Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 7

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Tm Matchup Proj
1 DET-1 vs. GB 17.1
2 SF-1 @ ATL 15.2
3 CAR-1 vs. TB 14.8
4 CHI-1 vs. NE 14.8
5 ATL-1 vs. SF 14.6
6 BAL-1 vs. CIN 14.2
7 ARI-1 vs. DEN 13.9
8 DAL-1 @ PHI 13.5
9 KC-1 @ SEA 13.4
10 SF-1 @ ATL 13.3
11 LAR-1 @ LV 13.2
12 DET-1 vs. GB 12.9
13 HOU-1 vs. NYG 12.9
14 PIT-1 @ NO 12.7
15 LAR-1 @ LV 12.6
16 MIN-1 vs. IND 12.2
17 SEA-1 vs. KC 12.1
18 ATL-1 vs. SF 12.0
19 DET-1 vs. GB 12.0
20 IND-1 @ MIN 11.9
21 CIN-1 @ BAL 11.8
22 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.8
23 LV-1 vs. LAR 11.4
24 NYG-1 @ HOU 11.3
25 NE-1 @ CHI 10.8
26 NYG-1 @ HOU 10.8
27 DAL-1 @ PHI 10.7
28 CIN-1 @ BAL 10.6
29 MIN-1 vs. IND 10.5
30 PHI-1 vs. DAL 10.3
31 CAR-1 vs. TB 10.1
32 GB-1 @ DET 10.1
33 GB-1 @ DET 10.0
34 NE-1 @ CHI 10.0
35 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 9.9
36 CLE-1 @ TEN 9.8
37 TB-1 @ CAR 9.5
38 HOU-1 vs. NYG 9.4
39 DEN-1 @ ARI 9.3
40 NO-1 @ PIT 9.2
41 CAR-2 vs. TB 9.1
42 PIT-1 @ NO 9.1
43 ARI-1 vs. DEN 9.1
44 MIA-1 @ NYJ 9.0
45 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 8.9
46 MIN-1 vs. IND 8.9
47 BAL-1 vs. CIN 8.9
48 GB-2 @ DET 8.9
49 DEN-2 @ ARI 8.8
50 TB-1 @ CAR 8.8
51 PIT-2 @ NO 8.8
52 PIT-1 @ NO 8.7
53 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.5
54 CIN-2 @ BAL 8.5
55 DET-2 vs. GB 8.4
56 ARI-1 vs. DEN 8.4
57 DAL-2 @ PHI 8.4
58 CHI-1 vs. NE 8.3
59 TEN-1 vs. CLE 8.3
60 DEN-1 @ ARI 8.2
61 PHI-1 vs. DAL 8.2
62 ATL-1 vs. SF 8.1
63 IND-1 @ MIN 8.0
64 LAR-1 @ LV 8.0
65 BAL-1 vs. CIN 8.0
66 CLE-1 @ TEN 8.0
67 IND-1 @ MIN 7.9
68 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 7.9
69 NE-1 @ CHI 7.9
70 CHI-2 vs. NE 7.8
71 LAR-2 @ LV 7.7
72 TEN-1 vs. CLE 7.7
73 TB-1 @ CAR 7.6
74 KC-1 @ SEA 7.6
75 PHI-1 vs. DAL 7.5
76 CLE-1 @ TEN 7.4
77 SF-1 @ ATL 7.4
78 DEN-1 @ ARI 7.3
79 CAR-1 vs. TB 7.3
80 GB-1 @ DET 7.2
81 SEA-1 vs. KC 7.2
82 IND-2 @ MIN 7.1
83 LV-2 vs. LAR 7.0
84 PIT-2 @ NO 6.9
85 TB-2 @ CAR 6.9
86 CLE-2 @ TEN 6.9
87 MIN-2 vs. IND 6.9
88 KC-1 @ SEA 6.9
89 SEA-1 vs. KC 6.8
90 HOU-1 vs. NYG 6.8
91 DEN-2 @ ARI 6.7
92 MIA-1 @ NYJ 6.7
93 DAL-1 @ PHI 6.7
94 LAR-2 @ LV 6.7
