Predictive insights with statistical integrity
At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.
What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.
It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.
Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.
The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 6
| Position | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Player | R | W | T | Tm The team and team positional rank based on projections. | Matchup | Proj |
| 1 |
Puka Nacua
WR
|
W1 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 15.3 | ||
| 2 | R1 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 15.1 | |||
| 3 | T1 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 14.9 | |||
| 4 | R2 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 14.8 | |||
| 5 | R3 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 14.6 | |||
| 6 | R4 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 14.4 | |||
| 7 | R5 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 13.8 | |||
| 8 | R6 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 13.6 | |||
| 9 | R7 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 13.6 | |||
| 10 | R8 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 13.6 | |||
| 11 | R9 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 13.6 | |||
| 12 | W2 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 13.4 | |||
| 13 |
Mike Evans
WR
|
W3 | SF-1 | vs. WAS | 13.3 | ||
| 14 |
Drake London
WR
|
W4 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 13.3 | ||
| 15 |
Zay Flowers
WR
|
W5 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 13.3 | ||
| 16 |
CeeDee Lamb
WR
|
W6 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 13.2 | ||
| 17 |
Brock Bowers
TE
|
T2 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 12.7 | ||
| 18 | R10 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 12.7 | |||
| 19 | R11 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 12.7 | |||
| 20 | R12 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 12.4 | |||
| 21 |
Travis Kelce
TE
|
T3 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 12.0 | ||
| 22 |
Tyler Warren
TE
|
T4 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 11.8 | ||
| 23 |
Trey McBride
TE
|
T5 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 11.8 | ||
| 24 | R13 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 11.5 | |||
| 25 | W7 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 11.4 | |||
| 26 |
Chris Olave
WR
|
W8 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 11.4 | ||
| 27 |
Nico Collins
WR
|
W9 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 11.2 | ||
| 28 | R14 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 11.1 | |||
| 29 | W10 | NYJ-1 | @ NE | 10.6 | |||
| 30 |
Malik Nabers
WR
|
W11 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 10.6 | ||
| 31 | W12 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 10.4 | |||
| 32 | W13 | DAL-2 | @ GB | 10.4 | |||
| 33 | W14 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 10.2 | |||
| 34 |
Jalen Coker
WR
|
W15 | CAR-2 | @ PHI | 10.0 | ||
| 35 | T6 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 9.8 | |||
| 36 | W16 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 9.8 | |||
| 37 | W17 | GB-2 | vs. DAL | 9.7 | |||
