Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 18.0 DET-1 @ MIA
2 17.4 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
3 16.1 KC-1 vs. NYJ
4 16.1 SF-1 vs. LV
5 14.9 DAL-1 @ IND
6 14.1 SEA-1 vs. ARI
7 14.0 IND-1 vs. DAL
8 13.9 CAR-1 vs. DEN
9 13.6 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
10 13.5 LAR-1 @ WAS
11 13.4 CHI-1 vs. TB
12 13.3 JAC-1 @ BAL
13 13.3 LAR-1 @ WAS
14 13.3 BUF-1 @ MIN
15 12.3 PHI-1 vs. NYG
16 12.3 DEN-1 @ CAR
17 11.7 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
18 11.4 DAL-1 @ IND
19 11.4 BAL-1 vs. JAC
20 11.4 TB-1 @ CHI
21 11.3 DET-1 @ MIA
22 11.3 NO-1 vs. CLE
23 11.1 NE-1 vs. GB
24 10.7 CLE-1 @ NO
25 10.7 GB-1 @ NE
26 10.5 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
27 10.5 ARI-1 @ SEA
28 10.5 LV-1 @ SF
29 10.4 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
30 10.4 HOU-1 @ LAC
31 10.3 DET-1 @ MIA
32 10.2 LV-1 @ SF
33 10.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
34 10.2 NYG-1 @ PHI
35 10.1 GB-1 @ NE
36 10.1 MIN-1 vs. BUF
37 9.5 CHI-1 vs. TB
38 9.5 NE-1 vs. GB
39 9.4 CAR-1 vs. DEN
40 9.4 NYJ-1 @ KC
41 9.4 WAS-1 vs. LAR
42 9.3 GB-2 @ NE
43 9.3 DET-2 @ MIA
44 9.1 JAC-1 @ BAL
45 9.1 NYJ-1 @ KC
46 9.0 DAL-2 @ IND
47 8.9 SF-1 vs. LV
48 8.9 CAR-2 vs. DEN
49 8.8 KC-1 vs. NYJ
50 8.6 ARI-1 @ SEA
51 8.5 NYG-1 @ PHI
52 8.5 NE-2 vs. GB
53 8.5 IND-1 vs. DAL
54 8.5 KC-1 vs. NYJ
55 8.5 MIA-1 vs. DET
56 8.5 WAS-1 vs. LAR
57 8.5 MIA-2 vs. DET
58 8.5 CLE-1 @ NO
59 8.5 CLE-2 @ NO
60 8.5 WAS-2 vs. LAR
61 8.4 DEN-1 @ CAR
62 8.4 CHI-2 vs. TB
63 8.4 NE-3 vs. GB
64 8.2 SF-1 vs. LV
65 8.2 CHI-1 vs. TB
66 8.2 IND-1 vs. DAL
67 8.2 NYG-1 @ PHI
68 8.2 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
69 8.2 CLE-1 @ NO
70 8.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
71 8.2 GB-1 @ NE
72 8.2 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
73 8.2 MIN-1 vs. BUF
74 8.2 JAC-1 @ BAL
75 8.2 MIN-1 vs. BUF
76 8.1 DAL-3 @ IND
77 8.1 TB-1 @ CHI
78 8.1 PHI-1 vs. NYG
79 8.1 BUF-1 @ MIN
80 8.1 NE-1 vs. GB
81 8.0 LAR-2 @ WAS
82 7.9 HOU-1 @ LAC
83 7.9 IND-2 vs. DAL
84 7.9 NE-4 vs. GB
85 7.8 BAL-1 vs. JAC
86 7.8 LAC-1 vs. HOU
87 7.8 TB-2 @ CHI
88 7.8 MIA-3 vs. DET
89 7.7 DEN-2 @ CAR
90 7.6 BUF-1 @ MIN
91 7.6 PHI-1 vs. NYG
92 7.5 NYG-2 @ PHI
93 7.5 SEA-1 vs. ARI
94 7.5 MIN-2 vs. BUF
95 7.5 NO-2 vs. CLE
96 7.3 LAC-1 vs. HOU
97 7.3 LAR-1 @ WAS
98 7.1 NO-1 vs. CLE
99 6.9 DEN-2 @ CAR
100 6.8 PHI-2 vs. NYG
101 6.8 LV-1 @ SF
