Predictive insights with statistical integrity

At Subvertadown, a track record of predictive accuracy against other rankings is just the starting point.

What followers here really appreciate is the deeper analysis that helps them take ownership of their decisions. Intuitive visualizations reveal the range of outcomes they can expect, grounded in historical data. Predictive models break down the components of fantasy scores, helping them understand the real drivers—and where points are likely to come from. Forward-looking projections help them plan ahead, weigh their options, and make smarter roster moves. And specialized tools, like D/ST Pairing, help them make better use of their bench space.

It's about extracting clearer, more actionable insights from analysis that's otherwise too complex— so you can make informed decisions with greater confidence, rather than relying on rankings alone.

Whether you're discovering my work through JJ Zachariason’s LateRound, where I provide kicker rankings, or through word-of-mouth, you're probably here because you trust in the value of meaningful predictive signals, to make better-informed fantasy decisions.

The live visualizations featured on this page demonstrate just some of the deeper analysis that "goes beyond just rankings": guidance for multi-week planning, visuals that explain what causes a high or low ranking, and visuals that depict actual historical "range of outcomes" for similar matchups.

Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players

Weekly RB, WR, and TE rankings for 0.5 PPR. · Week 9

Position
Rankings for Fantasy Football Flex Players
Rank Player Proj Tm Matchup
1 17.9 DET-1 @ MIA
2 17.5 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
3 15.9 SF-1 vs. LV
4 15.8 KC-1 vs. NYJ
5 15.4 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
6 15.3 DAL-1 @ IND
7 14.9 ARI-1 @ SEA
8 14.9 SEA-1 vs. ARI
9 14.9 DAL-1 @ IND
10 14.6 NYG-1 @ PHI
11 13.9 CAR-1 vs. DEN
12 13.7 LAR-1 @ WAS
13 13.7 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
14 13.6 DET-1 @ MIA
15 13.3 BUF-1 @ MIN
16 13.3 PHI-1 vs. NYG
17 13.3 JAC-1 @ BAL
18 13.3 LAR-1 @ WAS
19 13.2 DET-1 @ MIA
20 13.0 SF-1 vs. LV
21 12.8 LV-1 @ SF
22 12.6 CHI-1 vs. TB
23 12.4 CHI-1 vs. TB
24 12.4 DEN-1 @ CAR
25 12.3 IND-1 vs. DAL
26 12.2 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
27 12.0 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
28 11.7 IND-1 vs. DAL
29 11.2 CAR-1 vs. DEN
30 11.2 DAL-2 @ IND
31 11.2 BAL-1 vs. JAC
32 11.2 TB-1 @ CHI
33 11.1 GB-1 @ NE
34 11.0 NO-1 vs. CLE
35 10.6 GB-2 @ NE
36 10.4 CHI-1 vs. TB
37 10.3 CIN-1 🌐 ATL
38 10.3 CLE-1 @ NO
39 10.2 CLE-1 @ NO
40 10.2 MIA-1 vs. DET
41 10.2 JAC-1 @ BAL
42 10.2 NYG-1 @ PHI
43 10.1 MIN-1 vs. BUF
44 10.0 NE-1 vs. GB
45 10.0 SF-1 vs. LV
46 10.0 NE-1 vs. GB
47 9.9 LV-1 @ SF
48 9.9 GB-1 @ NE
49 9.8 KC-1 vs. NYJ
50 9.8 NYG-1 @ PHI
51 9.7 MIA-1 vs. DET
52 9.6 CAR-2 vs. DEN
53 9.6 HOU-1 @ LAC
54 9.6 WAS-1 vs. LAR
55 9.4 ARI-1 @ SEA
56 9.4 GB-1 @ NE
57 9.4 DET-2 @ MIA
58 9.3 KC-1 vs. NYJ
59 9.2 ATL-1 🌐 CIN
60 9.1 IND-1 vs. DAL
61 9.0 MIA-1 vs. DET
62 8.9 WAS-1 vs. LAR
63 8.9 NYJ-1 @ KC
64 8.7 CLE-1 @ NO
65 8.6 CLE-2 @ NO
66 8.6 MIN-1 vs. BUF
67 8.5 DEN-1 @ CAR
68 8.5 CHI-2 vs. TB
69 8.4 NE-2 vs. GB
70 8.3 MIA-2 vs. DET
71 8.3 WAS-2 vs. LAR
72 8.2 JAC-1 @ BAL
73 8.2 LAR-2 @ WAS
74 8.2 MIN-1 vs. BUF
75 8.1 DAL-3 @ IND
76 8.1 ARI-1 @ SEA
77 8.1 IND-2 vs. DAL
78 8.1 NE-3 vs. GB
79 8.1 PHI-1 vs. NYG
80 8.0 BAL-1 vs. JAC
81 8.0 NE-1 vs. GB
82 7.9 HOU-1 @ LAC
83 7.8 TB-1 @ CHI
84 7.7 LAC-1 vs. HOU
85 7.7 BUF-1 @ MIN
86 7.7 DEN-2 @ CAR
87 7.7 LV-1 @ SF
88 7.6 TB-2 @ CHI
89 7.6 PHI-1 vs. NYG
90 7.5 NE-4 vs. GB
91 7.4 SEA-1 vs. ARI
92 7.3 BUF-1 @ MIN
93 7.2 NYJ-1 @ KC
94 7.1 KC-2 vs. NYJ
95 7.1 LAC-1 vs. HOU
96 7.1 DEN-2 @ CAR
97 7.1 NO-1 vs. CLE
98 7.0 MIN-2 vs. BUF
99 7.0 NO-2 vs. CLE
100 7.0 SF-2 vs. LV
101 7.0 NYJ-2 @ KC
102 6.9 LAR-1 @ WAS
103 6.8 KC-2 vs. NYJ
104 6.8 MIN-2 vs. BUF
105 6.6 BUF-2 @ MIN
106 6.6 NYG-2 @ PHI
107 6.6 NYJ-3 @ KC
108 6.6 MIA-3 vs. DET
109 6.5 NYG-2 @ PHI
110 6.5 LV-2 @ SF
111 6.5 SF-2 vs. LV
112 6.4 JAC-2 @ BAL
113 6.4 NO-2 vs. CLE
114 6.3 HOU-2 @ LAC
115 6.3 SF-3 vs. LV
116 6.3 SF-4 vs. LV
117 6.3 TB-3 @ CHI
118 6.3 IND-3 vs. DAL
119 6.3 JAC-3 @ BAL
120 6.3 ATL-2 🌐 CIN
121 6.2 WAS-1 vs. LAR
122 6.2 CHI-3 vs. TB
123 6.2 NO-1 vs. CLE
124 6.1 BUF-3 @ MIN
125 6.1 MIA-4 vs. DET
126 6.1 ATL-3 🌐 CIN
127 6.0 CIN-3 🌐 ATL
128 6.0 LAC-2 vs. HOU
129 6.0 LAC-3 vs. HOU
130 6.0 SEA-1 vs. ARI
131 5.9 NYJ-2 @ KC
132 5.8 CIN-2 🌐 ATL
133 5.8 NYG-3 @ PHI
134 5.7 SEA-2 vs. ARI
135 5.6 DEN-1 @ CAR
136 5.6 CAR-1 vs. DEN
137 5.6 SEA-2 vs. ARI
138 5.6 DET-3 @ MIA
139 5.6 IND-2 vs. DAL
140 5.6 WAS-3 vs. LAR
141 5.5 CLE-3 @ NO
142 5.5 HOU-1 @ LAC
143 5.5 SF-5 vs. LV
144 5.5 LV-2 @ SF
145 5.5 SEA-3 vs. ARI
146 5.4 PHI-2 vs. NYG
147 5.4 DEN-3 @ CAR
148 5.4 JAC-2 @ BAL
149 5.4 TB-1 @ CHI
150 5.4 LAR-2 @ WAS
151 5.4 BAL-1 vs. JAC
152 5.3 SF-6 vs. LV
153 5.3 KC-3 vs. NYJ
154 5.3 GB-3 @ NE
155 5.3 LAR-2 @ WAS
156 5.2 WAS-2 vs. LAR
157 5.2 PHI-3 vs. NYG
158 5.2 NYJ-1 @ KC
159 5.2 SEA-4 vs. ARI
160 5.2 HOU-3 @ LAC
161 5.1 LV-2 @ SF
162 5.1 HOU-4 @ LAC
163 5.1 DEN-4 @ CAR
164 5.0 JAC-4 @ BAL
165 5.0 TB-2 @ CHI
166 4.9 SEA-3 vs. ARI
167 4.5 LAC-2 vs. HOU
168 4.4 LAC-3 vs. HOU
169 4.3 DET-2 @ MIA
170 4.3 NO-3 vs. CLE
171 4.2 CHI-2 vs. TB
172 4.1 DAL-2 @ IND
173 4.0 HOU-2 @ LAC
174 4.0 GB-2 @ NE
175 3.6 NE-2 vs. GB
176 3.5 ARI-2 @ SEA
177 3.4 BAL-2 vs. JAC
178 3.3 CHI-3 vs. TB
179 3.3 BUF-2 @ MIN
180 3.3 NE-3 vs. GB