| 38 | W18 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 9.7 | |||
| 39 |
Woody Marks
RB
|
R15 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 9.6 | ||
| 40 | R16 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 9.6 | |||
| 41 | R17 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 9.6 | |||
| 42 | R18 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 9.6 | |||
| 43 |
Hunter Henry
TE
|
T7 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 9.5 | ||
| 44 |
Tucker Kraft
TE
|
T8 | GB-1 | vs. DAL | 9.5 | ||
| 45 |
Bucky Irving
RB
|
R19 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 9.4 | ||
| 46 |
Josh Downs
WR
|
W19 | IND-1 | vs. TEN | 9.3 | ||
| 47 |
Romeo Doubs
WR
|
W20 | NE-1 | vs. NYJ | 9.1 | ||
| 48 | W21 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 9.0 | |||
| 49 | W22 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 9.0 | |||
| 50 |
DK Metcalf
WR
|
W23 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 9.0 | ||
| 51 |
Cam Skattebo
RB
|
R20 | NYG-1 | vs. NO | 8.9 | ||
| 52 | R21 | NYJ-1 | @ NE | 8.9 | |||
| 53 | W24 | KC-1 | vs. LAC | 8.9 | |||
| 54 | W25 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 8.8 | |||
| 55 | W26 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 8.7 | |||
| 56 | W27 | TEN-1 | @ IND | 8.7 | |||
| 57 | W28 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 8.7 | |||
| 58 |
Tre Tucker
WR
|
W29 | LV-1 | vs. BUF | 8.6 | ||
| 59 |
Rome Odunze
WR
|
W30 | CHI-2 | @ ATL | 8.6 | ||
| 60 | W31 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 8.6 | |||
| 61 |
Carnell Tate
WR
|
W32 | TEN-2 | @ IND | 8.6 | ||
| 62 | T9 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 8.5 | |||
| 63 | W33 | JAC-2 | @ HOU | 8.4 | |||
| 64 | W34 | WAS-2 | @ SF | 8.4 | |||
| 65 |
Keenan Allen
WR
|
W35 | IND-2 | vs. TEN | 8.4 | ||
| 66 | T10 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 8.3 | |||
| 67 |
Tyler Higbee
TE
|
T11 | LAR-1 | vs. ARI | 8.1 | ||
| 68 | T12 | CLE-1 | vs. BAL | 8.1 | |||
| 69 | W36 | NO-2 | @ NYG | 8.1 | |||
| 70 | W37 | NE-2 | vs. NYJ | 8.1 | |||
| 71 | T13 | CHI-1 | @ ATL | 8.1 | |||
| 72 | W38 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 8.1 | |||
| 73 | T14 | CAR-1 | @ PHI | 8.1 | |||
| 74 | T15 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 8.1 | |||
| 75 | T16 | ATL-1 | vs. CHI | 7.9 | |||
| 76 | T17 | PIT-1 | @ TB | 7.8 | |||
| 77 | W39 | SF-2 | vs. WAS | 7.7 | |||
| 78 |
Emeka Egbuka
WR
|
W40 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 7.7 | ||
| 79 | W41 | NE-3 | vs. NYJ | 7.7 | |||
| 80 |
J.K. Dobbins
RB
|
R22 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 7.7 | ||
| 81 | W42 | BUF-1 | @ LV | 7.7 | |||
| 82 |
Blake Corum
RB
|
R23 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 7.6 | ||
| 83 |
Tony Pollard
RB
|
R24 | TEN-1 | @ IND | 7.6 | ||
| 84 |
RJ Harvey
RB
|
R25 | DEN-2 | vs. SEA | 7.6 | ||
| 85 | W43 | PHI-2 | vs. CAR | 7.6 | |||
| 86 | R26 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 7.6 | |||
| 87 | W44 | TB-2 | vs. PIT | 7.4 | |||
| 88 | T18 | JAC-1 | @ HOU | 7.4 | |||
| 89 | R27 | PHI-1 | vs. CAR | 7.4 | |||
| 90 | T19 | LAC-1 | @ KC | 7.2 | |||
| 91 |
Mark Andrews
TE
|
T20 | BAL-1 | @ CLE | 7.2 | ||
| 92 | R28 | ARI-1 | @ LAR | 7.0 | |||
| 93 | R29 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 7.0 | |||
