Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Colts | 23.9 | 0.9 | Titans 3.0 | Steelers -0.2 | Falcons -0.1 | BYE - | Chiefs -1.3 | Texans -0.2 | Jaguars 0.6 | Seahawks -0.9 | 49ers 1.2 | Jaguars 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Bengals | 16.2 | 1.4 | Jets 2.2 | Bears 2.0 | BYE - | Steelers -0.1 | Patriots 0.1 | Ravens 0.9 | Bills 0.4 | Ravens 1.3 | Dolphins 1.3 | Cardinals 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Ravens | 22.4 | 0.3 | Bears 2.0 | Dolphins 1.0 | Vikings -0.8 | Browns -1.0 | Jets 0.8 | Bengals 2.3 | Steelers 0.2 | Bengals 1.9 | Patriots 0.0 | Packers -2.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Eagles | 18.8 | 0.0 | Giants 1.9 | BYE - | Packers -1.6 | Lions -0.3 | Cowboys 1.4 | Bears 2.1 | Chargers 0.7 | Raiders 1.5 | Commanders 0.5 | Bills -0.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Broncos | 19.9 | 0.4 | Cowboys 1.9 | Texans -0.6 | Raiders 1.3 | Chiefs -1.1 | BYE - | Commanders -0.1 | Raiders 1.0 | Packers -1.2 | Jaguars 1.4 | Chiefs -1.5 | 0.1 | -0.4 |
Buccaneers | 20.6 | 0.2 | Saints 1.9 | BYE - | Patriots -0.7 | Bills -0.6 | Rams -1.9 | Cardinals -0.1 | Saints 1.8 | Falcons -0.1 | Panthers 0.5 | Dolphins 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Falcons | 23.9 | 0.5 | Dolphins 1.8 | Patriots -0.9 | Colts -0.4 | Panthers 1.6 | Saints 1.7 | Jets 0.3 | Seahawks -0.6 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Cardinals 0.0 | Rams -1.2 | 0.2 | -0.6 |
Chiefs | 20.0 | 0.4 | Commanders 1.3 | Bills 0.1 | BYE - | Broncos -0.3 | Colts 0.0 | Cowboys 1.6 | Texans -0.1 | Chargers 0.8 | Titans 2.9 | Broncos 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
Jets | 18.6 | 0.0 | Bengals 1.2 | BYE - | Browns -0.4 | Patriots -0.8 | Ravens 0.4 | Falcons -0.2 | Dolphins 1.5 | Jaguars 0.6 | Saints 1.5 | Patriots -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Bills | 21.8 | 0.2 | Panthers 0.8 | Chiefs -1.0 | Dolphins 0.7 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Texans -0.6 | Steelers -0.5 | Bengals 2.1 | Patriots -0.8 | Browns -1.0 | Eagles -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.7 |
Texans | 18.6 | 1.3 | 49ers 0.5 | Broncos 0.3 | Jaguars 1.6 | Titans 2.7 | Bills 0.6 | Colts -0.3 | Chiefs -1.6 | Cardinals 0.7 | Raiders 1.5 | Chargers 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Bears | 21.0 | 0.6 | Ravens 0.2 | Bengals 1.7 | Giants 1.3 | Vikings -0.7 | Steelers -0.5 | Eagles -1.0 | Packers -2.0 | Browns -0.5 | Packers -1.5 | 49ers 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.6 |
Saints | 17.2 | -0.5 | Buccaneers 0.1 | Rams -1.7 | Panthers 0.1 | BYE - | Falcons -0.2 | Dolphins 0.3 | Buccaneers -0.8 | Panthers 0.8 | Jets 1.1 | Titans 2.5 | 0.2 | 1.4 |
Chargers | 18.2 | 0.8 | Vikings -0.1 | Titans 2.5 | Steelers 0.4 | Jaguars 0.5 | BYE - | Raiders 1.2 | Eagles -0.3 | Chiefs -2.0 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans -0.3 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
Panthers | 21.0 | 0.1 | Bills -0.1 | Packers -1.5 | Saints 2.2 | Falcons -0.1 | 49ers 0.4 | Rams -1.2 | BYE - | Saints 2.1 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Seahawks -0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Vikings | 19.3 | 0.6 | Chargers -0.3 | Lions -1.0 | Ravens 1.6 | Bears 2.1 | Packers -1.8 | Seahawks -1.4 | Commanders 1.0 | Cowboys 0.9 | Giants 0.5 | Lions -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Titans | 16.3 | -0.2 | Colts -0.6 | Chargers 0.3 | BYE - | Texans -0.5 | Seahawks -0.5 | Jaguars 1.0 | Browns -0.9 | 49ers 0.5 | Chiefs -1.1 | Saints 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
