Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, the goal goes beyond making the best rankings.

It's about uncovering and understanding what drivers really make fantasy predictions reliable. It's about extracting clearer insights from the complex analysis, so we can feel comfortable in making informed choices.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

Subscribe

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for very similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 5

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1
Bijan Robinson RB
ATL-1 vs. BAL 20.3
2
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
DET-1 @ ARI 19.8
3
D'Andre Swift RB
CHI-1 @ GB 18.1
4
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
DET-1 @ ARI 18.1
5
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL-1 vs. TB 16.6
6
Michael Wilson WR
ARI-1 vs. DET 16.4
7
Puka Nacua WR
LAR-1 vs. BUF 16.4
8
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND-1 @ PIT 15.2
9
Trey McBride TE
ARI-1 vs. DET 15.1
10
Javonte Williams RB
DAL-1 vs. TB 15.1
11
Kyren Williams RB
LAR-1 vs. BUF 15.1
12
Sam LaPorta TE
DET-1 @ ARI 14.8
13
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ-1 vs. CLE 14.6
14
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA-1 vs. SF 14.6
15
Brock Bowers TE
LV-1 @ NE 14.6
16
George Kittle TE
SF-1 @ SEA 14.5
17
Derrick Henry RB
BAL-1 @ ATL 13.9
18
Chase Brown RB
CIN-1 @ MIA 13.9
19
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF-1 @ SEA 13.9
20
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT-1 vs. IND 13.1
21
Drake London WR
ATL-1 vs. BAL 13.0
22
James Cook III RB
BUF-1 @ LAR 13.0
23
Ja'Marr Chase WR
CIN-1 @ MIA 12.8
24
George Pickens WR
DAL-2 vs. TB 12.7
25
Malik Nabers WR
NYG-1 @ WAS 12.6
26
Chris Olave WR
NO-1 vs. MIN 12.6
27
Nico Collins WR
HOU-1 @ TEN 12.6
28
Zay Flowers WR
BAL-1 @ ATL 12.3
29
Justin Jefferson WR
MIN-1 @ NO 12.3
30
Parker Washington WR
JAC-1 @ PHI 11.8
31
Mike Evans WR
SF-1 @ SEA 11.8
32
Christian Watson WR
GB-1 vs. CHI 11.7
33
Davante Adams WR
LAR-2 vs. BUF 11.7
34
Josh Downs WR
IND-1 @ PIT 11.7
35
Jaylen Waddle WR
DEN-1 @ LAC 11.7
36
Emanuel Wilson RB
SEA-1 vs. SF 11.6
37
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
MIN-1 @ NO 11.6
38
Tyler Warren TE
IND-1 @ PIT 11.4
39
Tre Harris WR
LAC-1 vs. DEN 11.2
40
Matthew Golden WR
GB-2 vs. CHI 11.0
41
Quinshon Judkins RB
CLE-1 @ NYJ 11.0
42
Bhayshul Tuten RB
JAC-1 @ PHI 11.0
43
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR
SF-2 @ SEA 11.0
44
Romeo Doubs WR
NE-1 vs. LV 10.9
45
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV-1 @ NE 10.7
46
Braelon Allen RB
NYJ-1 vs. CLE 10.7
47
Jameson Williams WR
DET-2 @ ARI 10.7
48
Jeremiyah Love RB
ARI-1 vs. DET 10.3
49
TreVeyon Henderson RB
NE-1 vs. LV 9.8
50
Cam Skattebo RB
NYG-1 @ WAS 9.8
51
DK Metcalf WR
PIT-1 vs. IND 9.7
52
Tee Higgins WR
CIN-2 @ MIA 9.5
53
Luther Burden III WR
CHI-1 @ GB 9.5
54
RJ Harvey RB
DEN-1 @ LAC 9.5
55
David Montgomery RB
HOU-1 @ TEN 9.5
56
Bucky Irving RB
TB-1 @ DAL 9.4
57
Omarion Hampton RB
LAC-1 vs. DEN 9.4
58
Emeka Egbuka WR
TB-1 @ DAL 9.4