| 94 | R30 | PHI-2 | vs. CAR | 7.0 | |||
| 95 | T21 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 7.0 | |||
| 96 | W45 | DEN-2 | vs. SEA | 6.9 | |||
| 97 |
DJ Moore
WR
|
W46 | BUF-2 | @ LV | 6.9 | ||
| 98 |
Cade Otton
TE
|
T22 | TB-1 | vs. PIT | 6.8 | ||
| 99 |
Chig Okonkwo
TE
|
T23 | WAS-1 | @ SF | 6.7 | ||
| 100 |
Jaylin Noel
WR
|
W47 | HOU-2 | @ JAC | 6.6 | ||
| 101 |
Keon Coleman
WR
|
W48 | BUF-3 | @ LV | 6.6 | ||
| 102 | T24 | HOU-1 | @ JAC | 6.6 | |||
| 103 | T25 | DAL-1 | @ GB | 6.6 | |||
| 104 | W49 | IND-3 | vs. TEN | 6.5 | |||
| 105 | W50 | CHI-3 | @ ATL | 6.3 | |||
| 106 | W51 | DAL-3 | @ GB | 6.3 | |||
| 107 | T26 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 6.2 | |||
| 108 |
Alvin Kamara
RB
|
R31 | NO-1 | @ NYG | 6.2 | ||
| 109 | W52 | HOU-3 | @ JAC | 6.0 | |||
| 110 | T27 | LAR-2 | vs. ARI | 5.9 | |||
| 111 | R32 | ATL-2 | vs. CHI | 5.9 | |||
| 112 |
AJ Barner
TE
|
T28 | SEA-1 | @ DEN | 5.9 | ||
| 113 | W53 | ARI-2 | @ LAR | 5.9 | |||
| 114 | T29 | LAC-2 | @ KC | 5.8 | |||
| 115 |
Makai Lemon
WR
|
W54 | PHI-3 | vs. CAR | 5.7 | ||
| 116 |
Evan Engram
TE
|
T30 | DEN-1 | vs. SEA | 5.6 | ||
| 117 | R33 | NO-2 | @ NYG | 5.5 | |||
| 118 |
Cyrus Allen
WR
|
W55 | KC-2 | vs. LAC | 5.5 | ||
| 119 | W56 | NYG-2 | vs. NO | 5.5 | |||
| 120 | W57 | NE-4 | vs. NYJ | 5.5 | |||
| 121 |
Jerry Jeudy
WR
|
W58 | CLE-2 | vs. BAL | 5.5 | ||
| 122 | W59 | BAL-2 | @ CLE | 5.5 | |||
| 123 |
Jahan Dotson
WR
|
W60 | ATL-2 | vs. CHI | 5.5 | ||
| 124 | W61 | SEA-2 | @ DEN | 5.5 | |||
| 125 |
Isaiah Bond
WR
|
W62 | CLE-3 | vs. BAL | 5.2 | ||
| 126 | W63 | NYG-3 | vs. NO | 5.1 | |||
| 127 | W64 | JAC-3 | @ HOU | 5.1 | |||
| 128 | R34 | WAS-2 | @ SF | 5.1 | |||
| 129 |
Jalen Nailor
WR
|
W65 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 5.0 | ||
| 130 |
Ted Hurst
WR
|
W66 | TB-3 | vs. PIT | 5.0 | ||
| 131 | W67 | KC-3 | vs. LAC | 5.0 | |||
| 132 |
Bryce Lance
WR
|
W68 | NO-3 | @ NYG | 4.9 | ||
| 133 | R35 | LAC-2 | @ KC | 4.9 | |||
| 134 |
Tyjae Spears
RB
|
R36 | TEN-2 | @ IND | 4.9 | ||
| 135 | R37 | LV-2 | vs. BUF | 4.8 | |||
| 136 | R38 | KC-2 | vs. LAC | 4.8 | |||
| 137 | R39 | JAC-2 | @ HOU | 4.7 | |||
| 138 | W69 | HOU-4 | @ JAC | 4.6 | |||
| 139 | R40 | TB-2 | vs. PIT | 4.5 | |||
| 140 | W70 | NYJ-2 | @ NE | 4.4 | |||
| 141 |
Cooper Kupp
WR
|
W71 | SEA-3 | @ DEN | 4.4 | ||
| 142 |
Tim Patrick
WR
|
W72 | NYJ-3 | @ NE | 4.4 | ||
| 143 | W73 | TEN-3 | @ IND | 4.4 | |||
| 144 |
CJ Daniels
WR
|
W74 | LAR-3 | vs. ARI | 4.4 | ||
| 145 | R41 | GB-2 | vs. DAL | 4.3 | |||
| 146 | W75 | DEN-3 | vs. SEA | 4.1 | |||
| 147 |
Rico Dowdle
RB
|
R42 | PIT-2 | @ TB | 4.1 | ||
| 148 | W76 | LV-3 | vs. BUF | 4.1 | |||
| 149 |
Bo Melton
WR
|
W77 | GB-3 | vs. DAL | 4.1 | ||
| 150 | W78 | SF-3 | vs. WAS | 4.0 | |||
| 151 | W79 | PHI-4 | vs. CAR | 4.0 | |||
| 152 | W80 | DEN-4 | vs. SEA | 4.0 | |||
| 153 |
Kaelon Black
RB
|
R43 | SF-2 | vs. WAS | 4.0 | ||
| 154 | W81 | CHI-4 | @ ATL | 4.0 | |||
| 155 | R44 | SEA-2 | @ DEN | 3.9 | |||
| 156 | W82 | BAL-3 | @ CLE | 3.9 | |||
| 157 |
Deion Burks
WR
|
W83 | IND-4 | vs. TEN | 3.9 | ||
| 158 |
Tory Horton
WR
|
W84 | SEA-4 | @ DEN | 3.9 | ||
| 159 |
Kimani Vidal
RB
|
R45 | LAC-3 | @ KC | 3.8 | ||
| 160 | W85 | TEN-4 | @ IND | 3.7 | |||
| 161 |
Skyler Bell
WR
|
W86 | BUF-4 | @ LV | 3.7 | ||