Refreshed 31 minutes ago

Strategize who you stream—and plan your “holds” by using 17-week forecasting charts. Fantasy scores are projected for QB, D/ST, and Kicker, and Strength of Schedule charts project fantasy point deviations for RB, WR, and TE.

D/STs

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Seahawks 10.5 3.7 - 3.0 5.8 7.8 8.7 5.4 7.1 6.5
Jaguars 10.0 6.7 5.5 7.5 2.8 7.1 4.7 2.5 6.6 5.9

Quarterbacks

Player/Team 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 AVG
Brock Purdy | SF 24.4 22.1 19.8 20.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 20.5 19.8 20.3
Joe Burrow | CIN 21.2 19.1 18.2 20.4 18.7 18.8 19.0 16.9 17.1 18.8

The range of possible outcomes is a truly key consideration for anyone serious about strategizing their lineups. My algorithms search for the most similar historical matches and show you what actually happened.

Seahawks Similar historical matchups

Matchup Year Wk Result
Similar Ravens vs Jets 2025 12 10
Similar Seahawks vs Vikings 2025 13 27
Boom Bears @ Bills 2018 9 28
Bust Buccaneers @ Panthers 2022 7 2

This is the most useful way to think about your kicker’s opportunities: Where on the field the play is likely to stop. Get unique visual insight to each kicker’s volumes and likely field positions.

Brandon Aubrey

  • More likely to stall upfield, and less likely to kick near the endzone.
  • Less likely to take long kicks, despite drives stopping upfield.
  • Fewer drives stalling before reaching kicking range
  • Bolstered by a floor of RZ opportunities.

How to read this chart

Bar charts visualize how points get made. These help you see how each score component is expected, relative to the league average.

QB

49ers Week 9
Brock Purdy

D/ST

Seahawks Week 9