Predictive insights with statistical integrity
At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.
What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.
It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.
Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.
The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7
| Position | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Player | R | W | T | Tm The team and team positional rank based on projections. | Matchup | Proj |
| 1 |
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB
|
R1 | DET-1 | vs. GB | 17.7 | ||
| 2 | T1 | SF-1 | @ ATL | 15.0 | |||
| 3 | R2 | ATL-1 | vs. SF | 14.9 | |||
| 4 | R3 | SF-1 | @ ATL | 14.7 | |||
| 5 | R4 | BAL-1 | vs. CIN | 14.3 | |||
| 6 | R5 | KC-1 | @ SEA | 14.1 | |||
| 7 | R6 | LAR-1 | @ LV | 14.1 | |||
| 8 |
Trey McBride
TE
|
T2 | ARI-1 | vs. DEN | 13.7 | ||
| 9 | R7 | CHI-1 | vs. NE | 13.4 | |||
| 10 | R8 | CAR-1 | vs. TB | 13.3 | |||
| 11 |
Puka Nacua
WR
|
W1 | LAR-1 | @ LV | 13.2 | ||
| 12 | R9 | PIT-1 | 🌐 NO | 12.9 | |||
| 13 | W2 | DET-1 | vs. GB | 12.7 | |||
| 14 | W3 | CIN-1 | @ BAL | 12.3 | |||
| 15 | R10 | IND-1 | @ MIN | 12.2 | |||
| 16 | R11 | DAL-1 | @ PHI | 12.2 | |||
| 17 |
Sam LaPorta
TE
|
T3 | DET-1 | vs. GB | 12.1 | ||
| 18 | W4 | SEA-1 | vs. KC | 11.9 | |||
| 19 |
Drake London
WR
|
W5 | ATL-1 | vs. SF | 11.9 | ||
| 20 |
CeeDee Lamb
WR
|
W6 | DAL-1 | @ PHI | 11.8 | ||
| 21 |
Brock Bowers
TE
|
T4 | LV-1 | vs. LAR | 11.5 | ||
| 22 | T5 | NYG-1 | @ HOU | 11.3 | |||
| 23 | R12 | LV-1 | vs. LAR | 11.1 | |||
| 24 |
Woody Marks
RB
|
R13 | HOU-1 | vs. NYG | 10.9 | ||
| 25 |
Chase Brown
RB
|
R14 | CIN-1 | @ BAL | 10.9 | ||
| 26 |
Tucker Kraft
TE
|
T6 | GB-1 | @ DET | 10.8 | ||
| 27 |
Malik Nabers
WR
|
W7 | NYG-1 | @ HOU | 10.7 | ||
| 28 | W8 | CAR-1 | vs. TB | 10.3 | |||
| 29 |
Nico Collins
WR
|
W9 | HOU-1 | vs. NYG | 10.2 | ||
| 30 | W10 | GB-1 | @ DET | 10.2 | |||
| 31 |
A.J. Brown
WR
|
W11 | NE-1 | @ CHI | 10.1 | ||
| 32 | R15 | MIN-1 | vs. IND | 9.8 | |||
| 33 |
Bucky Irving
RB
|
R16 | TB-1 | @ CAR | 9.7 | ||
| 34 | W12 | MIN-1 | vs. IND | 9.7 | |||
| 35 | W13 | ARI-1 | vs. DEN | 9.5 | |||
| 36 |
Chris Olave
WR
|
W14 | NO-1 | 🌐 PIT | 9.5 | ||
| 37 | W15 | GB-2 | @ DET | 9.5 | |||
| 38 |
Zay Flowers
WR
|
W16 | BAL-1 | vs. CIN | 9.5 | ||
| 39 | R17 | CLE-1 | @ TEN | 9.3 | |||
| 40 | R18 | PHI-1 | vs. DAL | 9.3 | |||
| 41 |
Jalen Coker
WR
|
W17 | CAR-2 | vs. TB | 9.3 | ||
| 42 | T7 | MIN-1 | vs. IND | 9.2 | |||
| 43 | R19 | MIA-1 | @ NYJ | 9.1 | |||
| 44 | W18 | NYJ-1 | vs. MIA | 9.0 | |||
| 45 | W19 | DAL-2 | @ PHI | 8.9 | |||
| 46 | T8 | PIT-1 | 🌐 NO | 8.8 | |||
| 47 |
Tee Higgins
WR
|
W20 | CIN-2 | @ BAL | 8.8 | ||
