Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

Subscribe

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
19.6 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
2
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
18.2 DET-1 @ MIA
3
Chuba Hubbard RB
17.4 CAR-1 vs. DEN
4
Ja'Marr Chase WR
17.1 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
5
Christian McCaffrey RB
16.5 SF-1 vs. LV
6
CeeDee Lamb WR
16.5 DAL-1 @ IND
7
Puka Nacua WR
16.5 LAR-1 @ WAS
8
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
16.3 DET-1 @ MIA
9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
16.3 SEA-1 vs. ARI
10
Kenneth Walker III RB
16.0 KC-1 vs. NYJ
11
Javonte Williams RB
15.4 DAL-1 @ IND
12
D'Andre Swift RB
15.1 CHI-1 vs. TB
13
George Kittle TE
14.7 SF-1 vs. LV
14
Malik Nabers WR
14.6 NYG-1 @ PHI
15
Brock Bowers TE
14.3 LV-1 @ SF
16
Trey McBride TE
14.3 ARI-1 @ SEA
17
Chase Brown RB
14.1 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
18
James Cook III RB
13.0 BUF-1 @ MIN
19
Kyren Williams RB
13.0 LAR-1 @ WAS
20
Tee Higgins WR
13.0 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
21
Jonah Coleman RB
12.9 DEN-1 @ CAR
22
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
12.9 NE-1 vs. GB
23
Devin Singletary RB
12.8 NYG-1 @ PHI
24
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.8 IND-1 vs. DAL
25
Chris Olave WR
12.6 NO-1 vs. CLE
26
Woody Marks RB
12.5 HOU-1 @ LAC
27
Colston Loveland TE
12.1 CHI-1 vs. TB
28
Alvin Kamara RB
12.0 NO-1 vs. CLE
29
Saquon Barkley RB
11.9 PHI-1 vs. NYG
30
Sam LaPorta TE
11.9 DET-1 @ MIA
31
Bucky Irving RB
11.9 TB-1 @ CHI
32
Drake London WR
11.9 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
33
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.7 CAR-1 vs. DEN
34
Justin Jefferson WR
11.7 MIN-1 vs. BUF
35
Derrick Henry RB
11.6 BAL-1 vs. JAC
36
Josh Jacobs RB
11.6 GB-1 @ NE
37
Christian Watson WR
11.2 GB-1 @ NE
38
Nico Collins WR
11.2 HOU-1 @ LAC
39
Matthew Golden WR
11.2 GB-2 @ NE
40
Tyler Warren TE
11.1 IND-1 vs. DAL
41
Jalen Coker WR
11.1 CAR-2 vs. DEN
42
Malik Washington WR
11.1 MIA-1 vs. DET
43
Luther Burden III WR
11.0 CHI-1 vs. TB
44
Ryan Flournoy WR
10.9 DAL-2 @ IND
45
Parker Washington WR
10.9 JAC-1 @ BAL
46
Rashee Rice WR
10.8 KC-1 vs. NYJ
47
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.7 MIA-1 vs. DET
48
Jameson Williams WR
10.6 DET-2 @ MIA
49
George Pickens WR
10.6 DAL-3 @ IND
50
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
10.5 CLE-1 @ NO
51
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
10.4 CLE-1 @ NO
52
Tyler Allgeier RB
10.4 ARI-1 @ SEA
53
Keenan Allen WR
10.4 IND-1 vs. DAL
54
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
10.4 NYJ-1 @ KC
55
DeMario Douglas WR
10.3 NE-1 vs. GB
56
Stefon Diggs WR
10.2 WAS-1 vs. LAR
57
Travis Kelce TE
10.1 KC-1 vs. NYJ
58
Isaiah Likely TE
10.1 NYG-1 @ PHI
59
Ashton Jeanty RB
10.0 LV-1 @ SF
60
Bhayshul Tuten RB
10.0 JAC-1 @ BAL
61
Jordan Addison WR
10.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
62
Jaylen Waddle WR
10.0 DEN-1 @ CAR
63
Michael Wilson WR
10.0 ARI-1 @ SEA
64
Ladd McConkey WR
9.9 LAC-1 vs. HOU
65
