Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
19.7 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
2
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
18.1 DET-1 @ MIA
3
Chuba Hubbard RB
17.0 CAR-1 vs. DEN
4
Christian McCaffrey RB
16.5 SF-1 vs. LV
5
Ja'Marr Chase WR
16.3 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
6
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
15.9 DET-1 @ MIA
7
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.8 KC-1 vs. NYJ
8
George Kittle TE
15.6 SF-1 vs. LV
9
Javonte Williams RB
15.5 DAL-1 @ IND
10
Puka Nacua WR
15.4 LAR-1 @ WAS
11
CeeDee Lamb WR
15.1 DAL-1 @ IND
12
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
15.1 SEA-1 vs. ARI
13
Malik Nabers WR
14.0 NYG-1 @ PHI
14
Chase Brown RB
13.9 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
15
D'Andre Swift RB
13.9 CHI-1 vs. TB
16
Trey McBride TE
13.0 ARI-1 @ SEA
17
James Cook III RB
12.9 BUF-1 @ MIN
18
Brock Bowers TE
12.8 LV-1 @ SF
19
Jonah Coleman RB
12.7 DEN-1 @ CAR
20
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
12.6 NE-1 vs. GB
21
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.6 IND-1 vs. DAL
22
Kyren Williams RB
12.5 LAR-1 @ WAS
23
Woody Marks RB
12.4 HOU-1 @ LAC
24
Chris Olave WR
12.4 NO-1 vs. CLE
25
Jalen Coker WR
12.2 CAR-1 vs. DEN
26
Christian Watson WR
12.1 GB-1 @ NE
27
Colston Loveland TE
11.7 CHI-1 vs. TB
28
Derrick Henry RB
11.6 BAL-1 vs. JAC
29
Drake London WR
11.5 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
30
Sam LaPorta TE
11.5 DET-1 @ MIA
31
Ladd McConkey WR
11.5 LAC-1 vs. HOU
32
Saquon Barkley RB
11.1 PHI-1 vs. NYG
33
Devin Singletary RB
11.1 NYG-1 @ PHI
34
Nico Collins WR
11.0 HOU-1 @ LAC
35
Matthew Golden WR
11.0 GB-2 @ NE
36
Tetairoa McMillan WR
10.8 CAR-2 vs. DEN
37
Tee Higgins WR
10.7 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
38
Luther Burden III WR
10.7 CHI-1 vs. TB
39
Parker Washington WR
10.7 JAC-1 @ BAL
40
Jameson Williams WR
10.5 DET-2 @ MIA
41
George Pickens WR
10.5 DAL-2 @ IND
42
Rashee Rice WR
10.4 KC-1 vs. NYJ
43
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.4 MIA-1 vs. DET
44
Bucky Irving RB
10.4 TB-1 @ CHI
45
Josh Jacobs RB
10.4 GB-1 @ NE
46
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
10.4 CLE-1 @ NO
47
Tyler Allgeier RB
10.3 ARI-1 @ SEA
48
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
10.3 CLE-1 @ NO
49
Jaylen Waddle WR
10.3 DEN-1 @ CAR
50
Tyler Warren TE
10.2 IND-1 vs. DAL
51
Malik Washington WR
10.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
52
Ashton Jeanty RB
10.0 LV-1 @ SF
53
Travis Kelce TE
9.7 KC-1 vs. NYJ
54
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
9.7 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
55
Rachaad White RB
9.7 WAS-1 vs. LAR
56
Bhayshul Tuten RB
9.7 JAC-1 @ BAL
57
Keenan Allen WR
9.6 IND-1 vs. DAL
58
Stefon Diggs WR
9.6 WAS-1 vs. LAR
59
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
9.5 NYJ-1 @ KC
60
DeMario Douglas WR
9.4 NE-1 vs. GB
61
Quinshon Judkins RB
9.4 CLE-1 @ NO
62
Devaughn Vele WR
9.2 NO-2 vs. CLE
63
Isaiah Likely TE
9.1 NYG-1 @ PHI
64
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.0 TB-1 @ CHI
