Week 6

Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.

Player/Team
Baseline
Next 4
6
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AVG
Playoffs
Rams 44.4 2.8 5.5 3.3 1.9 0.5 3.1 - 0.9 -0.1 -2.6 2.0 -2.2 -1.7 0.9 -0.7
Raiders 23.0 -0.1 4.7 0.7 -2.5 -3.3 0.4 -2.5 -1.8 - 1.2 1.6 2.8 3.4 0.4 2.6
Bears 35.4 -0.4 4.4 -0.2 -5.5 -0.2 - -0.8 4.1 1.4 -2.6 0.2 -0.2 2.4 0.3 0.8
Bills 31.3 0.2 3.7 - 0.6 -3.8 -1.6 -2.9 -2.1 -2.2 -2.0 -0.6 -0.8 -3.1 -1.3 -1.5
Colts 32.0 0.9 3.2 -1.1 -1.1 2.7 1.3 2.1 2.4 - 0.8 -0.8 2.2 0.8 1.1 0.7
Packers 39.2 1.5 2.8 3.3 1.0 -1.2 -2.2 - 0.7 1.2 1.5 -1.0 0.1 -1.1 0.5 -0.7
Falcons 32.6 -0.2 2.5 0.9 -2.3 -1.7 -0.1 - -0.8 4.9 0.5 0.2 2.7 2.3 0.8 1.7
Jaguars 36.6 0.4 1.9 - -0.8 0.0 -1.8 -1.5 -1.0 -1.4 -3.9 3.8 1.3 1.7 -0.1 2.3
Titans 37.1 0.9 1.6 1.8 -0.7 - 1.7 3.5 1.3 2.8 5.4 0.6 4.9 1.8 2.2 2.4
Patriots 38.9 -0.8 0.8 -1.1 -2.7 -0.2 4.6 - 1.8 1.9 -1.1 -6.2 -0.4 0.5 -0.2 -2.0
Panthers 39.4 0.0 0.6 0.3 -1.6 0.6 2.1 1.0 -5.0 0.0 -0.3 0.8 0.0 0.8 -0.1 0.5
Cardinals 28.6 -0.5 -0.1 1.0 0.6 -3.4 0.4 -3.8 2.4 3.7 - 1.6 0.7 4.3 0.7 2.2
Browns 29.1 -1.1 -0.1 -2.0 -2.2 0.2 0.6 - 1.8 0.3 3.0 -0.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.4
49ers 33.9 1.6 -0.3 4.8 - 0.4 0.7 -0.5 -1.7 -2.0 -1.3 1.1 -3.6 0.8 -0.1 -0.6
Jets 29.2 -0.9 -0.4 -2.2 2.0 -2.9 0.8 1.4 -2.9 - 0.5 5.4 0.7 -0.2 0.2 1.9
Chiefs 35.7 -0.7 -0.4 -1.5 -1.0 -0.1 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.5 -1.2 -3.3 0.2 2.0 0.1 -0.4
Saints 33.3 0.1 -0.8 -2.6 - 3.7 2.7 -0.8 -2.1 1.7 -0.5 -1.4 6.0 4.3 0.9 3.0
Cowboys 49.0 0.7 -0.8 -2.9 5.9 0.7 2.3 2.5 3.9 -5.4 - 0.2 4.2 2.4 1.2 2.3
Eagles 33.1 -1.4 -1.0 -3.9 0.6 -1.3 - -1.0 2.2 4.3 -0.5 0.1 2.5 -0.1 0.2 0.8
Ravens 34.8 -0.7 -1.5 -0.6 -0.5 -0.2 -3.7 -1.4 1.9 - -0.5 -2.3 0.6 -1.7 -0.9 -1.1
Seahawks 38.8 -1.0 -1.7 -2.1 -3.0 2.8 3.0 - -2.5 -3.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 -0.6 -0.5 0.1
Giants 30.0 0.3 -2.2 2.5 - 0.7 2.4 1.2 1.2 -0.3 -0.9 1.7 0.9 2.6 0.9 1.8
Broncos 31.7 -0.1 -2.3 5.2 -2.6 -0.9 - 1.3 -1.4 -1.6 0.0 3.5 2.2 0.2 0.3 2.0
Texans 40.0 0.9 -2.3 2.9 - 2.1 0.1 2.5 3.9 -1.1 1.6 3.0 1.9 -4.4 0.9 0.2
Steelers 32.1 -0.5 -2.8 -0.1 1.4 - -1.7 1.1 1.1 2.8 -2.0 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.5 1.7
Commanders 36.6 -0.9 -4.5 - 2.0 -0.1 -1.3 -3.9 5.9 -0.2 1.7 3.4 1.6 1.6 0.6 2.2
Buccaneers 33.2 -1.1 -5.1 -1.0 2.5 -1.0 - 3.3 -2.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.4 0.1 0.2 1.5
Chargers 25.2 -0.9 -5.5 - 0.1 2.6 -4.2 2.3 2.1 -1.4 2.7 1.6 -2.1 0.8 -0.1 0.1
Vikings 28.3 2.0 - 2.4 3.4 0.4 -1.5 -1.5 4.5 3.3 -0.1 5.3 5.4 0.4 2.0 3.7
Dolphins 30.9 0.8 - -1.2 0.6 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.9 2.0 0.7 2.0 3.9 1.5 2.2
Lions 35.6 -0.1 - 2.2 0.6 -3.0 -2.2 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.2 -1.7 -1.8 -1.3 -0.2 -1.6
Bengals 41.8 1.7 - -0.8 0.7 5.1 0.2 -1.6 0.0 1.0 -1.8 -0.2 1.9 2.1 0.6 1.3

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