Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
19.2 ATL-1 @ TB
2
CeeDee Lamb WR
16.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
3
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
16.1 DET-1 vs. MIN
4
Javonte Williams RB
15.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
5
Kenneth Walker III RB
15.8 KC-1 @ DEN
6
Puka Nacua WR
15.7 LAR-1 vs. LAC
7
Trey McBride TE
15.3 ARI-1 @ DAL
8
Derrick Henry RB
15.2 BAL-1 @ BUF
9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
15.0 SEA-1 vs. CHI
10
Chuba Hubbard RB
14.4 CAR-1 @ GB
11
Chase Brown RB
14.4 CIN-1 vs. TEN
12
Kyren Williams RB
14.1 LAR-1 vs. LAC
13
James Cook III RB
14.1 BUF-1 vs. BAL
14
Bhayshul Tuten RB
14.0 JAC-1 vs. IND
15
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
13.8 NE-1 @ MIA
16
Bucky Irving RB
13.8 TB-1 vs. ATL
17
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.4 DET-1 vs. MIN
18
Ashton Jeanty RB
13.1 LV-1 @ NYJ
19
D'Andre Swift RB
13.0 CHI-1 @ SEA
20
Ja'Marr Chase WR
12.8 CIN-1 vs. TEN
21
Hunter Henry TE
12.6 NE-1 @ MIA
22
Saquon Barkley RB
12.4 PHI-1 @ WAS
23
Tony Pollard RB
12.4 TEN-1 @ CIN
24
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.4 IND-1 @ JAC
25
Josh Jacobs RB
12.4 GB-1 vs. CAR
26
Jaylen Warren RB
12.3 PIT-1 vs. CLE
27
Brock Bowers TE
11.9 LV-1 @ NYJ
28
Justin Jefferson WR
11.9 MIN-1 @ DET
29
George Pickens WR
11.8 DAL-2 vs. ARI
30
Rachaad White RB
11.8 WAS-1 vs. PHI
31
Zay Flowers WR
11.8 BAL-1 @ BUF
32
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.7 CAR-1 @ GB
33
Michael Wilson WR
11.5 ARI-1 @ DAL
34
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
11.3 TB-1 vs. ATL
35
Drake London WR
11.3 ATL-1 @ TB
36
Christian Watson WR
11.3 GB-1 vs. CAR
37
Tee Higgins WR
11.3 CIN-2 vs. TEN
38
Quinshon Judkins RB
11.1 CLE-1 @ PIT
39
Germie Bernard WR
11.0 PIT-1 vs. CLE
40
Parker Washington WR
11.0 JAC-1 vs. IND
41
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.8 MIA-1 vs. NE
42
Jalen Coker WR
10.7 CAR-2 @ GB
43
Stefon Diggs WR
10.5 WAS-1 vs. PHI
44
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
10.0 CLE-1 @ PIT
45
Matthew Golden WR
10.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
46
Antonio Williams WR
9.6 WAS-2 vs. PHI
47
Garrett Wilson WR
9.6 NYJ-1 vs. LV
48
DJ Moore WR
9.6 BUF-1 vs. BAL
49
Dallas Goedert TE
9.6 PHI-1 @ WAS
50
Breece Hall RB
9.5 NYJ-1 vs. LV
51
Sam LaPorta TE
9.4 DET-1 vs. MIN
52
Malik Washington WR
9.4 MIA-1 vs. NE
53
Makai Lemon WR
9.3 PHI-1 @ WAS
54
Luther Burden III WR
9.3 CHI-1 @ SEA
55
DK Metcalf WR
9.2 PIT-2 vs. CLE
56
Colston Loveland TE
9.2 CHI-1 @ SEA
57
Jonah Coleman RB
9.1 DEN-1 vs. KC
58
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.1 MIN-1 @ DET
59
Jeremiyah Love RB
8.9 ARI-1 @ DAL
60
Jameson Williams WR
8.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
61
Tucker Kraft TE
8.6 GB-1 vs. CAR
62
DeMario Douglas WR
8.5 NE-1 @ MIA
63
Blake Corum RB
8.4 LAR-2 vs. LAC
64
Ted Hurst III WR
8.4 TB-2 vs. ATL
65
J.K. Dobbins RB
8.3 DEN-2 vs. KC
66
Efton Chism III WR
8.3 NE-2 @ MIA
67
