Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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15
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 31.4 | 0.5 | Saints 4.2 | Bills -1.8 | Jets 2.3 | Panthers -2.6 | Cardinals -0.1 | BYE - | Packers 3.2 | Vikings 3.3 | Dolphins -2.0 | Patriots 0.0 | Buccaneers 1.1 | Bears 3.4 | Falcons 1.8 | Titans 1.2 | Vikings 1.2 | Giants -2.5 | Bears -1.0 | 0.7 | -0.8 |
| Chargers | 29.3 | 3.0 | Cardinals 3.9 | Raiders 3.4 | Bills 1.3 | Seahawks 3.2 | Broncos 6.4 | Chiefs 1.7 | BYE - | Rams 4.7 | Texans 3.8 | Ravens -2.5 | Jets 4.2 | Patriots 6.4 | Buccaneers 1.0 | Raiders 1.4 | 49ers 5.0 | Dolphins 0.6 | Chiefs 6.0 | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Ravens | 24.7 | 2.5 | Colts 3.5 | Saints 2.6 | Cowboys 3.8 | Titans 0.1 | Falcons 3.8 | Browns -0.9 | Bengals 0.5 | Bills 0.0 | Jaguars 2.9 | Chargers -1.5 | Panthers -0.2 | Texans 1.8 | BYE - | Buccaneers 0.8 | Steelers 0.2 | Browns 1.6 | Bengals -0.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Saints | 26.1 | 1.2 | Lions 3.0 | Ravens -0.1 | Raiders 1.9 | Falcons -0.2 | Vikings 5.2 | Giants 0.1 | Steelers -0.3 | BYE - | Browns 3.4 | Panthers 4.1 | Bears 0.6 | Bengals -1.2 | Packers 4.8 | Panthers -0.5 | Buccaneers -0.7 | Cardinals 3.8 | Falcons 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Bengals | 29.5 | 0.4 | Buccaneers 2.9 | Texans 0.7 | Steelers -2.6 | Jaguars 0.7 | Dolphins -2.0 | BYE - | Ravens -1.6 | Titans -1.9 | Falcons 2.4 | Steelers -1.0 | Commanders -6.5 | Saints 0.1 | Browns -2.0 | Chiefs 0.0 | Panthers -2.1 | Colts 0.4 | Ravens 0.4 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| Raiders | 22.7 | 2.2 | Dolphins 2.2 | Chargers 2.7 | Saints 1.3 | Chiefs 2.8 | Patriots 0.7 | Bills 1.9 | Rams 3.3 | Jets -1.1 | 49ers -1.1 | Seahawks 3.3 | Broncos 0.8 | Browns -2.3 | BYE - | Chargers 2.5 | Broncos 3.8 | Titans 1.2 | Cardinals 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Vikings | 25.9 | 0.9 | Packers 2.1 | Bears 0.0 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Dolphins 2.6 | Saints 2.4 | BYE - | Colts 2.6 | Lions 3.3 | Bills -1.6 | Packers -0.3 | 49ers -0.1 | Falcons 2.7 | Panthers 2.4 | Patriots 0.9 | Lions 4.5 | Commanders 2.6 | Jets -1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Eagles | 27.0 | -1.7 | Commanders 1.7 | Titans -2.9 | Bears -5.6 | Rams -0.1 | Jaguars 0.3 | Panthers -1.5 | Cowboys -5.2 | Commanders -2.1 | Giants -0.6 | BYE - | Steelers -0.3 | Cowboys 0.8 | Cardinals 0.9 | Colts -1.0 | Seahawks 1.9 | Texans -0.5 | 49ers -1.6 | -1.0 | 0.0 |
| Colts | 28.2 | 1.1 | Ravens 1.6 | Chiefs 0.2 | Texans 3.0 | Commanders -0.3 | Steelers -2.3 | Titans 1.8 | Vikings 1.7 | Jaguars -1.1 | Cowboys 2.4 | Dolphins 3.1 | Texans 1.3 | Giants 3.7 | BYE - | Eagles -1.2 | Titans -3.2 | Bengals 2.6 | Browns -1.8 | 0.7 | -0.8 |
| Buccaneers | 28.6 | 2.2 | Bengals 1.6 | Browns 1.7 | Vikings 2.8 | Packers 2.5 | Cowboys 2.7 | Steelers 2.3 | Panthers 0.0 | Falcons 2.5 | Bears 1.5 | BYE - | Lions 4.8 | Panthers -3.1 | Chargers 3.4 | Ravens 1.1 | Saints 2.8 | Falcons 3.8 | Rams 2.5 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Packers | 28.6 | -1.1 | Vikings 1.2 | Jets -3.1 | Falcons -0.2 | Buccaneers -2.3 | Bears 0.1 | Cowboys -1.3 | Lions 2.3 | Panthers -1.2 | Patriots -0.6 | Vikings -0.1 | BYE - | Rams 0.4 | Saints 0.9 | Bills -1.0 | Dolphins -0.2 | Bears -1.2 | Texans -6.3 | -0.8 | -2.6 |
