Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
19.2 ATL-1 @ TB
2
CeeDee Lamb WR
16.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
3
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
16.1 DET-1 vs. MIN
4
Javonte Williams RB
15.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.7 KC-1 @ DEN
6
Puka Nacua WR
15.7 LAR-1 vs. LAC
7
Trey McBride TE
15.3 ARI-1 @ DAL
8
Derrick Henry RB
15.2 BAL-1 @ BUF
9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
15.0 SEA-1 vs. CHI
10
Chuba Hubbard RB
14.4 CAR-1 @ GB
11
Chase Brown RB
14.1 CIN-1 vs. TEN
12
James Cook III RB
14.1 BUF-1 vs. BAL
13
Bhayshul Tuten RB
14.1 JAC-1 vs. IND
14
Kyren Williams RB
14.1 LAR-1 vs. LAC
15
Ja'Marr Chase WR
13.9 CIN-1 vs. TEN
16
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
13.9 NE-1 @ MIA
17
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.8 DET-1 vs. MIN
18
D'Andre Swift RB
13.3 CHI-1 @ SEA
19
Bucky Irving RB
13.3 TB-1 vs. ATL
20
Ashton Jeanty RB
13.2 LV-1 @ NYJ
21
Braelon Allen RB
13.0 NYJ-1 vs. LV
22
Tony Pollard RB
12.7 TEN-1 @ CIN
23
Hunter Henry TE
12.5 NE-1 @ MIA
24
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.4 IND-1 @ JAC
25
Jaylen Warren RB
12.4 PIT-1 vs. CLE
26
Josh Jacobs RB
12.4 GB-1 vs. CAR
27
Saquon Barkley RB
12.3 PHI-1 @ WAS
28
Justin Jefferson WR
11.9 MIN-1 @ DET
29
Zay Flowers WR
11.9 BAL-1 @ BUF
30
Brock Bowers TE
11.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
31
George Pickens WR
11.8 DAL-2 vs. ARI
32
Rachaad White RB
11.8 WAS-1 vs. PHI
33
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.7 CAR-1 @ GB
34
Quinshon Judkins RB
11.6 CLE-1 @ PIT
35
Michael Wilson WR
11.5 ARI-1 @ DAL
36
Drake London WR
11.5 ATL-1 @ TB
37
Tee Higgins WR
11.5 CIN-2 vs. TEN
38
Christian Watson WR
11.3 GB-1 vs. CAR
39
Ollie Gordon II RB
11.1 MIA-1 vs. NE
40
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
11.1 TB-1 vs. ATL
41
Parker Washington WR
11.1 JAC-1 vs. IND
42
Jalen Coker WR
10.7 CAR-2 @ GB
43
Matthew Golden WR
10.7 GB-2 vs. CAR
44
Germie Bernard WR
10.5 PIT-1 vs. CLE
45
Stefon Diggs WR
10.5 WAS-1 vs. PHI
46
Antonio Williams WR
9.6 WAS-2 vs. PHI
47
Garrett Wilson WR
9.6 NYJ-1 vs. LV
48
DJ Moore WR
9.6 BUF-1 vs. BAL
49
Dallas Goedert TE
9.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
50
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.5 CLE-1 @ PIT
51
Luther Burden III WR
9.4 CHI-1 @ SEA
52
Sam LaPorta TE
9.4 DET-1 vs. MIN
53
DK Metcalf WR
9.3 PIT-2 vs. CLE
54
Tucker Kraft TE
9.1 GB-1 vs. CAR
55
Jonah Coleman RB
9.1 DEN-1 vs. KC
56
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.0 MIN-1 @ DET
57
Colston Loveland TE
9.0 CHI-1 @ SEA
58
Makai Lemon WR
8.9 PHI-1 @ WAS
59
Malik Washington WR
8.9 MIA-1 vs. NE
60
Jeremiyah Love RB
8.9 ARI-1 @ DAL
61
Jameson Williams WR
8.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
62
Ted Hurst III WR
8.4 TB-2 vs. ATL
63
Omarion Hampton RB
8.4 LAC-1 @ LAR
64
DeMario Douglas WR
8.4 NE-1 @ MIA
65
Blake Corum RB
8.4 LAR-2 vs. LAC
66
Tre Tucker WR
8.3 LV-1 @ NYJ
67
Tyler Warren TE
8.3 IND-1 @ JAC
68
