Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

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The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 8

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1
Bijan Robinson RB
18.4 ATL-1 @ TB
2
CeeDee Lamb WR
15.7 DAL-1 vs. ARI
3
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
15.5 DET-1 vs. MIN
4
Javonte Williams RB
15.4 DAL-1 vs. ARI
5
Derrick Henry RB
15.3 BAL-1 @ BUF
6
Puka Nacua WR
15.0 LAR-1 vs. LAC
7
Trey McBride TE
14.8 ARI-1 @ DAL
8
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR
14.6 SEA-1 vs. CHI
9
Chuba Hubbard RB
13.9 CAR-1 @ GB
10
Kenneth Walker III RB
13.9 KC-1 @ DEN
11
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.9 DET-1 vs. MIN
12
Kyren Williams RB
13.6 LAR-1 vs. LAC
13
Bhayshul Tuten RB
13.6 JAC-1 vs. IND
14
James Cook III RB
13.5 BUF-1 vs. BAL
15
Chase Brown RB
13.5 CIN-1 vs. TEN
16
D'Andre Swift RB
13.4 CHI-1 @ SEA
17
Ja'Marr Chase WR
13.4 CIN-1 vs. TEN
18
Jonathan Taylor RB
13.0 IND-1 @ JAC
19
Ashton Jeanty RB
13.0 LV-1 @ NYJ
20
George Pickens WR
12.3 DAL-2 vs. ARI
21
Bucky Irving RB
12.3 TB-1 vs. ATL
22
Jaylen Warren RB
12.3 PIT-1 vs. CLE
23
Justin Jefferson WR
12.1 MIN-1 @ DET
24
Parker Washington WR
11.7 JAC-1 vs. IND
25
Drake London WR
11.5 ATL-1 @ TB
26
Brock Bowers TE
11.5 LV-1 @ NYJ
27
Quinshon Judkins RB
11.5 CLE-1 @ PIT
28
Michael Wilson WR
11.5 ARI-1 @ DAL
29
Tetairoa McMillan WR
11.4 CAR-1 @ GB
30
Zay Flowers WR
11.4 BAL-1 @ BUF
31
Emanuel Wilson RB
11.3 SEA-1 vs. CHI
32
Rachaad White RB
11.2 WAS-1 vs. PHI
33
Hunter Henry TE
11.2 NE-1 @ MIA
34
Jordan Mason RB
11.1 MIN-1 @ DET
35
Ollie Gordon II RB
11.1 MIA-1 vs. NE
36
Christian Watson WR
10.9 GB-1 vs. CAR
37
Germie Bernard WR
10.9 PIT-1 vs. CLE
38
Josh Jacobs RB
10.8 GB-1 vs. CAR
39
Jalen Coker WR
10.8 CAR-2 @ GB
40
Matthew Golden WR
10.7 GB-2 vs. CAR
41
Stefon Diggs WR
9.7 WAS-1 vs. PHI
42
Tony Pollard RB
9.7 TEN-1 @ CIN
43
Breece Hall RB
9.6 NYJ-1 vs. LV
44
T.J. Hockenson TE
9.6 MIN-1 @ DET
45
Dallas Goedert TE
9.5 PHI-1 @ WAS
46
Saquon Barkley RB
9.5 PHI-1 @ WAS
47
KC Concepcion Jr. WR
9.4 CLE-1 @ PIT
48
Colston Loveland TE
9.4 CHI-1 @ SEA
49
A.J. Brown WR
9.4 NE-1 @ MIA
50
Tee Higgins WR
9.4 CIN-2 vs. TEN
51
Garrett Wilson WR
9.4 NYJ-1 vs. LV
52
Rhamondre Stevenson RB
9.3 NE-1 @ MIA
53
Malik Washington WR
9.2 MIA-1 vs. NE
54
Antonio Williams WR
9.2 WAS-2 vs. PHI
55
Chris Godwin Jr. WR
9.1 TB-1 vs. ATL
56
DK Metcalf WR
9.1 PIT-2 vs. CLE
57
Emeka Egbuka WR
9.1 TB-2 vs. ATL
58
Luther Burden III WR
9.1 CHI-1 @ SEA
59
Sam LaPorta TE
9.0 DET-1 vs. MIN
60
Jakobi Meyers WR
8.9 JAC-2 vs. IND
61
Makai Lemon WR
8.9 PHI-1 @ WAS
62
Jameson Williams WR
8.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
63
Carnell Tate WR
8.6 TEN-1 @ CIN
64
Omarion Hampton RB
8.5 LAC-1 @ LAR
65
Blake Corum RB
8.3 LAR-2 vs. LAC
66
Josh Downs WR
8.3 IND-1 @ JAC
67
Rome Odunze WR
