Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
16.4 ATL-1 @ TB
2
CeeDee Lamb WR
16.2 DAL-1 vs. ARI
3
Javonte Williams RB
15.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
4
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
15.7 DET-1 vs. MIN
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.6 KC-1 @ DEN
6
Puka Nacua WR
15.3 LAR-1 vs. LAC
7
Trey McBride TE
15.3 ARI-1 @ DAL
8
Chuba Hubbard RB
15.1 CAR-1 @ GB
9
Derrick Henry RB
15.1 BAL-1 @ BUF
10
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
14.8 SEA-1 vs. CHI
11
James Cook III RB
14.0 BUF-1 vs. BAL
12
Bhayshul Tuten RB
13.9 JAC-1 vs. IND
13
Kyren Williams RB
13.9 LAR-1 vs. LAC
14
Chase Brown RB
13.8 CIN-1 vs. TEN
15
Saquon Barkley RB
12.9 PHI-1 @ WAS
16
Ashton Jeanty RB
12.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
17
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
12.8 DET-1 vs. MIN
18
Ja'Marr Chase WR
12.8 CIN-1 vs. TEN
19
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.6 IND-1 @ JAC
20
Bucky Irving RB
12.5 TB-1 vs. ATL
21
George Pickens WR
12.3 DAL-2 vs. ARI
22
Zay Flowers WR
12.3 BAL-1 @ BUF
23
Jaylen Warren RB
12.2 PIT-1 vs. CLE
24
Justin Jefferson WR
11.9 MIN-1 @ DET
25
Brock Bowers TE
11.8 LV-1 @ NYJ
26
D'Andre Swift RB
11.7 CHI-1 @ SEA
27
Josh Jacobs RB
11.7 GB-1 vs. CAR
28
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.7 CAR-1 @ GB
29
Parker Washington WR
11.6 JAC-1 vs. IND
30
Christian Watson WR
11.5 GB-1 vs. CAR
31
Drake London WR
11.5 ATL-1 @ TB
32
Tee Higgins WR
11.3 CIN-2 vs. TEN
33
Rachaad White RB
11.2 WAS-1 vs. PHI
34
Emanuel Wilson RB
11.2 SEA-1 vs. CHI
35
Michael Wilson WR
10.7 ARI-1 @ DAL
36
Jalen Coker WR
10.7 CAR-2 @ GB
37
Matthew Golden WR
10.7 GB-2 vs. CAR
38
Quinshon Judkins RB
10.7 CLE-1 @ PIT
39
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.7 MIA-1 vs. NE
40
Germie Bernard WR
10.2 PIT-1 vs. CLE
41
Breece Hall RB
9.8 NYJ-1 vs. LV
42
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
9.8 NE-1 @ MIA
43
Garrett Wilson WR
9.6 NYJ-1 vs. LV
44
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
9.6 NYJ-2 vs. LV
45
Hunter Henry TE
9.5 NE-1 @ MIA
46
Sam LaPorta TE
9.5 DET-1 vs. MIN
47
Tony Pollard RB
9.4 TEN-1 @ CIN
48
Jordan Mason RB
9.4 MIN-1 @ DET
49
Stefon Diggs WR
9.3 WAS-1 vs. PHI
50
Colston Loveland TE
9.3 CHI-1 @ SEA
51
Luther Burden III WR
9.3 CHI-1 @ SEA
52
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.2 CLE-1 @ PIT
53
Antonio Williams WR
9.2 WAS-2 vs. PHI
54
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.2 TB-1 vs. ATL
55
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.2 MIN-1 @ DET
56
DK Metcalf WR
9.2 PIT-2 vs. CLE
57
Jameson Williams WR
9.0 DET-2 vs. MIN
58
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
9.0 TB-2 vs. ATL
59
Courtland Sutton WR
8.9 DEN-1 vs. KC
60
Makai Lemon WR
8.9 PHI-1 @ WAS
61
Dallas Goedert TE
8.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
62
Tucker Kraft TE
8.6 GB-1 vs. CAR
63
Blake Corum RB
8.4 LAR-2 vs. LAC
64
Malik Washington WR
8.1 MIA-1 vs. NE
65
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
66
Carnell Tate WR
