Week 2
Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | 22.0 | -0.1 | Dolphins 2.3 | Cardinals -1.1 | Broncos 1.7 | Seahawks -3.2 | Commanders -0.6 | Falcons -0.6 | BYE - | Raiders -0.7 | Cowboys 0.6 | Vikings 0.0 | Seahawks -2.7 | Giants -1.1 | Rams -0.1 | Chargers 0.1 | Chiefs -2.6 | Eagles 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| Chiefs | 21.6 | 0.8 | Colts 2.1 | Dolphins 1.4 | Raiders -1.1 | BYE - | Chargers 0.7 | Seahawks -3.2 | Broncos 1.1 | Jets -1.6 | Falcons -0.6 | Cardinals -0.7 | Bills 0.1 | Rams -0.2 | Bengals -2.6 | Patriots -2.0 | 49ers -0.4 | Chargers 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.6 |
| Ravens | 21.8 | 0.8 | Saints 1.6 | Cowboys 1.1 | Titans 1.1 | Falcons -0.7 | Browns -0.8 | Bengals -1.8 | Bills -0.5 | Jaguars -1.7 | Chargers 0.0 | Panthers 1.9 | Texans -0.7 | BYE - | Buccaneers 0.1 | Steelers -0.8 | Browns 0.7 | Bengals -2.4 | -0.2 | -0.9 |
| Bills | 20.5 | 0.4 | Lions 1.5 | Chargers 0.7 | Patriots -0.3 | Rams -0.3 | Raiders -0.9 | BYE - | Ravens 0.7 | Vikings -1.2 | Jets -2.5 | Dolphins 2.1 | Chiefs -0.7 | Patriots -1.6 | Packers 0.6 | Bears 1.6 | Broncos 1.1 | Dolphins 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Eagles | 17.6 | -0.2 | Titans 1.5 | Bears -0.8 | Rams -0.1 | Jaguars -1.6 | Panthers 2.7 | Cowboys 0.4 | Commanders -1.1 | Giants -0.5 | BYE - | Steelers 0.0 | Cowboys 0.6 | Cardinals -1.6 | Colts 1.8 | Seahawks -2.1 | Texans 0.1 | 49ers -1.1 | -0.1 | -1.0 |
| Rams | 22.3 | 0.6 | Giants 1.2 | Broncos 0.9 | Eagles -0.5 | Bills 1.0 | Cardinals -0.1 | Raiders -1.0 | Chargers 0.9 | Commanders -0.8 | Cardinals -1.2 | BYE - | Packers 1.3 | Chiefs 0.0 | 49ers -1.2 | Cowboys 1.3 | Seahawks -3.0 | Buccaneers -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.9 |
| Falcons | 22.5 | 0.4 | Panthers 0.9 | Packers -0.1 | Saints 0.1 | Ravens 0.6 | Bears 1.9 | 49ers 0.4 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Bengals -1.9 | Chiefs -0.9 | BYE - | Vikings -1.4 | Lions 1.2 | Browns -0.4 | Commanders -1.4 | Buccaneers 0.6 | Saints 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Commanders | 18.7 | 0.0 | Cowboys 0.7 | Seahawks -2.2 | Colts 2.2 | Giants -0.6 | 49ers -1.5 | BYE - | Eagles 0.3 | Rams 0.4 | Giants -1.0 | Bengals -2.0 | Cardinals -1.2 | Titans -0.1 | Texans -0.5 | Falcons -0.5 | Vikings -1.2 | Jaguars -2.4 | -0.6 | -1.3 |
| Cowboys | 21.2 | 0.4 | Commanders 0.6 | Ravens 0.2 | Texans -0.3 | Buccaneers 0.9 | Packers 0.3 | Eagles -1.4 | Cardinals 0.0 | Colts 1.7 | 49ers 0.3 | Titans 2.0 | Eagles 1.5 | Seahawks -3.4 | BYE - | Rams 0.2 | Jaguars -0.4 | Giants 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Broncos | 18.9 | 0.1 | Jaguars 0.4 | Rams 0.7 | 49ers -0.9 | Chargers 0.3 | Seahawks -2.1 | Cardinals -1.0 | Chiefs -1.4 | Panthers 2.1 | BYE - | Raiders -0.8 | Steelers -0.3 | Dolphins 2.6 | Jets -2.0 | Raiders -1.5 | Bills 1.0 | Patriots -1.5 | -0.3 | -0.7 |
