Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 10

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 21.0 ATL-1 vs. KC
2 19.0 CAR-1 @ NO
3 18.4 SF-1 @ DAL
4 18.4 DET-1 🌐 NE
5 16.3 SEA-1 @ LV
6 16.2 BAL-1 vs. LAC
7 16.1 DAL-1 vs. SF
8 16.0 CIN-1 vs. PIT
9 15.9 DAL-1 vs. SF
10 15.8 BUF-1 @ NYJ
11 15.4 MIN-1 @ GB
12 15.3 DET-1 🌐 NE
13 14.6 JAC-1 @ TEN
14 14.6 KC-1 @ ATL
15 13.9 LAR-1 @ ARI
16 13.6 PIT-1 @ CIN
17 13.0 HOU-1 @ CLE
18 13.0 CIN-2 vs. PIT
19 13.0 IND-1 vs. MIA
20 12.8 IND-1 vs. MIA
21 12.8 ARI-1 vs. LAR
22 12.4 NYG-1 vs. WAS
23 12.0 NO-1 vs. CAR
24 11.9 TEN-1 vs. JAC
25 11.9 CIN-1 vs. PIT
26 11.9 MIA-1 @ IND
27 11.8 JAC-1 @ TEN
28 11.7 GB-1 vs. MIN
29 11.7 GB-2 vs. MIN
30 11.6 CAR-1 @ NO
31 11.6 SF-1 @ DAL
32 11.5 LV-1 vs. SEA
33 11.4 ATL-1 vs. KC
34 11.4 BAL-1 vs. LAC
35 11.4 DET-2 🌐 NE
36 11.2 LV-1 vs. SEA
37 11.2 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
38 11.1 HOU-1 @ CLE
39 11.0 NYG-1 vs. WAS
40 10.2 NE-1 🌐 DET
41 10.0 DAL-2 vs. SF
42 10.0 LAR-2 @ ARI
43 9.9 SEA-1 @ LV
44 9.7 WAS-1 @ NYG
45 9.6 CAR-2 @ NO
46 9.6 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
47 9.6 PIT-1 @ CIN
48 9.5 PIT-2 @ CIN
49 9.5 CLE-1 vs. HOU
50 9.5 NYG-1 vs. WAS
51 9.5 CLE-1 vs. HOU
52 9.3 NE-1 🌐 DET
53 9.2 KC-1 @ ATL
54 9.2 SF-1 @ DAL
55 9.2 BUF-1 @ NYJ
56 8.9 NE-2 🌐 DET
57 8.9 TEN-1 vs. JAC
58 8.4 MIA-1 @ IND
59 8.4 CLE-2 vs. HOU
60 8.2 MIN-2 @ GB
61 8.2 MIA-2 @ IND
62 8.2 DET-1 🌐 NE
63 8.1 PIT-2 @ CIN
64 8.0 DAL-3 vs. SF
65 8.0 WAS-1 @ NYG
66 8.0 WAS-2 @ NYG
67 8.0 LAC-1 @ BAL
68 7.9 ARI-1 vs. LAR
69 7.8 HOU-2 @ CLE
70 7.8 JAC-2 @ TEN
71 7.8 MIN-1 @ GB
72 7.8 SEA-2 @ LV
73 7.7 SF-2 @ DAL
74 7.7 BUF-2 @ NYJ
75 7.7 HOU-3 @ CLE
76 7.4 SF-3 @ DAL
77 7.3 ATL-1 vs. KC
78 7.3 LAR-1 @ ARI
79 7.3 CIN-3 vs. PIT
80 7.3 NYJ-2 vs. BUF
81 7.3 SF-4 @ DAL
82 7.2 MIN-2 @ GB
83 7.2 NO-1 vs. CAR
84 7.2 NO-2 vs. CAR
85 7.2 NO-2 vs. CAR
86 7.2 NO-3 vs. CAR
87 7.2 NYJ-3 vs. BUF
88 7.2 NYG-2 vs. WAS
89 7.1 IND-1 vs. MIA
90 7.1 LAC-1 @ BAL
91 7.0 JAC-2 @ TEN
92 7.0 NYJ-2 vs. BUF
93 7.0 LAR-2 @ ARI
94 7.0 KC-2 @ ATL
95 7.0 LV-1 vs. SEA
96 6.9 SF-2 @ DAL
97 6.9 LAR-1 @ ARI
98 6.9 KC-1 @ ATL
99 6.8 NE-3 🌐 DET
100 6.7 NE-2 🌐 DET
101 6.7 ATL-2 vs. KC
102 6.6 KC-3 @ ATL
103 6.6 BUF-3 @ NYJ
104 6.6 NO-3 vs. CAR
105 6.6 CLE-2 vs. HOU
106 6.6 BUF-1 @ NYJ
107 6.5 GB-3 vs. MIN
108 6.4 WAS-2 @ NYG
109 6.4 LAC-2 @ BAL
110 6.3 LAC-3 @ BAL
111 6.3 SEA-2 @ LV
112 6.3 NYG-2 vs. WAS
