Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
17.9 DET-1 @ MIA
2
Bijan Robinson RB
17.7 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
3
Chuba Hubbard RB
16.6 CAR-1 vs. DEN
4
Christian McCaffrey RB
16.1 SF-1 vs. LV
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.9 KC-1 vs. NYJ
6
Ja'Marr Chase WR
15.8 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
7
Javonte Williams RB
15.2 DAL-1 @ IND
8
Trey McBride TE
15.0 ARI-1 @ SEA
9
CeeDee Lamb WR
14.3 DAL-1 @ IND
10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
14.3 SEA-1 vs. ARI
11
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
14.2 DET-1 @ MIA
12
Puka Nacua WR
14.2 LAR-1 @ WAS
13
Malik Nabers WR
14.0 NYG-1 @ PHI
14
Chase Brown RB
13.7 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
15
George Kittle TE
13.7 SF-1 vs. LV
16
James Cook III RB
13.2 BUF-1 @ MIN
17
Bhayshul Tuten RB
12.9 JAC-1 @ BAL
18
Sam LaPorta TE
12.7 DET-1 @ MIA
19
Brock Bowers TE
12.7 LV-1 @ SF
20
D'Andre Swift RB
12.7 CHI-1 vs. TB
21
Colston Loveland TE
12.6 CHI-1 vs. TB
22
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.5 IND-1 vs. DAL
23
Kyren Williams RB
12.5 LAR-1 @ WAS
24
Jonah Coleman RB
12.4 DEN-1 @ CAR
25
Tee Higgins WR
11.8 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
26
Tyler Warren TE
11.6 IND-1 vs. DAL
27
Woody Marks RB
11.4 HOU-1 @ LAC
28
Derrick Henry RB
11.4 BAL-1 vs. JAC
29
Christian Watson WR
11.3 GB-1 @ NE
30
Luther Burden III WR
11.0 CHI-1 vs. TB
31
Drake London WR
10.9 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
32
Chris Olave WR
10.9 NO-1 vs. CLE
33
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
10.4 CLE-1 @ NO
34
Mike Gesicki TE
10.4 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
35
Saquon Barkley RB
10.4 PHI-1 vs. NYG
36
Malik Washington WR
10.3 MIA-1 vs. DET
37
Matthew Golden WR
10.3 GB-2 @ NE
38
Justin Jefferson WR
10.3 MIN-1 vs. BUF
39
Bucky Irving RB
10.3 TB-1 @ CHI
40
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.3 MIA-1 vs. DET
41
Jalen Coker WR
10.3 CAR-1 vs. DEN
42
Parker Washington WR
10.3 JAC-1 @ BAL
43
Tetairoa McMillan WR
10.1 CAR-2 vs. DEN
44
Nico Collins WR
10.1 HOU-1 @ LAC
45
Isaiah Likely TE
10.0 NYG-1 @ PHI
46
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
10.0 NE-1 vs. GB
47
Josh Jacobs RB
9.9 GB-1 @ NE
48
Ashton Jeanty RB
9.9 LV-1 @ SF
49
Tyler Allgeier RB
9.8 ARI-1 @ SEA
50
Travis Kelce TE
9.7 KC-1 vs. NYJ
51
Rachaad White RB
9.6 WAS-1 vs. LAR
52
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
9.6 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
53
Rashee Rice WR
9.6 KC-1 vs. NYJ
54
Greg Dulcich TE
9.6 MIA-1 vs. DET
55
Quinshon Judkins RB
9.4 CLE-1 @ NO
56
Mike Evans WR
9.2 SF-1 vs. LV
57
Keenan Allen WR
9.2 IND-1 vs. DAL
58
Jaylen Waddle WR
9.2 DEN-1 @ CAR
59
George Pickens WR
9.2 DAL-2 @ IND
60
Cam Skattebo RB
9.1 NYG-1 @ PHI
61
Tucker Kraft TE
9.1 GB-1 @ NE
62
Stefon Diggs WR
8.8 WAS-1 vs. LAR
63
Jameson Williams WR
8.8 DET-2 @ MIA
64
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
8.7 CLE-1 @ NO
65
DeMario Douglas WR
8.7 NE-1 vs. GB
66
Garrett Wilson WR
