Predictive insights with statistical integrity
At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.
What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.
It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.
Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.
The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 6
| Position | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Player | R | W | T | Tm The team and team positional rank based on projections. | Matchup | Proj |
| 1 | R1 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 15.3 | |||
| 2 |
Puka Nacua
WR
|
W1 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 15.3 | ||
| 3 | T1 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 14.9 | |||
| 4 | R2 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 14.6 | |||
| 5 | R3 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 14.6 | |||
| 6 | R4 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 14.1 | |||
| 7 | R5 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 14.1 | |||
| 8 | R6 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 13.8 | |||
| 9 | R7 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 13.8 | |||
| 10 | R8 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 13.8 | |||
| 11 | R9 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 13.8 | |||
| 12 | R10 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 13.7 | |||
| 13 |
CeeDee Lamb
WR
|
W2 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 13.4 | ||
| 14 | W3 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 13.4 | |||
| 15 |
Mike Evans
WR
|
W4 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 13.3 | ||
| 16 |
Drake London
WR
|
W5 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 13.3 | ||
| 17 |
Brock Bowers
TE
|
T2 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 12.9 | ||
| 18 | R11 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 12.4 | |||
| 19 | W6 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 12.0 | |||
| 20 |
Trey McBride
TE
|
T3 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 11.8 | ||
| 21 |
Tyler Warren
TE
|
T4 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 11.7 | ||
| 22 |
Chris Olave
WR
|
W7 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 11.3 | ||
| 23 | R12 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 11.2 | |||
| 24 | R13 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 11.2 | |||
| 25 | R14 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 11.1 | |||
| 26 |
Woody Marks
RB
|
R15 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 10.9 | ||
| 27 |
Zay Flowers
WR
|
W8 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 10.9 | ||
| 28 | W9 | NYJ-1 | @ NE | 10.9 | |||
| 29 | W10 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 10.9 | |||
| 30 |
Malik Nabers
WR
|
W11 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 10.8 | ||
| 31 | W12 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 10.7 | |||
| 32 |
Travis Kelce
TE
|
T5 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 10.6 | ||
| 33 | W13 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 10.6 | |||
| 34 | W14 | DAL-2 | @ GB | 10.6 | |||
| 35 | W15 | GB-2 | vs. DAL | 10.6 | |||
| 36 | T6 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 9.9 | |||
| 37 | R16 | NYJ-1 | @ NE | 9.9 | |||
| 38 | R17 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 9.7 | |||
| 39 | R18 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 9.7 | |||
| 40 |
Jalen Coker
WR
|
W16 | CAR-2 | @ PHI | 9.7 | ||
| 41 | R19 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 9.7 | |||
| 42 | W17 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 9.7 | |||
| 43 | W18 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 9.7 | |||
| 44 | W19 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 9.7 | |||
| 45 |
Tucker Kraft
TE
|
T7 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 9.6 | ||
| 46 |
Cam Skattebo
RB
|
R20 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 9.6 | ||
| 47 | R21 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 9.4 | |||
| 48 |
Bucky Irving
RB
|
R22 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 9.4 | ||
| 49 |
Josh Downs
WR
|
W20 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 9.3 | ||
| 50 | W21 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 9.2 | |||
| 51 |
DK Metcalf
WR
|
W22 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 9.0 | ||
| 52 | W23 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 9.0 | |||
| 53 | R23 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 8.9 | |||