| 48 | W21 | DET-2 | vs. GB | 8.8 | |||
| 49 | W22 | CHI-1 | vs. NE | 8.8 | |||
| 50 | W23 | PIT-1 | 🌐 NO | 8.7 | |||
| 51 |
Emeka Egbuka
WR
|
W24 | TB-1 | @ CAR | 8.7 | ||
| 52 |
Tony Pollard
RB
|
R20 | TEN-1 | vs. CLE | 8.6 | ||
| 53 | R21 | NE-1 | @ CHI | 8.6 | |||
| 54 |
Hunter Henry
TE
|
T9 | NE-1 | @ CHI | 8.6 | ||
| 55 | T10 | ATL-1 | vs. SF | 8.6 | |||
| 56 |
DK Metcalf
WR
|
W25 | PIT-2 | 🌐 NO | 8.6 | ||
| 57 | W26 | PHI-1 | vs. DAL | 8.6 | |||
| 58 | T11 | CLE-1 | @ TEN | 8.5 | |||
| 59 |
Tyler Warren
TE
|
T12 | IND-1 | @ MIN | 8.5 | ||
| 60 | T13 | CHI-1 | vs. NE | 8.5 | |||
| 61 |
Travis Kelce
TE
|
T14 | KC-1 | @ SEA | 8.5 | ||
| 62 |
J.K. Dobbins
RB
|
R22 | DEN-1 | @ ARI | 8.3 | ||
| 63 |
Mark Andrews
TE
|
T15 | BAL-1 | vs. CIN | 8.2 | ||
| 64 | T16 | PHI-1 | vs. DAL | 8.2 | |||
| 65 |
Tyler Higbee
TE
|
T17 | LAR-1 | @ LV | 8.2 | ||
| 66 | T18 | HOU-1 | vs. NYG | 8.2 | |||
| 67 |
RJ Harvey
RB
|
R23 | DEN-2 | @ ARI | 8.1 | ||
| 68 |
Carnell Tate
WR
|
W27 | TEN-1 | vs. CLE | 8.0 | ||
| 69 |
Blake Corum
RB
|
R24 | LAR-2 | @ LV | 7.9 | ||
| 70 |
Cade Otton
TE
|
T19 | TB-1 | @ CAR | 7.9 | ||
| 71 | R25 | NYJ-1 | vs. MIA | 7.9 | |||
| 72 | W28 | DEN-1 | @ ARI | 7.9 | |||
| 73 |
Josh Jacobs
RB
|
R26 | GB-1 | @ DET | 7.5 | ||
| 74 | W29 | CLE-1 | @ TEN | 7.5 | |||
| 75 | W30 | MIA-1 | @ NYJ | 7.5 | |||
| 76 | W31 | KC-1 | @ SEA | 7.5 | |||
| 77 | W32 | CLE-2 | @ TEN | 7.5 | |||
| 78 |
Josh Downs
WR
|
W33 | IND-1 | @ MIN | 7.4 | ||
| 79 | W34 | TB-2 | @ CAR | 7.4 | |||
| 80 | T20 | CAR-1 | vs. TB | 7.4 | |||
| 81 |
Tre Tucker
WR
|
W35 | LV-1 | vs. LAR | 7.3 | ||
| 82 |
Rome Odunze
WR
|
W36 | CHI-2 | vs. NE | 7.3 | ||
| 83 | W37 | TEN-2 | vs. CLE | 7.2 | |||
| 84 | W38 | SF-1 | @ ATL | 7.2 | |||
| 85 | T21 | DAL-1 | @ PHI | 7.2 | |||
| 86 |
Evan Engram
TE
|
T22 | DEN-1 | @ ARI | 7.1 | ||
| 87 |
AJ Barner
TE
|
T23 | SEA-1 | vs. KC | 7.1 | ||
| 88 | T24 | LAR-2 | @ LV | 7.1 | |||
| 89 | T25 | NO-1 | 🌐 PIT | 7.0 | |||
| 90 |
Keenan Allen
WR
|
W39 | IND-2 | @ MIN | 7.0 | ||
| 91 | W40 | NO-2 | 🌐 PIT | 6.9 | |||
| 92 | R27 | SEA-1 | vs. KC | 6.9 | |||
| 93 | W41 | MIN-2 | vs. IND | 6.9 | |||
| 94 | R28 | ARI-1 | vs. DEN | 6.9 | |||
| 95 | W42 | SF-2 | @ ATL | 6.9 | |||
| 96 | W43 | NE-2 | @ CHI | 6.9 | |||
| 97 | W44 | DAL-3 | @ PHI | 6.8 | |||
| 98 | T26 | LV-2 | vs. LAR | 6.8 | |||
| 99 |
Greg Dulcich
TE
|
T27 | MIA-1 | @ NYJ | 6.7 | ||
| 100 |
Mike Gesicki
TE
|
T28 | CIN-1 | @ BAL | 6.7 | ||
| 101 | T29 | PIT-2 | 🌐 NO | 6.7 | |||
| 102 | W45 | DEN-2 | @ ARI | 6.7 | |||
| 103 | R29 | NO-1 | 🌐 PIT | 6.6 | |||
| 104 | W46 | NYJ-2 | vs. MIA | 6.6 | |||
| 105 |
Alvin Kamara
RB
|
R30 | NO-2 | 🌐 PIT | 6.6 | ||
| 106 |
Kenyon Sadiq
TE
|
T30 | NYJ-1 | vs. MIA | 6.5 | ||
