Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
CeeDee Lamb WR
15.9 DAL-1 vs. ARI
2
Bijan Robinson RB
15.6 ATL-1 @ TB
3
Javonte Williams RB
15.6 DAL-1 vs. ARI
4
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
15.5 DET-1 vs. MIN
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.5 KC-1 @ DEN
6
Derrick Henry RB
15.1 BAL-1 @ BUF
7
Puka Nacua WR
15.0 LAR-1 vs. LAC
8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
14.6 SEA-1 vs. CHI
9
Trey McBride TE
14.6 ARI-1 @ DAL
10
Chuba Hubbard RB
14.0 CAR-1 @ GB
11
Chase Brown RB
13.9 CIN-1 vs. TEN
12
Bhayshul Tuten RB
13.9 JAC-1 vs. IND
13
Kyren Williams RB
13.9 LAR-1 vs. LAC
14
James Cook III RB
13.9 BUF-1 vs. BAL
15
Ashton Jeanty RB
12.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
16
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
12.9 DET-1 vs. MIN
17
Bucky Irving RB
12.8 TB-1 vs. ATL
18
Ja'Marr Chase WR
12.5 CIN-1 vs. TEN
19
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.5 IND-1 @ JAC
20
George Pickens WR
12.4 DAL-2 vs. ARI
21
Saquon Barkley RB
12.4 PHI-1 @ WAS
22
Jaylen Warren RB
12.3 PIT-1 vs. CLE
23
Justin Jefferson WR
11.8 MIN-1 @ DET
24
Parker Washington WR
11.8 JAC-1 vs. IND
25
Zay Flowers WR
11.8 BAL-1 @ BUF
26
Christian Watson WR
11.7 GB-1 vs. CAR
27
D'Andre Swift RB
11.7 CHI-1 @ SEA
28
Rachaad White RB
11.6 WAS-1 vs. PHI
29
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.5 CAR-1 @ GB
30
Emanuel Wilson RB
11.3 SEA-1 vs. CHI
31
Josh Jacobs RB
11.3 GB-1 vs. CAR
32
Michael Wilson WR
11.2 ARI-1 @ DAL
33
Drake London WR
11.2 ATL-1 @ TB
34
Quinshon Judkins RB
10.9 CLE-1 @ PIT
35
Tee Higgins WR
10.9 CIN-2 vs. TEN
36
Matthew Golden WR
10.9 GB-2 vs. CAR
37
Brock Bowers TE
10.8 LV-1 @ NYJ
38
Jalen Coker WR
10.7 CAR-2 @ GB
39
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.7 MIA-1 vs. NE
40
Jordan Mason RB
10.2 MIN-1 @ DET
41
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
10.2 NE-1 @ MIA
42
Germie Bernard WR
10.0 PIT-1 vs. CLE
43
Breece Hall RB
9.8 NYJ-1 vs. LV
44
Tony Pollard RB
9.5 TEN-1 @ CIN
45
Stefon Diggs WR
9.5 WAS-1 vs. PHI
46
A.J. Brown WR
9.3 NE-1 @ MIA
47
Antonio Williams WR
9.3 WAS-2 vs. PHI
48
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.3 CLE-1 @ PIT
49
Kendrick Bourne WR
9.3 ARI-2 @ DAL
50
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.3 TB-1 vs. ATL
51
Hunter Henry TE
9.3 NE-1 @ MIA
52
Colston Loveland TE
9.3 CHI-1 @ SEA
53
Malik Washington WR
9.2 MIA-1 vs. NE
54
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
9.2 TB-2 vs. ATL
55
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.2 MIN-1 @ DET
56
Luther Burden III WR
9.2 CHI-1 @ SEA
57
DK Metcalf WR
9.2 PIT-2 vs. CLE
58
Sam LaPorta TE
9.1 DET-1 vs. MIN
59
Josh Downs WR
9.1 IND-1 @ JAC
60
Makai Lemon WR
9.0 PHI-1 @ WAS
61
Dallas Goedert TE
8.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
62
Tucker Kraft TE
8.3 GB-1 vs. CAR
63
Omarion Hampton RB
8.3 LAC-1 @ LAR
64
Blake Corum RB
8.3 LAR-2 vs. LAC
65
Rome Odunze WR
8.2 CHI-2 @ SEA
66
Carnell Tate WR
8.2 TEN-1 @ CIN
67
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
68
DJ Moore WR
8.0 BUF-1 vs. BAL
69
Jameson Williams WR