| Buccaneers | 20.2 | 0.6 | Browns 0.4 | Vikings -0.3 | Packers 1.3 | Cowboys 0.9 | Steelers 0.5 | Panthers 2.2 | Falcons -0.3 | Bears 0.3 | BYE - | Lions 0.2 | Panthers 2.3 | Chargers 1.0 | Ravens -0.8 | Saints 1.8 | Falcons -0.5 | Rams 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Chargers | 18.1 | 0.0 | Raiders 0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Seahawks -2.9 | Broncos 2.9 | Chiefs -1.9 | BYE - | Rams 0.2 | Texans 0.8 | Ravens -1.0 | Jets -0.7 | Patriots 0.1 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Raiders -1.4 | 49ers 0.4 | Dolphins 1.3 | Chiefs -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.4 |
| Vikings | 19.8 | 0.6 | Bears 0.1 | Buccaneers -1.4 | Dolphins 2.6 | Saints 0.9 | BYE - | Colts 2.9 | Lions 0.1 | Bills 0.8 | Packers 0.0 | 49ers -1.0 | Falcons -0.1 | Panthers 3.5 | Patriots -1.7 | Lions 1.3 | Commanders 0.9 | Jets -2.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Lions | 23.1 | 0.1 | Bills 0.1 | Jets -0.4 | Panthers 2.1 | Cardinals -1.1 | BYE - | Packers 1.8 | Vikings 0.4 | Dolphins 1.4 | Patriots -1.5 | Buccaneers 0.6 | Bears 2.0 | Falcons -0.3 | Titans 2.0 | Vikings -0.9 | Giants 0.2 | Bears 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Patriots | 18.8 | -1.1 | Steelers -0.1 | Jaguars -2.5 | Bills -0.7 | Raiders -1.1 | Jets -1.6 | Bears 0.1 | Dolphins 0.8 | Packers 0.7 | Lions 0.5 | BYE - | Chargers 0.0 | Bills 0.8 | Vikings -0.5 | Chiefs -2.8 | Jets -3.0 | Broncos 1.7 | -0.5 | -1.4 |
| Jets | 20.3 | 0.4 | Packers -0.1 | Lions 0.5 | Bears 0.3 | Browns 1.0 | Patriots -1.1 | Dolphins 2.5 | Raiders -0.1 | Chiefs -1.3 | Bills 1.6 | Chargers 1.0 | Dolphins 1.3 | BYE - | Broncos 2.6 | Cardinals -0.6 | Patriots -0.6 | Vikings 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
| Panthers | 20.5 | 0.0 | Falcons -0.1 | Browns -0.6 | Lions 0.7 | BYE - | Eagles -0.6 | Buccaneers 0.6 | Packers 0.4 | Broncos 2.3 | Saints 1.6 | Ravens 0.3 | Buccaneers -1.2 | Vikings -1.2 | Saints 1.7 | Bengals -0.9 | Steelers -0.4 | Seahawks -2.2 | 0.0 | -1.2 |
| Texans | 20.7 | 0.4 | Bengals -0.3 | Colts 1.1 | Cowboys 1.1 | Titans -0.3 | Jaguars -2.8 | Giants -0.4 | BYE - | Chargers -0.8 | Browns -1.4 | Colts 1.9 | Ravens 0.3 | Steelers -1.2 | Commanders -2.1 | Jaguars -1.7 | Eagles -1.2 | Packers -1.7 | -0.6 | -1.5 |
| Raiders | 21.4 | 0.1 | Chargers -0.3 | Saints 1.4 | Chiefs -0.1 | Patriots -0.6 | Bills 2.5 | Rams 2.4 | Jets -1.0 | 49ers -0.3 | Seahawks -0.8 | Broncos 2.1 | Browns 0.2 | BYE - | Chargers 2.3 | Broncos 4.1 | Titans 3.5 | Cardinals -0.1 | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Packers | 18.6 | -0.2 | Jets -0.6 | Falcons -0.4 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Bears 1.2 | Cowboys 1.1 | Lions 0.2 | Panthers 3.1 | Patriots -1.9 | Vikings -0.7 | BYE - | Rams -0.2 | Saints 1.1 | Bills 0.9 | Dolphins 2.2 | Bears 0.2 | Texans -0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Bears | 22.6 | 0.3 | Vikings -0.6 | Eagles 0.7 | Jets -0.2 | Packers 1.2 | Falcons 0.3 | Patriots 0.0 | Seahawks -3.4 | Buccaneers 1.0 | BYE - | Saints 2.2 | Lions 1.1 | Jaguars 0.0 | Dolphins 1.9 | Bills 0.8 | Packers 1.8 | Lions 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Jaguars | 20.9 | -0.1 | Broncos -0.7 | Patriots 0.1 | Bengals -0.8 | Eagles 1.0 | Texans 1.3 | BYE - | Colts 2.8 | Ravens 0.7 | Titans 