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.7 TB-1 @ CHI
66
Rachaad White RB
9.7 WAS-1 vs. LAR
67
Zay Flowers WR
9.7 BAL-1 vs. JAC
68
Adonai Mitchell WR
9.6 NYJ-2 @ KC
69
DJ Moore WR
9.6 BUF-1 @ MIN
70
Quinshon Judkins RB
9.5 CLE-1 @ NO
71
Devaughn Vele WR
9.3 NO-2 vs. CLE
72
Tucker Kraft TE
9.3 GB-1 @ NE
73
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
9.2 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
74
Makai Lemon WR
9.1 PHI-1 vs. NYG
75
Antonio Williams WR
9.0 WAS-2 vs. LAR
76
Caleb Douglas WR
9.0 MIA-2 vs. DET
77
Denzel Boston WR
9.0 CLE-2 @ NO
78
Rome Odunze WR
8.7 CHI-2 vs. TB
79
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
8.6 TB-2 @ CHI
80
Demarcus Robinson WR
8.6 SF-1 vs. LV
81
Brenton Strange TE
8.5 JAC-1 @ BAL
82
T.J. Hockenson TE
8.5 MIN-1 vs. BUF
83
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.3 JAC-2 @ BAL
84
Efton Chism III WR
8.2 NE-2 vs. GB
85
Jahan Dotson WR
8.2 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
86
Courtland Sutton WR
8.2 DEN-2 @ CAR
87
Blake Corum RB
8.1 LAR-2 @ WAS
88
Tre Tucker WR
7.9 LV-1 @ SF
89
Greg Dulcich TE
7.9 MIA-1 vs. DET
90
Josh Downs WR
7.9 IND-2 vs. DAL
91
Omarion Hampton RB
7.8 LAC-1 vs. HOU
92
Chris Bell WR
7.8 MIA-3 vs. DET
93
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
7.6 HOU-2 @ LAC
94
Darius Cooper WR
7.6 PHI-2 vs. NYG
95
Xavier Worthy WR
7.6 KC-2 vs. NYJ
96
Malachi Fields WR
7.6 NYG-2 @ PHI
97
Brandin Cooks WR
7.5 SF-2 vs. LV
98
Quentin Johnston WR
7.4 LAC-2 vs. HOU
99
Khalil Shakir WR
7.4 BUF-2 @ MIN
100
Jordan Mason RB
7.4 MIN-1 vs. BUF
101
Mike Gesicki TE
7.3 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
102
Ted Hurst III WR
7.1 TB-3 @ CHI
103
Kyle Williams WR
7.1 NE-3 vs. GB
104
Dallas Goedert TE
7.0 PHI-1 vs. NYG
105
Jalen Nailor WR
6.9 LV-2 @ SF
106
Kaelon Black RB
6.9 SF-2 vs. LV
107
Tyler Higbee TE
6.9 LAR-1 @ WAS
108
Braelon Allen RB
6.9 NYJ-1 @ KC
109
Breece Hall RB
6.8 NYJ-2 @ KC
110
Juwan Johnson TE
6.8 NO-1 vs. CLE
111
Dalton Kincaid TE
6.7 BUF-1 @ MIN
112
Dohnte Meyers WR
6.7 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
113
Laquon Treadwell WR
6.5 IND-3 vs. DAL
114
Cooper Kupp WR
6.5 SEA-2 vs. ARI
115
Keon Coleman WR
6.5 BUF-3 @ MIN
116
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.5 JAC-2 @ BAL
117
Mike Washington Jr. RB
6.5 LV-2 @ SF
118
Tre' Harris WR
6.5 LAC-3 vs. HOU
119
Kalif Raymond WR
6.4 CHI-3 vs. TB
120
AJ Barner TE
6.4 SEA-1 vs. ARI
121
Darnell Mooney WR
6.2 NYG-3 @ PHI
122
Treylon Burks WR
6.2 WAS-3 vs. LAR
123
Savion Williams WR
6.1 GB-3 @ NE
124
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
6.1 MIA-4 vs. DET
125
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
6.1 JAC-3 @ BAL
126
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.1 WAS-1 vs. LAR
127
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
6.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
128
Zach Charbonnet RB
6.0 SEA-1 vs. ARI
129
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-2 @ CAR
130
Dylan Sampson RB
5.9 CLE-2 @ NO
131
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.8 DET-3 @ MIA
132
Tutu Atwell WR
5.8 LAR-2 @ WAS
133
Jacob Cowing WR
