Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 16.3 ATL-1 @ TB
2 16.2 DAL-1 vs. ARI
3 15.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
4 15.8 DET-1 vs. MIN
5 15.6 KC-1 @ DEN
6 15.3 ARI-1 @ DAL
7 15.2 LAR-1 vs. LAC
8 15.1 CAR-1 @ GB
9 15.1 BAL-1 @ BUF
10 14.9 SEA-1 vs. CHI
11 14.0 BUF-1 vs. BAL
12 13.9 JAC-1 vs. IND
13 13.9 LAR-1 vs. LAC
14 13.8 CIN-1 vs. TEN
15 13.4 DET-1 vs. MIN
16 13.0 PHI-1 @ WAS
17 13.0 LV-1 @ NYJ
18 12.7 CIN-1 vs. TEN
19 12.6 DAL-2 vs. ARI
20 12.5 BAL-1 @ BUF
21 12.4 TB-1 vs. ATL
22 12.4 IND-1 @ JAC
23 12.4 PIT-1 vs. CLE
24 11.8 MIN-1 @ DET
25 11.8 LV-1 @ NYJ
26 11.7 CHI-1 @ SEA
27 11.7 GB-1 vs. CAR
28 11.7 CAR-1 @ GB
29 11.6 JAC-1 vs. IND
30 11.6 GB-1 vs. CAR
31 11.6 ATL-1 @ TB
32 11.6 CIN-2 vs. TEN
33 11.3 WAS-1 vs. PHI
34 11.3 TEN-1 @ CIN
35 11.3 SEA-1 vs. CHI
36 11.1 CLE-1 @ PIT
37 10.9 ARI-1 @ DAL
38 10.9 GB-2 vs. CAR
39 10.8 PIT-1 vs. CLE
40 10.7 CAR-2 @ GB
41 10.7 MIA-1 vs. NE
42 10.7 NE-1 @ MIA
43 10.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
44 10.3 NE-1 @ MIA
45 9.9 WAS-1 vs. PHI
46 9.8 NYJ-1 vs. LV
47 9.6 NE-1 @ MIA
48 9.6 CHI-1 @ SEA
49 9.5 CLE-1 @ PIT
50 9.5 WAS-2 vs. PHI
51 9.5 CHI-1 @ SEA
52 9.4 PHI-1 @ WAS
53 9.4 DET-1 vs. MIN
54 9.3 PIT-2 vs. CLE
55 9.2 DEN-1 vs. KC
56 9.1 MIN-1 @ DET
57 8.9 ARI-1 @ DAL
58 8.8 TB-1 vs. ATL
59 8.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
60 8.8 BUF-1 vs. BAL
61 8.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
62 8.6 GB-1 vs. CAR
63 8.4 LAR-2 vs. LAC
64 8.4 LAC-1 @ LAR
65 8.3 IND-1 @ JAC
66 8.1 MIA-1 vs. NE
67 8.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
68 8.0 LV-1 @ NYJ
69 8.0 CLE-1 @ PIT
70 7.8 MIN-1 @ DET
71 7.6 CHI-2 @ SEA
72 7.5 IND-1 @ JAC
73 7.5 CLE-2 @ PIT
74 7.4 KC-1 @ DEN
75 7.3 BUF-1 vs. BAL
76 7.3 DAL-3 vs. ARI
77 7.3 ATL-1 @ TB
78 7.3 TEN-1 @ CIN
79 7.3 MIN-2 @ DET
80 7.2 NE-2 @ MIA
81 7.2 TB-2 vs. ATL
82 7.2 ARI-2 @ DAL
83 7.2 NYJ-2 vs. LV
84 7.2 DEN-1 vs. KC
85 7.2 LAC-1 @ LAR
86 7.1 WAS-1 vs. PHI
87 7.1 JAC-1 vs. IND
88 7.1 NYJ-2 vs. LV
89 7.0 SEA-1 vs. CHI
90 7.0 NE-2 @ MIA
91 7.0 PIT-2 vs. CLE
92 6.9 DAL-1 vs. ARI
93 6.8 BAL-1 @ BUF
94 6.7 KC-1 @ DEN
95 6.6 PIT-1 vs. CLE
96 6.4 BUF-2 vs. BAL
97 6.4 KC-2 @ DEN
98 6.4 DEN-2 vs. KC
99 6.4 IND-2 @ JAC
100 6.3 LAC-2 @ LAR
101 6.3 MIA-2 vs. NE
102 6.2 CIN-1 vs. TEN
103 6.2 DEN-2 vs. KC
104 6.2 LAR-1 vs. LAC
105 6.1 LAR-2 vs. LAC
106 6.1 TB-1 vs. ATL
