Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
CeeDee Lamb WR
15.9 DAL-1 vs. ARI
2
Bijan Robinson RB
15.6 ATL-1 @ TB
3
Javonte Williams RB
15.6 DAL-1 vs. ARI
4
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
15.5 DET-1 vs. MIN
5
Derrick Henry RB
15.0 BAL-1 @ BUF
6
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.0 KC-1 @ DEN
7
Puka Nacua WR
14.9 LAR-1 vs. LAC
8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
14.7 SEA-1 vs. CHI
9
Trey McBride TE
14.5 ARI-1 @ DAL
10
Chuba Hubbard RB
14.0 CAR-1 @ GB
11
Bhayshul Tuten RB
13.9 JAC-1 vs. IND
12
James Cook III RB
13.9 BUF-1 vs. BAL
13
Kyren Williams RB
13.8 LAR-1 vs. LAC
14
Chase Brown RB
13.7 CIN-1 vs. TEN
15
Bucky Irving RB
13.0 TB-1 vs. ATL
16
Ashton Jeanty RB
12.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
17
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
12.9 DET-1 vs. MIN
18
Ja'Marr Chase WR
12.5 CIN-1 vs. TEN
19
George Pickens WR
12.4 DAL-2 vs. ARI
20
Jaylen Warren RB
12.4 PIT-1 vs. CLE
21
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.4 IND-1 @ JAC
22
Parker Washington WR
12.0 JAC-1 vs. IND
23
Zay Flowers WR
11.9 BAL-1 @ BUF
24
D'Andre Swift RB
11.8 CHI-1 @ SEA
25
Justin Jefferson WR
11.8 MIN-1 @ DET
26
Christian Watson WR
11.7 GB-1 vs. CAR
27
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.4 CAR-1 @ GB
28
Rachaad White RB
11.4 WAS-1 vs. PHI
29
Drake London WR
11.4 ATL-1 @ TB
30
Michael Wilson WR
11.4 ARI-1 @ DAL
31
Emanuel Wilson RB
11.3 SEA-1 vs. CHI
32
Tee Higgins WR
11.2 CIN-2 vs. TEN
33
Ollie Gordon II RB
11.0 MIA-1 vs. NE
34
Josh Jacobs RB
11.0 GB-1 vs. CAR
35
Quinshon Judkins RB
11.0 CLE-1 @ PIT
36
Matthew Golden WR
11.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
37
Brock Bowers TE
10.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
38
Jalen Coker WR
10.8 CAR-2 @ GB
39
Jordan Mason RB
10.3 MIN-1 @ DET
40
Germie Bernard WR
10.0 PIT-1 vs. CLE
41
Breece Hall RB
10.0 NYJ-1 vs. LV
42
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
10.0 NE-1 @ MIA
43
Saquon Barkley RB
9.9 PHI-1 @ WAS
44
Stefon Diggs WR
9.7 WAS-1 vs. PHI
45
Tony Pollard RB
9.6 TEN-1 @ CIN
46
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.5 CLE-1 @ PIT
47
Antonio Williams WR
9.5 WAS-2 vs. PHI
48
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.5 TB-1 vs. ATL
49
A.J. Brown WR
9.5 NE-1 @ MIA
50
Garrett Wilson WR
9.5 NYJ-1 vs. LV
51
Hunter Henry TE
9.4 NE-1 @ MIA
52
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
9.4 TB-2 vs. ATL
53
Colston Loveland TE
9.4 CHI-1 @ SEA
54
Luther Burden III WR
9.4 CHI-1 @ SEA
55
DK Metcalf WR
9.4 PIT-2 vs. CLE
56
Malik Washington WR
9.3 MIA-1 vs. NE
57
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.2 MIN-1 @ DET
58
Sam LaPorta TE
9.2 DET-1 vs. MIN
59
Jameson Williams WR
9.2 DET-2 vs. MIN
60
Makai Lemon WR
9.0 PHI-1 @ WAS
61
Dallas Goedert TE
8.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
62
Tucker Kraft TE
8.4 GB-1 vs. CAR
63
Blake Corum RB
8.3 LAR-2 vs. LAC
64
Omarion Hampton RB
8.3 LAC-1 @ LAR
65
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.3 JAC-2 vs. IND
66
Carnell Tate WR