8.3 CHI-2 @ SEA
68
Tucker Kraft TE
8.1 GB-1 vs. CAR
69
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE
8.0 ATL-1 @ TB
70
DJ Moore WR
7.9 BUF-1 vs. BAL
71
Rashee Rice WR
7.9 KC-1 @ DEN
72
Travis Kelce TE
7.7 KC-1 @ DEN
73
Denzel Boston WR
7.5 CLE-2 @ PIT
74
Ryan Flournoy WR
7.5 DAL-3 vs. ARI
75
Jordan Addison WR
7.5 MIN-2 @ DET
76
Brenton Strange TE
7.5 JAC-1 vs. IND
77
DeMario Douglas WR
7.5 NE-2 @ MIA
78
Courtland Sutton WR
7.5 DEN-1 vs. KC
79
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
7.3 CLE-1 @ PIT
80
Braelon Allen RB
7.3 NYJ-2 vs. LV
81
Dalton Kincaid TE
7.3 BUF-1 vs. BAL
82
Tre Tucker WR
7.2 LV-1 @ NYJ
83
Kendrick Bourne WR
7.1 ARI-2 @ DAL
84
Keon Coleman WR
7.1 BUF-2 vs. BAL
85
Keenan Allen WR
7.1 IND-2 @ JAC
86
Ladd McConkey WR
7.1 LAC-1 @ LAR
87
Omar Cooper Jr. WR
7.0 NYJ-2 vs. LV
88
Xavier Worthy WR
6.9 KC-2 @ DEN
89
TreVeyon Henderson RB
6.8 NE-2 @ MIA
90
Dameon Pierce RB
6.8 PHI-2 @ WAS
91
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
6.8 BAL-2 @ BUF
92
Jeremiyah Love RB
6.8 ARI-1 @ DAL
93
Rico Dowdle RB
6.8 PIT-2 vs. CLE
94
Tyler Allgeier RB
6.8 ARI-2 @ DAL
95
Jake Ferguson TE
6.8 DAL-1 vs. ARI
96
AJ Barner TE
6.8 SEA-1 vs. CHI
97
Mark Andrews TE
6.8 BAL-1 @ BUF
98
Chig Okonkwo TE
6.7 WAS-1 vs. PHI
99
Quentin Johnston WR
6.7 LAC-2 @ LAR
100
Ted Hurst III WR
6.7 TB-3 vs. ATL
101
Konata Mumpfield WR
6.6 LAR-2 vs. LAC
102
Wan'Dale Robinson WR
6.6 TEN-2 @ CIN
103
Pat Freiermuth TE
6.5 PIT-1 vs. CLE
104
Tyler Higbee TE
6.5 LAR-1 vs. LAC
105
Tyler Warren TE
6.5 IND-1 @ JAC
106
Jonah Coleman RB
6.4 DEN-1 vs. KC
107
Caleb Douglas WR
6.3 MIA-2 vs. NE
108
RJ Harvey RB
6.3 DEN-2 vs. KC
109
George Holani RB
6.2 SEA-2 vs. CHI
110
Greg Dulcich TE
6.1 MIA-1 vs. NE
111
Treylon Burks WR
6.0 WAS-3 vs. PHI
112
Khalil Shakir WR
6.0 BUF-3 vs. BAL
113
Mike Gesicki TE
6.0 CIN-1 vs. TEN
114
Cade Otton TE
5.9 TB-1 vs. ATL
115
Samaje Perine RB
5.9 CIN-2 vs. TEN
116
J.K. Dobbins RB
5.9 DEN-3 vs. KC
117
Adonai Mitchell WR
5.9 NYJ-3 vs. LV
118
Troy Franklin WR
5.7 DEN-2 vs. KC
119
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
5.7 JAC-2 vs. IND
120
Austin Ekeler RB
5.7 WAS-2 vs. PHI
121
Rashid Shaheed WR
5.7 SEA-2 vs. CHI
122
Kenny Gainwell RB
5.7 TB-2 vs. ATL
123
Darius Cooper WR
5.7 PHI-2 @ WAS
124
Chris Bell WR
5.6 MIA-3 vs. NE
125
Cooper Kupp WR
5.6 SEA-3 vs. CHI
126
Mike Washington Jr. RB
5.6 LV-2 @ NYJ
127
Emmett Johnson RB
5.6 KC-2 @ DEN
128
Colby Parkinson TE
5.5 LAR-2 vs. LAC
129
Kalif Raymond WR
5.5 CHI-3 @ SEA
130
Laquon Treadwell WR
5.4 IND-3 @ JAC
131
Tre' Harris WR
5.4 LAC-3 @ LAR
132
Mason Taylor TE
5.4 NYJ-1 vs. LV
133
Dohnte Meyers WR
5.3 CIN-3 vs. TEN
134
Jauan Jennings WR
5.3 MIN-3 @ DET
135
Jalen Nailor WR
5.3 LV-2 @ NYJ
136
Evan Engram TE
5.3 DEN-1 vs. KC
137
Efton Chism III WR
5.3 NE-3 @ MIA
138
Isaac TeSlaa WR
5.3 DET-3 vs. MIN
139
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