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.8 DAL-3 vs. ARI
69
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.8 CLE-1 @ PIT
70
Rashee Rice WR
7.8 KC-1 @ DEN
71
J.K. Dobbins RB
7.7 DEN-2 vs. KC
72
Jordan Mason RB
7.7 MIN-1 @ DET
73
Jakobi Meyers WR
7.6 JAC-2 vs. IND
74
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
7.6 TEN-1 @ CIN
75
Ladd McConkey WR
7.6 LAC-1 @ LAR
76
Rome Odunze WR
7.6 CHI-2 @ SEA
77
Josh Downs WR
7.6 IND-1 @ JAC
78
Denzel Boston WR
7.5 CLE-2 @ PIT
79
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
7.5 ATL-1 @ TB
80
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.5 BUF-1 vs. BAL
81
Travis Kelce TE
7.4 KC-1 @ DEN
82
Jordan Addison WR
7.3 MIN-2 @ DET
83
Kendrick Bourne WR
7.2 ARI-2 @ DAL
84
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
7.2 NYJ-2 vs. LV
85
Keenan Allen WR
7.2 IND-2 @ JAC
86
Brenton Strange TE
7.2 JAC-1 vs. IND
87
Chig Okonkwo TE
7.1 WAS-1 vs. PHI
88
AJ Barner TE
7.0 SEA-1 vs. CHI
89
Rico Dowdle RB
6.9 PIT-2 vs. CLE
90
Zach Charbonnet RB
6.7 SEA-1 vs. CHI
91
Emanuel Wilson RB
6.6 SEA-2 vs. CHI
92
Courtland Sutton WR
6.6 DEN-1 vs. KC
93
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.5 PIT-1 vs. CLE
94
Jake Ferguson TE
6.5 DAL-1 vs. ARI
95
Mark Andrews TE
6.5 BAL-1 @ BUF
96
Quentin Johnston WR
6.5 LAC-2 @ LAR
97
Keon Coleman WR
6.5 BUF-2 vs. BAL
98
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
6.5 BAL-2 @ BUF
99
Efton Chism III WR
6.4 NE-2 @ MIA
100
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.4 LAR-2 vs. LAC
101
Tyler Higbee TE
6.4 LAR-1 vs. LAC
102
Xavier Worthy WR
6.2 KC-2 @ DEN
103
Khalil Shakir WR
6.2 BUF-3 vs. BAL
104
Mike Gesicki TE
6.2 CIN-1 vs. TEN
105
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
6.2 MIN-2 @ DET
106
Cade Otton TE
6.1 TB-1 vs. ATL
107
Caleb Douglas WR
6.1 MIA-2 vs. NE
108
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.0 JAC-2 vs. IND
109
Jaylen Waddle WR
5.9 DEN-2 vs. KC
110
Darius Cooper WR
5.9 PHI-2 @ WAS
111
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.9 NYJ-3 vs. LV
112
Samaje Perine RB
5.8 CIN-2 vs. TEN
113
Dohnte Meyers WR
5.7 CIN-3 vs. TEN
114
Treylon Burks WR
5.7 WAS-3 vs. PHI
115
Chris Bell WR
5.7 MIA-3 vs. NE
116
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.7 SEA-2 vs. CHI
117
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.6 LV-2 @ NYJ
118
Cooper Kupp WR
5.5 SEA-3 vs. CHI
119
Kameron Johnson WR
5.5 TB-3 vs. ATL
120
Hollywood Brown WR
5.5 PHI-3 @ WAS
121
Greg Dulcich TE
5.5 MIA-1 vs. NE
122
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.4 DET-3 vs. MIN
123
Mason Taylor TE
5.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
124
Kyle Williams WR
5.3 NE-3 @ MIA
125
Jalen Nailor WR
5.2 LV-2 @ NYJ
126
Elic Ayomanor WR
5.2 TEN-2 @ CIN
127
Jauan Jennings WR
5.2 MIN-3 @ DET
128
Rashod Bateman WR
5.2 BAL-3 @ BUF
129
Troy Franklin WR
5.2 DEN-3 vs. KC
130
Tyler Allgeier RB
5.1 ARI-2 @ DAL
131
Travis Hunter WR
5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
132
Kalif Raymond WR
5.1 CHI-3 @ SEA
133
Jahan Dotson WR
5.1 ATL-2 @ TB
134
Keaton Mitchell RB
