Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 20.3 DET-1 vs. GB
2 18.1 ATL-1 vs. SF
3 17.1 SF-1 @ ATL
4 14.9 SF-1 @ ATL
5 14.9 KC-1 @ SEA
6 14.9 LAR-1 @ LV
7 14.3 ARI-1 vs. DEN
8 14.2 CHI-1 vs. NE
9 13.7 CIN-1 @ BAL
10 13.6 BAL-1 vs. CIN
11 13.5 DET-1 vs. GB
12 13.4 CAR-1 vs. TB
13 12.9 PIT-1 🌐 NO
14 12.8 SEA-1 vs. KC
15 12.6 ATL-1 vs. SF
16 12.6 LAR-1 @ LV
17 12.5 IND-1 @ MIN
18 12.3 LV-1 vs. LAR
19 12.2 DAL-1 @ PHI
20 12.2 LV-1 vs. LAR
21 12.2 DAL-1 @ PHI
22 12.1 HOU-1 vs. NYG
23 11.6 DET-1 vs. GB
24 11.5 HOU-1 vs. NYG
25 11.4 PHI-1 vs. DAL
26 11.2 NYG-1 @ HOU
27 10.9 MIN-1 vs. IND
28 10.9 GB-1 @ DET
29 10.9 CAR-1 vs. TB
30 10.8 NYG-1 @ HOU
31 10.8 GB-1 @ DET
32 10.6 NO-1 🌐 PIT
33 10.1 NE-1 @ CHI
34 10.1 GB-2 @ DET
35 10.1 CIN-1 @ BAL
36 10.1 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
37 10.1 TB-1 @ CAR
38 9.6 CLE-1 @ TEN
39 9.6 CIN-2 @ BAL
40 9.6 PHI-1 vs. DAL
41 9.4 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
42 9.4 MIA-1 @ NYJ
43 9.3 PIT-1 🌐 NO
44 9.2 DET-2 vs. GB
45 9.2 IND-1 @ MIN
46 9.2 BAL-1 vs. CIN
47 9.2 ARI-1 vs. DEN
48 9.2 PIT-2 🌐 NO
49 8.8 CHI-1 vs. NE
50 8.6 SEA-1 vs. KC
51 8.6 TEN-1 vs. CLE
52 8.5 TB-1 @ CAR
53 8.5 DEN-1 @ ARI
54 8.5 TEN-1 vs. CLE
55 8.4 CHI-1 vs. NE
56 8.4 NE-1 @ CHI
57 8.4 PHI-1 vs. DAL
58 8.4 MIN-1 vs. IND
59 8.3 MIN-1 vs. IND
60 8.3 DAL-2 @ PHI
61 8.3 TB-2 @ CAR
62 8.3 NE-1 @ CHI
63 8.3 GB-1 @ DET
64 8.3 KC-1 @ SEA
65 8.0 CLE-1 @ TEN
66 8.0 CHI-2 vs. NE
67 7.9 TEN-2 vs. CLE
68 7.9 CLE-2 @ TEN
69 7.9 ATL-1 vs. SF
70 7.9 MIA-1 @ NYJ
71 7.8 NYG-1 @ HOU
72 7.8 LAR-2 @ LV
73 7.8 DEN-1 @ ARI
74 7.8 CLE-1 @ TEN
75 7.8 IND-2 @ MIN
76 7.8 PIT-1 🌐 NO
77 7.8 LV-1 vs. LAR
78 7.8 CAR-2 vs. TB
79 7.6 NO-2 🌐 PIT
80 7.6 ARI-1 vs. DEN
81 7.6 DEN-2 @ ARI
82 7.6 LAR-1 @ LV
83 7.5 KC-1 @ SEA
84 7.5 HOU-1 vs. NYG
85 7.4 BAL-1 vs. CIN
86 7.4 TB-1 @ CAR
87 7.2 DAL-3 @ PHI
88 7.2 ARI-2 vs. DEN
89 7.2 MIN-2 vs. IND
90 7.0 MIA-2 @ NYJ
91 6.9 HOU-2 vs. NYG
92 6.8 MIN-2 vs. IND
93 6.8 SF-1 @ ATL
94 6.8 MIA-3 @ NYJ
95 6.7 SEA-2 vs. KC
96 6.7 LAR-2 @ LV
97 6.7 ATL-2 vs. SF
98 6.6 NO-1 🌐 PIT
99 6.5 NO-2 🌐 PIT
100 6.5 ATL-3 vs. SF
101 6.3 LAR-2 @ LV
102 6.3 CAR-1 vs. TB
103 6.2 SF-2 @ ATL
104 6.2 NE-2 @ CHI
105 6.2 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
106 6.2 CAR-3 vs. TB
107 6.2 IND-3 @ MIN
108 6.2 DEN-2 @ ARI
