Week 9
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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Next 4
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colts | 25.7 | 2.4 | Cowboys 4.6 | Dolphins 1.3 | Texans 2.4 | Giants 1.1 | BYE - | Eagles 2.0 | Titans 1.7 | Bengals 3.8 | Browns -1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 49ers | 28.5 | 0.6 | Raiders 4.0 | Cowboys 3.2 | Vikings -2.1 | Seahawks -2.7 | Giants -1.9 | Rams -1.8 | Chargers -0.8 | Chiefs -2.2 | Eagles 1.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| Falcons | 25.4 | 0.0 | Bengals 3.1 | Chiefs 0.5 | BYE - | Vikings -3.4 | Lions 2.2 | Browns -2.0 | Commanders -2.1 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Saints 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Dolphins | 27.2 | 0.3 | Lions 2.6 | Colts -0.4 | Bills -2.0 | Jets 0.9 | Broncos -0.4 | Bears -0.3 | Packers 1.3 | Chargers -0.1 | Bills 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Chiefs | 28.1 | 0.5 | Jets 2.4 | Falcons 1.1 | Cardinals 0.2 | Bills -1.7 | Rams 0.3 | Bengals 0.0 | Patriots -1.5 | 49ers -1.0 | Chargers 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.8 |
| Chargers | 24.0 | 1.6 | Texans 2.1 | Ravens -2.4 | Jets 2.6 | Patriots 4.0 | Buccaneers -2.4 | Raiders 3.5 | 49ers 1.8 | Dolphins -1.4 | Chiefs 2.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Bengals | 36.1 | -0.2 | Falcons 1.5 | Steelers 0.2 | Commanders -3.3 | Saints 0.7 | Browns -1.9 | Chiefs -0.9 | Panthers -0.4 | Colts -0.6 | Ravens 1.3 | -0.4 | 0.1 |
| Broncos | 26.6 | 1.0 | Panthers 1.3 | BYE - | Raiders 2.9 | Steelers -1.4 | Dolphins -0.8 | Jets -0.1 | Raiders 3.3 | Bills 0.6 | Patriots 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Browns | 23.4 | 1.0 | Saints 1.1 | Texans 0.7 | BYE - | Raiders 1.0 | Bengals 1.5 | Falcons -0.6 | Giants -1.1 | Ravens 1.1 | Colts -1.4 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
| Giants | 27.1 | 0.4 | Eagles 0.7 | Commanders 0.5 | Jaguars 0.2 | Colts 0.1 | 49ers -1.3 | Seahawks -2.4 | Browns -1.0 | Lions 0.0 | Cowboys 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Cowboys | 37.5 | 2.6 | Colts 0.7 | 49ers -0.2 | Titans 5.1 | Eagles 4.9 | Seahawks -6.6 | BYE - | Rams -0.9 | Jaguars 1.9 | Giants 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Saints | 29.5 | 0.2 | Browns 0.3 | Panthers 3.7 | Bears -2.5 | Bengals -0.7 | Packers 4.1 | Panthers -1.2 | Buccaneers -3.0 | Cardinals 3.3 | Falcons 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Packers | 32.4 | -1.3 | Patriots -0.2 | Vikings -3.7 | BYE - | Rams 0.0 | Saints 1.2 | Bills -0.3 | Dolphins -0.7 | Bears -0.9 | Texans -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.7 |
| Patriots | 31.6 | 0.8 | Packers -0.3 | Lions 2.9 | BYE - | Chargers -0.1 | Bills -1.0 | Vikings -3.3 | Chiefs -4.7 | Jets -0.5 | Broncos 0.3 | -0.8 | -1.6 |
| Buccaneers | 26.5 | 0.0 | Bears -0.4 | BYE - | Lions 1.9 | Panthers -1.7 | Chargers 0.3 | Ravens 2.1 | Saints 1.5 | Falcons 2.7 | Rams 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Texans | 32.0 | 0.1 | Chargers -0.7 | Browns -2.8 | Colts 0.1 | Ravens 3.8 | Steelers -1.7 | Commanders -1.1 | Jaguars 1.8 | Eagles 2.1 | Packers -2.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 |