8.1 TEN-1 @ CIN
67
Ted Hurst III WR
8.1 TB-3 vs. ATL
68
Travis Kelce TE
7.6 KC-1 @ DEN
69
Rome Odunze WR
7.5 CHI-2 @ SEA
70
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
7.5 ATL-1 @ TB
71
Kendrick Bourne WR
7.5 ARI-2 @ DAL
72
Denzel Boston WR
7.5 CLE-2 @ PIT
73
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.5 CLE-1 @ PIT
74
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.4 BUF-1 vs. BAL
75
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.3 DAL-3 vs. ARI
76
Jordan Addison WR
7.3 MIN-2 @ DET
77
DeMario Douglas WR
7.2 NE-1 @ MIA
78
Josh Downs WR
7.2 IND-1 @ JAC
79
Brenton Strange TE
7.2 JAC-1 vs. IND
80
DJ Moore WR
7.2 BUF-1 vs. BAL
81
Ladd McConkey WR
7.2 LAC-1 @ LAR
82
Jeremiyah Love RB
7.1 ARI-1 @ DAL
83
A.J. Brown WR
7.1 NE-2 @ MIA
84
Omarion Hampton RB
7.0 LAC-1 @ LAR
85
Braelon Allen RB
7.0 NYJ-2 vs. LV
86
Rico Dowdle RB
7.0 PIT-2 vs. CLE
87
Chig Okonkwo TE
7.0 WAS-1 vs. PHI
88
Dohnte Meyers WR
7.0 CIN-3 vs. TEN
89
Mark Andrews TE
6.9 BAL-1 @ BUF
90
Jake Ferguson TE
6.9 DAL-1 vs. ARI
91
AJ Barner TE
6.9 SEA-1 vs. CHI
92
Tre Tucker WR
6.8 LV-1 @ NYJ
93
Keon Coleman WR
6.8 BUF-2 vs. BAL
94
Jaylen Waddle WR
6.8 DEN-2 vs. KC
95
Tyler Allgeier RB
6.6 ARI-2 @ DAL
96
Xavier Worthy WR
6.6 KC-1 @ DEN
97
Jonah Coleman RB
6.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
98
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.3 PIT-1 vs. CLE
99
Tyler Warren TE
6.3 IND-1 @ JAC
100
TreVeyon Henderson RB
6.3 NE-2 @ MIA
101
RJ Harvey RB
6.3 DEN-2 vs. KC
102
Efton Chism III WR
6.3 NE-3 @ MIA
103
Mike Gesicki TE
6.2 CIN-1 vs. TEN
104
Quentin Johnston WR
6.2 LAC-2 @ LAR
105
Tyler Higbee TE
6.2 LAR-1 vs. LAC
106
Caleb Douglas WR
6.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
107
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.1 LAR-2 vs. LAC
108
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.0 JAC-2 vs. IND
109
Khalil Shakir WR
6.0 BUF-3 vs. BAL
110
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-3 vs. KC
111
Treylon Burks WR
5.9 WAS-3 vs. PHI
112
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
5.8 MIN-2 @ DET
113
Samaje Perine RB
5.7 CIN-2 vs. TEN
114
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.7 SEA-2 vs. CHI
115
Jauan Jennings WR
5.7 MIN-3 @ DET
116
Kenny Gainwell RB
5.7 TB-2 vs. ATL
117
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.7 NYJ-3 vs. LV
118
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.6 DET-3 vs. MIN
119
Chris Blair WR
5.6 ATL-2 @ TB
120
Chris Bell WR
5.6 MIA-3 vs. NE
121
Darius Cooper WR
5.6 PHI-2 @ WAS
122
Cooper Kupp WR
5.5 SEA-3 vs. CHI
123
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.5 LV-2 @ NYJ
124
Cade Otton TE
5.5 TB-1 vs. ATL
125
Mason Taylor TE
5.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
126
Greg Dulcich TE
5.2 MIA-1 vs. NE
127
George Holani RB
5.2 SEA-2 vs. CHI
128
Bam Knight RB
5.2 ARI-3 @ DAL
129
Keenan Allen WR
5.1 IND-2 @ JAC
130
Troy Franklin WR
5.1 DEN-3 vs. KC
131
Colby Parkinson TE
5.1 LAR-2 vs. LAC
132
Keaton Mitchell RB
5.1 LAC-2 @ LAR
133
Travis Hunter WR
5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
134
