Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1 DET-1 vs. GB 17.7
2 CHI-1 vs. NE 16.0
3 CAR-1 vs. TB 16.0
4 SF-1 @ ATL 15.0
5 ATL-1 vs. SF 14.6
6 ARI-1 vs. DEN 14.2
7 LAR-1 @ LV 14.1
8 KC-1 @ SEA 13.9
9 BAL-1 vs. CIN 13.5
10 SF-1 @ ATL 13.2
11 LAR-1 @ LV 13.1
12 CIN-1 @ BAL 12.7
13 DET-1 vs. GB 12.7
14 GB-1 @ DET 12.6
15 PIT-1 🌐 NO 12.4
16 IND-1 @ MIN 12.3
17 MIN-1 vs. IND 12.2
18 ATL-1 vs. SF 12.2
19 NYG-1 @ HOU 12.1
20 DAL-1 @ PHI 12.0
21 DET-1 vs. GB 11.9
22 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.8
23 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.7
24 CIN-1 @ BAL 11.3
25 NE-1 @ CHI 11.1
26 DAL-1 @ PHI 10.7
27 SEA-1 vs. KC 10.7
28 NYG-1 @ HOU 10.6
29 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.6
30 CAR-1 vs. TB 10.4
31 GB-1 @ DET 10.4
32 CLE-1 @ TEN 10.4
33 HOU-1 vs. NYG 10.4
34 ARI-1 vs. DEN 10.1
35 IND-1 @ MIN 9.8
36 DEN-1 @ ARI 9.7
37 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 9.7
38 NE-1 @ CHI 9.6
39 NO-1 🌐 PIT 9.6
40 MIN-1 vs. IND 9.6
41 TB-1 @ CAR 9.6
42 GB-2 @ DET 9.4
43 CAR-2 vs. TB 9.1
44 BAL-1 vs. CIN 9.0
45 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.9
46 TB-1 @ CAR 8.9
47 DET-2 vs. GB 8.9
48 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 8.9
49 MIN-1 vs. IND 8.8
50 CIN-2 @ BAL 8.7
51 DAL-2 @ PHI 8.6
52 PIT-1 🌐 NO 8.6
53 MIA-1 @ NYJ 8.6
54 TEN-1 vs. CLE 8.5
55 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.5
56 DEN-2 @ ARI 8.5
57 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.5
58 PIT-2 🌐 NO 8.4
59 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.4
60 HOU-1 vs. NYG 8.3
61 ATL-1 vs. SF 8.3
62 IND-1 @ MIN 8.2
63 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.1
64 LAR-1 @ LV 8.1
65 NYG-1 @ HOU 8.0
66 LAR-2 @ LV 8.0
67 CLE-1 @ TEN 8.0
68 TB-1 @ CAR 7.9
69 BAL-1 vs. CIN 7.8
70 KC-1 @ SEA 7.8
71 CLE-1 @ TEN 7.7
72 MIA-1 @ NYJ 7.7
73 TEN-1 vs. CLE 7.7
74 PHI-1 vs. DAL 7.6
75 TEN-2 vs. CLE 7.6
76 SF-1 @ ATL 7.6
77 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.6
78 CAR-1 vs. TB 7.6
79 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.6
80 LV-1 vs. LAR 7.4
81 NE-1 @ CHI 7.3
82 KC-1 @ SEA 7.3
83 TB-2 @ CAR 7.2
84 SEA-1 vs. KC 7.2
85 GB-1 @ DET 7.1
86 LAR-2 @ LV 7.1
87 IND-2 @ MIN 7.0
88 DAL-1 @ PHI 7.0
89 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.9
90 SF-2 @ ATL 6.9
91 MIA-1 @ NYJ 6.9
92 CHI-2 vs. NE 6.8
93 LV-2 vs. LAR 6.8
94 PHI-2 vs. DAL 6.8
95 NO-1 🌐 PIT 6.8
96 PIT-2 🌐 NO 6.8
97 DAL-3 @ PHI 6.7
98 CLE-2 @ TEN 6.7
99 CIN-1 @ BAL 6.7
100 ARI-1 vs. DEN 6.7
101 PHI-2 vs. DAL 6.5
102 ARI-2 vs. DEN 6.5
103 HOU-2 vs. NYG 6.5
104 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.5
