6 | Vikings 0.1 | Panthers 1.2 | Commanders 1.3 | BYE - | Bills -1.3 | 49ers 2.2 | Dolphins 1.3 | Patriots 0.5 | Colts 0.8 | Panthers 0.8 | Saints -0.1 | Jets -0.5 | Seahawks 0.9 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Cardinals 0.4 | Rams 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Broncos | 8.9 | -0.1 | Titans 0.2 | Colts -0.3 | Chargers -0.2 | Bengals 1.7 | Eagles 1.9 | Jets 0.2 | Giants 0.4 | Cowboys 1.2 | Texans 0.4 | Raiders 0.2 | Chiefs -0.3 | BYE - | Commanders -0.5 | Raiders 0.0 | Packers 0.1 | Jaguars 0.4 | Chiefs -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Commanders | 10.6 | 0.4 | Giants 0.3 | Packers 0.6 | Raiders 0.1 | Falcons 0.1 | Chargers 0.5 | Bears 1.2 | Cowboys 2.4 | Chiefs -0.3 | Seahawks 2.0 | Lions -0.6 | Dolphins 0.0 | BYE - | Broncos -1.2 | Vikings 1.1 | Giants 0.1 | Eagles 0.2 | Cowboys 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Bears | 10.5 | 0.0 | Vikings -0.5 | Lions 1.3 | Cowboys -0.3 | Raiders -0.3 | BYE - | Commanders -2.0 | Saints 1.2 | Ravens 0.0 | Bengals 1.8 | Giants 0.0 | Vikings 0.5 | Steelers -0.1 | Eagles -1.2 | Packers -0.9 | Browns 0.0 | Packers 0.2 | 49ers -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lions | 9.1 | 0.3 | Packers -0.8 | Bears -0.8 | Ravens 0.2 | Browns 2.1 | Bengals 0.9 | Chiefs -1.2 | Buccaneers 0.9 | BYE - | Vikings -0.2 | Commanders 0.3 | Eagles -1.5 | Giants 0.8 | Packers 0.2 | Cowboys 0.8 | Rams 0.0 | Steelers 0.7 | Vikings 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Titans | 10.2 | 0.0 | Broncos -0.2 | Rams 0.6 | Colts 0.6 | Texans 0.6 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders 0.2 | Patriots -0.6 | Colts 0.9 | Chargers 0.3 | BYE - | Texans -2.0 | Seahawks 0.1 | Jaguars 0.4 | Browns -0.5 | 49ers 0.0 | Chiefs -0.5 | Saints 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bills | 13.3 | -0.2 | Ravens -0.3 | Jets 0.6 | Dolphins 0.5 | Saints 0.8 | Patriots 0.5 | Falcons -0.7 | BYE - | Panthers -0.9 | Chiefs -0.2 | Dolphins 0.3 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Texans -0.8 | Steelers -0.3 | Bengals 0.9 | Patriots 0.0 | Browns -0.1 | Eagles -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Packers | 10.9 | -0.1 | Lions -0.1 | Commanders -0.5 | Browns -0.6 | Cowboys 1.0 | BYE - | Bengals 0.7 | Cardinals 1.1 | Steelers 0.6 | Panthers 0.8 | Eagles -0.5 | Giants 1.0 | Vikings -0.5 | Lions -0.1 | Bears 0.5 | Broncos -0.2 | Bears -0.1 | Ravens 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| 49ers | 11.9 | 0.7 | Seahawks -0.4 | Saints 0.1 | Cardinals 0.0 | Jaguars 0.5 | Rams -0.3 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Falcons -0.7 | Texans -0.3 | Giants 0.6 | Rams -0.4 | Cardinals 0.3 | Panthers 0.4 | Browns 0.9 | BYE - | Titans -0.2 | Colts 0.4 | Bears 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Browns | 14.0 | -0.2 | Bengals 0.4 | Ravens 1.8 | Packers 0.5 | Lions 1.6 | Vikings 0.8 | Steelers 1.7 | Dolphins 0.2 | Patriots 0.2 | BYE - | Jets -1.2 | Ravens -1.7 | Raiders -0.3 | 49ers -0.2 | Titans 0.2 | Bears -0.2 | Bills -0.6 | Steelers 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Chiefs | 12.6 | -0.1 | Chargers -0.1 | Eagles -0.9 | Giants 0.4 | Ravens 0.4 | Jaguars 0.2 | Lions 2.8 | Raiders 0.5 | Commanders 0.6 | Bills 1.3 | BYE - | Broncos -1.9 | Colts 1.0 | Cowboys 0.9 | Texans -0.2 | Chargers -0.3 | Titans 0.3 | Broncos -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Panthers | 7.6 | -0.1 | Jaguars -0.3 | Cardinals 0.3 | Falcons -1.0 | Patriots -0.2 | Dolphins 0.9 | Cowboys 0.5 | Jets 0.6 | Bills -0.4 | Packers 0.1 | Saints 0.5 | Falcons -0.3 | 49ers 0.2 | Rams 1.5 | BYE - | Saints -0.5 | Buccaneers 0.1 | Seahawks 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Jets | 8.8 | -0.2 | Steelers 0.2 | Bills -0.9 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Dolphins 1.2 | Cowboys 3.1 | Broncos 0.0 | Panthers 0.5 | Bengals 1.1 | BYE - | Browns -0.9 | Patriots 0.1 | Ravens -0.4 | Falcons 0.2 | Dolphins 1.7 | Jaguars -0.6 | Saints 0.1 | Patriots -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Giants | 9.6 | 0.0 | Commanders -0.8 | Cowboys 0.2 | Chiefs -0.4 | Chargers -0.4 | Saints 0.2 | Eagles -1.5 | Broncos -1.2 | Eagles -0.4 | 49ers 0.6 | Bears -0.7 | Packers -1.1 | Lions -0.2 | Patriots -0.1 | BYE - | Commanders -0.6 | Vikings 0.2 | Raiders 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cardinals | 15.9 | 0.1 | Saints 0.4 | Panthers 1.5 | 49ers 0.1 | Seahawks 1.2 | Titans 1.0 | Colts 0.2 | Packers 0.3 | BYE - | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks 0.3 | 49ers 0.8 | Jaguars 1.0 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Rams 1.0 | Texans -0.8 | Falcons 0.0 | Bengals 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Raiders | 14.2 | -0.5 | Patriots 0.2 | Chargers 1.0 | Commanders 2.8 | Bears 2.0 | Colts 1.2 | Titans 1.2 | Chiefs -0.6 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.5 | Broncos -0.1 | Cowboys 0.9 | Browns 2.1 | Chargers 0.1 | Broncos 0.1 | Eagles -1.0 | Texans -0.7 | Giants 0.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 |
| Colts | 11.4 | -0.1 | Dolphins -0.6 | Broncos -1.1 | Titans 0.3 | Rams 0.1 | Raiders 0.7 | Cardinals 0.1 | Chargers 0.1 | Titans 0.9 | Steelers 1.9 | Falcons -0.8 | BYE - | Chiefs -2.0 | Texans -0.2 | Jaguars 0.3 | Seahawks -1.7 | 49ers -0.1 | Jaguars 1.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Patriots | 11.9 | -0.5 | Raiders -0.7 | Dolphins 0.4 | Steelers 0.1 | Panthers 0.4 | Bills -0.2 | Saints -0.3 | Titans -0.8 | Browns 0.2 | Falcons -0.3 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Jets -0.1 | Bengals 1.4 | Giants 0.5 | BYE - | Bills -1.9 | Ravens 0.0 | Jets 0.3 | -0.5 | -0.5 |
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