Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
18.0 DET-1 @ MIA
2
Bijan Robinson RB
17.5 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
3
Chuba Hubbard RB
17.0 CAR-1 vs. DEN
4
Christian McCaffrey RB
16.5 SF-1 vs. LV
5
Ja'Marr Chase WR
16.2 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
6
Kenneth Walker III RB
16.0 KC-1 vs. NYJ
7
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
15.4 SEA-1 vs. ARI
8
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
15.4 DET-1 @ MIA
9
Puka Nacua WR
15.3 LAR-1 @ WAS
10
Javonte Williams RB
15.3 DAL-1 @ IND
11
CeeDee Lamb WR
14.9 DAL-1 @ IND
12
Malik Nabers WR
13.9 NYG-1 @ PHI
13
George Kittle TE
13.9 SF-1 vs. LV
14
Chase Brown RB
13.8 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
15
Trey McBride TE
13.6 ARI-1 @ SEA
16
Brock Bowers TE
13.2 LV-1 @ SF
17
James Cook III RB
13.2 BUF-1 @ MIN
18
Colston Loveland TE
13.1 CHI-1 vs. TB
19
Bhayshul Tuten RB
13.0 JAC-1 @ BAL
20
D'Andre Swift RB
13.0 CHI-1 vs. TB
21
Jonah Coleman RB
12.6 DEN-1 @ CAR
22
Kyren Williams RB
12.6 LAR-1 @ WAS
23
Jonathan Taylor RB
12.5 IND-1 vs. DAL
24
Christian Watson WR
12.3 GB-1 @ NE
25
Sam LaPorta TE
12.3 DET-1 @ MIA
26
Tee Higgins WR
12.1 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
27
Luther Burden III WR
11.8 CHI-1 vs. TB
28
Woody Marks RB
11.6 HOU-1 @ LAC
29
Derrick Henry RB
11.6 BAL-1 vs. JAC
30
Chris Olave WR
11.4 NO-1 vs. CLE
31
Drake London WR
11.4 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
32
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.1 CAR-1 vs. DEN
33
Tyler Warren TE
11.0 IND-1 vs. DAL
34
Parker Washington WR
10.8 JAC-1 @ BAL
35
Matthew Golden WR
10.8 GB-2 @ NE
36
Justin Jefferson WR
10.8 MIN-1 vs. BUF
37
Jalen Coker WR
10.7 CAR-2 vs. DEN
38
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
10.7 CLE-1 @ NO
39
Travis Kelce TE
10.5 KC-1 vs. NYJ
40
Nico Collins WR
10.4 HOU-1 @ LAC
41
Ollie Gordon II RB
10.4 MIA-1 vs. DET
42
Saquon Barkley RB
10.4 PHI-1 vs. NYG
43
Bucky Irving RB
10.4 TB-1 @ CHI
44
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
10.3 NE-1 vs. GB
45
Josh Jacobs RB
10.3 GB-1 @ NE
46
Rashee Rice WR
10.2 KC-1 vs. NYJ
47
Isaiah Likely TE
10.0 NYG-1 @ PHI
48
Jaylen Waddle WR
10.0 DEN-1 @ CAR
49
Keenan Allen WR
10.0 IND-1 vs. DAL
50
Jameson Williams WR
9.9 DET-2 @ MIA
51
George Pickens WR
9.9 DAL-2 @ IND
52
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
9.9 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
53
Ashton Jeanty RB
9.9 LV-1 @ SF
54
Tyler Allgeier RB
9.8 ARI-1 @ SEA
55
Stefon Diggs WR
9.6 WAS-1 vs. LAR
56
Tucker Kraft TE
9.6 GB-1 @ NE
57
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.5 CLE-1 @ NO
58
DeMario Douglas WR
9.5 NE-1 vs. GB
59
Rachaad White RB
9.5 WAS-1 vs. LAR
60
Mike Evans WR
9.5 SF-1 vs. LV
61
Quinshon Judkins RB
9.4 CLE-1 @ NO
62
Garrett Wilson WR
9.2 NYJ-1 @ KC
63
Cam Skattebo RB
9.2 NYG-1 @ PHI
64
Ladd McConkey WR
9.1 LAC-1 vs. HOU
65
Malik Washington WR
8.8 MIA-1 vs. DET
66
Jordan Addison WR
8.8 MIN-2 vs. BUF
67
Makai Lemon WR
8.8 PHI-1 vs. NYG
68
Zay Flowers WR
8.8 BAL-1 vs. JAC
69
Michael Wilson WR
8.8 ARI-1 @ SEA
70
