Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 10

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 20.9 ATL-1 vs. KC
2 19.1 CAR-1 @ NO
3 19.1 DET-1 🌐 NE
4 18.5 SF-1 @ DAL
5 16.3 BAL-1 vs. LAC
6 16.3 SEA-1 @ LV
7 16.1 CIN-1 vs. PIT
8 16.1 DAL-1 vs. SF
9 15.9 BUF-1 @ NYJ
10 15.7 MIN-1 @ GB
11 15.2 DET-1 🌐 NE
12 14.6 JAC-1 @ TEN
13 14.1 LAR-1 @ ARI
14 13.5 PIT-1 @ CIN
15 13.1 DAL-1 vs. SF
16 13.0 HOU-1 @ CLE
17 13.0 IND-1 vs. MIA
18 12.9 CIN-2 vs. PIT
19 12.8 ARI-1 vs. LAR
20 12.6 IND-1 vs. MIA
21 12.5 CAR-1 @ NO
22 12.4 NYG-1 vs. WAS
23 11.9 TEN-1 vs. JAC
24 11.9 MIA-1 @ IND
25 11.9 CIN-1 vs. PIT
26 11.8 NO-1 vs. CAR
27 11.7 JAC-1 @ TEN
28 11.7 GB-1 vs. MIN
29 11.7 GB-2 vs. MIN
30 11.5 LV-1 vs. SEA
31 11.4 SF-1 @ DAL
32 11.4 DET-2 🌐 NE
33 11.3 ATL-1 vs. KC
34 11.3 BAL-1 vs. LAC
35 11.3 LV-1 vs. SEA
36 11.3 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
37 11.0 NYG-1 vs. WAS
38 11.0 NE-1 🌐 DET
39 11.0 SEA-1 @ LV
40 11.0 HOU-1 @ CLE
41 10.1 PIT-1 @ CIN
42 10.1 CAR-2 @ NO
43 9.9 LAR-2 @ ARI
44 9.7 WAS-1 @ NYG
45 9.5 CLE-1 vs. HOU
46 9.5 NYG-1 vs. WAS
47 9.4 CLE-1 vs. HOU
48 9.3 PIT-2 @ CIN
49 9.3 DAL-2 vs. SF
50 9.3 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
51 9.2 NE-1 🌐 DET
52 9.1 SF-1 @ DAL
53 9.1 BUF-1 @ NYJ
54 8.9 KC-1 @ ATL
55 8.7 KC-1 @ ATL
56 8.7 NO-1 vs. CAR
57 8.5 TEN-1 vs. JAC
58 8.5 MIA-1 @ IND
59 8.4 CLE-2 vs. HOU
60 8.3 DET-1 🌐 NE
61 8.2 PIT-2 @ CIN
62 8.2 MIN-2 @ GB
63 8.1 DAL-3 vs. SF
64 8.0 LAC-1 @ BAL
65 8.0 MIA-2 @ IND
66 8.0 WAS-1 @ NYG
67 8.0 ARI-1 vs. LAR
68 7.9 WAS-2 @ NYG
69 7.8 MIN-1 @ GB
70 7.8 NO-2 vs. CAR
71 7.8 NO-3 vs. CAR
72 7.7 SEA-2 @ LV
73 7.7 BUF-2 @ NYJ
74 7.6 SF-2 @ DAL
75 7.6 HOU-2 @ CLE
76 7.4 SF-3 @ DAL
77 7.4 SF-4 @ DAL
78 7.4 KC-2 @ ATL
79 7.4 JAC-2 @ TEN
80 7.4 NYJ-2 vs. BUF
81 7.3 ATL-1 vs. KC
82 7.3 LAR-1 @ ARI
83 7.3 NO-2 vs. CAR
84 7.3 CIN-3 vs. PIT
85 7.3 HOU-3 @ CLE
86 7.3 NE-2 🌐 DET
87 7.3 LAC-1 @ BAL
88 7.3 MIN-2 @ GB
89 7.3 NO-3 vs. CAR
90 7.2 SF-2 @ DAL
91 7.2 NYG-2 vs. WAS
92 7.1 IND-1 vs. MIA
93 7.1 NYJ-3 vs. BUF
94 7.1 JAC-2 @ TEN
95 7.1 KC-1 @ ATL
96 7.1 NYJ-2 vs. BUF
97 7.0 LAR-2 @ ARI
98 7.0 LAR-3 @ ARI
99 7.0 LV-1 vs. SEA
100 6.7 LAR-1 @ ARI
101 6.7 BUF-1 @ NYJ
102 6.7 NE-3 🌐 DET
103 6.7 GB-1 vs. MIN
104 6.7 CLE-2 vs. HOU
105 6.5 GB-3 vs. MIN
106 6.4 MIA-3 @ IND
107 6.4 PIT-1 @ CIN
108 6.4 LAC-2 @ BAL
109 6.4 BUF-3 @ NYJ
110 6.4 KC-3 @ ATL
111 6.4 SEA-2 @ LV
112 6.4 LAC-3 @ BAL
