Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 6

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1
Bijan Robinson RB
ATL-1 vs. CHI 15.4
2
George Kittle TE
SF-1 vs. WAS 15.4
3
Puka Nacua WR
LAR-1 vs. ARI 15.2
4
Kenneth Walker III RB
KC-1 vs. LAC 14.6
5
Jonathan Taylor RB
IND-1 vs. TEN 14.6
6
Derrick Henry RB
BAL-1 @ CLE 14.2
7
Kyren Williams RB
LAR-1 vs. ARI 14.2
8
D'Andre Swift RB
CHI-1 @ ATL 13.8
9
James Cook III RB
BUF-1 @ LV 13.8
10
Christian McCaffrey RB
SF-1 vs. WAS 13.8
11
Chuba Hubbard RB
CAR-1 @ PHI 13.7
12
Javonte Williams RB
DAL-1 @ GB 13.7
13
Drake London WR
ATL-1 vs. CHI 13.6
14
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
SEA-1 @ DEN 13.5
15
CeeDee Lamb WR
DAL-1 @ GB 13.3
16
Brock Bowers TE
LV-1 vs. BUF 12.9
17
Ashton Jeanty RB
LV-1 vs. BUF 12.4
18
Mike Evans WR
SF-1 vs. WAS 12.4
19
Christian Watson WR
GB-1 vs. DAL 12.2
20
Chris Olave WR
NO-1 @ NYG 11.7
21
Trey McBride TE
ARI-1 @ LAR 11.5
22
Jaylen Warren RB
PIT-1 @ TB 11.2
23
Bhayshul Tuten RB
JAC-1 @ HOU 10.9
24
George Pickens WR
DAL-2 @ GB 10.7
25
Nico Collins WR
HOU-1 @ JAC 10.7
26
Tetairoa McMillan WR
CAR-1 @ PHI 10.7
27
Garrett Wilson WR
NYJ-1 @ NE 10.7
28
Malik Nabers WR
NYG-1 vs. NO 10.7
29
Davante Adams WR
LAR-2 vs. ARI 10.5
30
Zay Flowers WR
BAL-1 @ CLE 10.3
31
Matthew Golden WR
GB-2 vs. DAL 10.1
32
Isaiah Likely TE
NYG-1 vs. NO 10.1
33
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
NE-1 vs. NYJ 10.0
34
Michael Wilson WR
ARI-1 @ LAR 10.0
35
Woody Marks RB
HOU-1 @ JAC 9.9
36
Tyler Allgeier RB
ARI-1 @ LAR 9.9
37
Braelon Allen RB
NYJ-1 @ NE 9.9
38
Emanuel Wilson RB
SEA-1 @ DEN 9.9
39
Josh Downs WR
IND-1 vs. TEN 9.8
40
Jalen Coker WR
CAR-2 @ PHI 9.8
41
Parker Washington WR
JAC-1 @ HOU 9.8
42
Travis Kelce TE
KC-1 vs. LAC 9.7
43
Dameon Pierce RB
PHI-1 vs. CAR 9.6
44
MarShawn Lloyd RB
GB-1 vs. DAL 9.6
45
Bucky Irving RB
TB-1 vs. PIT 9.5
46
Tucker Kraft TE
GB-1 vs. DAL 9.3
47
DK Metcalf WR
PIT-1 @ TB 9.2
48
Xavier Worthy WR
KC-1 vs. LAC 9.1
49
Luther Burden III WR
CHI-1 @ ATL 9.0
50
DeVonta Smith WR
PHI-1 vs. CAR 8.9
51
Dalton Kincaid TE
BUF-1 @ LV 8.8
52
Cam Skattebo RB
NYG-1 vs. NO 8.8
53
Rome Odunze WR
CHI-2 @ ATL 8.8
54
Keenan Allen WR
IND-2 vs. TEN 8.6
55
Jaylen Waddle WR
DEN-1 vs. SEA 8.6
56
Carnell Tate WR
TEN-1 @ IND 8.6
57
Denzel Boston WR
CLE-1 vs. BAL 8.5
58
Ladd McConkey WR
LAC-1 @ KC 8.5
59
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
TEN-2 @ IND 8.5
60
Tony Pollard RB
TEN-1 @ IND 8.4
61
Terry McLaurin WR
WAS-1 @ SF 8.4
62
Rachaad White RB
WAS-1 @ SF 8.4
63
Devaughn Vele WR
NO-2 @ NYG 8.4
64
Colston Loveland TE
CHI-1 @ ATL 8.2
65
Tyler Higbee TE
LAR-1 vs. ARI 8.0
66
Juwan Johnson TE
NO-1 @ NYG 7.9
67
Romeo Doubs WR
NE-1 vs. NYJ 7.9
68
RJ Harvey RB
DEN-1 vs. SEA 7.7
69
Blake Corum RB
LAR-2 vs. ARI 7.7
70
Jakobi Meyers WR
JAC-2 @ HOU 7.7