8.2 TEN-1 @ CIN
67
Rome Odunze WR
8.2 CHI-2 @ SEA
68
DJ Moore WR
8.0 BUF-1 vs. BAL
69
Josh Downs WR
7.9 IND-1 @ JAC
70
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
7.6 ATL-1 @ TB
71
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.5 DAL-3 vs. ARI
72
Tre Tucker WR
7.5 LV-1 @ NYJ
73
Denzel Boston WR
7.5 CLE-2 @ PIT
74
Kendrick Bourne WR
7.5 ARI-2 @ DAL
75
Courtland Sutton WR
7.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
76
Travis Kelce TE
7.4 KC-1 @ DEN
77
DeMario Douglas WR
7.3 NE-2 @ MIA
78
Jordan Addison WR
7.3 MIN-2 @ DET
79
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.3 CLE-1 @ PIT
80
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.3 BUF-1 vs. BAL
81
Keon Coleman WR
7.2 BUF-2 vs. BAL
82
Ladd McConkey WR
7.2 LAC-1 @ LAR
83
AJ Barner TE
7.2 SEA-1 vs. CHI
84
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
7.2 NYJ-2 vs. LV
85
Brenton Strange TE
7.2 JAC-1 vs. IND
86
Keenan Allen WR
7.1 IND-2 @ JAC
87
Ted Hurst III WR
6.8 TB-3 vs. ATL
88
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.8 WAS-1 vs. PHI
89
Rico Dowdle RB
6.8 PIT-2 vs. CLE
90
Jeremiyah Love RB
6.8 ARI-1 @ DAL
91
Braelon Allen RB
6.8 NYJ-2 vs. LV
92
TreVeyon Henderson RB
6.7 NE-2 @ MIA
93
Tyler Allgeier RB
6.7 ARI-2 @ DAL
94
Xavier Worthy WR
6.7 KC-1 @ DEN
95
Jake Ferguson TE
6.7 DAL-1 vs. ARI
96
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.7 PIT-1 vs. CLE
97
Mark Andrews TE
6.6 BAL-1 @ BUF
98
Mike Gesicki TE
6.6 CIN-1 vs. TEN
99
Quentin Johnston WR
6.5 LAC-2 @ LAR
100
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
6.5 BAL-2 @ BUF
101
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
6.5 TEN-2 @ CIN
102
Jonah Coleman RB
6.5 DEN-1 vs. KC
103
Tyler Higbee TE
6.5 LAR-1 vs. LAC
104
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.3 LAR-2 vs. LAC
105
Caleb Douglas WR
6.3 MIA-2 vs. NE
106
Cade Otton TE
6.3 TB-1 vs. ATL
107
Tyler Warren TE
6.3 IND-1 @ JAC
108
Greg Dulcich TE
6.2 MIA-1 vs. NE
109
RJ Harvey RB
6.2 DEN-2 vs. KC
110
Treylon Burks WR
6.2 WAS-3 vs. PHI
111
George Holani RB
6.1 SEA-2 vs. CHI
112
Dameon Pierce RB
6.0 PHI-2 @ WAS
113
Samaje Perine RB
6.0 CIN-2 vs. TEN
114
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.0 JAC-2 vs. IND
115
Khalil Shakir WR
6.0 BUF-3 vs. BAL
116
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.8 DEN-3 vs. KC
117
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
5.8 MIN-2 @ DET
118
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.8 NYJ-3 vs. LV
119
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.7 SEA-2 vs. CHI
120
Darius Cooper WR
5.7 PHI-2 @ WAS
121
Troy Franklin WR
5.7 DEN-2 vs. KC
122
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.6 LV-2 @ NYJ
123
Austin Ekeler RB
5.6 WAS-2 vs. PHI
124
Emmett Johnson RB
5.5 KC-2 @ DEN
125
Colby Parkinson TE
5.5 LAR-2 vs. LAC
126
Chris Bell WR
5.5 MIA-3 vs. NE
127
Mason Taylor TE
5.5 NYJ-1 vs. LV
128
Kalif Raymond WR
5.4 CHI-3 @ SEA
129
Cooper Kupp WR
5.4 SEA-3 vs. CHI
130
Jalen Nailor WR
5.3 LV-2 @ NYJ
131
Michael Mayer TE
5.3 LV-2 @ NYJ
132
Dohnte Meyers WR
5.3 CIN-3 vs. TEN
133
Jauan Jennings WR
