Week 7
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 10.5 | 0.4 | Lions 3.3 | Panthers 1.2 | Patriots -1.5 | Vikings -1.4 | BYE - | Rams -1.6 | Saints 1.7 | Bills 0.5 | Dolphins 2.6 | Bears -0.3 | Texans -0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Jets | 11.6 | 1.2 | Dolphins 3.0 | Raiders 1.3 | Chiefs 0.1 | Bills 0.4 | Chargers 0.3 | Dolphins 2.2 | BYE - | Broncos 0.5 | Cardinals 2.6 | Patriots -1.0 | Vikings -0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Broncos | 8.8 | 0.9 | Cardinals 2.4 | Chiefs -0.1 | Panthers 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 1.0 | Steelers -0.7 | Dolphins 2.2 | Jets -0.8 | Raiders 1.4 | Bills 0.6 | Patriots -1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Rams | 14.5 | 1.5 | Raiders 1.7 | Chargers 0.1 | Commanders 1.9 | Cardinals 2.3 | BYE - | Packers -0.3 | Chiefs 0.8 | 49ers -1.6 | Cowboys 0.7 | Seahawks -1.9 | Buccaneers -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.4 |
| Ravens | 12.8 | 0.5 | Bengals 1.6 | Bills 0.1 | Jaguars 0.5 | Chargers -0.3 | Panthers 1.1 | Texans -0.1 | BYE - | Buccaneers 0.7 | Steelers -0.4 | Browns 0.5 | Bengals 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 49ers | 14.6 | 0.8 | Falcons 1.4 | BYE - | Raiders 0.7 | Cowboys 0.3 | Vikings -1.1 | Seahawks -1.8 | Giants -0.6 | Rams -2.2 | Chargers -0.4 | Chiefs -0.1 | Eagles 0.1 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| Vikings | 12.0 | 1.0 | Colts 0.9 | Lions 2.9 | Bills 1.1 | Packers -0.8 | 49ers -1.3 | Falcons 1.6 | Panthers 2.1 | Patriots -1.0 | Lions 3.5 | Commanders 3.8 | Jets -0.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Titans | 6.9 | 0.5 | Browns 0.8 | Bengals 0.6 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.1 | Cowboys 0.5 | Jaguars -0.2 | Commanders 2.3 | Lions 3.1 | Colts -0.4 | Raiders 1.7 | Steelers 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Texans | 13.5 | 0.1 | Giants 0.8 | BYE - | Chargers -0.4 | Browns -0.2 | Colts 0.2 | Ravens -0.1 | Steelers -0.2 | Commanders 2.0 | Jaguars 1.0 | Eagles 0.1 | Packers -1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Buccaneers | 8.6 | -0.1 | Panthers 0.6 | Falcons 0.1 | Bears -0.9 | BYE - | Lions 2.4 | Panthers 0.8 | Chargers -0.6 | Ravens -1.1 | Saints 1.2 | Falcons 1.0 | Rams -1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Cardinals | 18.2 | -0.7 | Broncos 0.5 | Cowboys 0.3 | Seahawks -2.3 | Rams -1.4 | Chiefs -0.2 | Commanders 2.7 | Eagles 1.3 | BYE - | Jets 0.1 | Saints 1.5 | Raiders 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Eagles | 7.6 | 0.5 | Cowboys 0.4 | Commanders 1.8 | Giants -0.6 | BYE - | Steelers -0.6 | Cowboys 0.6 | Cardinals 2.1 | Colts -0.4 | Seahawks -1.4 | Texans -0.4 | 49ers -1.2 | 0.0 | -1.0 |
| Seahawks | 8.0 | 1.1 | Chiefs 0.4 | Bears -0.3 | Cardinals 2.4 | Raiders 1.8 | BYE - | 49ers -1.8 | Cowboys 0.3 | Giants 0.2 | Eagles 0.4 | Rams -1.7 | Panthers 1.0 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| Browns | 10.4 | -0.1 | Titans 0.0 | Steelers -0.8 | Saints 1.2 | Texans -0.9 | BYE - | Raiders 0.6 | Bengals 1.4 | Falcons 0.6 | Giants -0.3 | Ravens -0.9 | Colts -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.5 |
| Steelers | 15.0 | 0.2 | Saints 0.0 | Browns 0.3 | BYE - | Bengals 0.2 | Eagles -0.2 | Broncos 0.1 | Texans -1.0 | Jaguars -0.1 | Ravens -0.7 | Panthers 1.1 | Titans -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Cowboys | 9.9 | 0.1 | Eagles -0.2 | Cardinals 2.6 | Colts -0.6 | 49ers -1.2 | Titans -0.2 | Eagles 0.6 | Seahawks -2.5 | BYE - | Rams -2.2 | Jaguars 0.7 | Giants -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 |