65
Jordan Addison WR
9.0 MIN-1 vs. BUF
66
Justin Jefferson WR
9.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
67
Courtland Sutton WR
9.0 DEN-2 @ CAR
68
Darnell Mooney WR
9.0 NYG-2 @ PHI
69
Ryan Flournoy WR
8.8 DAL-3 @ IND
70
Efton Chism III WR
8.8 NE-2 vs. GB
71
DJ Moore WR
8.8 BUF-1 @ MIN
72
Greg Dulcich TE
8.8 MIA-1 vs. DET
73
T.J. Hockenson TE
8.8 MIN-1 vs. BUF
74
Tucker Kraft TE
8.7 GB-1 @ NE
75
Zay Flowers WR
8.6 BAL-1 vs. JAC
76
Antonio Williams WR
8.6 WAS-2 vs. LAR
77
Denzel Boston WR
8.6 CLE-2 @ NO
78
Brenton Strange TE
8.5 JAC-1 @ BAL
79
Caleb Douglas WR
8.5 MIA-2 vs. DET
80
Adonai Mitchell WR
8.4 NYJ-2 @ KC
81
Makai Lemon WR
8.4 PHI-1 vs. NYG
82
Kyle Williams WR
8.4 NE-3 vs. GB
83
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.3 JAC-2 @ BAL
84
Mike Gesicki TE
8.3 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
85
Dallas Goedert TE
8.2 PHI-1 vs. NYG
86
Alvin Kamara RB
8.0 NO-1 vs. CLE
87
Omarion Hampton RB
8.0 LAC-1 vs. HOU
88
Blake Corum RB
8.0 LAR-2 @ WAS
89
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
7.9 TB-2 @ CHI
90
Tyler Higbee TE
7.9 LAR-1 @ WAS
91
Jahan Dotson WR
7.7 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
92
Josh Downs WR
7.7 IND-2 vs. DAL
93
Khalil Shakir WR
7.6 BUF-2 @ MIN
94
Xavier Worthy WR
7.4 KC-2 vs. NYJ
95
Jordan Mason RB
7.3 MIN-1 vs. BUF
96
Tutu Atwell WR
7.3 LAR-2 @ WAS
97
Malachi Fields WR
7.3 NYG-3 @ PHI
98
Kendre Miller RB
7.3 NO-2 vs. CLE
99
Chris Bell WR
7.2 MIA-3 vs. DET
100
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
7.2 HOU-2 @ LAC
101
Brandin Cooks WR
7.2 SF-1 vs. LV
102
Darius Cooper WR
7.2 PHI-2 vs. NYG
103
Rome Odunze WR
7.2 CHI-2 vs. TB
104
AJ Barner TE
7.0 SEA-1 vs. ARI
105
Juwan Johnson TE
6.9 NO-1 vs. CLE
106
Christian Kirk WR
6.9 SF-2 vs. LV
107
Quentin Johnston WR
6.9 LAC-2 vs. HOU
108
Braelon Allen RB
6.8 NYJ-1 @ KC
109
Kaelon Black RB
6.8 SF-2 vs. LV
110
Breece Hall RB
6.8 NYJ-2 @ KC
111
Ted Hurst III WR
6.8 TB-3 @ CHI
112
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.8 WAS-1 vs. LAR
113
Dalton Kincaid TE
6.7 BUF-1 @ MIN
114
Jalen Nailor WR
6.6 LV-1 @ SF
115
Kenyon Sadiq TE
6.5 NYJ-1 @ KC
116
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.5 JAC-2 @ BAL
117
Mike Washington Jr. RB
6.5 LV-2 @ SF
118
Darren Waller TE
6.5 CAR-1 vs. DEN
119
Eli Raridon TE
6.5 NE-1 vs. GB
120
Kalif Raymond WR
6.4 CHI-3 vs. TB
121
Laquon Treadwell WR
6.4 IND-3 vs. DAL
122
Evan Engram TE
6.4 DEN-1 @ CAR
123
Dalton Schultz TE
6.3 HOU-1 @ LAC
124
Michael Wilson WR
6.3 ARI-1 @ SEA
125
Zachariah Branch WR
6.3 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
126
Tre' Harris WR
6.3 LAC-3 vs. HOU
127
Mason Taylor TE
6.2 NYJ-2 @ KC
128
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
6.1 JAC-3 @ BAL
129
Dohnte Meyers WR
6.1 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
130
Cooper Kupp WR
6.1 SEA-2 vs. ARI
131
Savion Williams WR
6.1 GB-3 @ NE
132
Cade Otton TE
6.0 TB-1 @ CHI
133
Colby Parkinson TE
6.0 LAR-2 @ WAS
134
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE
6.0 DAL-1 @ IND
135
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
6.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
