Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 20.2 DET-1 vs. GB
2 18.1 ATL-1 vs. SF
3 17.1 SF-1 @ ATL
4 14.9 SF-1 @ ATL
5 14.2 KC-1 @ SEA
6 14.2 BAL-1 vs. CIN
7 14.2 LAR-1 @ LV
8 14.2 ARI-1 vs. DEN
9 13.6 CHI-1 vs. NE
10 13.4 CIN-1 @ BAL
11 13.4 CAR-1 vs. TB
12 13.3 DET-1 vs. GB
13 12.8 PIT-1 🌐 NO
14 12.8 IND-1 @ MIN
15 12.6 SEA-1 vs. KC
16 12.5 DAL-1 @ PHI
17 12.3 ATL-1 vs. SF
18 12.3 LV-1 vs. LAR
19 12.1 HOU-1 vs. NYG
20 12.1 DAL-1 @ PHI
21 11.9 LV-1 vs. LAR
22 11.8 LAR-1 @ LV
23 11.8 DET-1 vs. GB
24 11.4 CIN-1 @ BAL
25 11.1 NYG-1 @ HOU
26 10.8 HOU-1 vs. NYG
27 10.8 GB-1 @ DET
28 10.6 CAR-1 vs. TB
29 10.6 MIN-1 vs. IND
30 10.6 GB-1 @ DET
31 10.5 NYG-1 @ HOU
32 10.2 GB-2 @ DET
33 10.2 NO-1 🌐 PIT
34 10.1 NE-1 @ CHI
35 10.1 BAL-1 vs. CIN
36 9.9 TB-1 @ CAR
37 9.7 CLE-1 @ TEN
38 9.6 MIN-1 vs. IND
39 9.5 CIN-2 @ BAL
40 9.4 ARI-1 vs. DEN
41 9.4 CAR-2 vs. TB
42 9.2 PHI-1 vs. DAL
43 9.2 SEA-1 vs. KC
44 9.2 DET-2 vs. GB
45 9.2 MIA-1 @ NYJ
46 9.0 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
47 8.8 PIT-1 🌐 NO
48 8.8 CHI-1 vs. NE
49 8.7 DAL-2 @ PHI
50 8.7 PIT-2 🌐 NO
51 8.6 GB-1 @ DET
52 8.6 DEN-1 @ ARI
53 8.6 TEN-1 vs. CLE
54 8.6 NE-1 @ CHI
55 8.5 MIN-1 vs. IND
56 8.4 CHI-1 vs. NE
57 8.4 DEN-2 @ ARI
58 8.3 TB-1 @ CAR
59 8.2 TB-2 @ CAR
60 8.2 DEN-1 @ ARI
61 8.2 TEN-1 vs. CLE
62 8.1 IND-1 @ MIN
63 8.0 NE-1 @ CHI
64 8.0 CLE-1 @ TEN
65 8.0 ATL-1 vs. SF
66 8.0 CLE-1 @ TEN
67 8.0 IND-2 @ MIN
68 7.9 CHI-2 vs. NE
69 7.9 KC-1 @ SEA
70 7.9 MIA-1 @ NYJ
71 7.9 CLE-2 @ TEN
72 7.8 ARI-1 vs. DEN
73 7.8 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
74 7.8 LAR-2 @ LV
75 7.8 LAR-1 @ LV
76 7.8 KC-1 @ SEA
77 7.8 PHI-1 vs. DAL
78 7.7 TB-1 @ CAR
79 7.7 PIT-1 🌐 NO
80 7.5 HOU-1 vs. NYG
81 7.5 BAL-1 vs. CIN
82 7.5 TEN-2 vs. CLE
83 7.5 LV-1 vs. LAR
84 7.5 NO-2 🌐 PIT
85 7.1 DAL-3 @ PHI
86 7.1 MIN-2 vs. IND
87 7.0 SF-1 @ ATL
88 6.8 PHI-1 vs. DAL
89 6.8 SF-2 @ ATL
90 6.8 NE-2 @ CHI
91 6.8 HOU-2 vs. NYG
92 6.8 DEN-2 @ ARI
93 6.7 NO-1 🌐 PIT
94 6.7 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
95 6.7 SEA-2 vs. KC
96 6.7 ARI-2 vs. DEN
97 6.7 HOU-3 vs. NYG
98 6.5 LAR-2 @ LV
99 6.5 NO-1 🌐 PIT
100 6.5 NO-2 🌐 PIT
101 6.3 DAL-1 @ PHI
102 6.3 SEA-1 vs. KC
103 6.2 LAR-2 @ LV
104 6.2 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
105 6.1 NE-3 @ CHI