113 6.4 NE-4 🌐 DET
114 6.4 NYG-2 vs. WAS
115 6.3 LV-2 vs. SEA
116 6.1 ATL-2 vs. KC
117 6.0 NE-1 🌐 DET
118 6.0 WAS-3 @ NYG
119 6.0 NYG-3 vs. WAS
120 6.0 ARI-2 vs. LAR
121 5.9 WAS-2 @ NYG
122 5.9 JAC-1 @ TEN
123 5.9 TEN-2 vs. JAC
124 5.9 LAR-2 @ ARI
125 5.9 GB-1 vs. MIN
126 5.9 CAR-1 @ NO
127 5.9 WAS-4 @ NYG
128 5.9 CLE-1 vs. HOU
129 5.8 JAC-3 @ TEN
130 5.7 DET-3 🌐 NE
131 5.6 NE-5 🌐 DET
132 5.6 TEN-3 vs. JAC
133 5.6 TEN-4 vs. JAC
134 5.6 ARI-1 vs. LAR
135 5.6 HOU-4 @ CLE
136 5.5 ARI-2 vs. LAR
137 5.5 BAL-2 vs. LAC
138 5.5 IND-2 vs. MIA
139 5.5 CLE-3 vs. HOU
140 5.5 JAC-4 @ TEN
141 5.5 MIA-4 @ IND
142 5.4 CIN-1 vs. PIT
143 5.4 SEA-3 @ LV
144 5.4 ATL-3 vs. KC
145 5.4 LV-2 vs. SEA
146 5.4 SEA-4 @ LV
147 5.4 CIN-2 vs. PIT
148 5.3 BAL-3 vs. LAC
149 5.3 ATL-4 vs. KC
150 5.1 MIA-1 @ IND
151 5.0 BAL-2 vs. LAC
152 5.0 NO-1 vs. CAR
153 4.9 LAC-2 @ BAL
154 4.9 NO-4 vs. CAR
155 4.8 KC-4 @ ATL
156 4.7 PIT-2 @ CIN
157 4.7 GB-2 vs. MIN
158 4.7 DET-2 🌐 NE
159 4.7 LAC-3 @ BAL
160 4.6 IND-2 vs. MIA
161 4.6 SEA-1 @ LV
162 4.3 NE-2 🌐 DET
163 4.3 WAS-1 @ NYG
164 4.2 DAL-2 vs. SF
165 4.2 LV-2 vs. SEA
166 4.1 HOU-1 @ CLE
167 3.8 BUF-2 @ NYJ
168 3.7 BUF-3 @ NYJ
169 3.6 LAC-1 @ BAL
170 3.5 MIA-2 @ IND
171 3.5 NE-2 🌐 DET
172 3.5 NYJ-1 vs. BUF
173 3.5 MIA-3 @ IND
174 3.5 NE-3 🌐 DET
175 3.3 LAC-2 @ BAL
176 3.3 DAL-1 vs. SF
177 3.2 SEA-3 @ LV
178 3.1 TEN-2 vs. JAC
179 3.0 JAC-3 @ TEN
180 3.0 IND-3 vs. MIA

Refreshed 16 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Ravens 9.0 5.7 4.6 - 6.7 5.2 7.9 4.2 6.2
Titans 3.3 3.8 3.8 5.3 3.9 6.4 4.8 4.6 4.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Dak Prescott | DAL 19.0 21.8 18.1 13.5 - 15.5 17.5 18.2 17.7
Carson Beck | ARI 9.5 12.0 13.6 14.8 - 16.1 14.9 16.1 13.9

Kickers

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Chad Ryland | ARI 7.5 5.3 8.4 11.2 - 9.1 9.1 8.5 8.5
Jake Elliott | PHI - 7.3 7.9 10.2 9.6 8.2 5.6 7.4 8.1

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Rams Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Vikings vs Broncos 2019 11 3
Similar Patriots vs Jets 2025 11 7
Boom Cowboys @ Panthers 2023 11 22
Bust Jets vs Bills 2018 10 -4

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Cam Little

  • Less likely to stall upfield. and more likely to kick near the endzone
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 10
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Rams Week 10