Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
| Player/Team |
Baseline
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | 8.8 | 1.0 | Cardinals 1.7 | Raiders 1.4 | Bills 0.3 | Seahawks 0.5 | Broncos 1.5 | Chiefs 0.1 | BYE - | Rams 1.1 | Texans 1.0 | Ravens -0.2 | Jets 1.2 | Patriots 1.7 | Buccaneers -0.2 | Raiders 0.8 | 49ers 1.5 | Dolphins 0.5 | Chiefs 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Lions | 8.6 | -0.1 | Saints 1.2 | Bills -0.8 | Jets 0.5 | Panthers -1.0 | Cardinals 0.5 | BYE - | Packers 0.9 | Vikings 1.0 | Dolphins -0.4 | Patriots -0.5 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Bears 1.0 | Falcons 0.5 | Titans 0.6 | Vikings 0.3 | Giants 0.1 | Bears -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Raiders | 10.9 | 0.4 | Dolphins 0.9 | Chargers 0.2 | Saints 0.1 | Chiefs 0.5 | Patriots -0.1 | Bills 0.7 | Rams 0.9 | Jets -0.5 | 49ers -0.5 | Seahawks 0.6 | Broncos -0.4 | Browns -0.4 | BYE - | Chargers 0.4 | Broncos 0.6 | Titans 0.7 | Cardinals 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Ravens | 11.0 | 0.7 | Colts 0.9 | Saints 0.7 | Cowboys 0.9 | Titans 0.4 | Falcons 1.2 | Browns 0.0 | Bengals 0.3 | Bills -0.1 | Jaguars 0.7 | Chargers 0.1 | Panthers -0.2 | Texans 0.2 | BYE - | Buccaneers -0.1 | Steelers 0.1 | Browns 0.7 | Bengals -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Eagles | 9.6 | -0.4 | Commanders 0.5 | Titans -0.8 | Bears -1.0 | Rams -0.2 | Jaguars -0.1 | Panthers -0.5 | Cowboys -0.8 | Commanders -0.8 | Giants -0.2 | BYE - | Steelers 0.0 | Cowboys -0.1 | Cardinals 0.6 | Colts -0.4 | Seahawks 0.1 | Texans -0.4 | 49ers -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| Vikings | 8.7 | 0.0 | Packers 0.4 | Bears -0.3 | Buccaneers -1.1 | Dolphins 1.1 | Saints 0.4 | BYE - | Colts 0.6 | Lions 0.4 | Bills 0.3 | Packers -0.3 | 49ers -0.3 | Falcons 1.0 | Panthers 0.6 | Patriots -0.2 | Lions 1.1 | Commanders 0.7 | Jets -0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Bengals | 10.4 | -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Texans -0.3 | Steelers -0.8 | Jaguars 0.1 | Dolphins -0.3 | BYE - | Ravens -0.8 | Titans -0.3 | Falcons 0.9 | Steelers -0.1 | Commanders -1.1 | Saints 0.0 | Browns -0.4 | Chiefs -0.3 | Panthers -0.8 | Colts -0.1 | Ravens 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| Packers | 9.3 | -0.5 | Vikings 0.3 | Jets -1.2 | Falcons 0.1 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Bears 0.0 | Cowboys -0.6 | Lions 0.2 | Panthers -0.5 | Patriots -0.6 | Vikings 0.0 | BYE - | Rams -0.2 | Saints -0.1 | Bills -0.3 | Dolphins 0.2 | Bears -0.5 | Texans -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| Saints | 10.4 | 0.5 | Lions 0.3 | Ravens -0.4 | Raiders 1.1 | Falcons 1.1 | Vikings 1.7 | Giants -0.2 | Steelers 0.1 | BYE - | Browns 1.4 | Panthers 1.0 | Bears 0.1 | Bengals -0.4 | Packers 1.5 | Panthers -0.4 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Cardinals 1.7 | Falcons 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Steelers | 11.0 | -0.2 | Falcons 0.3 | Patriots -0.4 | Bengals -0.4 | Browns -0.3 | Colts -0.4 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Saints -0.5 | Browns 0.0 | BYE - | Bengals -0.9 | Eagles -0.7 | Broncos -0.3 | Texans -0.4 | Jaguars -0.7 | Ravens -0.1 | Panthers -0.2 | Titans -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| Colts | 10.1 | 0.0 | Ravens 0.2 | Chiefs -0.6 | Texans 0.5 | Commanders -0.2 | Steelers -0.6 | Titans 0.9 | Vikings 0.5 | Jaguars -0.6 | Cowboys 0.6 | Dolphins 1.3 | Texans 0.1 | Giants 1.1 | BYE - | Eagles -0.6 | Titans -0.8 | Bengals 0.9 | Browns -0.3 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Buccaneers | 8.2 | 0.6 | Bengals 0.2 | Browns 0.8 | Vikings 0.9 | Packers 0.8 | Cowboys 0.6 | Steelers 0.9 | Panthers -0.1 | Falcons 0.9 | Bears 0.5 | BYE - | Lions 1.1 | Panthers -0.1 | Chargers 0.6 | Ravens 0.2 | Saints 0.9 | Falcons 1.3 | Rams 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Texans | 10.2 | 0.9 | Bills 0.2 | Bengals 1.4 | Colts 0.9 | Cowboys 1.2 | Titans -0.1 | Jaguars 0.5 | Giants 1.3 | BYE - | Chargers 0.5 | Browns 0.0 | Colts 1.3 | Ravens 1.6 | Steelers 0.1 | Commanders -0.4 | Jaguars 1.6 | Eagles 0.1 | Packers -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Jaguars | 9.2 | -0.3 | Browns 0.1 | Broncos -0.8 | Patriots 0.1 | Bengals -0.7 | Eagles -0.3 | Texans 0.1 | BYE - | Colts -0.3 | Ravens -0.6 | Titans -1.1 | Giants -0.9 | Titans -0.3 | Bears -0.4 | Steelers -0.5 | Texans -0.1 | Cowboys -0.4 | Commanders -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| Titans | 10.3 | -0.1 | Jets 0.0 | Eagles 0.1 | Giants -0.3 | Ravens -0.3 | Texans -0.4 | Colts 0.4 | Browns 0.1 | Bengals -0.3 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.1 | Cowboys 0.1 | Jaguars -0.5 | Commanders -0.3 | Lions 0.6 | Colts -0.1 | Raiders 0.5 | Steelers 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Panthers | 8.4 | 0.1 | Bears -0.1 | Falcons 0.6 | Browns -0.6 | Lions 0.2 | BYE - | Eagles -0.6 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Packers -0.3 | Broncos -0.1 | Saints 0.6 | Ravens 0.1 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Vikings 0.5 | Saints 0.1 | Bengals 0.1 | Steelers -0.2 | Seahawks 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
| Bears | 10.4 | -0.3 | Panthers -0.1 | Vikings -0.1 | Eagles -0.6 | Jets -0.4 | Packers -0.7 | Falcons 0.2 | Patriots -0.2 | Seahawks -1.0 | Buccaneers -1.0 | BYE - | Saints -0.3 | Lions 0.3 | Jaguars -0.3 | Dolphins -0.5 | Bills -0.9 | Packers -0.2 | Lions 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.4 |
| Seahawks | 9.9 | 0.0 | Patriots -0.2 | Cardinals 0.8 | Commanders -0.8 | Chargers 0.0 | 49ers 0.2 | Broncos -0.3 | Chiefs 0.3 | Bears 0.0 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders 0.4 | BYE - | 49ers -0.7 | Cowboys -0.7 | Giants 0.1 | Eagles -0.1 | Rams 0.4 | Panthers -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| Cowboys | 10.1 | -0.2 | Giants -0.2 | Commanders 0.3 | Ravens -0.3 | Texans -0.7 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Packers -0.7 | Eagles -1.4 | Cardinals 0.9 | Colts -0.1 | 49ers 0.5 | Titans 0.5 | Eagles 0.8 | Seahawks -1.2 | BYE - | Rams -0.1 | Jaguars 0.7 | Giants 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Chiefs | 10.9 | 0.3 | Broncos -0.2 | Colts 0.4 | Dolphins 0.3 | Raiders 0.6 | BYE - | Chargers 0.2 | Seahawks -0.2 | Broncos -0.4 | Jets 0.1 | Falcons 0.9 | Cardinals 0.7 | Bills 0.0 | Rams 0.7 | Bengals -0.4 | Patriots 0.1 | 49ers 0.2 | Chargers 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 49ers | 11.6 | 0.3 | Rams -0.2 | Dolphins 0.5 | Cardinals 0.6 | Broncos 0.4 | Seahawks 0.0 | Commanders -0.3 | Falcons 0.9 | BYE - | Raiders 0.1 | Cowboys 0.2 | Vikings 1.1 | Seahawks 0.3 | Giants -0.3 | Rams 0.2 | Chargers 0.5 | Chiefs -0.5 | Eagles 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Rams | 12.4 | -0.2 | 49ers -0.2 | Giants 0.3 | Broncos -0.5 | Eagles -0.4 | Bills 0.5 | Cardinals 1.0 | Raiders 0.3 | Chargers 0.6 | Commanders -0.6 | Cardinals 0.6 | BYE - | Packers 0.7 | Chiefs 0.8 | 49ers -0.4 | Cowboys 0.4 | Seahawks -0.2 | Buccaneers -1.1 | 0.1 | -0.3 |
