Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1 DET-1 vs. GB 17.7
2 CAR-1 vs. TB 15.0
3 SF-1 @ ATL 14.6
4 CHI-1 vs. NE 14.6
5 ATL-1 vs. SF 14.6
6 ARI-1 vs. DEN 14.2
7 LAR-1 @ LV 14.1
8 KC-1 @ SEA 13.9
9 BAL-1 vs. CIN 13.5
10 SF-1 @ ATL 13.2
11 LAR-1 @ LV 13.1
12 CIN-1 @ BAL 12.7
13 DET-1 vs. GB 12.7
14 GB-1 @ DET 12.6
15 PIT-1 🌐 NO 12.4
16 IND-1 @ MIN 12.3
17 ATL-1 vs. SF 12.2
18 LV-1 vs. LAR 12.1
19 NYG-1 @ HOU 12.0
20 DAL-1 @ PHI 12.0
21 DET-1 vs. GB 11.9
22 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.7
23 CIN-1 @ BAL 11.3
24 SEA-1 vs. KC 10.9
25 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.8
26 CAR-1 vs. TB 10.7
27 DAL-1 @ PHI 10.7
28 NE-1 @ CHI 10.6
29 NYG-1 @ HOU 10.6
30 GB-1 @ DET 10.4
31 CLE-1 @ TEN 10.4
32 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.4
33 NE-1 @ CHI 10.1
34 ARI-1 vs. DEN 10.1
35 NO-1 🌐 PIT 10.0
36 DEN-1 @ ARI 9.7
37 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 9.6
38 TB-1 @ CAR 9.6
39 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.4
40 GB-2 @ DET 9.4
41 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.4
42 BAL-1 vs. CIN 9.3
43 TB-1 @ CAR 9.1
44 CAR-2 vs. TB 9.1
45 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.9
46 DET-2 vs. GB 8.9
47 MIN-1 vs. IND 8.9
48 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 8.9
49 DAL-2 @ PHI 8.8
50 IND-1 @ MIN 8.7
51 CIN-2 @ BAL 8.7
52 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.6
53 MIA-1 @ NYJ 8.6
54 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.6
55 DEN-2 @ ARI 8.5
56 TEN-1 vs. CLE 8.5
57 ATL-1 vs. SF 8.3
58 PIT-2 🌐 NO 8.2
59 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.2
60 HOU-1 vs. NYG 8.2
61 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.1
62 LAR-1 @ LV 8.1
63 LAR-2 @ LV 8.0
64 TB-1 @ CAR 8.0
65 KC-1 @ SEA 8.0
66 CLE-1 @ TEN 8.0
67 BAL-1 vs. CIN 7.8
68 CLE-1 @ TEN 7.7
69 MIA-1 @ NYJ 7.7
70 PHI-1 vs. DAL 7.7
71 IND-1 @ MIN 7.7
72 TEN-1 vs. CLE 7.7
73 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.7
74 PHI-1 vs. DAL 7.6
75 CAR-1 vs. TB 7.6
76 LV-1 vs. LAR 7.4
77 TEN-2 vs. CLE 7.3
78 IND-2 @ MIN 7.3
79 TB-2 @ CAR 7.3
80 NE-1 @ CHI 7.3
81 CLE-2 @ TEN 7.3
82 KC-1 @ SEA 7.3
83 SF-1 @ ATL 7.2
84 PHI-2 vs. DAL 7.2
85 GB-1 @ DET 7.2
86 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.1
87 LAR-2 @ LV 7.1
88 DAL-1 @ PHI 7.0
89 CHI-2 vs. NE 6.9
90 SF-2 @ ATL 6.9
91 SEA-1 vs. KC 6.9
92 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.9
93 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.9
94 MIA-1 @ NYJ 6.9
95 LV-2 vs. LAR 6.8
96 PHI-2 vs. DAL 6.8
