Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
18.2 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
2
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
18.2 DET-1 @ MIA
3
Chuba Hubbard RB
16.5 CAR-1 vs. DEN
4
Christian McCaffrey RB
16.5 SF-1 vs. LV
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
16.2 KC-1 vs. NYJ
6
Ja'Marr Chase WR
15.7 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
7
Puka Nacua WR
15.7 LAR-1 @ WAS
8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
15.6 SEA-1 vs. ARI
9
Javonte Williams RB
15.5 DAL-1 @ IND
10
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
15.4 DET-1 @ MIA
11
CeeDee Lamb WR
15.1 DAL-1 @ IND
12
George Kittle TE
14.6 SF-1 vs. LV
13
Malik Nabers WR
14.1 NYG-1 @ PHI
14
Chase Brown RB
14.0 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
15
Trey McBride TE
13.7 ARI-1 @ SEA
16
Brock Bowers TE
13.3 LV-1 @ SF
17
D'Andre Swift RB
13.0 CHI-1 vs. TB
18
James Cook III RB
13.0 BUF-1 @ MIN
19
Chris Olave WR
12.7 NO-1 vs. CLE
20
Jonah Coleman RB
12.6 DEN-1 @ CAR
21
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.6 IND-1 vs. DAL
22
Kyren Williams RB
12.6 LAR-1 @ WAS
23
Woody Marks RB
12.5 HOU-1 @ LAC
24
Colston Loveland TE
12.4 CHI-1 vs. TB
25
Sam LaPorta TE
12.3 DET-1 @ MIA
26
Tee Higgins WR
12.3 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
27
Christian Watson WR
12.0 GB-1 @ NE
28
Drake London WR
11.9 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
29
Justin Jefferson WR
11.4 MIN-1 vs. BUF
30
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.1 CAR-1 vs. DEN
31
Tyler Warren TE
11.1 IND-1 vs. DAL
32
Luther Burden III WR
10.7 CHI-1 vs. TB
33
Parker Washington WR
10.7 JAC-1 @ BAL
34
Nico Collins WR
10.7 HOU-1 @ LAC
35
Matthew Golden WR
10.7 GB-2 @ NE
36
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
10.6 CLE-1 @ NO
37
Travis Kelce TE
10.5 KC-1 vs. NYJ
38
Derrick Henry RB
10.4 BAL-1 vs. JAC
39
Jalen Coker WR
10.4 CAR-2 vs. DEN
40
Bucky Irving RB
10.4 TB-1 @ CHI
41
Rashee Rice WR
10.4 KC-1 vs. NYJ
42
George Pickens WR
10.4 DAL-2 @ IND
43
Jameson Williams WR
10.3 DET-2 @ MIA
44
Saquon Barkley RB
10.3 PHI-1 vs. NYG
45
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
10.2 NE-1 vs. GB
46
Keenan Allen WR
10.2 IND-1 vs. DAL
47
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
48
Josh Jacobs RB
10.2 GB-1 @ NE
49
Isaiah Likely TE
10.0 NYG-1 @ PHI
50
Tyler Allgeier RB
10.0 ARI-1 @ SEA
51
Ashton Jeanty RB
10.0 LV-1 @ SF
52
Jaylen Waddle WR
9.9 DEN-1 @ CAR
53
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
9.9 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
54
Bhayshul Tuten RB
9.8 JAC-1 @ BAL
55
Stefon Diggs WR
9.7 WAS-1 vs. LAR
56
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.5 CLE-1 @ NO
57
Rachaad White RB
9.5 WAS-1 vs. LAR
58
Quinshon Judkins RB
9.5 CLE-1 @ NO
59
Tucker Kraft TE
9.5 GB-1 @ NE
60
Cam Skattebo RB
9.4 NYG-1 @ PHI
61
Ladd McConkey WR
9.1 LAC-1 vs. HOU
62
Michael Wilson WR
9.1 ARI-1 @ SEA
63
DeMario Douglas WR
9.0 NE-1 vs. GB
64
Zay Flowers WR
8.9 BAL-1 vs. JAC
65
Malik Washington WR
8.8 MIA-1 vs. DET
66
Jordan Addison WR
