Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1 DET-1 vs. GB 17.7
2 SF-1 @ ATL 15.0
3 ATL-1 vs. SF 14.9
4 SF-1 @ ATL 14.7
5 BAL-1 vs. CIN 14.3
6 KC-1 @ SEA 14.1
7 LAR-1 @ LV 14.1
8 ARI-1 vs. DEN 13.7
9 CHI-1 vs. NE 13.4
10 CAR-1 vs. TB 13.3
11 LAR-1 @ LV 13.2
12 PIT-1 🌐 NO 12.9
13 DET-1 vs. GB 12.7
14 CIN-1 @ BAL 12.3
15 IND-1 @ MIN 12.2
16 DAL-1 @ PHI 12.2
17 DET-1 vs. GB 12.1
18 SEA-1 vs. KC 11.9
19 ATL-1 vs. SF 11.9
20 DAL-1 @ PHI 11.8
21 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.5
22 NYG-1 @ HOU 11.3
23 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.1
24 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.9
25 CIN-1 @ BAL 10.9
26 GB-1 @ DET 10.8
27 NYG-1 @ HOU 10.7
28 CAR-1 vs. TB 10.3
29 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.2
30 GB-1 @ DET 10.2
31 NE-1 @ CHI 10.1
32 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.8
33 TB-1 @ CAR 9.7
34 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.7
35 ARI-1 vs. DEN 9.5
36 NO-1 🌐 PIT 9.5
37 GB-2 @ DET 9.5
38 BAL-1 vs. CIN 9.5
39 CLE-1 @ TEN 9.3
40 PHI-1 vs. DAL 9.3
41 CAR-2 vs. TB 9.3
42 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.2
43 MIA-1 @ NYJ 9.1
44 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 9.0
45 DAL-2 @ PHI 8.9
46 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.8
47 CIN-2 @ BAL 8.8
48 DET-2 vs. GB 8.8
49 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.8
50 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.7
51 TB-1 @ CAR 8.7
52 TEN-1 vs. CLE 8.6
53 NE-1 @ CHI 8.6
54 NE-1 @ CHI 8.6
55 ATL-1 vs. SF 8.6
56 PIT-2 🌐 NO 8.6
57 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.6
58 CLE-1 @ TEN 8.5
59 IND-1 @ MIN 8.5
60 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.5
61 KC-1 @ SEA 8.5
62 DEN-1 @ ARI 8.3
63 BAL-1 vs. CIN 8.2
64 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.2
65 LAR-1 @ LV 8.2
66 HOU-1 vs. NYG 8.2
67 DEN-2 @ ARI 8.1
68 TEN-1 vs. CLE 8.0
69 LAR-2 @ LV 7.9
70 TB-1 @ CAR 7.9
71 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 7.9
72 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.9
73 GB-1 @ DET 7.5
74 CLE-1 @ TEN 7.5
75 MIA-1 @ NYJ 7.5
76 KC-1 @ SEA 7.5
77 CLE-2 @ TEN 7.5
78 IND-1 @ MIN 7.4
79 TB-2 @ CAR 7.4
80 CAR-1 vs. TB 7.4
81 LV-1 vs. LAR 7.3
82 CHI-2 vs. NE 7.3
83 TEN-2 vs. CLE 7.2
84 SF-1 @ ATL 7.2
85 DAL-1 @ PHI 7.2
86 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.1
87 SEA-1 vs. KC 7.1
88 LAR-2 @ LV 7.1
89 NO-1 🌐 PIT 7.0
90 IND-2 @ MIN 7.0
91 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.9
92 SEA-1 vs. KC 6.9
93 MIN-2 vs. IND 6.9
94 ARI-1 vs. DEN 6.9