136
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-2 @ CAR
137
Zach Charbonnet RB
5.9 SEA-1 vs. ARI
138
Cam Skattebo RB
5.9 NYG-2 @ PHI
139
Treylon Burks WR
5.9 WAS-3 vs. LAR
140
Dylan Sampson RB
5.9 CLE-2 @ NO
141
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
5.8 MIA-4 vs. DET
142
Tre Tucker WR
5.8 LV-2 @ SF
143
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.8 DET-3 @ MIA
144
Jacob Cowing WR
5.7 SF-3 vs. LV
145
Hollywood Brown WR
5.6 PHI-3 vs. NYG
146
Samaje Perine RB
5.6 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
147
Emmett Johnson RB
5.6 KC-2 vs. NYJ
148
Jadarian Price RB
5.6 SEA-2 vs. ARI
149
Konata Mumpfield WR
5.6 LAR-3 @ WAS
150
Jauan Jennings WR
5.5 MIN-3 vs. BUF
151
Seth McGowan RB
5.5 IND-2 vs. DAL
152
Cyrus Allen WR
5.4 KC-3 vs. NYJ
153
Keon Coleman WR
5.4 BUF-3 @ MIN
154
Jerry Jeudy WR
5.4 CLE-3 @ NO
155
Travis Hunter WR
5.4 JAC-4 @ BAL
156
Kayshon Boutte WR
5.3 HOU-3 @ LAC
157
Reggie Virgil WR
5.2 ARI-2 @ SEA
158
Tory Horton WR
5.2 SEA-3 vs. ARI
159
Austin Ekeler RB
5.1 WAS-2 vs. LAR
160
Elijah Mitchell RB
5.1 PHI-2 vs. NYG
161
Chris Blair WR
5.1 ATL-4 🌐 CIN
162
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.1 SEA-4 vs. ARI
163
Rashod Bateman WR
5.1 BAL-2 vs. JAC
164
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
5.1 BAL-3 vs. JAC
165
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.9 TB-2 @ CHI
166
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.7 DEN-3 @ CAR
167
Devin Duvernay WR
4.7 ARI-3 @ SEA
168
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.7 LAC-2 vs. HOU
169
Emanuel Wilson RB
4.5 SEA-3 vs. ARI
170
Corey Kiner RB
4.5 NE-2 vs. GB
171
Kimani Vidal RB
4.4 LAC-3 vs. HOU
172
Sione Vaki RB
4.2 DET-2 @ MIA
173
Kyle Monangai RB
4.2 CHI-2 vs. TB
174
MarShawn Lloyd RB
3.8 GB-2 @ NE
175
Tyler Goodson RB
3.6 DAL-2 @ IND
176
Ray Davis RB
3.5 BUF-2 @ MIN
177
Justice Hill RB
3.5 BAL-2 vs. JAC
178
Ty Johnson RB
3.2 BUF-3 @ MIN
179
Roschon Johnson RB
3.2 CHI-3 vs. TB
180
Jaylen Wright RB
3.1 MIA-2 vs. DET

Refreshed 11 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026 JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the ball during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026

November 4, 2026 Time again to reflect on the predictability of the 2026 season so far! If you’re new to these: Examining predictive accuracy has been a long-standing tradition, underpinning a key purpose of Subvertadown: To give us an…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Seahawks 10.5 3.0 - 3.9 5.9 7.7 8.8 5.4 6.8 6.5
Jaguars 9.9 6.8 5.5 7.5 2.8 7.2 4.7 2.6 6.7 6.0

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 22.9 20.4 18.3 18.6 18.0 17.7 17.9 19.4 19.1 19.1
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.2 19.0 18.2 20.5 16.3 18.8 18.9 16.9 17.0 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Seahawks Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Ravens vs Jets 2025 12 10
Similar Jets vs Bears 2022 12 7
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Bears vs Patriots 2024 10 4

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Seahawks Week 9