| 162 | W87 | WAS-3 | @ SF | 3.7 | |||
| 163 | W88 | JAC-4 | @ HOU | 3.7 | |||
| 164 |
Ray Davis
RB
|
R46 | BUF-2 | @ LV | 3.6 | ||
| 165 | R47 | CHI-2 | @ ATL | 3.6 | |||
| 166 |
Najee Harris
RB
|
R48 | NYG-2 | vs. NO | 3.6 | ||
| 167 | W89 | BUF-5 | @ LV | 3.6 | |||
| 168 |
Kaden Wetjen
WR
|
W90 | PIT-3 | @ TB | 3.6 | ||
| 169 |
Justice Hill
RB
|
R49 | BAL-2 | @ CLE | 3.5 | ||
| 170 |
Corey Kiner
RB
|
R50 | NE-2 | vs. NYJ | 3.4 | ||
| 171 |
Seth McGowan
RB
|
R51 | IND-2 | vs. TEN | 3.4 | ||
| 172 | R52 | WAS-3 | @ SF | 3.4 | |||
| 173 |
Isaiah Davis
RB
|
R53 | NYJ-2 | @ NE | 3.4 | ||
| 174 |
Ty Johnson
RB
|
R54 | BUF-3 | @ LV | 3.4 | ||
| 175 | R55 | DAL-2 | @ GB | 3.1 | |||
| 176 |
Sean Tucker
RB
|
R56 | TB-3 | vs. PIT | 3.1 | ||
| 177 | R57 | GB-3 | vs. DAL | 3.0 | |||
| 178 | R58 | CLE-2 | vs. BAL | 2.9 | |||
| 179 |
CJ Donaldson
RB
|
R59 | NO-3 | @ NYG | 2.9 | ||
| 180 | R60 | NYG-3 | vs. NO | 2.9 | |||
Refreshed 46 minutes ago
LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 11: Tight End Brenton Strange of Jacksonville Jaguars spins in the air after a tackle by Defensive back Andrew Mukuba of Philadelphia Eagles during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles as part of the NFL London Games on October 11, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.
Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean
Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.
D/STs
| Player/Team | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 10.8 | 4.7 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 5.1 | - | 6.5 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 6.6 |
| Panthers | 9.7 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 6.1 |
Quarterbacks
| Player/Team | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | BUF | 24.9 | - | 21.0 | 18.2 | 18.7 | 19.4 | 20.5 | 18.3 | 19.7 | 20.9 | 19.6 | 19.0 | 20.0 |
| Brock Purdy | SF | 21.4 | 20.5 | - | 20.0 | 18.4 | 17.7 | 17.2 | 18.4 | 17.3 | 18.2 | 16.8 | 17.9 | 18.5 |
This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.
Tyler Bass
- Not significantly different from the average kicker situation.
- Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
- Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
- Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.
The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.
Patriots Similar historical matchups
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Patriots @ Jets | 2021 | 2 | 16 |
| Similar | Jaguars vs Texans | 2022 | 5 | 4 |
| Boom | Patriots @ Jets | 2021 | 2 | 16 |
| Bust | Dolphins @ Jaguars | 2015 | 2 | -1 |
Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean
Tagged under
Current SeasonAccuracy Report #1: Weeks 1 - 4, 2026
Tagged under
Accuracy , Current SeasonWeek 4 Let's Bring It In
Tagged under
Current SeasonLast week was wild-- Let's get onto Week 2!
Tagged under
Current Season , How to UseHow to Get the Most out of the Subvertadown Website -- Welcome to Week 1, 2026!
Tagged under
Current Season , How to Use , Updates / NewsKicker Wall of Shame 2026
Tagged under
Current Season , Expectations , KickerFinding Upside in Fantasy Drafts: When Each Position (QB/RB/WR/TE) has Produced "Upside" -- Historical Statistics Study
Tagged under
Drafting , Expectations , Modeling