95 SF-2 @ ATL 6.9
96 NE-2 @ CHI 6.9
97 DAL-3 @ PHI 6.8
98 LV-2 vs. LAR 6.8
99 MIA-1 @ NYJ 6.7
100 CIN-1 @ BAL 6.7
101 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.7
102 DEN-2 @ ARI 6.7
103 NO-1 🌐 PIT 6.6
104 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 6.6
105 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.6
106 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 6.5
107 HOU-2 vs. NYG 6.5
108 SEA-2 vs. KC 6.5
109 HOU-3 vs. NYG 6.5
110 NYG-1 @ HOU 6.2
111 PHI-2 vs. DAL 6.1
112 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.1
113 NYG-2 @ HOU 6.0
114 ATL-2 vs. SF 5.8
115 ARI-2 vs. DEN 5.7
116 IND-3 @ MIN 5.6
117 NE-2 @ CHI 5.6
118 PHI-2 vs. DAL 5.6
119 TB-3 @ CAR 5.6
120 LAR-2 @ LV 5.6
121 PHI-3 vs. DAL 5.6
122 CHI-3 vs. NE 5.5
123 NE-3 @ CHI 5.5
124 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 5.5
125 MIN-2 vs. IND 5.5
126 CHI-2 vs. NE 5.4
127 MIA-2 @ NYJ 5.4
128 DET-3 vs. GB 5.3
129 SEA-3 vs. KC 5.3
130 LV-2 vs. LAR 5.1
131 SEA-2 vs. KC 5.1
132 SF-2 @ ATL 5.0
133 DEN-3 @ ARI 5.0
134 BAL-2 vs. CIN 5.0
135 NE-4 @ CHI 5.0
136 BAL-3 vs. CIN 4.9
137 CLE-2 @ TEN 4.9
138 CIN-2 @ BAL 4.9
139 ATL-2 vs. SF 4.9
140 HOU-4 vs. NYG 4.8
141 TEN-2 vs. CLE 4.8
142 MIA-3 @ NYJ 4.8
143 GB-3 @ DET 4.7
144 GB-2 @ DET 4.6
145 MIA-4 @ NYJ 4.6
146 BAL-2 vs. CIN 4.6
147 TB-2 @ CAR 4.4
148 MIN-3 vs. IND 4.4
149 CLE-3 @ TEN 4.4
150 KC-2 @ SEA 4.3
151 KC-2 @ SEA 4.3
152 NYG-2 @ HOU 4.2
153 MIA-2 @ NYJ 4.2
154 CIN-3 @ BAL 4.2
155 NO-3 🌐 PIT 4.2
156 DEN-4 @ ARI 4.1
157 LV-2 vs. LAR 4.1
158 ARI-3 vs. DEN 4.1
159 SF-3 @ ATL 4.0
160 SF-4 @ ATL 4.0
161 HOU-5 vs. NYG 4.0
162 ATL-3 vs. SF 4.0
163 TEN-3 vs. CLE 4.0
164 ATL-4 vs. SF 3.9
165 NYG-3 @ HOU 3.9
166 HOU-6 vs. NYG 3.9
167 NYG-3 @ HOU 3.9
168 LAR-3 @ LV 3.8
169 CHI-4 vs. NE 3.8
170 PHI-4 vs. DAL 3.8
171 SEA-4 vs. KC 3.7
172 SEA-3 vs. KC 3.7
173 GB-3 @ DET 3.7
174 HOU-2 vs. NYG 3.6
175 ARI-2 vs. DEN 3.6
176 ARI-3 vs. DEN 3.5
177 DET-2 vs. GB 3.5
178 IND-2 @ MIN 3.0
179 NO-3 🌐 PIT 2.9
180 TB-3 @ CAR 2.9

Refreshed 49 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.7 2.3 5.6 6.3 4.4 7.4 5.1 2.5 4.5 6.5 6.8 5.6
Texans 9.4 - 8.8 9.8 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.3 3.8 6.4 6.0 6.9

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 20.8 - 21.8 19.1 18.0 16.9 19.0 17.8 18.2 16.9 19.1 18.8
Drake Maye | NE 19.7 18.7 20.3 23.8 - 19.0 17.1 18.1 16.3 18.8 18.7 19.1

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Commanders vs Cowboys 2024 12 1

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 7
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Vikings Week 7