5.3 MIA-4 vs. NE
140
Darnell Washington TE
5.1 PIT-2 vs. CLE
141
Bam Knight RB
5.1 ARI-3 @ DAL
142
Michael Mayer TE
5.1 LV-2 @ NYJ
143
Keaton Mitchell RB
5.0 LAC-2 @ LAR
144
Travis Hunter WR
5.0 JAC-3 vs. IND
145
MarShawn Lloyd RB
5.0 GB-2 vs. CAR
146
Hollywood Brown WR
5.0 PHI-3 @ WAS
147
Jahan Dotson WR
5.0 ATL-2 @ TB
148
Devin Duvernay WR
4.9 ARI-3 @ DAL
149
Kimani Vidal RB
4.9 LAC-3 @ LAR
150
Tyjae Spears RB
4.9 TEN-2 @ CIN
151
Roschon Johnson RB
4.8 CHI-2 @ SEA
152
Zachariah Branch WR
4.8 ATL-3 @ TB
153
Darren Waller TE
4.8 CAR-1 @ GB
154
Marvin Mims Jr. WR
4.8 DEN-3 vs. KC
155
Colbie Young WR
4.7 CIN-4 vs. TEN
156
Calvin Ridley WR
4.7 TEN-3 @ CIN
157
Rashod Bateman WR
4.7 BAL-3 @ BUF
158
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
4.7 JAC-4 vs. IND
159
Kyle Williams WR
4.7 NE-4 @ MIA
160
Gunnar Helm TE
4.5 TEN-1 @ CIN
161
Chris Blair WR
4.5 ATL-4 @ TB
162
Kameron Johnson WR
4.5 TB-4 vs. ATL
163
Jerry Jeudy WR
4.5 CLE-3 @ PIT
164
Elic Ayomanor WR
4.4 TEN-4 @ CIN
165
Tory Horton WR
4.4 SEA-4 vs. CHI
166
Cyrus Allen WR
4.3 KC-3 @ DEN
167
Seth McGowan RB
4.3 IND-2 @ JAC
168
Chimere Dike WR
4.2 TEN-5 @ CIN
169
Elijah Sarratt WR
4.1 BAL-4 @ BUF
170
Joshua Palmer WR
4.1 BUF-4 vs. BAL
171
Justice Hill RB
4.1 BAL-2 @ BUF
172
Tyler Goodson RB
4.0 DAL-2 vs. ARI
173
Sione Vaki RB
3.8 DET-2 vs. MIN
174
Sean Tucker RB
3.8 TB-3 vs. ATL
175
Jaleel McLaughlin RB
3.7 CLE-2 @ PIT
176
Ty Johnson RB
3.7 BUF-2 vs. BAL
177
Corey Kiner RB
3.2 NE-3 @ MIA
178
Jaylen Wright RB
3.1 MIA-2 vs. NE
179
Ray Davis RB
2.9 BUF-3 vs. BAL
180
Demond Claiborne RB
2.7 MIN-2 @ DET

Refreshed 6 minutes ago

Week 8 - 2026 PHILADELPHIA, PA - OCTOBER 26: Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Ceedee Lamb #88 catches a touchdown during the game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys on October 26th, 2026 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

Week 8 - 2026

October 27, 2026 Week 8 Only a small bit of website news, which is that the TAPsheets got a needed update. Now the TE trade values get calculated more accurately, and we also fixed their estimates for first downs. Last week, Week 7 While…

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Steelers 8.7 - 3.2 8.3 5.1 5.8 5.4 7.5 6.1 5.7 6.2
Commanders 8.7 4.6 4.8 4.8 6.8 5.6 5.1 5.7 5.3 3.1 5.5

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Josh Allen | BUF 24.0 20.3 20.9 19.4 21.4 19.2 21.1 20.3 21.4 19.6 20.8
Dak Prescott | DAL 21.2 17.6 19.8 18.3 18.3 15.7 - 17.0 19.3 19.4 18.5

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Commanders Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Patriots vs Browns 2025 8 9
Similar Seahawks vs Browns 2023 8 9
Boom Chargers vs Bills 2017 11 24
Bust Bengals vs Bears 2017 14 -2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

Bills Week 8
Josh Allen

D/ST

Commanders Week 8