Rashee Rice WR
5.0 KC-2 @ DEN
135
Colbie Young WR
5.0 CIN-4 vs. TEN
136
Rashod Bateman WR
5.0 BAL-2 @ BUF
137
Kalif Raymond WR
5.0 CHI-3 @ SEA
138
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
139
Jahan Dotson WR
5.0 ATL-3 @ TB
140
Michael Mayer TE
4.9 LV-2 @ NYJ
141
Darnell Washington TE
4.9 PIT-2 vs. CLE
142
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
4.8 TEN-2 @ CIN
143
Savion Williams WR
4.8 GB-3 vs. CAR
144
Zachariah Branch WR
4.8 ATL-4 @ TB
145
Kameron Johnson WR
4.8 TB-4 vs. ATL
146
Evan Engram TE
4.8 DEN-1 vs. KC
147
Emmett Johnson RB
4.7 KC-2 @ DEN
148
Devin Duvernay WR
4.7 ARI-3 @ DAL
149
Hollywood Brown WR
4.7 PHI-3 @ WAS
150
Calvin Ridley WR
4.7 TEN-3 @ CIN
151
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.7 CLE-3 @ PIT
152
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.7 DEN-4 vs. KC
153
Cyrus Allen WR
4.7 KC-3 @ DEN
154
Seth McGowan RB
4.6 IND-2 @ JAC
155
Tyjae Spears RB
4.6 TEN-2 @ CIN
156
Dareke Young WR
4.6 LV-2 @ NYJ
157
Kimani Vidal RB
4.6 LAC-3 @ LAR
158
Elijah Sarratt WR
4.5 BAL-3 @ BUF
159
Darren Waller TE
4.5 CAR-1 @ GB
160
Jalen Nailor WR
4.5 LV-3 @ NYJ
161
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
4.5 MIA-4 vs. NE
162
Tory Horton WR
4.4 SEA-4 vs. CHI
163
Elic Ayomanor WR
4.4 TEN-4 @ CIN
164
Tre' Harris WR
4.4 LAC-3 @ LAR
165
Roschon Johnson RB
4.3 CHI-2 @ SEA
166
Kenyon Sadiq TE
4.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
167
Joshua Palmer WR
4.3 BUF-4 vs. BAL
168
John Metchie III WR
4.2 CAR-3 @ GB
169
Laquon Treadwell WR
4.2 IND-3 @ JAC
170
Austin Ekeler RB
4.0 WAS-2 vs. PHI
171
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
172
Justice Hill RB
4.0 BAL-2 @ BUF
173
Sean Tucker RB
3.8 TB-3 vs. ATL
174
Sione Vaki RB
3.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
175
Jaylen Wright RB
3.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
176
Corey Kiner RB
3.2 NE-3 @ MIA
177
Ty Johnson RB
3.1 BUF-2 vs. BAL
178
Demond Claiborne RB
3.1 MIN-3 @ DET
179
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
3.0 ATL-2 @ TB
180
Ray Davis RB
2.9 BUF-3 vs. BAL

Refreshed 11 minutes ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

[UPDATE Wed. 11amEST - Updates to Betting Lines Spreads, results in canceling a number of Tuesday’s suggestions. Sorry for the disruption, this is part of the promised updating going on. There shouldn’t be any more changes this week, now…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Bengals 9.0 6.3 7.0 7.8 6.3 8.2 4.9 5.6 5.6 5.7 6.7
Steelers 8.9 - 3.4 8.4 5.1 5.8 5.7 7.7 6.1 5.9 6.3

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 23.5 20.1 20.7 19.3 21.3 19.0 21.1 20.2 21.2 19.4 20.6
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.5 17.7 19.5 18.3 18.3 15.7 - 17.4 19.2 19.3 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Bengals Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Lions vs Browns 2025 4 19
Similar Rams @ Panthers 2025 13 2
Boom Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Bust Eagles vs Commanders 2019 1 0

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Bengals Week 8