8.6 NYJ-1 @ KC
67
T.J. Hockenson TE
8.5 MIN-1 vs. BUF
68
Zay Flowers WR
8.5 BAL-1 vs. JAC
69
Jordan Addison WR
8.3 MIN-2 vs. BUF
70
Devaughn Vele WR
8.3 NO-2 vs. CLE
71
Caleb Douglas WR
8.2 MIA-2 vs. DET
72
Michael Wilson WR
8.2 ARI-1 @ SEA
73
Blake Corum RB
8.2 LAR-2 @ WAS
74
Brenton Strange TE
8.2 JAC-1 @ BAL
75
Ladd McConkey WR
8.0 LAC-1 vs. HOU
76
DJ Moore WR
8.0 BUF-1 @ MIN
77
Courtland Sutton WR
8.0 DEN-2 @ CAR
78
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.9 DAL-3 @ IND
79
Antonio Williams WR
7.9 WAS-2 vs. LAR
80
Hunter Henry TE
7.8 NE-1 vs. GB
81
Makai Lemon WR
7.7 PHI-1 vs. NYG
82
Dallas Goedert TE
7.6 PHI-1 vs. NYG
83
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.5 BUF-1 @ MIN
84
Alvin Kamara RB
7.4 NO-1 vs. CLE
85
Efton Chism III WR
7.4 NE-2 vs. GB
86
Rome Odunze WR
7.4 CHI-2 vs. TB
87
Denzel Boston WR
7.4 CLE-2 @ NO
88
Josh Downs WR
7.4 IND-2 vs. DAL
89
Khalil Shakir WR
7.4 BUF-2 @ MIN
90
Jordan Mason RB
7.3 MIN-1 vs. BUF
91
Jacob Cowing WR
7.2 SF-2 vs. LV
92
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR
7.2 SF-3 vs. LV
93
Omarion Hampton RB
7.1 LAC-1 vs. HOU
94
Kaelon Black RB
7.1 SF-2 vs. LV
95
Braelon Allen RB
7.1 NYJ-1 @ KC
96
Jahan Dotson WR
7.1 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
97
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
7.1 NYJ-2 @ KC
98
AJ Barner TE
7.1 SEA-1 vs. ARI
99
Tyler Higbee TE
7.0 LAR-1 @ WAS
100
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
7.0 TB-1 @ CHI
101
Emeka Egbuka WR
6.9 TB-2 @ CHI
102
Xavier Worthy WR
6.9 KC-2 vs. NYJ
103
Adonai Mitchell WR
6.9 NYJ-3 @ KC
104
Tre Tucker WR
6.9 LV-1 @ SF
105
Chris Bell WR
6.9 MIA-3 vs. DET
106
Jakobi Meyers WR
6.9 JAC-2 @ BAL
107
Chris Blair WR
6.9 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
108
Darius Cooper WR
6.8 PHI-2 vs. NYG
109
Kyle Williams WR
6.8 NE-3 vs. GB
110
Malachi Fields WR
6.7 NYG-2 @ PHI
111
A.J. Brown WR
6.7 NE-4 vs. GB
112
Kalif Raymond WR
6.6 CHI-3 vs. TB
113
Devin Singletary RB
6.5 NYG-2 @ PHI
114
J.K. Dobbins RB
6.5 DEN-2 @ CAR
115
Mike Washington Jr. RB
6.5 LV-2 @ SF
116
Breece Hall RB
6.5 NYJ-2 @ KC
117
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
6.5 HOU-2 @ LAC
118
Laquon Treadwell WR
6.3 IND-3 vs. DAL
119
Ted Hurst III WR
6.3 TB-3 @ CHI
120
Jalen Nailor WR
6.3 LV-2 @ SF
121
Juwan Johnson TE
6.2 NO-1 vs. CLE
122
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.2 WAS-1 vs. LAR
123
Keon Coleman WR
6.2 BUF-3 @ MIN
124
Dohnte Meyers WR
6.2 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
125
Tutu Atwell WR
6.1 LAR-2 @ WAS
126
Darnell Mooney WR
6.1 NYG-3 @ PHI
127
Quentin Johnston WR
6.1 LAC-2 vs. HOU
128
Emmett Johnson RB
5.9 KC-2 vs. NYJ
129
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
5.9 JAC-2 @ BAL
130
Kendre Miller RB
5.9 NO-2 vs. CLE
131
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
5.9 MIN-2 vs. BUF
132
Zach Charbonnet RB
5.8 SEA-1 vs. ARI
133
Cooper Kupp WR
5.8 SEA-2 vs. ARI
134
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
5.8 JAC-3 @ BAL
135
Samaje Perine RB
5.8 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