5.1 LAC-2 @ LAR
135
Savion Williams WR
5.1 GB-3 vs. CAR
136
Tre' Harris WR
5.1 LAC-3 @ LAR
137
Calvin Ridley WR
5.0 TEN-3 @ CIN
138
Darnell Washington TE
5.0 PIT-2 vs. CLE
139
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
140
Colbie Young WR
4.9 CIN-4 vs. TEN
141
Michael Mayer TE
4.9 LV-2 @ NYJ
142
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.8 CLE-3 @ PIT
143
Emmett Johnson RB
4.8 KC-2 @ DEN
144
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.8 TB-2 vs. ATL
145
Colby Parkinson TE
4.8 LAR-2 vs. LAC
146
Devin Duvernay WR
4.7 ARI-3 @ DAL
147
Tory Horton WR
4.7 SEA-4 vs. CHI
148
John Metchie III WR
4.7 CAR-3 @ GB
149
Seth McGowan RB
4.6 IND-2 @ JAC
150
Kimani Vidal RB
4.6 LAC-3 @ LAR
151
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
4.5 MIA-4 vs. NE
152
Zachariah Branch WR
4.5 ATL-3 @ TB
153
Darren Waller TE
4.5 CAR-1 @ GB
154
Chris Blair WR
4.5 ATL-4 @ TB
155
Roschon Johnson RB
4.5 CHI-2 @ SEA
156
Laquon Treadwell WR
4.5 IND-3 @ JAC
157
Chimere Dike WR
4.5 TEN-4 @ CIN
158
Malik Benson WR
4.5 LV-3 @ NYJ
159
Elijah Moore WR
4.5 PHI-4 @ WAS
160
Cyrus Allen WR
4.5 KC-3 @ DEN
161
Corey Kiner RB
4.4 NE-2 @ MIA
162
Evan Engram TE
4.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
163
Kaden Wetjen WR
4.3 PIT-3 vs. CLE
164
Camden Brown WR
4.3 DAL-4 vs. ARI
165
Kenyon Sadiq TE
4.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
166
Bam Knight RB
4.1 ARI-3 @ DAL
167
Austin Ekeler RB
4.0 WAS-2 vs. PHI
168
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
169
Isaiah Davis RB
4.0 NYJ-2 vs. LV
170
Justice Hill RB
4.0 BAL-2 @ BUF
171
George Holani RB
3.6 SEA-3 vs. CHI
172
Ty Johnson RB
3.6 BUF-2 vs. BAL
173
Sean Tucker RB
3.2 TB-3 vs. ATL
174
Jaylen Wright RB
3.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
175
Sione Vaki RB
2.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
176
Jadarian Price RB
1.3 SEA-4 vs. CHI
177
Ray Davis RB
0.9 BUF-3 vs. BAL
178
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
0.7 CLE-2 @ PIT
179
Michael Carter RB
0.6 TEN-2 @ CIN
180
Kaytron Allen RB
0.6 MIA-3 vs. NE

Refreshed 1 day ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

[UPDATE Wed. 11amEST - Updates to Betting Lines Spreads, results in canceling a number of Tuesday’s suggestions. Sorry for the disruption, this is part of the promised updating going on. There shouldn’t be any more changes this week, now…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Bengals 9.1 6.4 7.0 6.9 6.3 8.2 4.9 5.7 5.7 5.7 6.6
Jaguars 8.9 5.7 6.5 5.6 7.4 3.9 7.2 3.7 1.6 5.3 5.6

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 23.9 20.0 20.7 19.2 21.3 19.0 21.1 20.2 21.2 19.4 20.6
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.6 17.9 19.5 18.4 18.3 15.7 - 17.4 19.2 19.3 18.6

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Bengals Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Similar Ravens vs Texans 2023 1 11
Boom Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Bust Bills @ Jets 2022 9 5

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Bengals Week 8