| Dolphins | 9.2 | -0.4 | Raiders -0.3 | 49ers -0.8 | Chiefs -0.5 | Vikings 0.2 | Bengals -0.6 | BYE - | Jets -1.1 | Patriots -0.4 | Lions -0.3 | Colts 0.1 | Bills -0.7 | Jets -0.7 | Broncos -0.6 | Bears -0.3 | Packers -0.5 | Chargers -0.6 | Bills -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.4 |
| Giants | 9.7 | 0.1 | Cowboys -0.3 | Rams 0.1 | Titans -0.1 | Cardinals 0.8 | Commanders -0.6 | Saints 0.3 | Texans 0.1 | BYE - | Eagles -0.6 | Commanders -0.3 | Jaguars 0.4 | Colts 0.3 | 49ers 0.0 | Seahawks -0.3 | Browns 0.3 | Lions 0.2 | Cowboys -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Commanders | 9.8 | 0.2 | Eagles -0.3 | Cowboys -0.1 | Seahawks 0.4 | Colts 0.9 | Giants 0.2 | 49ers -0.6 | BYE - | Eagles 0.5 | Rams 0.4 | Giants -0.3 | Bengals -0.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | Titans -0.6 | Texans -0.3 | Falcons 0.7 | Vikings 0.9 | Jaguars -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Bills | 11.1 | 0.2 | Texans -0.3 | Lions 0.4 | Chargers 0.0 | Patriots 0.6 | Rams 0.1 | Raiders 0.3 | BYE - | Ravens 0.3 | Vikings 0.2 | Jets -0.9 | Dolphins 0.4 | Chiefs 0.2 | Patriots -0.1 | Packers -0.3 | Bears 0.4 | Broncos -0.6 | Dolphins -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| Cardinals | 12.9 | -0.6 | Chargers -0.4 | Seahawks -0.1 | 49ers -0.9 | Giants -1.1 | Lions 0.1 | Rams 0.1 | Broncos 0.0 | Cowboys -0.3 | Seahawks -1.0 | Rams 0.2 | Chiefs -0.8 | Commanders -0.1 | Eagles 0.3 | BYE - | Jets -0.2 | Saints 0.0 | Raiders -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| Jets | 9.0 | 0.1 | Titans -0.6 | Packers 0.2 | Lions 0.7 | Bears -0.1 | Browns 0.4 | Patriots 0.1 | Dolphins 0.5 | Raiders 0.4 | Chiefs 0.0 | Bills 0.4 | Chargers 0.6 | Dolphins -0.1 | BYE - | Broncos 0.1 | Cardinals 1.0 | Patriots 0.4 | Vikings 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Falcons | 10.9 | -0.3 | Steelers -0.7 | Panthers 0.3 | Packers -0.6 | Saints -0.3 | Ravens 0.7 | Bears 1.1 | 49ers 0.7 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Bengals -0.7 | Chiefs 0.5 | BYE - | Vikings 0.1 | Lions 0.9 | Browns -0.6 | Commanders -1.0 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Saints 0.9 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| Browns | 11.3 | -0.4 | Jaguars -0.7 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Panthers -0.3 | Steelers 0.3 | Jets -0.4 | Ravens 0.1 | Titans -0.2 | Steelers -0.3 | Saints 0.4 | Texans -0.3 | BYE - | Raiders -0.2 | Bengals 0.1 | Falcons 0.4 | Giants -0.2 | Ravens -0.3 | Colts -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Broncos | 9.2 | 0.0 | Chiefs -1.0 | Jaguars 0.6 | Rams 0.6 | 49ers -0.2 | Chargers 0.5 | Seahawks 0.6 | Cardinals 1.0 | Chiefs 0.4 | Panthers -0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 0.2 | Steelers 0.0 | Dolphins 0.6 | Jets -0.5 | Raiders 0.5 | Bills 0.5 | Patriots 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Patriots | 10.3 | -0.3 | Seahawks -1.1 | Steelers 0.4 | Jaguars -0.1 | Bills -0.4 | Raiders 0.1 | Jets 0.1 | Bears 0.1 | Dolphins 0.1 | Packers 0.3 | Lions 0.9 | BYE - | Chargers 0.3 | Bills 0.4 | Vikings 0.5 | Chiefs -0.7 | Jets -0.5 | Broncos 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
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