7.9 DET-2 vs. MIN
70
Courtland Sutton WR
7.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
71
Ladd McConkey WR
7.4 LAC-1 @ LAR
72
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
7.4 ATL-1 @ TB
73
Travis Kelce TE
7.4 KC-1 @ DEN
74
Tre Tucker WR
7.4 LV-1 @ NYJ
75
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.3 DAL-3 vs. ARI
76
Garrett Wilson WR
7.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
77
DeMario Douglas WR
7.3 NE-2 @ MIA
78
Ted Hurst III WR
7.2 TB-3 vs. ATL
79
AJ Barner TE
7.2 SEA-1 vs. CHI
80
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.2 CLE-1 @ PIT
81
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.2 BUF-1 vs. BAL
82
Hollywood Brown WR
7.1 PHI-2 @ WAS
83
Keenan Allen WR
7.0 IND-2 @ JAC
84
Brenton Strange TE
7.0 JAC-1 vs. IND
85
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.9 WAS-1 vs. PHI
86
Braelon Allen RB
6.9 NYJ-2 vs. LV
87
Jeremiyah Love RB
6.9 ARI-1 @ DAL
88
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
6.9 NYJ-2 vs. LV
89
Rico Dowdle RB
6.8 PIT-2 vs. CLE
90
Jordan Addison WR
6.8 MIN-2 @ DET
91
Keon Coleman WR
6.8 BUF-2 vs. BAL
92
Xavier Worthy WR
6.7 KC-1 @ DEN
93
Mark Andrews TE
6.7 BAL-1 @ BUF
94
TreVeyon Henderson RB
6.7 NE-2 @ MIA
95
Tyler Allgeier RB
6.7 ARI-2 @ DAL
96
Jake Ferguson TE
6.6 DAL-1 vs. ARI
97
Mike Gesicki TE
6.5 CIN-1 vs. TEN
98
Tyler Higbee TE
6.5 LAR-1 vs. LAC
99
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.4 PIT-1 vs. CLE
100
Jonah Coleman RB
6.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
101
Quentin Johnston WR
6.4 LAC-2 @ LAR
102
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
6.4 BAL-2 @ BUF
103
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
6.4 TEN-2 @ CIN
104
RJ Harvey RB
6.3 DEN-2 vs. KC
105
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.2 LAR-2 vs. LAC
106
Treylon Burks WR
6.2 WAS-3 vs. PHI
107
Caleb Douglas WR
6.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
108
Greg Dulcich TE
6.2 MIA-1 vs. NE
109
Cade Otton TE
6.1 TB-1 vs. ATL
110
Tyler Warren TE
6.1 IND-1 @ JAC
111
George Holani RB
6.1 SEA-2 vs. CHI
112
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
113
Khalil Shakir WR
6.0 BUF-3 vs. BAL
114
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-3 vs. KC
115
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.8 SEA-2 vs. CHI
116
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.8 NYJ-3 vs. LV
117
Samaje Perine RB
5.7 CIN-2 vs. TEN
118
Troy Franklin WR
5.7 DEN-2 vs. KC
119
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
5.7 MIN-2 @ DET
120
Darius Cooper WR
5.7 PHI-3 @ WAS
121
Chris Bell WR
5.6 MIA-3 vs. NE
122
Emmett Johnson RB
5.6 KC-2 @ DEN
123
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.5 LV-2 @ NYJ
124
Kalif Raymond WR
5.5 CHI-3 @ SEA
125
Jalen Nailor WR
5.5 LV-2 @ NYJ
126
Cooper Kupp WR
5.5 SEA-3 vs. CHI
127
Colby Parkinson TE
5.5 LAR-2 vs. LAC
128
Mason Taylor TE
5.5 NYJ-1 vs. LV
129
Austin Ekeler RB
5.3 WAS-2 vs. PHI
130
Kenny Gainwell RB
5.3 TB-2 vs. ATL
131
Michael Mayer TE
5.3 LV-2 @ NYJ
132
Evan Engram TE
5.3 DEN-1 vs. KC
133
Dohnte Meyers WR
5.3 CIN-3 vs. TEN
134