95 NO-1 @ PIT 6.6
96 CIN-1 @ BAL 6.6
97 SF-2 @ ATL 6.5
98 PIT-2 @ NO 6.4
99 NE-2 @ CHI 6.4
100 NYJ-1 vs. MIA 6.4
101 NO-1 @ PIT 6.3
102 NYG-1 @ HOU 6.3
103 TEN-2 vs. CLE 6.3
104 ARI-2 vs. DEN 6.3
105 LV-1 vs. LAR 6.1
106 NO-2 @ PIT 6.1
107 NO-2 @ PIT 6.1
108 MIA-1 @ NYJ 6.1
109 IND-3 @ MIN 6.1
110 PHI-2 vs. DAL 6.0
111 HOU-2 vs. NYG 6.0
112 HOU-3 vs. NYG 5.9
113 NE-3 @ CHI 5.9
114 NYG-2 @ HOU 5.9
115 SF-3 @ ATL 5.8
116 CHI-3 vs. NE 5.8
117 NYJ-2 vs. MIA 5.8
118 ATL-2 vs. SF 5.7
119 NE-2 @ CHI 5.7
120 LV-2 vs. LAR 5.6
121 DAL-3 @ PHI 5.6
122 CLE-2 @ TEN 5.6
123 GB-2 @ DET 5.5
124 DET-3 vs. GB 5.4
125 ARI-2 vs. DEN 5.3
126 SF-2 @ ATL 5.3
127 NE-4 @ CHI 5.3
128 SEA-2 vs. KC 5.3
129 TEN-2 vs. CLE 5.2
130 TB-3 @ CAR 5.1
131 PHI-2 vs. DAL 5.1
132 BAL-2 vs. CIN 5.0
133 ATL-2 vs. SF 5.0
134 PHI-3 vs. DAL 5.0
135 MIA-2 @ NYJ 5.0
136 DEN-3 @ ARI 4.9
137 BAL-3 vs. CIN 4.9
138 CIN-2 @ BAL 4.8
139 NYG-3 @ HOU 4.8
140 GB-3 @ DET 4.8
141 SEA-3 vs. KC 4.8
142 LAR-2 @ LV 4.7
143 HOU-4 vs. NYG 4.7
144 CLE-3 @ TEN 4.7
145 MIA-3 @ NYJ 4.7
146 LV-2 vs. LAR 4.6
147 MIN-3 vs. IND 4.5
148 KC-2 @ SEA 4.5
149 SEA-2 vs. KC 4.5
150 TB-2 @ CAR 4.5
151 CIN-3 @ BAL 4.4
152 MIA-4 @ NYJ 4.3
153 NO-3 @ PIT 4.3
154 TEN-3 vs. CLE 4.3
155 HOU-2 vs. NYG 4.3
156 DEN-4 @ ARI 4.2
157 ATL-3 vs. SF 4.2
158 ATL-4 vs. SF 4.2
159 BAL-2 vs. CIN 4.2
160 DET-2 vs. GB 4.1
161 KC-2 @ SEA 4.0
162 CIN-4 @ BAL 4.0
163 TEN-4 vs. CLE 4.0
164 LAR-3 @ LV 4.0
165 SEA-4 vs. KC 3.9
166 NO-4 @ PIT 3.9
167 MIA-2 @ NYJ 3.9
168 HOU-5 vs. NYG 3.9
169 CHI-2 vs. NE 3.9
170 NYG-2 @ HOU 3.9
171 PHI-4 vs. DAL 3.8
172 PIT-3 @ NO 3.8
173 SEA-3 vs. KC 3.7
174 CHI-3 vs. NE 3.7
175 GB-3 @ DET 3.6
176 NO-3 @ PIT 3.2
177 DAL-2 @ PHI 3.2
178 IND-2 @ MIN 3.2
179 GB-4 @ DET 3.1
180 MIN-2 vs. IND 3.0

Refreshed 40 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Vikings 9.6 2.6 5.8 6.2 4.6 7.3 5.2 2.4 4.7 6.6 6.9 5.6
Texans 9.3 - 8.8 9.9 5.4 6.7 6.8 6.4 3.8 6.6 5.9 7.0

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 20.7 - 21.7 19.0 18.1 16.9 19.0 17.4 18.2 16.9 19.1 18.7
Jordan Love | GB 20.5 16.9 15.7 13.0 - 15.2 16.8 15.6 16.9 14.8 14.8 16.0

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.