| 107 | W47 | HOU-2 | vs. NYG | 6.5 | |||
| 108 |
Cooper Kupp
WR
|
W48 | SEA-2 | vs. KC | 6.5 | ||
| 109 |
Jaylin Noel
WR
|
W49 | HOU-3 | vs. NYG | 6.5 | ||
| 110 |
Cam Skattebo
RB
|
R31 | NYG-1 | @ HOU | 6.2 | ||
| 111 | R32 | PHI-2 | vs. DAL | 6.1 | |||
| 112 |
Rico Dowdle
RB
|
R33 | PIT-2 | 🌐 NO | 6.1 | ||
| 113 | W50 | NYG-2 | @ HOU | 6.0 | |||
| 114 | R34 | ATL-2 | vs. SF | 5.8 | |||
| 115 | W51 | ARI-2 | vs. DEN | 5.7 | |||
| 116 | W52 | IND-3 | @ MIN | 5.6 | |||
| 117 | R35 | NE-2 | @ CHI | 5.6 | |||
| 118 |
Makai Lemon
WR
|
W53 | PHI-2 | vs. DAL | 5.6 | ||
| 119 |
Ted Hurst
WR
|
W54 | TB-3 | @ CAR | 5.6 | ||
| 120 | W55 | LAR-2 | @ LV | 5.6 | |||
| 121 | W56 | PHI-3 | vs. DAL | 5.6 | |||
| 122 | W57 | CHI-3 | vs. NE | 5.5 | |||
| 123 | W58 | NE-3 | @ CHI | 5.5 | |||
| 124 |
Breece Hall
RB
|
R36 | NYJ-2 | vs. MIA | 5.5 | ||
| 125 |
Jordan Mason
RB
|
R37 | MIN-2 | vs. IND | 5.5 | ||
| 126 | R38 | CHI-2 | vs. NE | 5.4 | |||
| 127 |
Chris Bell
WR
|
W59 | MIA-2 | @ NYJ | 5.4 | ||
| 128 |
Isaac TeSlaa
WR
|
W60 | DET-3 | vs. GB | 5.3 | ||
| 129 | W61 | SEA-3 | vs. KC | 5.3 | |||
| 130 | R39 | LV-2 | vs. LAR | 5.1 | |||
| 131 | R40 | SEA-2 | vs. KC | 5.1 | |||
| 132 |
Kaelon Black
RB
|
R41 | SF-2 | @ ATL | 5.0 | ||
| 133 | W62 | DEN-3 | @ ARI | 5.0 | |||
| 134 | W63 | BAL-2 | vs. CIN | 5.0 | |||
| 135 | W64 | NE-4 | @ CHI | 5.0 | |||
| 136 |
Ja'Kobi Lane
WR
|
W65 | BAL-3 | vs. CIN | 4.9 | ||
| 137 | R42 | CLE-2 | @ TEN | 4.9 | |||
| 138 | R43 | CIN-2 | @ BAL | 4.9 | |||
| 139 |
Jahan Dotson
WR
|
W66 | ATL-2 | vs. SF | 4.9 | ||
| 140 | W67 | HOU-4 | vs. NYG | 4.8 | |||
| 141 |
Tyjae Spears
RB
|
R44 | TEN-2 | vs. CLE | 4.8 | ||
| 142 | W68 | MIA-3 | @ NYJ | 4.8 | |||
| 143 | W69 | GB-3 | @ DET | 4.7 | |||
| 144 | R45 | GB-2 | @ DET | 4.6 | |||
| 145 | W70 | MIA-4 | @ NYJ | 4.6 | |||
| 146 |
Justice Hill
RB
|
R46 | BAL-2 | vs. CIN | 4.6 | ||
| 147 | R47 | TB-2 | @ CAR | 4.4 | |||
| 148 | W71 | MIN-3 | vs. IND | 4.4 | |||
| 149 |
Jerry Jeudy
WR
|
W72 | CLE-3 | @ TEN | 4.4 | ||
| 150 |
Cyrus Allen
WR
|
W73 | KC-2 | @ SEA | 4.3 | ||
| 151 | R48 | KC-2 | @ SEA | 4.3 | |||
| 152 | R49 | NYG-2 | @ HOU | 4.2 | |||
| 153 | R50 | MIA-2 | @ NYJ | 4.2 | |||
| 154 | W74 | CIN-3 | @ BAL | 4.2 | |||
| 155 |
Bryce Lance
WR
|
W75 | NO-3 | 🌐 PIT | 4.2 | ||
| 156 | W76 | DEN-4 | @ ARI | 4.1 | |||
| 157 |
Jalen Nailor
WR
|
W77 | LV-2 | vs. LAR | 4.1 | ||
| 158 |
Jalen Brooks
WR
|
W78 | ARI-3 | vs. DEN | 4.1 | ||
| 159 |
Jacob Cowing
WR
|
W79 | SF-3 | @ ATL | 4.0 | ||
| 160 | W80 | SF-4 | @ ATL | 4.0 | |||
| 161 | W81 | HOU-5 | vs. NYG | 4.0 | |||
| 162 | W82 | ATL-3 | vs. SF | 4.0 | |||
| 163 | W83 | TEN-3 | vs. CLE | 4.0 | |||
| 164 |
Chris Blair
WR
|