| Rams | 31.3 | 0.9 | Commanders -0.8 | Cardinals 1.0 | BYE - | Packers 2.6 | Chiefs 0.9 | 49ers -2.9 | Cowboys 3.4 | Seahawks -3.1 | Buccaneers -3.2 | -0.3 | -1.0 |
| Bears | 30.9 | 0.2 | Buccaneers -0.9 | BYE - | Saints 0.3 | Lions 1.2 | Jaguars 1.3 | Dolphins -2.4 | Bills -2.4 | Packers 0.8 | Lions 0.8 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Panthers | 29.8 | -1.3 | Broncos -1.0 | Saints 1.0 | Ravens 1.3 | Buccaneers -6.6 | Vikings -2.5 | Saints 0.6 | Bengals 1.1 | Steelers -0.5 | Seahawks -1.5 | -0.9 | -0.3 |
| Jaguars | 32.2 | 1.0 | Ravens -1.0 | Titans 2.3 | Giants -0.8 | Titans 3.2 | Bears -2.5 | Steelers -2.4 | Texans 4.3 | Cowboys 3.7 | Commanders 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
| Lions | 34.0 | 0.0 | Dolphins -1.0 | Patriots -0.2 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Bears 1.1 | Falcons 0.2 | Titans 4.3 | Vikings -2.7 | Giants -1.7 | Bears -2.3 | -0.2 | -2.3 |
| Commanders | 29.4 | -0.7 | Rams -1.2 | Giants -2.3 | Bengals -2.4 | Cardinals 3.1 | Titans 2.4 | Texans 1.5 | Falcons 0.3 | Vikings -1.2 | Jaguars 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Jets | 28.5 | -1.5 | Chiefs -1.3 | Bills -1.8 | Chargers 0.2 | Dolphins -3.2 | BYE - | Broncos 0.7 | Cardinals 1.5 | Patriots 1.6 | Vikings -2.3 | -0.6 | 0.3 |
| Raiders | 24.8 | -1.5 | 49ers -1.5 | Seahawks 0.1 | Broncos -2.2 | Browns -2.5 | BYE - | Chargers 0.5 | Broncos 2.7 | Titans 5.4 | Cardinals 2.0 | 0.6 | 3.4 |
| Vikings | 25.2 | -0.6 | Bills -1.6 | Packers -0.3 | 49ers -2.4 | Falcons 1.7 | Panthers 2.8 | Patriots 0.8 | Lions 3.0 | Commanders 3.2 | Jets 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Eagles | 26.3 | 0.1 | Giants -1.7 | BYE - | Steelers -1.1 | Cowboys 3.1 | Cardinals 1.7 | Colts -2.1 | Seahawks -0.8 | Texans 3.2 | 49ers -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Seahawks | 34.5 | -0.5 | Cardinals -1.7 | Raiders 3.3 | BYE - | 49ers -3.2 | Cowboys -1.1 | Giants 0.1 | Eagles 2.0 | Rams -0.7 | Panthers -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 |
| Ravens | 24.4 | -1.8 | Jaguars -2.7 | Chargers -4.7 | Panthers -2.0 | Texans 2.1 | BYE - | Buccaneers -2.5 | Steelers -1.7 | Browns -1.4 | Bengals 0.8 | -1.5 | -0.8 |
| Cardinals | 24.2 | -2.4 | Seahawks -6.0 | Rams -0.5 | Chiefs -3.1 | Commanders -0.2 | Eagles 4.6 | BYE - | Jets 2.3 | Saints 1.1 | Raiders 3.5 | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Bills | 28.6 | -2.0 | Vikings -6.3 | Jets 0.0 | Dolphins -1.3 | Chiefs -0.4 | Patriots 0.8 | Packers 0.2 | Bears -0.9 | Broncos -0.4 | Dolphins -2.5 | -1.2 | -1.3 |
| Steelers | 28.2 | 1.6 | BYE - | Bengals 0.1 | Eagles 3.0 | Broncos 1.7 | Texans 3.2 | Jaguars -2.1 | Ravens 2.8 | Panthers 1.7 | Titans 3.5 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Titans | 27.0 | 1.2 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.3 | Cowboys 3.7 | Jaguars -0.3 | Commanders -0.3 | Lions 3.4 | Colts -1.2 | Raiders 4.9 | Steelers 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
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