| 54 | W24 | WAS-2 | @ SF | 8.7 | |||
| 55 | W25 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 8.7 | |||
| 56 |
Jalen Royals
WR
|
W26 | KC-2 | vs. LAC | 8.6 | ||
| 57 |
Carnell Tate
WR
|
W27 | TEN-1 | @ IND | 8.6 | ||
| 58 |
Romeo Doubs
WR
|
W28 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 8.5 | ||
| 59 | W29 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 8.5 | |||
| 60 |
A.J. Brown
WR
|
W30 | NE-2 | vs. NYJ | 8.5 | ||
| 61 | W31 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 8.5 | |||
| 62 | T8 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 8.5 | |||
| 63 | T9 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 8.5 | |||
| 64 | W32 | TEN-2 | @ IND | 8.4 | |||
| 65 |
Keenan Allen
WR
|
W33 | IND-2 | vs. TEN | 8.4 | ||
| 66 |
Tyler Higbee
TE
|
T10 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 8.4 | ||
| 67 | W34 | NO-2 | @ NYG | 8.4 | |||
| 68 |
Hunter Henry
TE
|
T11 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 8.2 | ||
| 69 | T12 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 8.2 | |||
| 70 |
Nico Collins
WR
|
W35 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 8.2 | ||
| 71 | W36 | JAC-2 | @ HOU | 8.2 | |||
| 72 | T13 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 8.2 | |||
| 73 | T14 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 8.1 | |||
| 74 | R24 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 8.0 | |||
| 75 |
RJ Harvey
RB
|
R25 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 8.0 | ||
| 76 | W37 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 7.8 | |||
| 77 |
J.K. Dobbins
RB
|
R26 | DEN-2 | vs. SEA | 7.7 | ||
| 78 |
Blake Corum
RB
|
R27 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 7.7 | ||
| 79 |
Tony Pollard
RB
|
R28 | TEN-1 | @ IND | 7.6 | ||
| 80 | T15 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 7.6 | |||
| 81 | T16 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 7.6 | |||
| 82 | W38 | SF-2 | vs. WAS | 7.6 | |||
| 83 | R29 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 7.6 | |||
| 84 | W39 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 7.5 | |||
| 85 |
Tre Tucker
WR
|
W40 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 7.5 | ||
| 86 | T17 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 7.4 | |||
| 87 | W41 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 7.3 | |||
| 88 | T18 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 7.1 | |||
| 89 |
Mark Andrews
TE
|
T19 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 6.9 | ||
| 90 | W42 | NE-3 | vs. NYJ | 6.9 | |||
| 91 |
Rome Odunze
WR
|
W43 | CHI-2 | @ ATL | 6.9 | ||
| 92 | W44 | DEN-2 | vs. SEA | 6.9 | |||
| 93 | T20 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 6.8 | |||
| 94 | T21 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 6.8 | |||
| 95 | W45 | IND-3 | vs. TEN | 6.7 | |||
| 96 |
DJ Moore
WR
|
W46 | BUF-2 | @ LV | 6.7 | ||
| 97 | W47 | SF-3 | vs. WAS | 6.6 | |||
| 98 |
Chig Okonkwo
TE
|
T22 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 6.6 | ||
| 99 |
Keon Coleman
WR
|
W48 | BUF-3 | @ LV | 6.5 | ||
| 100 | W49 | ARI-2 | @ LAR | 6.5 | |||
| 101 |
Cade Otton
TE
|
T23 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 6.5 | ||
| 102 | T24 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 6.5 | |||
| 103 |
Jaylin Noel
WR
|
W50 | HOU-2 | @ JAC | 6.4 | ||
| 104 | W51 | CLE-2 | vs. BAL | 6.4 | |||
| 105 | W52 | DAL-3 | @ GB | 6.4 | |||
| 106 | T25 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 6.3 | |||
| 107 |
AJ Barner
TE
|
T26 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 6.3 | ||
| 108 | W53 | NE-4 | vs. NYJ | 6.2 | |||
| 109 |
Alvin Kamara
RB
|
R30 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 6.2 | ||
| 110 | W54 | PHI-2 | vs. CAR | 6.1 | |||
| 111 | W55 | CHI-3 | @ ATL | 6.1 | |||
| 112 |
Jahan Dotson
WR
|
W56 | ATL-2 | vs. CHI | 6.0 | ||
| 113 | T27 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 5.9 | |||
| 114 | W57 | NE-5 | vs. NYJ | 5.8 | |||
| 115 | T28 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 5.8 | |||
| 116 | R31 | ATL-2 | vs. CHI | 5.7 | |||
| 117 | R32 | NO-2 | @ NYG | 5.7 | |||
| 118 |
Evan Engram
TE
|
T29 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 5.6 | ||
| 119 |
Gunnar Helm
TE
|
T30 | TEN-1 | @ IND | 5.6 | ||
| 120 |
Jalen Nailor
WR
|
W58 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 5.5 | ||
| 121 |
Cyrus Allen
WR
|
W59 | KC-3 | vs. LAC | 5.5 | ||
| 122 | W60 | SEA-2 | @ DEN | 5.5 | |||
| 123 | W61 | WAS-3 | @ SF | 5.4 | |||