59
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN-2 @ LAC 9.3
60
Jakobi Meyers WR
JAC-2 @ PHI 9.3
61
Hunter Henry TE
NE-1 vs. LV 9.3
62
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
CLE-1 @ NYJ 9.2
63
Roman Wilson WR
PIT-2 vs. IND 9.2
64
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN-2 @ LAC 9.1
65
Isaiah Likely TE
NYG-1 @ WAS 8.8
66
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF-1 @ LAR 8.8
67
Tucker Kraft TE
GB-1 vs. CHI 8.8
68
Tre Tucker WR
LV-1 @ NE 8.7
69
Dontayvion Wicks WR
PHI-1 @ JAC 8.7
70
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
NE-2 vs. LV 8.7
71
T.J. Hockenson TE
MIN-1 @ NO 8.7
72
Kenyon Sadiq TE
NYJ-1 vs. CLE 8.5
73
Terry McLaurin WR
WAS-1 vs. NYG 8.4
74
Carnell Tate WR
TEN-1 vs. HOU 8.4
75
Rome Odunze WR
CHI-2 @ GB 8.4
76
Mark Andrews TE
BAL-1 @ ATL 8.4
77
Kendrick Bourne WR
ARI-2 vs. DET 8.3
78
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
TB-2 @ DAL 8.3
79
KC Concepcion WR
CLE-1 @ NYJ 8.3
80
Denzel Boston WR
CLE-2 @ NYJ 8.3
81
Oronde Gadsden II TE
LAC-1 vs. DEN 8.2
82
Colston Loveland TE
CHI-1 @ GB 8.1
83
Brenton Strange TE
JAC-1 @ PHI 8.1
84
Juwan Johnson TE
NO-1 vs. MIN 8.0
85
Jake Ferguson TE
DAL-1 vs. TB 8.0
86
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
WAS-1 vs. NYG 8.0
87
Keenan Allen WR
IND-2 @ PIT 7.8
88
Makai Lemon WR
PHI-2 @ JAC 7.7
89
Ryan Flournoy WR
DAL-3 vs. TB 7.7
90
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
TEN-2 vs. HOU 7.7
91
Malik Washington WR
MIA-1 vs. CIN 7.6
92
Tony Pollard RB
TEN-1 vs. HOU 7.6
93
MarShawn Lloyd RB
GB-1 vs. CHI 7.6
94
Ollie Gordon II RB
MIA-1 vs. CIN 7.6
95
Michael Mayer TE
LV-2 @ NE 7.6
96
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
ATL-1 vs. BAL 7.4
97
Dalton Schultz TE
HOU-1 @ TEN 7.4
98
Mike Gesicki TE
CIN-1 @ MIA 7.4
99
Dohnte Meyers WR
CIN-3 @ MIA 7.3
100
Chris Bell WR
MIA-2 vs. CIN 7.3
101
Dallas Goedert TE
PHI-1 @ JAC 7.2
102
Cade Otton TE
TB-1 @ DAL 7.2
103
Evan Engram TE
DEN-1 @ LAC 7.2
104
Tyler Higbee TE
LAR-1 vs. BUF 7.1
105
Pat Freiermuth TE
PIT-1 vs. IND 7.1
106
Devaughn Vele WR
NO-2 vs. MIN 7.0
107
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
ATL-2 vs. BAL 6.8
108
Jauan Jennings WR
MIN-2 @ NO 6.8
109
Will Shipley RB
PHI-1 @ JAC 6.8
110
Keon Coleman WR
BUF-1 @ LAR 6.8
111
DeMario Douglas WR
NE-2 vs. LV 6.8
112
Isaac TeSlaa WR
DET-3 @ ARI 6.8
113
Antonio Williams WR
WAS-2 vs. NYG 6.8
114
Khalil Shakir WR
BUF-2 @ LAR 6.8
115
Cooper Kupp WR
SEA-2 vs. SF 6.8
116
Blake Corum RB
LAR-2 vs. BUF 6.7
117
Greg Dulcich TE
MIA-1 vs. CIN 6.7
118
Alvin Kamara RB
NO-1 vs. MIN 6.7
119
Rashod Bateman WR
BAL-2 @ ATL 6.7
120
Ted Hurst WR
TB-3 @ DAL 6.7
121
Ladd McConkey WR
LAC-2 vs. DEN 6.7
122
Jaylin Noel WR
HOU-2 @ TEN 6.7
123
Woody Marks RB
HOU-2 @ TEN 6.7
124
Kalif Raymond WR
CHI-3 @ GB 6.7
125
Efton Chism III WR
NE-3 vs. LV 6.5
126
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAC-3 @ PHI 6.5
127
Rachaad White RB
WAS-2 vs. NYG 6.5
128
Keaton Mitchell RB
LAC-2 vs. DEN 6.5
129
Darius Cooper WR
PHI-3 @ JAC 6.4
130
Rashid Shaheed WR
SEA-3 vs. SF 6.3
131
Darnell Mooney WR
NYG-2 @ WAS 6.2