71
J.K. Dobbins RB
DEN-2 vs. SEA 7.7
72
Emeka Egbuka WR
TB-1 vs. PIT 7.7
73
Germie Bernard WR
PIT-2 @ TB 7.6
74
Khalil Shakir WR
BUF-1 @ LV 7.6
75
Hunter Henry TE
NE-1 vs. NYJ 7.6
76
Brenton Strange TE
JAC-1 @ HOU 7.6
77
Darren Waller TE
CAR-1 @ PHI 7.5
78
Dallas Goedert TE
PHI-1 vs. CAR 7.5
79
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
ATL-1 vs. CHI 7.5
80
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
CLE-1 vs. BAL 7.5
81
A.J. Brown WR
NE-2 vs. NYJ 7.4
82
Tre Tucker WR
LV-1 vs. BUF 7.4
83
Omarion Hampton RB
LAC-1 @ KC 7.3
84
Laquon Treadwell WR
IND-3 vs. TEN 7.3
85
Pat Freiermuth TE
PIT-1 @ TB 6.9
86
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
TB-2 vs. PIT 6.9
87
Courtland Sutton WR
DEN-2 vs. SEA 6.9
88
Keon Coleman WR
BUF-2 @ LV 6.9
89
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
CLE-1 vs. BAL 6.8
90
Mark Andrews TE
BAL-1 @ CLE 6.7
91
Michael Mayer TE
LV-2 vs. BUF 6.7
92
Antonio Williams WR
WAS-2 @ SF 6.6
93
Brandin Cooks WR
SF-2 vs. WAS 6.6
94
Ryan Flournoy WR
DAL-3 @ GB 6.5
95
Jalen Royals WR
KC-2 vs. LAC 6.4
96
DeMario Douglas WR
NE-3 vs. NYJ 6.4
97
Jaylin Noel WR
HOU-2 @ JAC 6.4
98
KC Concepcion WR
CLE-2 vs. BAL 6.4
99
Kendrick Bourne WR
ARI-2 @ LAR 6.4
100
Jahan Dotson WR
ATL-2 vs. CHI 6.3
101
Stefon Diggs WR
WAS-3 @ SF 6.3
102
Kalif Raymond WR
CHI-3 @ ATL 6.2
103
Oronde Gadsden II TE
LAC-1 @ KC 6.2
104
Darnell Washington TE
PIT-2 @ TB 6.2
105
Jake Ferguson TE
DAL-1 @ GB 6.2
106
Dontayvion Wicks WR
PHI-2 vs. CAR 6.2
107
Alvin Kamara RB
NO-1 @ NYG 6.1
108
Jalen Nailor WR
LV-2 vs. BUF 6.0
109
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
ATL-2 vs. CHI 5.9
110
AJ Barner TE
SEA-1 @ DEN 5.9
111
Kendre Miller RB
NO-2 @ NYG 5.9
112
TreVeyon Henderson RB
NE-2 vs. NYJ 5.8
113
Cade Otton TE
TB-1 vs. PIT 5.8
114
Efton Chism III WR
NE-4 vs. NYJ 5.8
115
Dalton Schultz TE
HOU-1 @ JAC 5.7
116
Chig Okonkwo TE
WAS-1 @ SF 5.7
117
Darnell Mooney WR
NYG-2 vs. NO 5.7
118
Colby Parkinson TE
LAR-2 vs. ARI 5.6
119
Evan Engram TE
DEN-1 vs. SEA 5.6
120
Tyjae Spears RB
TEN-2 @ IND 5.5
121
Rashid Shaheed WR
SEA-2 @ DEN 5.5
122
Charlie Kolar TE
LAC-2 @ KC 5.5
123
Austin Ekeler RB
WAS-2 @ SF 5.4
124
Cyrus Allen WR
KC-3 vs. LAC 5.2
125
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
JAC-3 @ HOU 5.2
126
Kayshon Boutte WR
HOU-3 @ JAC 5.2
127
Quentin Johnston WR
LAC-2 @ KC 5.2
128
Malachi Fields WR
NYG-3 vs. NO 5.1
129
Rico Dowdle RB
PIT-2 @ TB 5.1
130
Keaton Mitchell RB
LAC-2 @ KC 5.1
131
Rashod Bateman WR
BAL-2 @ CLE 5.0
132
George Holani RB
SEA-2 @ DEN 5.0
133
Kenny Gainwell RB
TB-2 vs. PIT 5.0
134
Gunnar Helm TE
TEN-1 @ IND 5.0
135
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
NYJ-2 @ NE 4.9
136
Emmett Johnson RB
KC-2 vs. LAC 4.9
137
Mike Washington Jr. RB
LV-2 vs. BUF 4.9
138
Makai Lemon WR
PHI-3 vs. CAR 4.8