Jauan Jennings WR
5.3 MIN-3 @ DET
135
Darnell Washington TE
5.3 PIT-2 vs. CLE
136
Laquon Treadwell WR
5.2 IND-3 @ JAC
137
Efton Chism III WR
5.1 NE-3 @ MIA
138
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.1 DET-3 vs. MIN
139
Travis Hunter WR
5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
140
Keaton Mitchell RB
5.1 LAC-2 @ LAR
141
Rashod Bateman WR
5.1 BAL-3 @ BUF
142
Bam Knight RB
5.1 ARI-3 @ DAL
143
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
144
Rashee Rice WR
5.0 KC-2 @ DEN
145
Jahan Dotson WR
5.0 ATL-2 @ TB
146
Darren Waller TE
4.9 CAR-1 @ GB
147
Devin Duvernay WR
4.9 ARI-3 @ DAL
148
Savion Williams WR
4.9 GB-3 vs. CAR
149
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.8 DEN-3 vs. KC
150
Zachariah Branch WR
4.8 ATL-3 @ TB
151
Denzel Boston WR
4.8 CLE-2 @ PIT
152
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.7 CLE-3 @ PIT
153
Elic Ayomanor WR
4.7 TEN-3 @ CIN
154
Cyrus Allen WR
4.7 KC-3 @ DEN
155
Tyjae Spears RB
4.7 TEN-2 @ CIN
156
Kameron Johnson WR
4.6 TB-4 vs. ATL
157
Seth McGowan RB
4.6 IND-2 @ JAC
158
Kimani Vidal RB
4.6 LAC-3 @ LAR
159
J. Michael Sturdivant WR
4.5 GB-4 vs. CAR
160
Chris Blair WR
4.5 ATL-4 @ TB
161
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
4.5 MIA-4 vs. NE
162
Kyle Williams WR
4.5 NE-4 @ MIA
163
Calvin Ridley WR
4.4 TEN-4 @ CIN
164
Tory Horton WR
4.4 SEA-4 vs. CHI
165
Kenyon Sadiq TE
4.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
166
Montorie Foster Jr. WR
4.3 SEA-5 vs. CHI
167
Roschon Johnson RB
4.3 CHI-2 @ SEA
168
Joshua Palmer WR
4.2 BUF-4 vs. BAL
169
Camden Brown WR
4.1 DAL-4 vs. ARI
170
Colbie Young WR
4.1 CIN-4 vs. TEN
171
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
172
Justice Hill RB
4.0 BAL-2 @ BUF
173
Sean Tucker RB
3.9 TB-3 vs. ATL
174
Sione Vaki RB
3.2 DET-2 vs. MIN
175
Jaylen Wright RB
3.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
176
Corey Kiner RB
3.1 NE-3 @ MIA
177
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
2.9 CLE-2 @ PIT
178
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
2.9 ATL-2 @ TB
179
Ray Davis RB
2.9 BUF-2 vs. BAL
180
Demond Claiborne RB
2.9 MIN-3 @ DET

Refreshed 20 minutes ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

[UPDATE Wed. 11amEST - Updates to Betting Lines Spreads, results in canceling a number of Tuesday’s suggestions. Sorry for the disruption, this is part of the promised updating going on. There shouldn’t be any more changes this week, now…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Steelers 8.7 - 3.4 8.3 5.1 5.8 5.6 7.7 6.0 5.9 6.3
Commanders 8.7 4.5 4.9 4.8 6.7 5.8 5.0 5.6 5.6 3.2 5.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 23.9 20.3 20.9 19.4 21.4 19.2 21.2 20.3 21.3 19.5 20.7
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.1 17.6 19.7 18.2 18.3 15.8 - 17.0 19.3 19.4 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Steelers Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Colts vs Commanders 2022 8 5
Similar Colts vs Broncos 2019 8 6
Boom Dolphins @ Jaguars 2014 8 24
Bust Ravens @ Browns 2024 8 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Steelers Week 8