Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 19.9 DET-1 vs. GB
2 17.8 ATL-1 vs. SF
3 16.1 SF-1 @ ATL
4 15.2 SF-1 @ ATL
5 14.3 ARI-1 vs. DEN
6 14.1 KC-1 @ SEA
7 14.1 BAL-1 vs. CIN
8 14.1 LAR-1 @ LV
9 13.8 CHI-1 vs. NE
10 13.4 LAR-1 @ LV
11 13.3 CAR-1 vs. TB
12 12.8 PIT-1 🌐 NO
13 12.8 CIN-1 @ BAL
14 12.8 IND-1 @ MIN
15 12.8 SEA-1 vs. KC
16 12.8 DET-1 vs. GB
17 12.5 DAL-1 @ PHI
18 12.2 DET-1 vs. GB
19 12.2 LV-1 vs. LAR
20 12.2 HOU-1 vs. NYG
21 12.1 LV-1 vs. LAR
22 11.9 ATL-1 vs. SF
23 11.7 DAL-1 @ PHI
24 11.6 NYG-1 @ HOU
25 11.3 CIN-1 @ BAL
26 11.1 GB-1 @ DET
27 10.3 MIN-1 vs. IND
28 10.3 NYG-1 @ HOU
29 10.3 HOU-1 vs. NYG
30 10.2 GB-1 @ DET
31 10.2 CAR-1 vs. TB
32 10.1 NE-1 @ CHI
33 10.1 NO-1 🌐 PIT
34 10.0 GB-2 @ DET
35 9.9 TB-1 @ CAR
36 9.8 BAL-1 vs. CIN
37 9.7 CLE-1 @ TEN
38 9.7 MIN-1 vs. IND
39 9.2 PHI-1 vs. DAL
40 9.1 CIN-2 @ BAL
41 9.1 MIA-1 @ NYJ
42 8.9 NE-1 @ CHI
43 8.9 MIN-1 vs. IND
44 8.9 ARI-1 vs. DEN
45 8.9 CAR-2 vs. TB
46 8.9 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
47 8.9 DAL-2 @ PHI
48 8.9 DET-2 vs. GB
49 8.8 PIT-1 🌐 NO
50 8.8 PIT-2 🌐 NO
51 8.8 CHI-1 vs. NE
52 8.7 PHI-1 vs. DAL
53 8.7 ARI-1 vs. DEN
54 8.7 GB-1 @ DET
55 8.6 DEN-1 @ ARI
56 8.6 TEN-1 vs. CLE
57 8.6 NE-1 @ CHI
58 8.6 ATL-1 vs. SF
59 8.6 CLE-1 @ TEN
60 8.4 CHI-1 vs. NE
61 8.4 DEN-2 @ ARI
62 8.3 PIT-1 🌐 NO
63 8.2 KC-1 @ SEA
64 8.2 TB-1 @ CAR
65 8.2 PHI-1 vs. DAL
66 8.0 TEN-1 vs. CLE
67 8.0 HOU-1 vs. NYG
68 8.0 LAR-1 @ LV
69 8.0 BAL-1 vs. CIN
70 7.9 LAR-2 @ LV
71 7.9 SEA-1 vs. KC
72 7.9 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
73 7.8 TB-1 @ CAR
74 7.8 DEN-1 @ ARI
75 7.7 IND-1 @ MIN
76 7.7 KC-1 @ SEA
77 7.7 CLE-1 @ TEN
78 7.7 IND-2 @ MIN
79 7.7 CLE-2 @ TEN
80 7.6 MIA-1 @ NYJ
81 7.3 CHI-2 vs. NE
82 7.3 TEN-2 vs. CLE
83 7.3 LV-1 vs. LAR
84 7.3 NO-2 🌐 PIT
85 7.0 TB-2 @ CAR
86 7.0 DAL-3 @ PHI
87 7.0 MIN-2 vs. IND
88 7.0 NE-2 @ CHI
89 6.9 NO-1 🌐 PIT
90 6.8 LAR-2 @ LV
91 6.8 SF-1 @ ATL
92 6.8 SF-2 @ ATL
93 6.8 DEN-1 @ ARI
94 6.8 DAL-1 @ PHI
95 6.8 SEA-1 vs. KC
96 6.7 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
97 6.7 DEN-2 @ ARI
98 6.6 CIN-1 @ BAL
99 6.6 HOU-2 vs. NYG
100 6.5 NO-1 🌐 PIT
101 6.5 NO-2 🌐 PIT
102 6.5 SEA-2 vs. KC
103 6.5 HOU-3 vs. NYG
104 6.5 ARI-2 vs. DEN
105 6.4 LV-2 vs. LAR