W84 | ATL-4 | vs. SF | 3.9 | ||
| 165 | R51 | NYG-3 | @ HOU | 3.9 | |||
| 166 |
Tank Dell
WR
|
W85 | HOU-6 | vs. NYG | 3.9 | ||
| 167 | W86 | NYG-3 | @ HOU | 3.9 | |||
| 168 |
Tutu Atwell
WR
|
W87 | LAR-3 | @ LV | 3.8 | ||
| 169 | W88 | CHI-4 | vs. NE | 3.8 | |||
| 170 | W89 | PHI-4 | vs. DAL | 3.8 | |||
| 171 |
Tory Horton
WR
|
W90 | SEA-4 | vs. KC | 3.7 | ||
| 172 | R52 | SEA-3 | vs. KC | 3.7 | |||
| 173 | R53 | GB-3 | @ DET | 3.7 | |||
| 174 | R54 | HOU-2 | vs. NYG | 3.6 | |||
| 175 |
Bam Knight
RB
|
R55 | ARI-2 | vs. DEN | 3.6 | ||
| 176 | R56 | ARI-3 | vs. DEN | 3.5 | |||
| 177 |
Sione Vaki
RB
|
R57 | DET-2 | vs. GB | 3.5 | ||
| 178 |
Seth McGowan
RB
|
R58 | IND-2 | @ MIN | 3.0 | ||
| 179 |
CJ Donaldson
RB
|
R59 | NO-3 | 🌐 PIT | 2.9 | ||
| 180 |
Sean Tucker
RB
|
R60 | TB-3 | @ CAR | 2.9 | ||
Refreshed 49 minutes ago
CLEVELAND, OH - OCTOBER 18: A hit by Cleveland Browns linebacker Carson Schwesinger (49) forces Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry (22) to fumble during the fourth quarter of the National Football League game between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns on October 18, 2026, at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)
Week 7 -2026
October 20, 2026 Welcome to a fresh new week— some of us really need that chance for a fresh restart! Last Week in Review (Week 6) Game Predictions. Last week presented a number of upsets in NFL games, and the “Survivor” record really shows…
Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.
D/STs
| Player/Team | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | 9.7 | 2.3 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 7.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 5.6 |
| Texans | 9.4 | - | 8.8 | 9.8 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 6.9 |
Quarterbacks
| Player/Team | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | SF | 20.8 | - | 21.8 | 19.1 | 18.0 | 16.9 | 19.0 | 17.8 | 18.2 | 16.9 | 19.1 | 18.8 |
| Drake Maye | NE | 19.7 | 18.7 | 20.3 | 23.8 | - | 19.0 | 17.1 | 18.1 | 16.3 | 18.8 | 18.7 | 19.1 |
The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.
Vikings Similar historical matchups
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Broncos @ Raiders | 2024 | 12 | 10 |
| Similar | Broncos @ Saints | 2024 | 7 | 20 |
| Boom | Broncos @ Saints | 2024 | 7 | 20 |
| Bust | Commanders vs Cowboys | 2024 | 12 | 1 |
This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.
Will Reichard
- More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
- Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.
QB
49ers Week 7
Brock Purdy
D/ST
Vikings Week 7
Week 7 -2026
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