T.J. Hockenson TE
8.8 MIN-1 vs. BUF
71
Antonio Williams WR
8.7 WAS-2 vs. LAR
72
Devaughn Vele WR
8.6 NO-2 vs. CLE
73
Brenton Strange TE
8.6 JAC-1 @ BAL
74
DJ Moore WR
8.6 BUF-1 @ MIN
75
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
8.5 NYJ-2 @ KC
76
Courtland Sutton WR
8.4 DEN-2 @ CAR
77
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.4 JAC-2 @ BAL
78
Ryan Flournoy WR
8.3 DAL-3 @ IND
79
Caleb Douglas WR
8.3 MIA-2 vs. DET
80
Dallas Goedert TE
8.3 PHI-1 vs. NYG
81
Greg Dulcich TE
8.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
82
Mike Gesicki TE
8.1 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
83
Blake Corum RB
8.0 LAR-2 @ WAS
84
Rome Odunze WR
8.0 CHI-2 vs. TB
85
Denzel Boston WR
8.0 CLE-2 @ NO
86
Dalton Kincaid TE
8.0 BUF-1 @ MIN
87
Efton Chism III WR
7.9 NE-2 vs. GB
88
Khalil Shakir WR
7.9 BUF-2 @ MIN
89
Emeka Egbuka WR
7.7 TB-1 @ CHI
90
Adonai Mitchell WR
7.6 NYJ-3 @ KC
91
Josh Downs WR
7.6 IND-2 vs. DAL
92
Jordan Mason RB
7.5 MIN-1 vs. BUF
93
Jahan Dotson WR
7.4 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
94
Jacob Cowing WR
7.4 SF-2 vs. LV
95
Omarion Hampton RB
7.4 LAC-1 vs. HOU
96
Alvin Kamara RB
7.4 NO-1 vs. CLE
97
Xavier Worthy WR
7.4 KC-2 vs. NYJ
98
Kaelon Black RB
7.3 SF-2 vs. LV
99
Braelon Allen RB
7.3 NYJ-1 @ KC
100
AJ Barner TE
7.3 SEA-1 vs. ARI
101
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
7.2 TB-2 @ CHI
102
Darius Cooper WR
7.2 PHI-2 vs. NYG
103
Tre Tucker WR
7.2 LV-1 @ SF
104
Chris Bell WR
7.1 MIA-3 vs. DET
105
Chris Blair WR
7.1 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
106
Tyler Higbee TE
7.0 LAR-1 @ WAS
107
Kalif Raymond WR
7.0 CHI-3 vs. TB
108
Quentin Johnston WR
6.9 LAC-2 vs. HOU
109
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
6.9 HOU-2 @ LAC
110
Malachi Fields WR
6.9 NYG-2 @ PHI
111
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.7 WAS-1 vs. LAR
112
Devin Singletary RB
6.6 NYG-2 @ PHI
113
J.K. Dobbins RB
6.6 DEN-2 @ CAR
114
Mike Washington Jr. RB
6.6 LV-2 @ SF
115
Breece Hall RB
6.6 NYJ-2 @ KC
116
Ted Hurst III WR
6.6 TB-3 @ CHI
117
Laquon Treadwell WR
6.6 IND-3 vs. DAL
118
Jalen Nailor WR
6.5 LV-2 @ SF
119
Kyle Williams WR
6.5 NE-3 vs. GB
120
Juwan Johnson TE
6.5 NO-1 vs. CLE
121
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR
6.5 SF-3 vs. LV
122
Keon Coleman WR
6.5 BUF-3 @ MIN
123
Emmett Johnson RB
6.5 KC-2 vs. NYJ
124
Kendre Miller RB
6.5 NO-2 vs. CLE
125
Dohnte Meyers WR
6.3 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
126
Cooper Kupp WR
6.3 SEA-2 vs. ARI
127
Tutu Atwell WR
6.3 LAR-2 @ WAS
128
Darnell Mooney WR
6.2 NYG-3 @ PHI
129
Darren Waller TE
6.1 CAR-1 vs. DEN
130
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
6.1 JAC-3 @ BAL
131
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE
6.1 DAL-1 @ IND
132
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
6.1 JAC-2 @ BAL
133
Savion Williams WR
6.1 GB-3 @ NE
134
Tre' Harris WR
6.1 LAC-3 vs. HOU
135
Treylon Burks WR
6.0 WAS-3 vs. LAR
136
Christian Kirk WR
6.0 SF-4 vs. LV
137
A.J. Brown WR
6.0 NE-4 vs. GB
138
Evan Engram TE
6.0 DEN-1 @ CAR
139
Kenyon Sadiq TE
6.0 NYJ-1 @ KC