106 6.4 CAR-1 vs. TB
107 6.4 MIA-1 @ NYJ
108 6.3 NYJ-1 vs. MIA
109 6.1 NYG-1 @ HOU
110 6.1 PIT-2 🌐 NO
111 6.1 MIN-2 vs. IND
112 6.0 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
113 6.0 PIT-2 🌐 NO
114 5.7 LAR-2 @ LV
115 5.6 MIA-2 @ NYJ
116 5.6 NE-2 @ CHI
117 5.6 IND-3 @ MIN
118 5.6 NYG-2 @ HOU
119 5.6 PHI-2 vs. DAL
120 5.5 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
121 5.5 PHI-3 vs. DAL
122 5.5 PHI-2 vs. DAL
123 5.4 CHI-2 vs. NE
124 5.4 NYJ-2 vs. MIA
125 5.4 NE-3 @ CHI
126 5.4 DET-3 vs. GB
127 5.4 CHI-3 vs. NE
128 5.4 MIA-3 @ NYJ
129 5.3 SEA-3 vs. KC
130 5.3 SF-2 @ ATL
131 5.2 LV-2 vs. LAR
132 5.0 DEN-3 @ ARI
133 4.9 ATL-2 vs. SF
134 4.9 BAL-2 vs. CIN
135 4.9 NE-4 @ CHI
136 4.9 BAL-3 vs. CIN
137 4.9 GB-3 @ DET
138 4.9 HOU-4 vs. NYG
139 4.8 MIA-4 @ NYJ
140 4.8 TEN-2 vs. CLE
141 4.8 CIN-2 @ BAL
142 4.7 ARI-2 vs. DEN
143 4.5 MIN-3 vs. IND
144 4.5 CLE-3 @ TEN
145 4.4 KC-2 @ SEA
146 4.4 TB-2 @ CAR
147 4.4 DEN-4 @ ARI
148 4.4 CIN-3 @ BAL
149 4.4 LV-2 vs. LAR
150 4.3 TB-3 @ CAR
151 4.3 GB-2 @ DET
152 4.3 CLE-2 @ TEN
153 4.3 BAL-2 vs. CIN
154 4.3 ARI-3 vs. DEN
155 4.3 NYG-3 @ HOU
156 4.2 SEA-2 vs. KC
157 4.2 MIA-2 @ NYJ
158 4.2 KC-2 @ SEA
159 4.1 SF-3 @ ATL
160 4.1 TEN-3 vs. CLE
161 4.1 TEN-4 vs. CLE
162 4.1 ATL-3 vs. SF
163 4.1 HOU-5 vs. NYG
164 4.0 ATL-4 vs. SF
165 4.0 SF-4 @ ATL
166 4.0 HOU-6 vs. NYG
167 4.0 NO-3 🌐 PIT
168 4.0 PHI-4 vs. DAL
169 3.9 SEA-4 vs. KC
170 3.7 NYG-2 @ HOU
171 3.0 GB-3 @ DET
172 3.0 DET-2 vs. GB
173 2.9 NO-3 🌐 PIT
174 2.9 NYJ-3 vs. MIA
175 2.6 IND-2 @ MIN
176 2.6 TB-3 @ CAR
177 2.6 DAL-2 @ PHI
178 2.6 DEN-3 @ ARI
179 2.5 DAL-3 @ PHI
180 2.5 SF-3 @ ATL

Refreshed 57 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.8 2.3 5.6 6.3 4.4 7.4 5.1 2.5 4.5 6.5 6.7 5.6
Texans 9.4 - 8.8 9.8 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.3 3.8 6.4 6.0 6.9

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 20.6 - 21.7 19.0 17.8 16.9 18.8 17.8 18.0 16.8 19.1 18.7
Drake Maye | NE 19.7 18.7 20.3 23.8 - 19.0 17.1 18.1 16.3 18.9 18.7 19.1

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Commanders vs Cowboys 2024 12 1

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 7
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Vikings Week 7