109 6.2 SEA-1 vs. KC
110 6.0 NE-3 @ CHI
111 6.0 DEN-1 @ ARI
112 6.0 DAL-1 @ PHI
113 6.0 PIT-2 🌐 NO
114 6.0 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
115 6.0 ARI-2 vs. DEN
116 5.9 CIN-1 @ BAL
117 5.8 NO-1 🌐 PIT
118 5.7 NE-4 @ CHI
119 5.7 LV-2 vs. LAR
120 5.7 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
121 5.7 MIA-1 @ NYJ
122 5.6 NYG-2 @ HOU
123 5.6 DET-3 vs. GB
124 5.6 NE-2 @ CHI
125 5.4 CHI-2 vs. NE
126 5.4 CHI-3 vs. NE
127 5.4 SEA-3 vs. KC
128 5.4 SEA-2 vs. KC
129 5.3 ATL-4 vs. SF
130 5.2 SF-2 @ ATL
131 5.2 LV-2 vs. LAR
132 5.2 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
133 5.1 PIT-2 🌐 NO
134 5.1 BAL-2 vs. CIN
135 5.1 GB-3 @ DET
136 5.0 HOU-3 vs. NYG
137 5.0 BAL-3 vs. CIN
138 5.0 SEA-4 vs. KC
139 5.0 DEN-3 @ ARI
140 5.0 MIA-4 @ NYJ
141 4.8 MIN-3 vs. IND
142 4.8 CIN-2 @ BAL
143 4.8 KC-2 @ SEA
144 4.8 TEN-2 vs. CLE
145 4.8 HOU-4 vs. NYG
146 4.8 PHI-2 vs. DAL
147 4.8 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
148 4.7 DEN-4 @ ARI
149 4.6 CIN-3 @ BAL
150 4.6 SF-3 @ ATL
151 4.6 CLE-3 @ TEN
152 4.6 DEN-3 @ ARI
153 4.5 TB-3 @ CAR
154 4.5 LV-2 vs. LAR
155 4.4 TB-2 @ CAR
156 4.3 PHI-2 vs. DAL
157 4.3 KC-2 @ SEA
158 4.3 MIN-4 vs. IND
159 4.3 GB-2 @ DET
160 4.3 NYG-2 @ HOU
161 4.3 TEN-3 vs. CLE
162 4.3 TEN-4 vs. CLE
163 4.3 ARI-3 vs. DEN
164 4.3 NO-3 🌐 PIT
165 4.2 HOU-5 vs. NYG
166 4.2 CLE-2 @ TEN
167 4.2 HOU-6 vs. NYG
168 4.1 SF-4 @ ATL
169 4.1 NYG-3 @ HOU
170 3.7 MIA-2 @ NYJ
171 3.7 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
172 3.3 BAL-2 vs. CIN
173 3.0 DET-2 vs. GB
174 3.0 GB-3 @ DET
175 2.9 IND-2 @ MIN
176 2.9 NO-3 🌐 PIT
177 2.7 TB-3 @ CAR
178 2.6 DAL-2 @ PHI
179 2.5 NE-3 @ CHI
180 2.5 SF-3 @ ATL

Refreshed 11 hours ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.7 2.5 5.6 6.4 4.1 7.4 5.1 2.7 4.3 5.6 6.9 5.5
Texans 9.4 - 9.0 9.6 5.6 6.5 6.6 5.2 3.9 6.8 6.0 6.9

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jordan Love | GB 21.0 16.5 15.8 13.5 - 15.6 18.3 14.6 17.0 14.3 14.9 16.2
Brock Purdy | SF 20.5 - 21.7 18.8 17.9 16.6 18.6 17.7 18.0 16.8 19.0 18.6

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Cardinals vs Titans 2025 5 8
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Dolphins vs Titans 2024 4 3

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Packers Week 7
Jordan Love

D/ST

Vikings Week 7