113 6.2 NE-4 🌐 DET
114 6.2 WAS-3 @ NYG
115 6.1 CLE-1 vs. HOU
116 6.1 ATL-3 vs. KC
117 6.1 HOU-4 @ CLE
118 6.1 GB-1 vs. MIN
119 6.1 GB-1 vs. MIN
120 6.0 NYG-3 vs. WAS
121 6.0 NE-1 🌐 DET
122 5.9 TEN-2 vs. JAC
123 5.9 JAC-1 @ TEN
124 5.9 LV-2 vs. SEA
125 5.9 ARI-2 vs. LAR
126 5.9 LAR-2 @ ARI
127 5.9 JAC-3 @ TEN
128 5.9 WAS-4 @ NYG
129 5.8 DET-3 🌐 NE
130 5.8 MIA-3 @ IND
131 5.7 ARI-1 vs. LAR
132 5.6 NE-5 🌐 DET
133 5.6 TEN-3 vs. JAC
134 5.6 TEN-4 vs. JAC
135 5.6 ARI-2 vs. LAR
136 5.6 SEA-3 @ LV
137 5.6 CLE-3 vs. HOU
138 5.6 LAR-3 @ ARI
139 5.6 CAR-1 @ NO
140 5.5 IND-2 vs. MIA
141 5.5 JAC-4 @ TEN
142 5.5 BAL-2 vs. LAC
143 5.4 MIA-4 @ IND
144 5.4 SEA-4 @ LV
145 5.4 ATL-4 vs. KC
146 5.4 CIN-1 vs. PIT
147 5.4 GB-2 vs. MIN
148 5.4 LV-2 vs. SEA
149 5.4 CIN-2 vs. PIT
150 5.4 BAL-3 vs. LAC
151 5.3 IND-2 vs. MIA
152 5.3 PIT-1 @ CIN
153 5.2 DET-2 🌐 NE
154 5.2 PIT-2 @ CIN
155 5.0 BAL-2 vs. LAC
156 5.0 MIA-1 @ IND
157 5.0 NO-1 vs. CAR
158 4.9 LAC-2 @ BAL
159 4.8 KC-4 @ ATL
160 4.7 LAC-3 @ BAL
161 4.6 SEA-1 @ LV
162 4.6 BUF-2 @ NYJ
163 4.4 NO-4 vs. CAR
164 4.2 NE-2 🌐 DET
165 4.2 WAS-1 @ NYG
166 4.2 LV-2 vs. SEA
167 4.1 HOU-1 @ CLE
168 3.8 KC-2 @ ATL
169 3.8 TEN-2 vs. JAC
170 3.7 BUF-3 @ NYJ
171 3.6 LAC-1 @ BAL
172 3.5 KC-3 @ ATL
173 3.5 MIA-2 @ IND
174 3.5 MIA-3 @ IND
175 3.5 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
176 3.3 BAL-1 vs. LAC
177 3.2 SEA-3 @ LV
178 3.2 LAC-2 @ BAL
179 3.0 JAC-3 @ TEN
180 3.0 GB-3 vs. MIN

Refreshed 5 hours ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Ravens 9.0 5.7 4.7 - 6.7 5.2 7.9 4.2 6.2
Titans 3.4 3.8 3.8 5.3 3.9 6.4 4.8 4.6 4.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Dak Prescott | DAL 18.9 21.8 18.0 13.4 - 15.4 17.4 18.2 17.6
Carson Beck | ARI 9.3 12.0 13.6 14.8 - 16.1 15.0 16.1 13.8

Kickers

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Chad Ryland | ARI 7.4 5.3 8.4 11.2 - 9.1 9.0 8.5 8.5
Jake Elliott | PHI - 7.3 8.0 10.2 9.6 8.2 5.7 7.4 8.1

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Rams Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Vikings vs Broncos 2019 11 3
Similar Packers vs Commanders 2019 14 9
Boom Bills vs Jets 2023 11 20
Bust Jets vs Bills 2018 10 -4

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Cam Little

  • Less likely to stall upfield. and more likely to kick near the endzone
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 10
Josh Allen

D/ST

Rams Week 10