102 6.8 NYJ-2 @ KC
103 6.8 JAC-2 @ BAL
104 6.7 JAC-3 @ BAL
105 6.7 KC-2 vs. NYJ
106 6.6 MIN-2 vs. BUF
107 6.6 BUF-2 @ MIN
108 6.6 SF-2 vs. LV
109 6.5 IND-3 vs. DAL
110 6.5 HOU-2 @ LAC
111 6.4 WAS-1 vs. LAR
112 6.3 MIA-4 vs. DET
113 6.2 NO-1 vs. CLE
114 6.2 NYJ-3 @ KC
115 6.2 ARI-1 @ SEA
116 6.2 LV-2 @ SF
117 6.2 ARI-2 @ SEA
118 6.2 LAC-2 vs. HOU
119 6.1 IND-2 vs. DAL
120 6.1 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
121 6.1 TB-3 @ CHI
122 6.1 BUF-3 @ MIN
123 6.0 NYG-2 @ PHI
124 6.0 SEA-1 vs. ARI
125 6.0 CHI-3 vs. TB
126 6.0 SEA-2 vs. ARI
127 6.0 SF-2 vs. LV
128 6.0 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
129 6.0 PHI-3 vs. NYG
130 5.9 SEA-3 vs. ARI
131 5.9 NYG-3 @ PHI
132 5.9 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
133 5.8 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
134 5.8 LAC-3 vs. HOU
135 5.8 SEA-2 vs. ARI
136 5.7 WAS-3 vs. LAR
137 5.7 DEN-1 @ CAR
138 5.6 LV-2 @ SF
139 5.5 KC-3 vs. NYJ
140 5.5 DET-3 @ MIA
141 5.5 SF-3 vs. LV
142 5.5 BAL-1 vs. JAC
143 5.5 JAC-2 @ BAL
144 5.5 TB-2 @ CHI
145 5.4 SF-4 vs. LV
146 5.4 SF-5 vs. LV
147 5.4 DEN-3 @ CAR
148 5.4 GB-3 @ NE
149 5.4 KC-2 vs. NYJ
150 5.4 NYJ-1 @ KC
151 5.4 LAR-2 @ WAS
152 5.3 CAR-1 vs. DEN
153 5.3 SF-6 vs. LV
154 5.3 TB-1 @ CHI
155 5.3 HOU-1 @ LAC
156 5.3 NO-2 vs. CLE
157 5.3 WAS-2 vs. LAR
158 5.2 HOU-3 @ LAC
159 5.2 CLE-3 @ NO
160 5.2 CIN-4 🌐 ATL
161 5.1 LAR-2 @ WAS
162 5.1 JAC-4 @ BAL
163 5.1 SEA-4 vs. ARI
164 5.1 SEA-3 vs. ARI
165 5.0 HOU-4 @ LAC
166 5.0 DEN-4 @ CAR
167 4.9 LAC-2 vs. HOU
168 4.8 HOU-2 @ LAC
169 4.6 LAC-3 vs. HOU
170 4.3 CHI-2 vs. TB
171 4.3 NO-3 vs. CLE
172 4.1 NE-2 vs. GB
173 4.0 DET-2 @ MIA
174 4.0 DAL-2 @ IND
175 4.0 CHI-3 vs. TB
176 3.4 BAL-2 vs. JAC
177 3.1 GB-2 @ NE
178 3.1 MIA-2 vs. DET
179 3.0 TB-3 @ CHI
180 3.0 ARI-3 @ SEA

Refreshed 26 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Seahawks 10.0 3.7 - 3.1 5.8 7.8 8.8 5.4 7.1 6.5
Jaguars 9.0 6.4 5.6 7.2 2.9 6.8 5.0 2.5 5.9 5.7

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 24.0 22.1 19.7 19.9 18.9 19.0 18.0 20.5 19.7 20.2
Drake Maye | NE 21.6 22.1 - 18.7 17.5 18.0 17.9 17.8 19.9 19.2

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Seahawks Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Ravens vs Jets 2025 12 10
Similar Eagles @ Texans 2022 9 9
Boom Dolphins vs Bengals 2020 13 15
Bust Patriots @ Jets 2020 9 3

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Seahawks Week 9