105 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 6.4
106 NE-2 @ CHI 6.4
107 NYG-2 @ HOU 6.4
108 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 6.4
109 DEN-2 @ ARI 6.4
110 MIN-2 vs. IND 6.4
111 NO-1 🌐 PIT 6.4
112 SEA-2 vs. KC 6.2
113 NE-3 @ CHI 6.2
114 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 6.1
115 NO-2 🌐 PIT 6.1
116 SF-3 @ ATL 6.0
117 ATL-2 vs. SF 5.9
118 NE-2 @ CHI 5.8
119 IND-3 @ MIN 5.6
120 NE-4 @ CHI 5.5
121 TB-3 @ CAR 5.5
122 HOU-3 vs. NYG 5.5
123 DET-3 vs. GB 5.5
124 ARI-2 vs. DEN 5.5
125 LV-2 vs. LAR 5.4
126 CHI-3 vs. NE 5.2
127 DEN-3 @ ARI 5.2
128 LAR-2 @ LV 5.2
129 SF-2 @ ATL 5.2
130 MIA-2 @ NYJ 5.2
131 BAL-2 vs. CIN 5.2
132 PHI-3 vs. DAL 5.2
133 SEA-3 vs. KC 5.2
134 ATL-2 vs. SF 4.9
135 CLE-2 @ TEN 4.9
136 MIN-3 vs. IND 4.9
137 HOU-4 vs. NYG 4.9
138 MIA-3 @ NYJ 4.9
139 BAL-3 vs. CIN 4.8
140 TEN-2 vs. CLE 4.7
141 CIN-2 @ BAL 4.7
142 KC-2 @ SEA 4.6
143 GB-2 @ DET 4.6
144 GB-3 @ DET 4.5
145 SEA-2 vs. KC 4.5
146 TB-2 @ CAR 4.4
147 LV-2 vs. LAR 4.4
148 NO-3 🌐 PIT 4.4
149 CHI-2 vs. NE 4.3
150 DEN-4 @ ARI 4.3
151 CLE-3 @ TEN 4.3
152 KC-2 @ SEA 4.2
153 CIN-3 @ BAL 4.2
154 ATL-3 vs. SF 4.0
155 HOU-5 vs. NYG 4.0
156 TEN-3 vs. CLE 4.0
157 MIA-2 @ NYJ 4.0
158 DET-2 vs. GB 4.0
159 SEA-3 vs. KC 3.9
160 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 3.9
161 BAL-2 vs. CIN 3.9
162 ATL-4 vs. SF 3.8
163 LAR-3 @ LV 3.8
164 LV-3 vs. LAR 3.8
165 NO-4 🌐 PIT 3.7
166 SEA-4 vs. KC 3.6
167 PIT-3 🌐 NO 3.6
168 PHI-4 vs. DAL 3.6
169 HOU-6 vs. NYG 3.6
170 NYG-2 @ HOU 3.5
171 TEN-4 vs. CLE 3.4
172 CHI-4 vs. NE 3.4
173 NO-3 🌐 PIT 3.1
174 GB-3 @ DET 3.1
175 NYJ-3 vs. MIA 3.1
176 GB-4 @ DET 2.9
177 MIN-2 vs. IND 2.9
178 IND-2 @ MIN 2.9
179 TB-3 @ CAR 2.7
180 ARI-3 vs. DEN 2.7

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Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.6 2.6 5.8 6.2 4.6 7.3 5.2 2.4 4.7 6.6 6.9 5.6
Texans 9.5 - 8.8 9.9 5.4 6.7 6.8 6.4 3.8 6.6 5.9 7.0

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 20.7 - 21.7 19.1 18.1 16.9 19.0 17.4 18.2 16.9 19.1 18.7
Jordan Love | GB 20.5 16.9 15.7 13.0 - 15.2 16.8 15.6 16.9 14.8 14.8 16.0

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Vikings Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Broncos @ Raiders 2024 12 10
Similar Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Boom Broncos @ Saints 2024 7 20
Bust Commanders vs Cowboys 2024 12 1

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Will Reichard

  • More kicking opportunities overall, at all distances.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 7
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Vikings Week 7