Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for very similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 6

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1
Bijan Robinson RB
ATL-1 vs. CHI 14.8
2
Kenneth Walker III RB
KC-1 vs. LAC 14.5
3
Derrick Henry RB
BAL-1 @ CLE 14.5
4
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND-1 vs. TEN 14.3
5
George Kittle TE
SF-1 vs. WAS 14.0
6
James Cook III RB
BUF-1 @ LV 14.0
7
Kyren Williams RB
LAR-1 vs. ARI 13.5
8
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF-1 vs. WAS 13.5
9
Zay Flowers WR
BAL-1 @ CLE 13.2
10
D'Andre Swift RB
CHI-1 @ ATL 13.1
11
Drake London WR
ATL-1 vs. CHI 13.0
12
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL-1 @ GB 13.0
13
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA-1 @ DEN 12.5
14
Puka Nacua WR
LAR-1 vs. ARI 12.4
15
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ-1 @ NE 12.3
16
Mike Evans WR
SF-1 vs. WAS 12.2
17
Brock Bowers TE
LV-1 vs. BUF 12.1
18
Chuba Hubbard RB
CAR-1 @ PHI 12.1
19
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
NE-1 vs. NYJ 12.0
20
Christian Watson WR
GB-1 vs. DAL 11.8
21
Tyler Warren TE
IND-1 vs. TEN 11.8
22
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV-1 vs. BUF 11.5
23
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT-1 @ TB 11.4
24
Javonte Williams RB
DAL-1 @ GB 11.4
25
Chris Olave WR
NO-1 @ NYG 11.3
26
Dallas Goedert TE
PHI-1 vs. CAR 11.2
27
Trey McBride TE
ARI-1 @ LAR 11.2
28
Nico Collins WR
HOU-1 @ JAC 11.1
29
Tetairoa McMillan WR
CAR-1 @ PHI 11.1
30
Bhayshul Tuten RB
JAC-1 @ HOU 10.9
31
Woody Marks RB
HOU-1 @ JAC 10.8
32
George Pickens WR
DAL-2 @ GB 10.4
33
Malik Nabers WR
NYG-1 vs. NO 10.3
34
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI-1 vs. CAR 10.2
35
Travis Kelce TE
KC-1 vs. LAC 10.2
36
Michael Wilson WR
ARI-1 @ LAR 9.6
37
Matthew Golden WR
GB-2 vs. DAL 9.6
38
Isaiah Likely TE
NYG-1 vs. NO 9.6
39
Parker Washington WR
JAC-1 @ HOU 9.4
40
Davante Adams WR
LAR-2 vs. ARI 9.4
41
Bucky Irving RB
TB-1 vs. PIT 9.3
42
Romeo Doubs WR
NE-1 vs. NYJ 9.2
43
Xavier Worthy WR
KC-1 vs. LAC 9.2
44
Josh Downs WR
IND-1 vs. TEN 9.1
45
Rome Odunze WR
CHI-1 @ ATL 9.1
46
Hunter Henry TE
NE-1 vs. NYJ 9.1
47
MarShawn Lloyd RB
GB-1 vs. DAL 9.0
48
Quinshon Judkins RB
CLE-1 vs. BAL 9.0
49
Tucker Kraft TE
GB-1 vs. DAL 8.8
50
Luther Burden III WR
CHI-2 @ ATL 8.7
51
Jaylen Waddle WR
DEN-1 vs. SEA 8.7
52
Cam Skattebo RB
NYG-1 vs. NO 8.6
53
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
TEN-1 @ IND 8.6
54
DK Metcalf WR
PIT-1 @ TB 8.6
55
Jakobi Meyers WR
JAC-2 @ HOU 8.4
56
Denzel Boston WR
CLE-1 vs. BAL 8.4
57
Terry McLaurin WR
WAS-1 @ SF 8.4
58
Jalen Coker WR
CAR-2 @ PHI 8.3
59
Braelon Allen RB
NYJ-1 @ NE 8.3
60
Jeremiyah Love RB
ARI-1 @ LAR 8.2
61
Emanuel Wilson RB
SEA-1 @ DEN 8.2
62
Tyler Higbee TE
LAR-1 vs. ARI 8.2
63
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF-1 @ LV 8.1
64
Colston Loveland TE
CHI-1 @ ATL 8.1
65
Keenan Allen WR
IND-2 vs. TEN 8.0