140
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
5.9 MIN-2 vs. BUF
141
Zach Charbonnet RB
5.9 SEA-1 vs. ARI
142
Brandin Cooks WR
5.9 SF-5 vs. LV
143
Dylan Sampson RB
5.8 CLE-2 @ NO
144
Jadarian Price RB
5.8 SEA-2 vs. ARI
145
Konata Mumpfield WR
5.8 LAR-3 @ WAS
146
Samaje Perine RB
5.8 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
147
Michael Mayer TE
5.7 LV-2 @ SF
148
Zachariah Branch WR
5.7 ATL-4 🌐 CIN
149
Cyrus Allen WR
5.6 KC-3 vs. NYJ
150
Seth McGowan RB
5.6 IND-2 vs. DAL
151
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.6 DET-3 @ MIA
152
Mason Taylor TE
5.6 NYJ-2 @ KC
153
Cade Otton TE
5.5 TB-1 @ CHI
154
Jauan Jennings WR
5.5 MIN-3 vs. BUF
155
Jerry Jeudy WR
5.5 CLE-3 @ NO
156
Travis Hunter WR
5.5 JAC-4 @ BAL
157
Colby Parkinson TE
5.5 LAR-2 @ WAS
158
Eli Raridon TE
5.4 NE-1 vs. GB
159
Reggie Virgil WR
5.4 ARI-2 @ SEA
160
Xavier Hutchinson WR
5.3 HOU-3 @ LAC
161
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
5.3 DEN-3 @ CAR
162
Austin Ekeler RB
5.3 WAS-2 vs. LAR
163
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
5.2 MIA-4 vs. DET
164
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.2 SEA-3 vs. ARI
165
Colbie Young WR
5.2 CIN-4 🌐 ATL
166
Elijah Mitchell RB
4.9 PHI-2 vs. NYG
167
Kenny Gainwell RB
4.9 TB-2 @ CHI
168
Keaton Mitchell RB
4.7 LAC-2 vs. HOU
169
Kimani Vidal RB
4.6 LAC-3 vs. HOU
170
Emanuel Wilson RB
4.6 SEA-3 vs. ARI
171
Kyle Monangai RB
4.6 CHI-2 vs. TB
172
Sione Vaki RB
4.4 DET-2 @ MIA
173
Emari Demercado RB
4.1 HOU-2 @ LAC
174
MarShawn Lloyd RB
3.9 GB-2 @ NE
175
Tyler Goodson RB
3.9 DAL-2 @ IND
176
Bam Knight RB
3.9 ARI-2 @ SEA
177
Corey Kiner RB
3.7 NE-2 vs. GB
178
Justice Hill RB
3.6 BAL-2 vs. JAC
179
Ray Davis RB
3.5 BUF-2 @ MIN
180
TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.4 NE-3 vs. GB

Refreshed 47 minutes ago

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026 JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 01: Jonathan Taylor #28 of the Indianapolis Colts runs with the ball during the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fl. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

Accuracy Report #1: Weeks 5 - 8, 2026

November 4, 2026 Time again to reflect on the predictability of the 2026 season so far! If you’re new to these: Examining predictive accuracy has been a long-standing tradition, underpinning a key purpose of Subvertadown: To give us an…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Jaguars 9.8 6.7 5.4 7.5 2.8 7.1 4.7 2.5 6.7 5.9
Seahawks 9.6 3.7 - 3.0 5.9 7.8 8.8 5.5 7.1 6.4

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 24.3 22.1 19.8 20.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 20.5 19.7 20.3
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.2 19.0 18.2 20.3 16.3 18.8 18.9 16.9 17.0 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Jaguars Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Seahawks vs Vikings 2025 13 27
Similar Seahawks vs Colts 2017 4 22
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Buccaneers @ Panthers 2022 7 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Jaguars Week 9