8.8 MIN-2 vs. BUF
67
Devaughn Vele WR
8.7 NO-2 vs. CLE
68
T.J. Hockenson TE
8.7 MIN-1 vs. BUF
69
Emeka Egbuka WR
8.7 TB-1 @ CHI
70
Antonio Williams WR
8.6 WAS-2 vs. LAR
71
DJ Moore WR
8.6 BUF-1 @ MIN
72
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
8.6 NYJ-1 @ KC
73
Brenton Strange TE
8.5 JAC-1 @ BAL
74
Greg Dulcich TE
8.4 MIA-1 vs. DET
75
Ryan Flournoy WR
8.3 DAL-3 @ IND
76
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
8.3 TB-2 @ CHI
77
Caleb Douglas WR
8.3 MIA-2 vs. DET
78
Denzel Boston WR
8.3 CLE-2 @ NO
79
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.2 JAC-2 @ BAL
80
Courtland Sutton WR
8.2 DEN-2 @ CAR
81
Rome Odunze WR
8.2 CHI-2 vs. TB
82
Blake Corum RB
8.1 LAR-2 @ WAS
83
Omarion Hampton RB
8.0 LAC-1 vs. HOU
84
Mike Gesicki TE
8.0 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
85
Devin Singletary RB
8.0 NYG-2 @ PHI
86
Efton Chism III WR
7.9 NE-2 vs. GB
87
Dallas Goedert TE
7.8 PHI-1 vs. NYG
88
Makai Lemon WR
7.8 PHI-1 vs. NYG
89
Khalil Shakir WR
7.6 BUF-2 @ MIN
90
Brandin Cooks WR
7.5 SF-1 vs. LV
91
Josh Downs WR
7.5 IND-2 vs. DAL
92
Jahan Dotson WR
7.5 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
93
Adonai Mitchell WR
7.5 NYJ-2 @ KC
94
Xavier Worthy WR
7.5 KC-2 vs. NYJ
95
Alvin Kamara RB
7.5 NO-1 vs. CLE
96
Tre Tucker WR
7.5 LV-1 @ SF
97
A.J. Brown WR
7.4 NE-3 vs. GB
98
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
7.4 HOU-2 @ LAC
99
Jordan Mason RB
7.3 MIN-1 vs. BUF
100
Garrett Wilson WR
7.2 NYJ-3 @ KC
101
Braelon Allen RB
7.1 NYJ-1 @ KC
102
Chris Bell WR
7.1 MIA-3 vs. DET
103
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.1 BUF-1 @ MIN
104
Chris Blair WR
7.1 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
105
Quentin Johnston WR
7.0 LAC-2 vs. HOU
106
AJ Barner TE
7.0 SEA-1 vs. ARI
107
Tyler Higbee TE
7.0 LAR-1 @ WAS
108
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.9 WAS-1 vs. LAR
109
Juwan Johnson TE
6.9 NO-1 vs. CLE
110
Malachi Fields WR
6.9 NYG-2 @ PHI
111
Kaelon Black RB
6.8 SF-2 vs. LV
112
Darius Cooper WR
6.8 PHI-2 vs. NYG
113
Breece Hall RB
6.8 NYJ-2 @ KC
114
Ted Hurst III WR
6.5 TB-3 @ CHI
115
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.5 JAC-2 @ BAL
116
Kalif Raymond WR
6.5 CHI-3 vs. TB
117
Mike Washington Jr. RB
6.5 LV-2 @ SF
118
Keon Coleman WR
6.5 BUF-3 @ MIN
119
Christian Kirk WR
6.4 SF-2 vs. LV
120
Jalen Nailor WR
6.4 LV-2 @ SF
121
Kyle Williams WR
6.4 NE-4 vs. GB
122
Treylon Burks WR
6.4 WAS-3 vs. LAR
123
Kendre Miller RB
6.4 NO-2 vs. CLE
124
Laquon Treadwell WR
6.3 IND-3 vs. DAL
125
Dohnte Meyers WR
6.3 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
126
Mike Evans WR
6.3 SF-3 vs. LV
127
Cooper Kupp WR
6.3 SEA-2 vs. ARI
128
Darren Waller TE
6.2 CAR-1 vs. DEN
129
Michael Mayer TE
6.2 LV-2 @ SF
130
Dalton Schultz TE
6.1 HOU-1 @ LAC
131
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
6.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
132
Darnell Mooney WR
6.0 NYG-3 @ PHI
133
Kenyon Sadiq TE
6.0 NYJ-1 @ KC
134
Tutu Atwell WR
6.0 LAR-2 @ WAS
135
Savion Williams WR
6.0 GB-3 @ NE
136
Eli Raridon TE
6.0 NE-1 vs. GB
137
Tre' Harris WR
6.0 LAC-3 vs. HOU