107 6.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
108 6.1 PHI-2 @ WAS
109 6.1 BUF-3 vs. BAL
110 5.9 MIN-2 @ DET
111 5.9 WAS-3 vs. PHI
112 5.8 CIN-2 vs. TEN
113 5.7 SEA-2 vs. CHI
114 5.7 TB-2 vs. ATL
115 5.7 NYJ-3 vs. LV
116 5.6 MIA-3 vs. NE
117 5.5 LV-2 @ NYJ
118 5.5 DEN-3 vs. KC
119 5.5 SEA-3 vs. CHI
120 5.5 LV-2 @ NYJ
121 5.5 MIA-1 vs. NE
122 5.4 CIN-3 vs. TEN
123 5.4 DET-3 vs. MIN
124 5.4 PHI-3 @ WAS
125 5.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
126 5.2 MIN-3 @ DET
127 5.2 BAL-2 @ BUF
128 5.2 ATL-2 @ TB
129 5.2 ARI-2 @ DAL
130 5.2 TB-3 vs. ATL
131 5.1 TEN-2 @ CIN
132 5.1 SEA-2 vs. CHI
133 5.1 LAR-2 vs. LAC
134 5.1 LAC-2 @ LAR
135 5.1 NE-3 @ MIA
136 5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
137 5.1 CHI-3 @ SEA
138 5.1 GB-3 vs. CAR
139 5.1 PIT-2 vs. CLE
140 4.9 CLE-3 @ PIT
141 4.9 TEN-3 @ CIN
142 4.9 LV-2 @ NYJ
143 4.8 GB-2 vs. CAR
144 4.7 ATL-3 @ TB
145 4.7 ARI-3 @ DAL
146 4.7 DEN-1 vs. KC
147 4.6 DEN-4 vs. KC
148 4.6 IND-3 @ JAC
149 4.6 KC-2 @ DEN
150 4.6 LAC-3 @ LAR
151 4.6 KC-3 @ DEN
152 4.6 BAL-3 @ BUF
153 4.5 JAC-4 vs. IND
154 4.5 CAR-1 @ GB
155 4.5 SEA-4 vs. CHI
156 4.5 MIA-4 vs. NE
157 4.4 ATL-4 @ TB
158 4.4 LAC-3 @ LAR
159 4.4 TEN-4 @ CIN
160 4.4 NE-4 @ MIA
161 4.4 PIT-3 vs. CLE
162 4.4 CAR-3 @ GB
163 4.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
164 4.3 IND-2 @ JAC
165 4.3 CHI-2 @ SEA
166 4.3 BUF-4 vs. BAL
167 4.1 ARI-3 @ DAL
168 4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
169 4.0 WAS-2 vs. PHI
170 3.9 BAL-2 @ BUF
171 3.8 TB-3 vs. ATL
172 3.6 DET-2 vs. MIN
173 3.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
174 3.0 ATL-2 @ TB
175 3.0 NE-3 @ MIA
176 3.0 BUF-2 vs. BAL
177 2.9 NYJ-3 vs. LV
178 2.6 MIN-3 @ DET
179 1.9 BUF-3 vs. BAL
180 1.9 CHI-3 @ SEA

Refreshed 21 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Bengals 9.3 6.3 7.0 7.8 6.3 8.2 4.9 5.6 5.6 5.7 6.7
Jaguars 8.9 5.8 6.5 5.6 7.4 3.9 7.2 3.7 1.6 5.1 5.6

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 23.8 20.1 20.7 19.3 21.3 19.0 21.1 20.2 21.2 19.4 20.6
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.6 17.7 19.5 18.3 18.3 15.7 - 17.4 19.2 19.3 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Bengals Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Similar Lions vs Browns 2025 4 19
Boom Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Bust Bills @ Jets 2022 9 5

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Bengals Week 8