| Cardinals | 23.3 | -0.5 | Chargers 0.7 | Seahawks 1.8 | 49ers -1.8 | Giants -2.6 | Lions 1.3 | Rams 1.1 | Broncos 1.5 | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks -1.2 | Rams 1.1 | Chiefs -0.9 | Commanders -0.2 | Eagles 1.2 | BYE - | Jets -0.3 | Saints 0.7 | Raiders -1.4 | 0.1 | -0.3 |
| Steelers | 24.3 | -0.5 | Falcons 0.7 | Patriots 0.4 | Bengals -1.3 | Browns -1.8 | Colts -1.0 | Buccaneers -1.0 | Saints -1.1 | Browns -1.3 | BYE - | Bengals -2.4 | Eagles -1.5 | Broncos 0.6 | Texans -0.4 | Jaguars -4.5 | Ravens 0.2 | Panthers -0.4 | Titans -2.5 | -1.1 | -0.9 |
| Panthers | 27.0 | 0.5 | Bears 0.6 | Falcons 2.2 | Browns -2.4 | Lions 1.7 | BYE - | Eagles -1.3 | Buccaneers -0.5 | Packers -0.2 | Broncos 1.2 | Saints 2.7 | Ravens 0.8 | Buccaneers -4.8 | Vikings 1.6 | Saints 0.6 | Bengals 0.1 | Steelers -1.0 | Seahawks 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Texans | 28.0 | 3.1 | Bills 0.5 | Bengals 4.8 | Colts 3.4 | Cowboys 3.9 | Titans -1.1 | Jaguars 2.4 | Giants 4.3 | BYE - | Chargers 3.4 | Browns -0.5 | Colts 4.4 | Ravens 5.1 | Steelers -0.1 | Commanders -1.2 | Jaguars 5.4 | Eagles 0.7 | Packers -4.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Giants | 26.0 | -0.4 | Cowboys 0.3 | Rams -1.8 | Titans -0.9 | Cardinals 0.9 | Commanders -1.7 | Saints 1.3 | Texans 1.3 | BYE - | Eagles -1.3 | Commanders -0.9 | Jaguars 2.0 | Colts 1.8 | 49ers -0.1 | Seahawks 0.8 | Browns 0.0 | Lions -1.1 | Cowboys 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 |
| Titans | 24.1 | 0.0 | Jets 0.2 | Eagles 0.7 | Giants -0.5 | Ravens -0.4 | Texans -0.5 | Colts 2.0 | Browns -0.6 | Bengals -0.9 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.5 | Cowboys 1.7 | Jaguars -0.6 | Commanders -1.1 | Lions 3.3 | Colts -0.4 | Raiders 0.4 | Steelers -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Bears | 27.1 | -1.4 | Panthers 0.2 | Vikings 0.0 | Eagles -4.6 | Jets -1.0 | Packers -1.5 | Falcons 0.7 | Patriots 0.5 | Seahawks -4.5 | Buccaneers -1.9 | BYE - | Saints -0.3 | Lions 2.4 | Jaguars 0.2 | Dolphins -2.5 | Bills -2.5 | Packers -0.3 | Lions 1.0 | -0.9 | -0.6 |
| Commanders | 25.8 | 1.6 | Eagles 0.0 | Cowboys 1.0 | Seahawks 2.4 | Colts 3.0 | Giants 0.7 | 49ers -4.6 | BYE - | Eagles 1.8 | Rams 2.2 | Giants -0.6 | Bengals -4.4 | Cardinals 2.1 | Titans -2.9 | Texans -0.4 | Falcons 1.6 | Vikings 3.1 | Jaguars -0.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Seahawks | 31.4 | 0.3 | Patriots 0.0 | Cardinals 1.3 | Commanders -1.8 | Chargers 1.6 | 49ers 0.8 | Broncos 1.1 | Chiefs 2.2 | Bears -2.9 | Cardinals 0.3 | Raiders 0.2 | BYE - | 49ers -1.3 | Cowboys -4.8 | Giants 1.1 | Eagles 0.1 | Rams 2.1 | Panthers -1.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 |
| Cowboys | 32.7 | 0.1 | Giants -0.1 | Commanders 1.1 | Ravens 0.4 | Texans -1.1 | Buccaneers 1.0 | Packers -1.9 | Eagles -7.4 | Cardinals 1.1 | Colts 0.1 | 49ers 1.5 | Titans 0.7 | Eagles 2.6 | Seahawks -5.4 | BYE - | Rams 0.5 | Jaguars 2.6 | Giants 2.0 | -0.1 | 1.7 |