136
Christian Kirk WR
5.8 SF-4 vs. LV
137
Jadarian Price RB
5.8 SEA-2 vs. ARI
138
Treylon Burks WR
5.8 WAS-3 vs. LAR
139
Dylan Sampson RB
5.8 CLE-2 @ NO
140
Darren Waller TE
5.7 CAR-1 vs. DEN
141
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
5.7 MIA-4 vs. DET
142
Savion Williams WR
5.6 GB-3 @ NE
143
Seth McGowan RB
5.6 IND-2 vs. DAL
144
Brandin Cooks WR
5.5 SF-5 vs. LV
145
Zachariah Branch WR
5.5 ATL-4 🌐 CIN
146
Evan Engram TE
5.5 DEN-1 @ CAR
147
Tre' Harris WR
5.5 LAC-3 vs. HOU
148
Konata Mumpfield WR
5.5 LAR-3 @ WAS
149
Michael Mayer TE
5.5 LV-2 @ SF
150
Mark Andrews TE
5.5 BAL-1 vs. JAC
151
Dalton Schultz TE
5.5 HOU-1 @ LAC
152
Colby Parkinson TE
5.4 LAR-2 @ WAS
153
Cade Otton TE
5.4 TB-1 @ CHI
154
Austin Ekeler RB
5.4 WAS-2 vs. LAR
155
Kenyon Sadiq TE
5.3 NYJ-1 @ KC
156
Cyrus Allen WR
5.3 KC-3 vs. NYJ
157
Travis Hunter WR
5.2 JAC-4 @ BAL
158
Jauan Jennings WR
5.2 MIN-3 vs. BUF
159
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
5.1 DEN-3 @ CAR
160
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.1 SEA-3 vs. ARI
161
Xavier Hutchinson WR
5.1 HOU-3 @ LAC
162
Colbie Young WR
5.1 CIN-4 🌐 ATL
163
Jerry Jeudy WR
5.0 CLE-3 @ NO
164
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.0 DET-3 @ MIA
165
Kayshon Boutte WR
5.0 HOU-4 @ LAC
166
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.9 TB-2 @ CHI
167
Elijah Mitchell RB
4.9 PHI-2 vs. NYG
168
Emanuel Wilson RB
4.7 SEA-3 vs. ARI
169
Kimani Vidal RB
4.7 LAC-2 vs. HOU
170
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.6 LAC-3 vs. HOU
171
Sione Vaki RB
4.4 DET-2 @ MIA
172
Kyle Monangai RB
4.4 CHI-2 vs. TB
173
Emari Demercado RB
4.2 HOU-2 @ LAC
174
MarShawn Lloyd RB
3.9 GB-2 @ NE
175
Tyler Goodson RB
3.8 DAL-2 @ IND
176
Bam Knight RB
3.8 ARI-2 @ SEA
177
Corey Kiner RB
3.6 NE-2 vs. GB
178
Justice Hill RB
3.5 BAL-2 vs. JAC
179
Ray Davis RB
3.4 BUF-2 @ MIN
180
Roschon Johnson RB
3.4 CHI-3 vs. TB

Refreshed 54 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026 JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the ball during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026

November 4, 2026 Time again to reflect on the predictability of the 2026 season so far! If you’re new to these: Examining predictive accuracy has been a long-standing tradition, underpinning a key purpose of Subvertadown: To give us an…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jaguars 9.8 6.7 5.4 7.5 2.8 7.1 4.7 2.5 6.7 5.9
Seahawks 9.6 3.7 - 3.0 5.9 7.8 8.8 5.5 7.1 6.4

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 24.3 22.1 19.8 20.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 20.5 19.7 20.3
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.2 19.0 18.2 20.3 16.3 18.8 18.9 16.9 17.0 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Jaguars Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Seahawks vs Vikings 2025 13 27
Similar Seahawks vs Colts 2017 4 22
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Buccaneers @ Panthers 2022 7 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Jaguars Week 9