5.3 MIN-3 @ DET
134
Darnell Washington TE
5.3 PIT-2 vs. CLE
135
Laquon Treadwell WR
5.3 IND-3 @ JAC
136
Evan Engram TE
5.3 DEN-1 vs. KC
137
Kenny Gainwell RB
5.2 TB-2 vs. ATL
138
Efton Chism III WR
5.1 NE-3 @ MIA
139
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.1 DET-3 vs. MIN
140
Travis Hunter WR
5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
141
Rashod Bateman WR
5.1 BAL-3 @ BUF
142
Rashee Rice WR
5.1 KC-2 @ DEN
143
Jahan Dotson WR
5.1 ATL-2 @ TB
144
Bam Knight RB
5.0 ARI-3 @ DAL
145
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
146
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.9 LAC-2 @ LAR
147
Darren Waller TE
4.9 CAR-1 @ GB
148
Savion Williams WR
4.9 GB-3 vs. CAR
149
Devin Duvernay WR
4.8 ARI-3 @ DAL
150
Zachariah Branch WR
4.7 ATL-3 @ TB
151
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.7 DEN-3 vs. KC
152
Seth McGowan RB
4.7 IND-2 @ JAC
153
Kimani Vidal RB
4.7 LAC-3 @ LAR
154
Hollywood Brown WR
4.7 PHI-3 @ WAS
155
Cyrus Allen WR
4.7 KC-3 @ DEN
156
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.7 CLE-3 @ PIT
157
Elic Ayomanor WR
4.7 TEN-3 @ CIN
158
Kameron Johnson WR
4.7 TB-4 vs. ATL
159
Tyjae Spears RB
4.6 TEN-2 @ CIN
160
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
4.5 JAC-4 vs. IND
161
Chris Blair WR
4.5 ATL-4 @ TB
162
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
4.5 MIA-4 vs. NE
163
Kyle Williams WR
4.5 NE-4 @ MIA
164
Calvin Ridley WR
4.4 TEN-4 @ CIN
165
Tory Horton WR
4.4 SEA-4 vs. CHI
166
Kenyon Sadiq TE
4.4 NYJ-2 vs. LV
167
Tre' Harris WR
4.3 LAC-3 @ LAR
168
Roschon Johnson RB
4.2 CHI-2 @ SEA
169
Joshua Palmer WR
4.2 BUF-4 vs. BAL
170
Camden Brown WR
4.2 DAL-4 vs. ARI
171
Kaden Wetjen WR
4.1 PIT-3 vs. CLE
172
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
173
Justice Hill RB
4.0 BAL-2 @ BUF
174
Sean Tucker RB
4.0 TB-3 vs. ATL
175
Sione Vaki RB
3.3 DET-2 vs. MIN
176
Jaylen Wright RB
3.1 MIA-2 vs. NE
177
Corey Kiner RB
3.1 NE-3 @ MIA
178
Brian Robinson Jr. RB
3.0 ATL-2 @ TB
179
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
3.0 CLE-2 @ PIT
180
Ray Davis RB
3.0 BUF-2 vs. BAL

Refreshed 5 minutes ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

[UPDATE Wed. 11amEST - Updates to Betting Lines Spreads, results in canceling a number of Tuesday’s suggestions. Sorry for the disruption, this is part of the promised updating going on. There shouldn’t be any more changes this week, now…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Steelers 8.7 - 3.4 8.3 5.1 5.8 5.6 7.7 6.0 5.9 6.3
Commanders 8.6 4.5 4.9 4.8 6.7 5.8 5.0 5.6 5.6 3.2 5.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 24.1 20.3 20.9 19.4 21.4 19.2 21.2 20.3 21.4 19.6 20.8
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.2 17.6 19.7 18.3 18.3 15.8 - 17.0 19.3 19.4 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Steelers Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Colts vs Commanders 2022 8 5
Similar Colts vs Broncos 2019 8 6
Boom Dolphins @ Jaguars 2014 8 24
Bust Ravens @ Browns 2024 8 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Steelers Week 8