| 49ers | 27.6 | 1.1 | Rams -0.1 | Dolphins 0.8 | Cardinals 0.7 | Broncos 2.9 | Seahawks 1.7 | Commanders -4.1 | Falcons 2.8 | BYE - | Raiders -0.6 | Cowboys 1.7 | Vikings 3.4 | Seahawks 2.1 | Giants -0.8 | Rams 1.1 | Chargers 3.2 | Chiefs -0.2 | Eagles 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Bills | 26.3 | 1.7 | Texans -0.2 | Lions 2.6 | Chargers 1.8 | Patriots 2.8 | Rams -2.1 | Raiders -0.1 | BYE - | Ravens 1.2 | Vikings -2.1 | Jets -2.2 | Dolphins 0.2 | Chiefs 1.8 | Patriots 0.9 | Packers -0.5 | Bears 1.2 | Broncos 0.1 | Dolphins -1.5 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Rams | 32.5 | -0.7 | 49ers -0.7 | Giants -1.7 | Broncos 0.8 | Eagles -1.0 | Bills -1.5 | Cardinals 1.6 | Raiders -0.2 | Chargers 3.3 | Commanders -1.6 | Cardinals 0.2 | BYE - | Packers 2.1 | Chiefs 3.9 | 49ers -1.0 | Cowboys 1.5 | Seahawks 1.3 | Buccaneers -2.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Jaguars | 28.4 | -0.2 | Browns -0.8 | Broncos 0.0 | Patriots 1.9 | Bengals -2.0 | Eagles -0.7 | Texans 1.2 | BYE - | Colts -0.7 | Ravens -0.7 | Titans -3.8 | Giants -2.3 | Titans -2.1 | Bears -0.9 | Steelers -5.2 | Texans 0.8 | Cowboys -0.2 | Commanders -1.6 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| Browns | 21.3 | -0.6 | Jaguars -1.1 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Panthers -0.7 | Steelers 0.3 | Jets -0.7 | Ravens 0.6 | Titans -1.5 | Steelers -1.3 | Saints 2.0 | Texans -0.1 | BYE - | Raiders -1.7 | Bengals 0.2 | Falcons 0.9 | Giants -0.1 | Ravens 0.1 | Colts -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| Dolphins | 24.3 | -0.6 | Raiders -1.4 | 49ers -1.7 | Chiefs -0.1 | Vikings 0.9 | Bengals -1.8 | BYE - | Jets -2.6 | Patriots 0.1 | Lions 0.6 | Colts 1.1 | Bills -1.7 | Jets -2.0 | Broncos 0.2 | Bears -0.8 | Packers -1.0 | Chargers -0.3 | Bills -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| Patriots | 29.4 | 0.0 | Seahawks -1.8 | Steelers 1.2 | Jaguars 1.1 | Bills -0.7 | Raiders -0.7 | Jets 0.5 | Bears 0.7 | Dolphins -0.6 | Packers 1.1 | Lions 3.9 | BYE - | Chargers 3.1 | Bills 1.3 | Vikings 1.8 | Chiefs -3.9 | Jets -1.2 | Broncos 2.6 | 0.5 | -0.8 |
| Falcons | 25.1 | -1.2 | Steelers -2.2 | Panthers 1.8 | Packers -1.1 | Saints -3.4 | Ravens 3.0 | Bears 3.5 | 49ers 2.6 | Buccaneers -1.5 | Bengals -1.8 | Chiefs 3.0 | BYE - | Vikings 0.7 | Lions 4.5 | Browns -2.2 | Commanders -2.7 | Buccaneers 1.3 | Saints 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Chiefs | 28.9 | 0.1 | Broncos -2.2 | Colts 1.8 | Dolphins -0.1 | Raiders 0.7 | BYE - | Chargers 1.9 | Seahawks 1.7 | Broncos 1.1 | Jets 0.7 | Falcons 2.7 | Cardinals 0.7 | Bills 0.3 | Rams 2.9 | Bengals -1.4 | Patriots -2.0 | 49ers 0.6 | Chargers 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Jets | 23.6 | 0.7 | Titans -2.4 | Packers 1.1 | Lions 4.0 | Bears 0.2 | Browns 0.2 | Patriots 1.7 | Dolphins 0.5 | Raiders 0.2 | Chiefs 1.4 | Bills 0.9 | Chargers 3.6 | Dolphins -1.2 | BYE - | Broncos 1.9 | Cardinals 2.0 | Patriots 2.5 | Vikings 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Broncos | 30.8 | 0.2 | Chiefs -4.5 | Jaguars 2.8 | Rams 2.8 | 49ers -0.1 | Chargers 3.4 | Seahawks 3.3 | Cardinals 1.5 | Chiefs 2.3 | Panthers -1.1 | BYE - | Raiders 0.0 | Steelers -0.2 | Dolphins 1.4 | Jets -1.1 | Raiders 0.4 | Bills 1.4 | Patriots 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
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