Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 10

Flex rankings go live at 10AM ET on Wednesdays.

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Ravens 9.0 5.7 4.2 - 6.7 5.2 7.9 4.3 6.1
Titans 3.5 3.9 4.3 5.3 4.0 6.2 4.8 4.8 4.6

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Dak Prescott | DAL 17.8 21.0 17.9 12.8 - 15.4 16.2 17.7 17.0
Carson Beck | ARI 9.6 12.0 13.4 14.7 - 16.1 15.1 16.5 13.9

Kickers

Player/Team 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Chad Ryland | ARI 7.6 5.6 8.3 10.8 - 9.1 8.9 8.4 8.5
Cam Little | JAC 12.4 9.7 9.8 8.0 9.6 9.0 9.2 10.0 9.7

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Rams Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Jets vs Bills 2018 10 -4
Similar Seahawks @ Texans 2021 14 4
Boom Cowboys @ Panthers 2023 11 22
Bust Jets vs Bills 2018 10 -4

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Cam Little

  • Not significantly different from the average kicker situation.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 10
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Rams Week 10