132
DJ Moore WR
BUF-3 @ LAR 6.2
133
Kayshon Boutte WR
HOU-3 @ TEN 6.1
134
Mike Washington Jr. RB
LV-2 @ NE 6.1
135
AJ Barner TE
SEA-1 vs. SF 6.0
136
Kyle Williams WR
NE-4 vs. LV 5.9
137
Tyler Allgeier RB
ARI-2 vs. DET 5.9
138
Mason Taylor TE
NYJ-2 vs. CLE 5.9
139
George Holani RB
SEA-2 vs. SF 5.6
140
Kaleb Johnson RB
GB-2 vs. CHI 5.4
141
Isaiah Williams WR
NYJ-2 vs. CLE 5.4
142
Treylon Burks WR
WAS-3 vs. NYG 5.3
143
Kenny Gainwell RB
TB-2 @ DAL 5.3
144
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
MIA-3 vs. CIN 5.2
145
Germie Bernard WR
PIT-3 vs. IND 5.2
146
Calvin Ridley WR
TEN-3 vs. HOU 5.1
147
Bryce Lance WR
NO-3 vs. MIN 5.0
148
Malachi Fields WR
NYG-3 @ WAS 5.0
149
Jerry Jeudy WR
CLE-3 @ NYJ 5.0
150
Troy Franklin WR
DEN-3 @ LAC 4.9
151
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
JAC-2 @ PHI 4.9
152
Kaelon Black RB
SF-2 @ SEA 4.8
153
Kendre Miller RB
NO-2 vs. MIN 4.8
154
Elijah Sarratt WR
BAL-3 @ ATL 4.6
155
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
DEN-4 @ LAC 4.6
156
Olamide Zaccheaus WR
ATL-2 vs. BAL 4.6
157
Joshua Palmer WR
BUF-4 @ LAR 4.6
158
Xavier Hutchinson WR
HOU-4 @ TEN 4.6
159
Zachariah Branch WR
ATL-3 vs. BAL 4.5
160
Tory Horton WR
SEA-4 vs. SF 4.5
161
Elic Ayomanor WR
TEN-4 vs. HOU 4.5
162
Konata Mumpfield WR
LAR-3 vs. BUF 4.5
163
Tez Johnson WR
TB-4 @ DAL 4.4
164
Tyjae Spears RB
TEN-2 vs. HOU 4.4
165
Jahan Dotson WR
ATL-4 vs. BAL 4.3
166
Travis Hunter WR
JAC-4 @ PHI 4.3
167
Jaylen Wright RB
MIA-2 vs. CIN 4.2
168
Isaiah Davis RB
NYJ-2 vs. CLE 4.1
169
Samaje Perine RB
CIN-2 @ MIA 4.1
170
Raheim Sanders RB
CLE-2 @ NYJ 3.8
171
Tyler Goodson RB
DAL-2 vs. TB 3.8
172
Austin Ekeler RB
WAS-3 vs. NYG 3.8
173
Najee Harris RB
NYG-2 @ WAS 3.7
174
Demond Claiborne RB
MIN-2 @ NO 3.7
175
Kimani Vidal RB
LAC-3 vs. DEN 3.7
176
Ty Johnson RB
BUF-2 @ LAR 3.7
177
Justice Hill RB
BAL-2 @ ATL 3.5
178
Kaytron Allen RB
MIA-3 vs. CIN 3.4
179
Roschon Johnson RB
CHI-2 @ GB 3.3
180
Dameon Pierce RB
PHI-2 @ JAC 3.3

Refreshed 46 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 1 - 4, 2026 HOUSTON, TX - OCTOBER 04: Quarterback C.J. Stroud #7 of the Houston Texans passes the ball while rolling out during the NFL football game between the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys on October 4, 2026, at Reliant Stadium in Houston, TX. (Photo by David Buono/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 1 - 4, 2026

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts.

D/STs

Player/Team 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Texans 9.5 3.1 6.1 - 6.6 7.2 4.4 5.4 6.8 6.5 2.9 5.9 7.6 6.0
Jaguars 9.4 6.9 - 6.3 5.3 7.0 5.4 7.3 2.5 7.8 5.5 3.2 6.8 6.1

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 20.2 21.0 - 19.2 18.7 18.3 17.9 18.8 18.7 19.1 17.4 19.1 18.7 18.9
Jared Goff | DET 20.2 - 16.8 16.8 17.4 16.5 17.1 16.3 16.7 17.1 15.9 15.6 15.3 16.8

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Texans Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Vikings @ Browns 2025 5 4
Similar Chargers vs Titans 2024 10 9
Boom Jets vs Patriots 2024 3 16
Bust Buccaneers vs Broncos 2024 3 1