Tyler Warren TE
8.2 IND-1 @ JAC
68
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.8 DAL-3 vs. ARI
69
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.8 CLE-1 @ PIT
70
Omarion Hampton RB
7.7 LAC-1 @ LAR
71
Jordan Mason RB
7.7 MIN-1 @ DET
72
Jakobi Meyers WR
7.7 JAC-2 vs. IND
73
Josh Downs WR
7.7 IND-1 @ JAC
74
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
7.6 TEN-1 @ CIN
75
Rome Odunze WR
7.6 CHI-2 @ SEA
76
Tre Tucker WR
7.6 LV-1 @ NYJ
77
Rashee Rice WR
7.6 KC-1 @ DEN
78
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
7.5 ATL-1 @ TB
79
Kendrick Bourne WR
7.4 ARI-2 @ DAL
80
Ladd McConkey WR
7.4 LAC-1 @ LAR
81
Denzel Boston WR
7.3 CLE-2 @ PIT
82
Jordan Addison WR
7.3 MIN-2 @ DET
83
Braelon Allen RB
7.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
84
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
7.2 NYJ-2 vs. LV
85
Chig Okonkwo TE
7.1 WAS-1 vs. PHI
86
Travis Kelce TE
7.1 KC-1 @ DEN
87
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.1 BUF-1 vs. BAL
88
Brenton Strange TE
7.1 JAC-1 vs. IND
89
AJ Barner TE
7.0 SEA-1 vs. CHI
90
Keenan Allen WR
7.0 IND-2 @ JAC
91
Rico Dowdle RB
6.9 PIT-2 vs. CLE
92
Quentin Johnston WR
6.8 LAC-2 @ LAR
93
Zach Charbonnet RB
6.7 SEA-1 vs. CHI
94
Emanuel Wilson RB
6.6 SEA-2 vs. CHI
95
Keon Coleman WR
6.6 BUF-2 vs. BAL
96
Courtland Sutton WR
6.6 DEN-1 vs. KC
97
Jake Ferguson TE
6.5 DAL-1 vs. ARI
98
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.5 PIT-1 vs. CLE
99
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.5 LAR-2 vs. LAC
100
Cade Otton TE
6.4 TB-1 vs. ATL
101
Mark Andrews TE
6.4 BAL-1 @ BUF
102
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
6.4 BAL-2 @ BUF
103
Tyler Higbee TE
6.4 LAR-1 vs. LAC
104
Mike Gesicki TE
6.3 CIN-1 vs. TEN
105
Xavier Worthy WR
6.2 KC-2 @ DEN
106
Jaylen Waddle WR
6.2 DEN-2 vs. KC
107
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
6.2 MIN-2 @ DET
108
Caleb Douglas WR
6.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
109
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.1 JAC-2 vs. IND
110
Treylon Burks WR
5.9 WAS-3 vs. PHI
111
Khalil Shakir WR
5.9 BUF-3 vs. BAL
112
Darius Cooper WR
5.9 PHI-2 @ WAS
113
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.9 NYJ-3 vs. LV
114
Samaje Perine RB
5.8 CIN-2 vs. TEN
115
Chris Bell WR
5.7 MIA-3 vs. NE
116
Kameron Johnson WR
5.7 TB-3 vs. ATL
117
Jalen Nailor WR
5.7 LV-2 @ NYJ
118
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.6 SEA-2 vs. CHI
119
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.6 LV-2 @ NYJ
120
Greg Dulcich TE
5.6 MIA-1 vs. NE
121
Cooper Kupp WR
5.5 SEA-3 vs. CHI
122
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.5 DET-3 vs. MIN
123
Dohnte Meyers WR
5.5 CIN-3 vs. TEN
124
Hollywood Brown WR
5.5 PHI-3 @ WAS
125
Kyle Williams WR
5.3 NE-3 @ MIA
126
Jauan Jennings WR
5.3 MIN-3 @ DET
127
Mason Taylor TE
5.3 NYJ-1 vs. LV
128
Elic Ayomanor WR
5.2 TEN-2 @ CIN
129
Tyler Allgeier RB
5.2 ARI-2 @ DAL
130
Troy Franklin WR
5.1 DEN-3 vs. KC
131
Kalif Raymond WR
5.1 CHI-3 @ SEA
132
Keaton Mitchell RB