139
Kaelon Black RB
SF-2 vs. WAS 4.8
140
Joshua Palmer WR
BUF-3 @ LV 4.6
141
Cooper Kupp WR
SEA-3 @ DEN 4.5
142
Kimani Vidal RB
LAC-3 @ KC 4.5
143
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
HOU-4 @ JAC 4.5
144
Jordan Watkins WR
SF-3 vs. WAS 4.4
145
Pierre Strong Jr. RB
GB-2 vs. DAL 4.3
146
Ted Hurst WR
TB-3 vs. PIT 4.3
147
Bryce Lance WR
NO-3 @ NYG 4.3
148
Deion Burks WR
IND-4 vs. TEN 4.3
149
Elic Ayomanor WR
TEN-3 @ IND 4.3
150
Xavier Hutchinson WR
HOU-5 @ JAC 4.3
151
Tim Patrick WR
NYJ-3 @ NE 4.3
152
Kyle Williams WR
NE-5 vs. NYJ 4.3
153
CJ Daniels WR
LAR-3 vs. ARI 4.2
154
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
DEN-3 vs. SEA 4.1
155
David Moore WR
CAR-3 @ PHI 4.1
156
Jerry Jeudy WR
CLE-3 vs. BAL 4.1
157
Darius Cooper WR
PHI-4 vs. CAR 4.1
158
Bo Melton WR
GB-3 vs. DAL 4.1
159
Troy Franklin WR
DEN-4 vs. SEA 4.0
160
Isaiah Bond WR
CLE-4 vs. BAL 4.0
161
Zachariah Branch WR
ATL-3 vs. CHI 4.0
162
Zavion Thomas WR
CHI-4 @ ATL 4.0
163
Nikko Remigio WR
KC-4 vs. LAC 3.9
164
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
JAC-2 @ HOU 3.9
165
Skyler Bell WR
BUF-4 @ LV 3.9
166
Kaleb Johnson RB
GB-3 vs. DAL 3.7
167
Najee Harris RB
NYG-2 vs. NO 3.7
168
Roschon Johnson RB
CHI-2 @ ATL 3.7
169
Ray Davis RB
BUF-2 @ LV 3.5
170
Seth McGowan RB
IND-2 vs. TEN 3.5
171
Justice Hill RB
BAL-2 @ CLE 3.5
172
Isaiah Davis RB
NYJ-2 @ NE 3.3
173
Emari Demercado RB
DAL-2 @ GB 3.1
174
Sean Tucker RB
TB-3 vs. PIT 3.0
175
Ty Johnson RB
BUF-3 @ LV 3.0
176
CJ Donaldson RB
NO-3 @ NYG 2.9
177
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB
NYG-3 vs. NO 2.9
178
Corey Kiner RB
NE-3 vs. NYJ 2.6
179
Jordan James RB
SF-3 vs. WAS 0.7
180
Nicholas Singleton RB
TEN-3 @ IND 0.5

Refreshed 1 hour ago

Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 11: Tight End Brenton Strange of Jacksonville Jaguars spins in the air after a tackle by Defensive back Andrew Mukuba of Philadelphia Eagles during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles as part of the NFL London Games on October 11, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.

Week 6 Regression Can Be Mean

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Patriots 10.9 5.0 8.3 6.4 5.1 - 6.6 5.2 6.6 6.0 8.1 5.7 6.7
Steelers 9.5 5.6 8.5 - 4.4 6.6 4.7 6.3 6.1 5.6 5.2 6.1 6.2

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 25.2 - 21.1 18.2 18.6 19.3 20.5 18.4 19.8 21.4 19.8 19.1 20.1
Brock Purdy | SF 21.9 20.6 - 20.1 18.7 17.9 17.4 18.6 17.4 18.4 16.8 18.0 18.7

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Spencer Shrader

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Patriots Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos vs Commanders 2023 2 1
Similar Giants vs 49ers 2015 5 1
Boom Packers vs Bills 2018 4 20
Bust Broncos vs Commanders 2023 2 1