5.7 SF-3 vs. LV
134
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.7 SEA-3 vs. ARI
135
Jerry Jeudy WR
5.7 CLE-3 @ NO
136
Tory Horton WR
5.7 SEA-4 vs. ARI
137
Emmett Johnson RB
5.7 KC-2 vs. NYJ
138
Samaje Perine RB
5.7 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
139
Seth McGowan RB
5.6 IND-2 vs. DAL
140
Jadarian Price RB
5.6 SEA-2 vs. ARI
141
Kayshon Boutte WR
5.6 HOU-3 @ LAC
142
Zachariah Branch WR
5.5 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
143
Cyrus Allen WR
5.5 KC-3 vs. NYJ
144
Kenyon Sadiq TE
5.5 NYJ-1 @ KC
145
Pat Bryant WR
5.5 DEN-3 @ CAR
146
Darren Waller TE
5.5 CAR-1 vs. DEN
147
Dalton Schultz TE
5.5 HOU-1 @ LAC
148
Travis Hunter WR
5.4 JAC-4 @ BAL
149
Hollywood Brown WR
5.4 PHI-3 vs. NYG
150
Konata Mumpfield WR
5.3 LAR-3 @ WAS
151
Austin Ekeler RB
5.2 WAS-2 vs. LAR
152
Rashod Bateman WR
5.1 BAL-2 vs. JAC
153
Mack Hollins WR
5.0 NE-4 vs. GB
154
Evan Engram TE
5.0 DEN-1 @ CAR
155
Chris Blair WR
5.0 ATL-4 🌐 CIN
156
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
5.0 BAL-3 vs. JAC
157
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.9 DEN-4 @ CAR
158
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.9 TB-2 @ CHI
159
Tank Dell WR
4.9 HOU-4 @ LAC
160
Mason Taylor TE
4.8 NYJ-2 @ KC
161
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.6 LAC-2 vs. HOU
162
Elijah Mitchell RB
4.6 PHI-2 vs. NYG
163
Cade Otton TE
4.6 TB-1 @ CHI
164
Emanuel Wilson RB
4.6 SEA-3 vs. ARI
165
Cam Skattebo RB
4.5 NYG-2 @ PHI
166
Corey Kiner RB
4.5 NE-2 vs. GB
167
Kimani Vidal RB
4.4 LAC-3 vs. HOU
168
Eli Raridon TE
4.4 NE-1 vs. GB
169
Colby Parkinson TE
4.3 LAR-2 @ WAS
170
Hunter Henry TE
4.3 NE-2 vs. GB
171
Sione Vaki RB
4.2 DET-2 @ MIA
172
MarShawn Lloyd RB
3.8 GB-2 @ NE
173
Tyler Goodson RB
3.6 DAL-2 @ IND
174
Ray Davis RB
3.6 BUF-2 @ MIN
175
Justice Hill RB
3.5 BAL-2 vs. JAC
176
Roschon Johnson RB
3.4 CHI-2 vs. TB
177
Ty Johnson RB
3.3 BUF-3 @ MIN
178
Jaylen Wright RB
3.1 MIA-2 vs. DET
179
Sean Tucker RB
3.1 TB-3 @ CHI
180
Emari Demercado RB
2.9 HOU-2 @ LAC

Refreshed 9 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026 JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the ball during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026

November 4, 2026 Time again to reflect on the predictability of the 2026 season so far! If you’re new to these: Examining predictive accuracy has been a long-standing tradition, underpinning a key purpose of Subvertadown: To give us an…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jaguars 9.9 6.8 5.5 7.5 2.8 7.2 4.7 2.6 6.5 5.9
Seahawks 9.7 2.9 - 3.8 6.0 7.6 8.7 5.4 6.5 6.3

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 23.1 20.5 18.4 17.9 18.0 17.8 17.9 19.4 19.1 19.1
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.3 19.0 18.3 20.5 16.3 18.8 18.9 16.9 17.1 18.6

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Jaguars Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Seahawks vs Vikings 2025 13 27
Similar Ravens vs Jets 2025 12 10
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Buccaneers @ Panthers 2022 7 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Jaguars Week 9