106 6.1 CIN-1 @ BAL
107 6.1 DEN-1 @ ARI
108 6.1 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
109 6.1 NYG-1 @ HOU
110 6.0 MIN-2 vs. IND
111 6.0 NYG-2 @ HOU
112 6.0 PIT-2 🌐 NO
113 6.0 CAR-1 vs. TB
114 5.9 IND-3 @ MIN
115 5.9 PHI-2 vs. DAL
116 5.9 MIA-1 @ NYJ
117 5.8 LV-2 vs. LAR
118 5.8 NE-4 @ CHI
119 5.8 MIA-2 @ NYJ
120 5.7 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
121 5.6 NE-2 @ CHI
122 5.5 DET-3 vs. GB
123 5.5 SEA-3 vs. KC
124 5.4 CHI-2 vs. NE
125 5.4 PIT-2 🌐 NO
126 5.4 DEN-3 @ ARI
127 5.4 CHI-3 vs. NE
128 5.4 PHI-2 vs. DAL
129 5.4 SEA-2 vs. KC
130 5.2 SF-2 @ ATL
131 5.2 LV-2 vs. LAR
132 5.2 ATL-2 vs. SF
133 5.0 MIA-3 @ NYJ
134 5.0 HOU-4 vs. NYG
135 5.0 BAL-2 vs. CIN
136 5.0 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
137 5.0 BAL-3 vs. CIN
138 5.0 SF-3 @ ATL
139 4.9 MIA-4 @ NYJ
140 4.8 TEN-2 vs. CLE
141 4.8 MIN-3 vs. IND
142 4.8 ARI-2 vs. DEN
143 4.8 TB-3 @ CAR
144 4.8 CIN-2 @ BAL
145 4.8 KC-2 @ SEA
146 4.6 SF-4 @ ATL
147 4.6 DEN-4 @ ARI
148 4.6 CIN-3 @ BAL
149 4.6 GB-3 @ DET
150 4.5 CLE-3 @ TEN
151 4.3 BAL-2 vs. CIN
152 4.3 GB-2 @ DET
153 4.3 LV-2 vs. LAR
154 4.3 MIA-2 @ NYJ
155 4.3 ARI-3 vs. DEN
156 4.3 CLE-2 @ TEN
157 4.3 NYG-3 @ HOU
158 4.2 ATL-3 vs. SF
159 4.2 TEN-3 vs. CLE
160 4.2 TEN-4 vs. CLE
161 4.2 ATL-4 vs. SF
162 4.2 HOU-5 vs. NYG
163 4.1 HOU-6 vs. NYG
164 4.1 SEA-4 vs. KC
165 4.1 NO-3 🌐 PIT
166 4.0 KC-2 @ SEA
167 4.0 TB-2 @ CAR
168 3.8 CHI-4 vs. NE
169 3.7 NYG-2 @ HOU
170 3.6 LAR-3 @ LV
171 3.0 GB-3 @ DET
172 2.9 DET-2 vs. GB
173 2.9 IND-2 @ MIN
174 2.9 NO-3 🌐 PIT
175 2.9 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
176 2.6 TB-3 @ CAR
177 2.6 DEN-3 @ ARI
178 2.6 NE-3 @ CHI
179 2.6 SF-3 @ ATL
180 2.6 DAL-2 @ PHI

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Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.6 2.5 5.6 6.5 4.1 7.4 5.1 2.7 4.3 6.5 6.9 5.6
Texans 9.5 - 9.0 9.6 5.6 6.5 6.6 6.3 3.9 6.8 6.1 7.0

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jordan Love | GB 20.7 16.0 15.5 13.0 - 15.3 17.3 14.9 16.6 14.7 14.6 15.9
Brock Purdy | SF 20.6 - 21.7 18.9 17.8 16.7 18.6 17.7 17.9 16.8 19.0 18.6

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Commanders vs Cowboys 2024 12 1

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Packers Week 7
Jordan Love

D/ST

Vikings Week 7