66
Carnell Tate WR
TEN-2 @ IND 8.0
67
Jaylin Noel WR
HOU-2 @ JAC 7.9
68
Antonio Williams WR
WAS-2 @ SF 7.9
69
DeMario Douglas WR
NE-2 vs. NYJ 7.9
70
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
CLE-1 vs. BAL 7.8
71
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
ATL-1 vs. CHI 7.7
72
Juwan Johnson TE
NO-1 @ NYG 7.7
73
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN-1 vs. SEA 7.7
74
Emeka Egbuka WR
TB-1 vs. PIT 7.6
75
Rashee Rice WR
KC-2 vs. LAC 7.6
76
Devaughn Vele WR
NO-2 @ NYG 7.6
77
Tre Tucker WR
LV-1 vs. BUF 7.5
78
Efton Chism III WR
NE-3 vs. NYJ 7.5
79
Darren Waller TE
CAR-1 @ PHI 7.5
80
RJ Harvey RB
DEN-2 vs. SEA 7.4
81
Blake Corum RB
LAR-2 vs. ARI 7.4
82
Omarion Hampton RB
LAC-1 @ KC 7.3
83
Saquon Barkley RB
PHI-1 vs. CAR 7.3
84
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
TB-2 vs. PIT 7.3
85
Germie Bernard WR
PIT-2 @ TB 7.3
86
Tony Pollard RB
TEN-1 @ IND 7.3
87
Oronde Gadsden II TE
LAC-1 @ KC 7.2
88
Dameon Pierce RB
PHI-2 vs. CAR 7.2
89
Brenton Strange TE
JAC-1 @ HOU 7.2
90
Dontayvion Wicks WR
PHI-2 vs. CAR 7.2
91
Mark Andrews TE
BAL-1 @ CLE 7.0
92
Laquon Treadwell WR
IND-3 vs. TEN 6.9
93
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN-2 vs. SEA 6.9
94
Pat Freiermuth TE
PIT-1 @ TB 6.8
95
Brandin Cooks WR
SF-2 vs. WAS 6.7
96
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
WAS-1 @ SF 6.7
97
Kalif Raymond WR
CHI-3 @ ATL 6.7
98
Khalil Shakir WR
BUF-1 @ LV 6.7
99
Ryan Flournoy WR
DAL-3 @ GB 6.5
100
Cade Otton TE
TB-1 vs. PIT 6.5
101
Michael Mayer TE
LV-2 vs. BUF 6.5
102
Jake Ferguson TE
DAL-1 @ GB 6.3
103
Alvin Kamara RB
NO-1 @ NYG 6.2
104
Chig Okonkwo TE
WAS-1 @ SF 6.2
105
Dalton Schultz TE
HOU-1 @ JAC 6.1
106
Keon Coleman WR
BUF-2 @ LV 6.1
107
Colby Parkinson TE
LAR-2 vs. ARI 6.1
108
Charlie Kolar TE
LAC-2 @ KC 6.1
109
Kayshon Boutte WR
HOU-3 @ JAC 6.0
110
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
ATL-2 vs. CHI 6.0
111
Kyle Williams WR
NE-4 vs. NYJ 5.9
112
Kendrick Bourne WR
ARI-2 @ LAR 5.9
113
Kaleb Johnson RB
GB-2 vs. DAL 5.8
114
Darnell Mooney WR
NYG-2 vs. NO 5.7
115
Darnell Washington TE
PIT-2 @ TB 5.6
116
AJ Barner TE
SEA-1 @ DEN 5.6
117
DJ Moore WR
BUF-3 @ LV 5.6
118
Mike Washington Jr. RB
LV-2 vs. BUF 5.6
119
Jahan Dotson WR
ATL-2 vs. CHI 5.4
120
Tre Harris WR
LAC-1 @ KC 5.4
121
Evan Engram TE
DEN-1 vs. SEA 5.4
122
Rashid Shaheed WR
SEA-2 @ DEN 5.4
123
Makai Lemon WR
PHI-3 vs. CAR 5.3
124
Jerry Jeudy WR
CLE-2 vs. BAL 5.3
125
Rachaad White RB
WAS-2 @ SF 5.2
126
Ladd McConkey WR
LAC-2 @ KC 5.2
127
Malachi Fields WR
NYG-3 vs. NO 5.2
128
Tyjae Spears RB
TEN-2 @ IND 5.1
129
Emmett Johnson RB
KC-2 vs. LAC 5.1
130
Kendre Miller RB
NO-2 @ NYG 5.1
131
Bryce Lance WR
NO-3 @ NYG 5.0
132
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAC-3 @ HOU 5.0
133
Ted Hurst WR
TB-3 vs. PIT 5.0
134
Tutu Atwell WR
LAR-3 vs. ARI 5.0
135
Cyrus Allen WR
KC-3 vs. LAC 5.0
136
Isaiah Bond WR
CLE-3 vs. BAL 5.0
137
Keaton Mitchell RB
LAC-2 @ KC 5.0
138
Rashod Bateman WR