1.0 | Giants -0.3 | Titans 1.9 | Bears 1.3 | Steelers 0.7 | Texans 0.8 | Cowboys 1.3 | Commanders 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Titans | 18.1 | -0.4 | Eagles -0.8 | Giants -0.3 | Ravens -0.2 | Texans -0.2 | Colts 2.0 | Browns 0.4 | Bengals -1.1 | BYE - | Jaguars -1.0 | Cowboys 1.1 | Jaguars -1.6 | Commanders -0.1 | Lions 0.5 | Colts 2.0 | Raiders -0.7 | Steelers 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Saints | 17.8 | 0.1 | Ravens -0.9 | Raiders 0.3 | Falcons 0.0 | Vikings 0.9 | Giants -0.7 | Steelers 0.0 | BYE - | Browns 1.8 | Panthers 4.0 | Bears 0.5 | Bengals -2.0 | Packers 2.4 | Panthers 2.4 | Buccaneers -0.9 | Cardinals 0.3 | Falcons -0.4 | 0.5 | -0.4 |
| Browns | 17.8 | -0.1 | Buccaneers -1.3 | Panthers 2.5 | Steelers 0.4 | Jets -1.9 | Ravens -0.1 | Titans 0.4 | Steelers -0.6 | Saints 0.6 | Texans -0.6 | BYE - | Raiders -1.3 | Bengals -1.0 | Falcons -0.6 | Giants -0.7 | Ravens -0.7 | Colts 1.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| Dolphins | 18.3 | -1.2 | 49ers -1.4 | Chiefs -1.2 | Vikings -0.8 | Bengals -1.2 | BYE - | Jets -2.1 | Patriots -0.9 | Lions 0.6 | Colts 1.9 | Bills 0.0 | Jets -1.4 | Broncos 1.3 | Bears 0.9 | Packers 0.2 | Chargers 0.2 | Bills 1.1 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| Seahawks | 20.3 | -1.1 | Cardinals -1.5 | Commanders -2.0 | Chargers 0.0 | 49ers -0.7 | Broncos 1.1 | Chiefs -0.4 | Bears 1.1 | Cardinals -0.1 | Raiders -0.6 | BYE - | 49ers -1.1 | Cowboys 0.7 | Giants 0.8 | Eagles 0.1 | Rams 1.0 | Panthers 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| Steelers | 20.7 | 0.0 | Patriots -1.6 | Bengals -1.0 | Browns 0.0 | Colts 2.5 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Saints 1.0 | Browns 0.9 | BYE - | Bengals -1.7 | Eagles -0.4 | Broncos 2.3 | Texans 0.4 | Jaguars -1.8 | Ravens 0.4 | Panthers 3.7 | Titans 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Bengals | 21.3 | 0.1 | Texans -1.7 | Steelers 0.3 | Jaguars -0.1 | Dolphins 1.9 | BYE - | Ravens 0.6 | Titans 2.0 | Falcons 1.0 | Steelers 1.1 | Commanders -0.6 | Saints 2.3 | Browns 0.8 | Chiefs -0.2 | Panthers 2.8 | Colts 2.5 | Ravens 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Giants | 20.6 | -0.4 | Rams -1.8 | Titans 1.3 | Cardinals -0.3 | Commanders -0.9 | Saints 1.7 | Texans 0.0 | BYE - | Eagles -0.6 | Commanders 0.0 | Jaguars -0.9 | Colts 1.5 | 49ers -0.3 | Seahawks -3.2 | Browns 0.6 | Lions -0.3 | Cowboys 0.5 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| Cardinals | 19.9 | -0.1 | Seahawks -2.0 | 49ers -0.2 | Giants -0.5 | Lions 2.2 | Rams 0.9 | Broncos 3.2 | Cowboys 1.7 | Seahawks -2.2 | Rams 1.9 | Chiefs -1.0 | Commanders 1.5 | Eagles 2.5 | BYE - | Jets 0.1 | Saints 2.1 | Raiders 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Colts | 21.6 | -0.7 | Chiefs -2.2 | Texans 0.7 | Commanders -0.4 | Steelers -1.1 | Titans 1.8 | Vikings -1.3 | Jaguars -2.5 | Cowboys 1.6 | Dolphins 2.6 | Texans -0.3 | Giants 0.8 | BYE - | Eagles -0.8 | Titans 0.2 | Bengals -0.7 | Browns -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
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