138
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-2 @ CAR
139
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
5.9 JAC-3 @ BAL
140
Zach Charbonnet RB
5.8 SEA-1 vs. ARI
141
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
5.8 MIA-4 vs. DET
142
Dylan Sampson RB
5.8 CLE-2 @ NO
143
Jadarian Price RB
5.8 SEA-2 vs. ARI
144
Konata Mumpfield WR
5.7 LAR-3 @ WAS
145
Jacob Cowing WR
5.7 SF-4 vs. LV
146
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.7 DET-3 @ MIA
147
Cade Otton TE
5.7 TB-1 @ CHI
148
Jerry Jeudy WR
5.6 CLE-3 @ NO
149
Samaje Perine RB
5.6 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
150
Emmett Johnson RB
5.5 KC-2 vs. NYJ
151
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE
5.5 DAL-1 @ IND
152
Evan Engram TE
5.5 DEN-1 @ CAR
153
Colby Parkinson TE
5.5 LAR-2 @ WAS
154
Seth McGowan RB
5.4 IND-2 vs. DAL
155
Elijah Mitchell RB
5.4 PHI-2 vs. NYG
156
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.4 SEA-3 vs. ARI
157
Travis Hunter WR
5.4 JAC-4 @ BAL
158
Cyrus Allen WR
5.4 KC-3 vs. NYJ
159
Kayshon Boutte WR
5.4 HOU-3 @ LAC
160
Xavier Hutchinson WR
5.4 HOU-4 @ LAC
161
Tory Horton WR
5.4 SEA-4 vs. ARI
162
Jauan Jennings WR
5.4 MIN-3 vs. BUF
163
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
5.3 DEN-3 @ CAR
164
Reggie Virgil WR
5.3 ARI-2 @ SEA
165
Austin Ekeler RB
5.1 WAS-2 vs. LAR
166
Zachariah Branch WR
5.1 ATL-4 🌐 CIN
167
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.9 TB-2 @ CHI
168
Kyle Monangai RB
4.8 CHI-2 vs. TB
169
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.7 LAC-2 vs. HOU
170
Emanuel Wilson RB
4.6 SEA-3 vs. ARI
171
Kimani Vidal RB
4.4 LAC-3 vs. HOU
172
Sione Vaki RB
4.2 DET-2 @ MIA
173
MarShawn Lloyd RB
3.9 GB-2 @ NE
174
Tyler Goodson RB
3.6 DAL-2 @ IND
175
Corey Kiner RB
3.6 NE-2 vs. GB
176
Justice Hill RB
3.6 BAL-2 vs. JAC
177
TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.6 NE-3 vs. GB
178
Ty Johnson RB
3.3 BUF-2 @ MIN
179
Ray Davis RB
3.3 BUF-3 @ MIN
180
Bam Knight RB
3.3 ARI-2 @ SEA

Refreshed 54 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026 JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the ball during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026

November 4, 2026 Time again to reflect on the predictability of the 2026 season so far! If you’re new to these: Examining predictive accuracy has been a long-standing tradition, underpinning a key purpose of Subvertadown: To give us an…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jaguars 9.9 6.8 5.5 7.5 2.8 7.2 4.7 2.5 6.7 6.0
Seahawks 9.7 3.7 - 3.8 5.9 7.8 8.8 5.5 7.1 6.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 23.1 20.7 18.7 18.8 18.1 18.0 17.9 19.6 19.4 19.3
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.1 19.0 18.2 20.3 16.3 18.8 18.9 16.9 17.0 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Jaguars Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Seahawks vs Vikings 2025 13 27
Similar 49ers @ Browns 2025 13 11
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Buccaneers @ Panthers 2022 7 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Jaguars Week 9