| 124 | W62 | NYG-2 | vs. NO | 5.1 | |||
| 125 | W63 | JAC-3 | @ HOU | 5.1 | |||
| 126 | W64 | NYJ-2 | @ NE | 5.1 | |||
| 127 | R33 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 5.0 | |||
| 128 | R34 | SEA-2 | @ DEN | 5.0 | |||
| 129 | R35 | LAC-2 | @ KC | 5.0 | |||
| 130 |
Bryce Lance
WR
|
W65 | NO-3 | @ NYG | 4.9 | ||
| 131 | W66 | HOU-3 | @ JAC | 4.9 | |||
| 132 |
Tyjae Spears
RB
|
R36 | TEN-2 | @ IND | 4.9 | ||
| 133 | R37 | KC-2 | vs. LAC | 4.9 | |||
| 134 | R38 | GB-2 | vs. DAL | 4.7 | |||
| 135 | R39 | WAS-2 | @ SF | 4.7 | |||
| 136 | R40 | JAC-2 | @ HOU | 4.7 | |||
| 137 | R41 | TB-2 | vs. PIT | 4.7 | |||
| 138 |
Rico Dowdle
RB
|
R42 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 4.6 | ||
| 139 | W67 | BAL-2 | @ CLE | 4.5 | |||
| 140 |
Ted Hurst
WR
|
W68 | TB-2 | vs. PIT | 4.4 | ||
| 141 | W69 | TEN-3 | @ IND | 4.4 | |||
| 142 |
CJ Daniels
WR
|
W70 | LAR-3 | vs. ARI | 4.4 | ||
| 143 |
Cooper Kupp
WR
|
W71 | SEA-3 | @ DEN | 4.4 | ||
| 144 | W72 | HOU-4 | @ JAC | 4.4 | |||
| 145 |
Makai Lemon
WR
|
W73 | PHI-3 | vs. CAR | 4.1 | ||
| 146 |
Bo Melton
WR
|
W74 | GB-3 | vs. DAL | 4.1 | ||
| 147 |
Emeka Egbuka
WR
|
W75 | TB-3 | vs. PIT | 4.1 | ||
| 148 |
Jerry Jeudy
WR
|
W76 | CLE-3 | vs. BAL | 4.1 | ||
| 149 | W77 | HOU-5 | @ JAC | 4.1 | |||
| 150 | W78 | DEN-3 | vs. SEA | 4.1 | |||
| 151 | W79 | KC-4 | vs. LAC | 4.0 | |||
| 152 |
Isaiah Bond
WR
|
W80 | CLE-4 | vs. BAL | 4.0 | ||
| 153 |
Tim Patrick
WR
|
W81 | NYJ-3 | @ NE | 4.0 | ||
| 154 | W82 | LAC-2 | @ KC | 4.0 | |||
| 155 |
Dyami Brown
WR
|
W83 | WAS-4 | @ SF | 4.0 | ||
| 156 | W84 | PHI-4 | vs. CAR | 4.0 | |||
| 157 | W85 | ATL-3 | vs. CHI | 4.0 | |||
| 158 | W86 | CHI-4 | @ ATL | 4.0 | |||
| 159 |
Kaelon Black
RB
|
R43 | SF-2 | vs. WAS | 3.9 | ||
| 160 |
Deion Burks
WR
|
W87 | IND-4 | vs. TEN | 3.9 | ||
| 161 |
Kimani Vidal
RB
|
R44 | LAC-3 | @ KC | 3.9 | ||
| 162 | W88 | LAR-4 | vs. ARI | 3.9 | |||
| 163 | W89 | JAC-4 | @ HOU | 3.9 | |||
| 164 | W90 | BUF-4 | @ LV | 3.9 | |||
| 165 |
Najee Harris
RB
|
R45 | NYG-2 | vs. NO | 3.7 | ||
| 166 | R46 | CHI-2 | @ ATL | 3.6 | |||
| 167 |
Justice Hill
RB
|
R47 | BAL-2 | @ CLE | 3.5 | ||
| 168 |
Isaiah Davis
RB
|
R48 | NYJ-2 | @ NE | 3.4 | ||
| 169 | R49 | DAL-2 | @ GB | 3.1 | |||
| 170 |
Ray Davis
RB
|
R50 | BUF-2 | @ LV | 3.1 | ||
| 171 |
Seth McGowan
RB
|
R51 | IND-2 | vs. TEN | 3.1 | ||
| 172 |
Sean Tucker
RB
|
R52 | TB-3 | vs. PIT | 3.1 | ||
| 173 |
Corey Kiner
RB
|
R53 | NE-2 | vs. NYJ | 3.0 | ||
| 174 |
Ty Johnson
RB
|
R54 | BUF-3 | @ LV | 3.0 | ||
| 175 |
CJ Donaldson
RB
|
R55 | NO-3 | @ NYG | 2.9 | ||
| 176 | R56 | CLE-2 | vs. BAL | 2.9 | |||
| 177 | R57 | NYG-3 | vs. NO | 2.9 | |||
| 178 | R58 | GB-3 | vs. DAL | 2.9 | |||
| 179 | R59 | NE-3 | vs. NYJ | 2.5 | |||
| 180 |
Jordan James
RB
|
R60 | SF-3 | vs. WAS | 0.6 | ||
Refreshed 57 minutes ago
LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 11: Tight End Brenton Strange of Jacksonville Jaguars spins in the air after a tackle by Defensive back Andrew Mukuba of Philadelphia Eagles during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles as part of the NFL London Games on October 11, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.
Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean
Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.
D/STs
| Player/Team | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 10.8 | 5.0 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 5.1 | - | 6.6 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 6.7 |
| Chiefs | 9.4 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 6.3 |
Quarterbacks
| Player/Team | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | BUF | 25.2 | - | 21.1 | 18.2 | 18.6 | 19.3 | 20.5 | 18.4 | 19.8 | 21.4 | 19.8 | 19.1 | 20.1 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 21.6 | 20.6 | - | 20.1 | 18.6 | 17.8 | 17.3 | 18.6 | 17.4 | 18.4 | 16.8 | 18.0 | 18.7 |
This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.
Brandon Aubrey
- Not significantly different from the average kicker situation.
- Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
- Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.
The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.
Patriots Similar historical matchups
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Patriots @ Jets | 2021 | 2 | 16 |
| Similar | Giants vs 49ers | 2015 | 5 | 1 |
| Boom | Patriots @ Jets | 2021 | 2 | 16 |
| Bust | Seahawks @ Rams | 2014 | 7 | 0 |
Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean
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