49ers | 24.7 | -0.2 | Texans -0.6 | Giants 0.7 | Rams -1.3 | Cardinals 0.3 | Panthers 1.4 | Browns -0.6 | BYE - | Titans 3.4 | Colts -0.3 | Bears 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
Dolphins | 20.3 | 0.2 | Falcons -0.6 | Ravens 0.8 | Bills 0.4 | Commanders 0.2 | BYE - | Saints 2.2 | Jets 0.2 | Steelers -0.6 | Bengals 2.5 | Buccaneers 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Packers | 22.4 | 0.4 | Steelers -0.6 | Panthers 1.3 | Eagles 0.0 | Giants 1.0 | Vikings 0.0 | Lions -0.8 | Bears 1.5 | Broncos -0.6 | Bears 1.0 | Ravens 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
Cowboys | 21.0 | 0.6 | Broncos -0.7 | Cardinals 1.3 | BYE - | Raiders 1.1 | Eagles 0.9 | Chiefs -0.4 | Lions -0.3 | Vikings 0.8 | Chargers 1.2 | Commanders 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Patriots | 19.4 | 0.0 | Browns -0.8 | Falcons 0.1 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Jets 1.0 | Bengals 1.9 | Giants 1.3 | BYE - | Bills 0.2 | Ravens 0.2 | Jets 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
Browns | 19.4 | 0.2 | Patriots -0.9 | BYE - | Jets 0.4 | Ravens 1.0 | Raiders 0.9 | 49ers 1.1 | Titans 3.6 | Bears 1.2 | Bills 0.6 | Steelers 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Giants | 20.3 | 0.2 | Eagles -1.0 | 49ers 1.6 | Bears 1.2 | Packers -1.0 | Lions -0.3 | Patriots -0.6 | BYE - | Commanders 1.0 | Vikings 0.4 | Raiders 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Steelers | 22.3 | 0.2 | Packers -1.7 | Colts -0.2 | Chargers 0.0 | Bengals 2.5 | Bears 1.2 | Bills 0.1 | Ravens 0.3 | Dolphins 1.5 | Lions -0.8 | Browns -0.9 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
Commanders | 20.2 | -1.3 | Chiefs -3.0 | Seahawks -1.5 | Lions -1.2 | Dolphins 0.7 | BYE - | Broncos -0.7 | Vikings -1.1 | Giants -0.1 | Eagles -1.0 | Cowboys 1.0 | -0.8 | 0.0 |
Cardinals | 18.0 | 1.5 | BYE - | Cowboys 2.0 | Seahawks -0.3 | 49ers 2.7 | Jaguars 2.8 | Buccaneers 1.1 | Rams 0.7 | Texans 0.7 | Falcons 1.6 | Bengals 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
Raiders | 18.3 | 0.4 | BYE - | Jaguars 1.1 | Broncos -0.9 | Cowboys 1.1 | Browns 0.0 | Chargers 0.0 | Broncos -0.2 | Eagles -0.7 | Texans -0.9 | Giants 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Seahawks | 19.5 | 0.0 | BYE - | Commanders 0.3 | Cardinals 1.0 | Rams -1.2 | Titans 2.9 | Vikings 0.3 | Falcons 0.2 | Colts 0.0 | Rams -0.6 | Panthers 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
Jaguars | 19.5 | 0.0 | BYE - | Raiders 0.8 | Texans -0.9 | Chargers 0.1 | Cardinals 0.2 | Titans 2.7 | Colts -0.3 | Jets 1.1 | Broncos -0.8 | Colts -0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Rams | 20.2 | 1.0 | BYE - | Saints 2.4 | 49ers 0.7 | Seahawks -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.8 | Panthers 0.9 | Cardinals 0.2 | Lions -0.3 | Seahawks -1.4 | Falcons -0.1 | 0.3 | -0.6 |
Lions | 23.9 | 0.3 | BYE - | Vikings 0.5 | Commanders 0.4 | Eagles -0.1 | Giants 2.0 | Packers -0.3 | Cowboys 2.0 | Rams -0.7 | Steelers 0.9 | Vikings 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
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