| Lions | 15.6 | -0.3 | Packers -0.2 | Vikings -1.0 | Dolphins 1.9 | Patriots -2.1 | Buccaneers 0.9 | Bears -0.2 | Falcons 0.3 | Titans -0.1 | Vikings -1.2 | Giants 0.3 | Bears -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| Bears | 13.1 | -0.5 | Patriots -0.4 | Seahawks -1.7 | Buccaneers 0.8 | BYE - | Saints 1.2 | Lions 3.3 | Jaguars 0.4 | Dolphins 2.2 | Bills 0.2 | Packers -0.7 | Lions 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Patriots | 12.5 | 0.9 | Bears -0.5 | Dolphins 2.0 | Packers -0.9 | Lions 3.2 | BYE - | Chargers -0.4 | Bills 0.4 | Vikings -1.7 | Chiefs -0.2 | Jets -0.9 | Broncos 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
| Panthers | 15.6 | -0.2 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Packers -1.7 | Broncos 0.1 | Saints 1.5 | Ravens -1.2 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Vikings -0.9 | Saints 0.9 | Bengals 1.2 | Steelers -0.4 | Seahawks -1.7 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| Dolphins | 8.7 | 0.0 | Jets -0.7 | Patriots -1.6 | Lions 2.2 | Colts 0.1 | Bills 0.0 | Jets -0.6 | Broncos 0.1 | Bears 0.0 | Packers -0.9 | Chargers -0.2 | Bills 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Giants | 17.3 | 0.5 | Texans -0.8 | BYE - | Eagles 0.0 | Commanders 2.3 | Jaguars 0.3 | Colts 0.1 | 49ers -1.2 | Seahawks -1.7 | Browns 0.7 | Lions 3.1 | Cowboys 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Saints | 10.5 | 0.8 | Steelers -0.9 | BYE - | Browns 1.7 | Panthers 1.7 | Bears -0.6 | Bengals 0.8 | Packers -0.1 | Panthers 1.0 | Buccaneers 0.3 | Cardinals 3.3 | Falcons 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Falcons | 14.6 | -0.1 | 49ers -1.0 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Bengals 0.4 | Chiefs 0.5 | BYE - | Vikings -1.7 | Lions 2.8 | Browns -0.2 | Commanders 1.6 | Buccaneers 1.0 | Saints 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Raiders | 21.8 | -1.3 | Rams -1.2 | Jets -1.0 | 49ers -1.9 | Seahawks -1.0 | Broncos -0.4 | Browns 0.2 | BYE - | Chargers 0.2 | Broncos 1.0 | Titans 0.5 | Cardinals 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 |
| Bengals | 14.3 | -0.5 | Ravens -1.3 | Titans -0.8 | Falcons 0.6 | Steelers -0.4 | Commanders 1.2 | Saints 0.9 | Browns -0.3 | Chiefs -0.3 | Panthers 0.2 | Colts -0.3 | Ravens -1.2 | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| Colts | 12.6 | 0.4 | Vikings -1.9 | Jaguars -0.4 | Cowboys 0.7 | Dolphins 3.0 | Texans -0.7 | Giants 0.5 | BYE - | Eagles -0.3 | Titans -1.1 | Bengals 1.8 | Browns 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Chiefs | 13.3 | -0.4 | Seahawks -2.3 | Broncos -0.1 | Jets -0.5 | Falcons 1.2 | Cardinals 2.2 | Bills 0.6 | Rams -1.3 | Bengals 1.2 | Patriots -1.1 | 49ers -0.9 | Chargers 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.6 |
| Chargers | 9.5 | -1.0 | BYE - | Rams -1.6 | Texans 0.0 | Ravens -1.3 | Jets 0.2 | Patriots -0.3 | Buccaneers 0.3 | Raiders 1.6 | 49ers -0.2 | Dolphins 2.5 | Chiefs 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Commanders | 10.7 | -0.7 | BYE - | Eagles 0.2 | Rams -2.0 | Giants -0.3 | Bengals 1.4 | Cardinals 2.9 | Titans -0.7 | Texans -0.9 | Falcons 0.6 | Vikings -0.9 | Jaguars 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Bills | 10.8 | -0.2 | BYE - | Ravens 0.0 | Vikings -0.4 | Jets -0.3 | Dolphins 3.0 | Chiefs 0.7 | Patriots -1.1 | Packers -0.5 | Bears 0.3 | Broncos 0.7 | Dolphins 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Jaguars | 12.9 | -0.8 | BYE - | Colts -0.4 | Ravens -1.1 | Titans -0.8 | Giants -0.2 | Titans -0.4 | Bears -0.4 | Steelers 0.2 | Texans 0.1 | Cowboys 0.9 | Commanders 2.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
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