BAL-2 @ CLE 4.9
139
Konata Mumpfield WR
LAR-4 vs. ARI 4.9
140
Jalen Nailor WR
LV-2 vs. BUF 4.9
141
Cooper Kupp WR
SEA-3 @ DEN 4.9
142
Darius Cooper WR
PHI-4 vs. CAR 4.8
143
Kenny Gainwell RB
TB-2 vs. PIT 4.7
144
Xavier Hutchinson WR
HOU-4 @ JAC 4.6
145
Kaelon Black RB
SF-2 vs. WAS 4.6
146
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
JAC-2 @ HOU 4.6
147
Tyler Allgeier RB
ARI-2 @ LAR 4.5
148
Bo Melton WR
GB-3 vs. DAL 4.4
149
Jordan Watkins WR
SF-3 vs. WAS 4.4
150
Chimere Dike WR
TEN-3 @ IND 4.3
151
Elic Ayomanor WR
TEN-4 @ IND 4.3
152
Zachariah Branch WR
ATL-3 vs. CHI 4.3
153
Nikko Remigio WR
KC-4 vs. LAC 4.2
154
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT-2 @ TB 4.2
155
CJ Daniels WR
LAR-5 vs. ARI 4.2
156
Deion Burks WR
IND-4 vs. TEN 4.1
157
Kimani Vidal RB
LAC-3 @ KC 4.1
158
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
DEN-3 vs. SEA 4.1
159
George Holani RB
SEA-2 @ DEN 4.0
160
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR
SF-4 vs. WAS 4.0
161
Tim Patrick WR
NYJ-2 @ NE 4.0
162
Skyler Bell WR
BUF-4 @ LV 4.0
163
Corey Kiner RB
NE-2 vs. NYJ 4.0
164
Elijah Sarratt WR
BAL-3 @ CLE 4.0
165
Malik Benson WR
LV-3 vs. BUF 3.9
166
Van Jefferson WR
WAS-3 @ SF 3.9
167
Arian Smith WR
NYJ-3 @ NE 3.9
168
Najee Harris RB
NYG-2 vs. NO 3.8
169
Justice Hill RB
BAL-2 @ CLE 3.6
170
Ty Johnson RB
BUF-2 @ LV 3.6
171
Seth McGowan RB
IND-2 vs. TEN 3.6
172
Isaiah Davis RB
NYJ-2 @ NE 3.5
173
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
CLE-2 vs. BAL 3.4
174
Roschon Johnson RB
CHI-2 @ ATL 3.4
175
Austin Ekeler RB
WAS-3 @ SF 3.3
176
CJ Donaldson RB
NO-3 @ NYG 3.2
177
Ray Davis RB
BUF-3 @ LV 3.2
178
Sean Tucker RB
TB-3 vs. PIT 2.9
179
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB
NYG-3 vs. NO 2.8
180
Tyler Goodson RB
DAL-2 @ GB 2.8

Refreshed 59 minutes ago

Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 11: Tight End Brenton Strange of Jacksonville Jaguars spins in the air after a tackle by Defensive back Andrew Mukuba of Philadelphia Eagles during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles as part of the NFL London Games on October 11, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.

Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts.

D/STs

Player/Team 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Patriots 10.7 5.0 8.1 6.3 5.0 - 6.5 5.1 6.6 5.9 8.1 5.7 6.6
Chiefs 9.7 5.9 6.2 9.3 6.5 7.6 4.3 3.5 5.8 6.4 4.5 6.0 6.3

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 25.0 - 21.2 18.7 18.7 19.4 20.5 18.3 19.7 21.0 19.7 19.0 20.1
Brock Purdy | SF 21.0 20.5 - 20.0 18.5 17.7 17.2 18.5 17.2 18.3 16.8 18.0 18.5

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • Not significantly different from the average kicker situation.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Patriots Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Patriots @ Jets 2021 2 16
Similar Jaguars vs Texans 2022 5 4
Boom Patriots @ Jets 2021 2 16
Bust Dolphins @ Jaguars 2015 2 -1