5.1 LAC-2 @ LAR
133
Rashod Bateman WR
5.1 BAL-3 @ BUF
134
Travis Hunter WR
5.1 JAC-3 vs. IND
135
Jahan Dotson WR
5.1 ATL-2 @ TB
136
Laquon Treadwell WR
5.1 IND-3 @ JAC
137
Tre' Harris WR
5.1 LAC-3 @ LAR
138
Savion Williams WR
5.1 GB-3 vs. CAR
139
Calvin Ridley WR
5.0 TEN-3 @ CIN
140
Darnell Washington TE
5.0 PIT-2 vs. CLE
141
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
142
Michael Mayer TE
4.9 LV-2 @ NYJ
143
Zachariah Branch WR
4.9 ATL-3 @ TB
144
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.9 CLE-3 @ PIT
145
Roschon Johnson RB
4.8 CHI-2 @ SEA
146
Colby Parkinson TE
4.8 LAR-2 vs. LAC
147
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.8 TB-2 vs. ATL
148
Devin Duvernay WR
4.7 ARI-3 @ DAL
149
Emmett Johnson RB
4.6 KC-2 @ DEN
150
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
4.6 MIA-4 vs. NE
151
Kimani Vidal RB
4.6 LAC-3 @ LAR
152
Darren Waller TE
4.5 CAR-1 @ GB
153
Tory Horton WR
4.5 SEA-4 vs. CHI
154
John Metchie III WR
4.5 CAR-3 @ GB
155
Chris Blair WR
4.5 ATL-4 @ TB
156
Seth McGowan RB
4.5 IND-2 @ JAC
157
Chimere Dike WR
4.5 TEN-4 @ CIN
158
Malik Benson WR
4.5 LV-3 @ NYJ
159
Corey Kiner RB
4.5 NE-2 @ MIA
160
Elijah Moore WR
4.5 PHI-4 @ WAS
161
Cyrus Allen WR
4.4 KC-3 @ DEN
162
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.4 DEN-4 vs. KC
163
Kaden Wetjen WR
4.4 PIT-3 vs. CLE
164
Camden Brown WR
4.3 DAL-4 vs. ARI
165
Evan Engram TE
4.3 DEN-1 vs. KC
166
Kenyon Sadiq TE
4.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
167
Bam Knight RB
4.1 ARI-3 @ DAL
168
Austin Ekeler RB
4.0 WAS-2 vs. PHI
169
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
170
Justice Hill RB
3.9 BAL-2 @ BUF
171
George Holani RB
3.6 SEA-3 vs. CHI
172
Ty Johnson RB
3.6 BUF-2 vs. BAL
173
Sean Tucker RB
3.2 TB-3 vs. ATL
174
Jaylen Wright RB
3.2 MIA-2 vs. NE
175
Sione Vaki RB
3.2 DET-2 vs. MIN
176
Isaiah Davis RB
2.8 NYJ-3 vs. LV
177
Ray Davis RB
1.3 BUF-3 vs. BAL
178
Jadarian Price RB
1.0 SEA-4 vs. CHI
179
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
0.7 CLE-2 @ PIT
180
Michael Carter RB
0.7 TEN-2 @ CIN

Refreshed 29 minutes ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

[UPDATE Wed. 11amEST - Updates to Betting Lines Spreads, results in canceling a number of Tuesday’s suggestions. Sorry for the disruption, this is part of the promised updating going on. There shouldn’t be any more changes this week, now…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Bengals 9.1 6.4 7.0 6.9 6.3 8.2 4.9 5.7 5.7 5.8 6.6
Jaguars 9.0 5.9 6.5 5.6 7.4 4.0 7.2 3.7 1.6 5.3 5.6

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 23.7 20.0 20.7 19.2 21.3 19.0 21.1 20.2 21.2 19.4 20.6
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.5 17.7 19.5 18.3 18.3 15.7 - 17.4 19.2 19.3 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Bengals Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Similar Ravens vs Texans 2023 1 11
Boom Rams vs Jaguars 2021 13 11
Bust Bills @ Jets 2022 9 5

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Bengals Week 8