97 NO-1 🌐 PIT 6.8
98 DAL-3 @ PHI 6.8
99 MIN-2 vs. IND 6.8
100 NE-2 @ CHI 6.8
101 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.8
102 CIN-1 @ BAL 6.7
103 NO-1 🌐 PIT 6.7
104 NYG-1 @ HOU 6.7
105 HOU-2 vs. NYG 6.6
106 DEN-2 @ ARI 6.5
107 NYG-2 @ HOU 6.4
108 ARI-1 vs. DEN 6.4
109 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 6.4
110 ARI-2 vs. DEN 6.4
111 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 6.4
112 SEA-2 vs. KC 6.2
113 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 6.1
114 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.1
115 IND-3 @ MIN 5.9
116 ATL-2 vs. SF 5.9
117 NE-2 @ CHI 5.8
118 NE-3 @ CHI 5.5
119 MIA-2 @ NYJ 5.5
120 TB-3 @ CAR 5.5
121 HOU-3 vs. NYG 5.5
122 DET-3 vs. GB 5.5
123 ARI-2 vs. DEN 5.5
124 CHI-3 vs. NE 5.3
125 PHI-3 vs. DAL 5.3
126 DEN-3 @ ARI 5.2
127 LAR-2 @ LV 5.2
128 SF-2 @ ATL 5.2
129 NE-4 @ CHI 5.2
130 BAL-2 vs. CIN 5.2
131 SEA-3 vs. KC 5.2
132 CHI-2 vs. NE 5.1
133 MIN-2 vs. IND 5.1
134 LV-2 vs. LAR 5.0
135 ATL-2 vs. SF 4.9
136 SEA-2 vs. KC 4.9
137 CLE-2 @ TEN 4.9
138 MIN-3 vs. IND 4.9
139 HOU-4 vs. NYG 4.9
140 MIA-3 @ NYJ 4.8
141 BAL-3 vs. CIN 4.8
142 KC-2 @ SEA 4.7
143 TEN-2 vs. CLE 4.7
144 CIN-2 @ BAL 4.7
145 GB-2 @ DET 4.6
146 GB-3 @ DET 4.5
147 MIA-2 @ NYJ 4.5
148 TB-2 @ CAR 4.4
149 LV-2 vs. LAR 4.4
150 DEN-4 @ ARI 4.4
151 KC-2 @ SEA 4.3
152 CLE-3 @ TEN 4.3
153 CIN-3 @ BAL 4.2
154 SF-3 @ ATL 4.2
155 ATL-3 vs. SF 4.2
156 NO-3 🌐 PIT 4.2
157 BAL-2 vs. CIN 4.2
158 HOU-5 vs. NYG 4.0
159 ARI-3 vs. DEN 4.0
160 TEN-3 vs. CLE 4.0
161 DET-2 vs. GB 4.0
162 ATL-4 vs. SF 3.9
163 LAR-3 @ LV 3.9
164 SF-4 @ ATL 3.9
165 HOU-2 vs. NYG 3.8
166 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 3.8
167 SEA-3 vs. KC 3.8
168 NYG-2 @ HOU 3.8
169 CHI-4 vs. NE 3.7
170 SEA-4 vs. KC 3.6
171 PHI-4 vs. DAL 3.6
172 PIT-3 🌐 NO 3.6
173 HOU-6 vs. NYG 3.6
174 NYG-3 @ HOU 3.5
175 TEN-4 vs. CLE 3.4
176 GB-3 @ DET 3.4
177 NO-3 🌐 PIT 3.1
178 NYJ-3 vs. MIA 3.1
179 ARI-3 vs. DEN 3.0
180 TB-3 @ CAR 3.0

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Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.6 2.6 5.8 6.2 4.6 7.3 5.2 2.4 4.7 6.6 6.9 5.6
Texans 9.5 - 8.8 9.9 5.4 6.7 6.8 6.4 3.8 6.6 5.9 7.0

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 20.7 - 21.7 19.1 18.1 16.9 19.0 17.4 18.2 16.9 19.1 18.7
Jordan Love | GB 20.5 16.9 15.7 13.0 - 15.2 16.8 15.6 16.9 14.8 14.8 16.0

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Commanders vs Cowboys 2024 12 1

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 7
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Vikings Week 7