Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
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Baseline
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Next 4
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8
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9
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10
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11
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12
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13
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14
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17
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AVG
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Playoffs
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | 7.6 | -0.2 | Saints 2.1 | BYE - | Patriots -1.2 | Bills -1.6 | Rams -0.2 | Cardinals 0.1 | Saints 0.6 | Falcons -0.9 | Panthers 0.2 | Dolphins 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
| Bengals | 9.7 | 0.7 | Jets 1.6 | Bears 0.6 | BYE - | Steelers -0.3 | Patriots 0.2 | Ravens 0.4 | Bills -1.0 | Ravens 0.7 | Dolphins 0.6 | Cardinals 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Texans | 9.5 | 0.9 | 49ers 1.4 | Broncos 0.6 | Jaguars 1.2 | Titans 0.3 | Bills -0.5 | Colts 0.9 | Chiefs -1.2 | Cardinals 1.0 | Raiders 1.0 | Chargers 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Falcons | 8.9 | 0.7 | Dolphins 1.3 | Patriots -0.6 | Colts 0.9 | Panthers 1.4 | Saints 0.9 | Jets 0.3 | Seahawks 0.5 | Buccaneers -0.3 | Cardinals 0.6 | Rams 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Broncos | 9.1 | 0.1 | Cowboys 1.2 | Texans -0.5 | Raiders 0.4 | Chiefs -0.8 | BYE - | Commanders -0.8 | Raiders 0.7 | Packers 0.6 | Jaguars 0.8 | Chiefs -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Jets | 8.7 | 0.0 | Bengals 1.1 | BYE - | Browns -0.5 | Patriots -0.4 | Ravens 0.0 | Falcons -0.9 | Dolphins 0.7 | Jaguars 0.1 | Saints 0.7 | Patriots -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Colts | 11.0 | 0.3 | Titans 0.9 | Steelers 0.5 | Falcons -0.4 | BYE - | Chiefs -1.7 | Texans -0.1 | Jaguars 0.3 | Seahawks -0.1 | 49ers 0.8 | Jaguars 2.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Titans | 9.8 | -0.3 | Colts 0.8 | Chargers -0.1 | BYE - | Texans -1.5 | Seahawks 0.0 | Jaguars 0.4 | Browns -0.2 | 49ers -0.2 | Chiefs -0.8 | Saints 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
| Chiefs | 13.1 | -0.1 | Commanders 0.7 | Bills -0.1 | BYE - | Broncos -1.0 | Colts 0.9 | Cowboys 1.3 | Texans -0.3 | Chargers 0.2 | Titans 0.5 | Broncos 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Eagles | 9.8 | 0.4 | Giants 0.5 | BYE - | Packers -0.5 | Lions 1.3 | Cowboys 1.1 | Bears 0.8 | Chargers 0.5 | Raiders 1.7 | Commanders 0.4 | Bills -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Saints | 11.0 | 0.1 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Rams -0.1 | Panthers 0.0 | BYE - | Falcons -1.3 | Dolphins 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Panthers 0.9 | Jets 1.2 | Titans 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Chargers | 7.9 | 0.5 | Vikings 0.3 | Titans 0.2 | Steelers 1.3 | Jaguars 0.1 | BYE - | Raiders 0.0 | Eagles -0.3 | Chiefs -0.3 | Cowboys 0.6 | Texans -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Packers | 11.6 | 0.4 | Steelers 0.3 | Panthers 0.8 | Eagles -0.4 | Giants 1.0 | Vikings 0.0 | Lions 0.2 | Bears 0.4 | Broncos -0.5 | Bears 0.1 | Ravens 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Steelers | 13.4 | 0.7 | Packers 0.2 | Colts 0.6 | Chargers 0.0 | Bengals 1.8 | Bears 0.1 | Bills -1.2 | Ravens -0.1 | Dolphins 0.8 | Lions 1.3 | Browns -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Bears | 8.1 | 0.4 | Ravens 0.0 | Bengals 1.4 | Giants 0.2 | Vikings -0.1 | Steelers 0.4 | Eagles -1.2 | Packers 0.0 | Browns 0.2 | Packers 0.3 | 49ers -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Patriots | 12.4 | 0.0 | Browns 0.0 | Falcons -0.7 | Buccaneers -0.1 | Jets 0.7 | Bengals 1.5 | Giants 0.2 | BYE - | Bills -1.9 | Ravens -0.1 | Jets 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| Ravens | 12.7 | 0.0 | Bears -0.1 | Dolphins 0.3 | Vikings -0.1 | Browns -0.2 | Jets 0.6 | Bengals 1.8 | Steelers 0.7 | Bengals 1.4 | Patriots 0.0 | Packers -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Vikings | 10.0 | 0.6 | Chargers -0.3 | Lions 0.1 | Ravens 1.2 | Bears 1.2 | Packers 0.0 | Seahawks -0.6 | Commanders 1.1 | Cowboys 0.8 | Giants -0.4 | Lions 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Bills | 11.9 | -0.1 | Panthers -0.3 | Chiefs -0.7 | Dolphins 0.2 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Texans -0.5 | Steelers 0.4 | Bengals 1.6 | Patriots -0.4 | Browns -0.2 | Eagles -0.6 | 0.0 | -0.4 |
| 49ers | 11.2 | 0.0 | Texans -0.4 | Giants -0.3 | Rams -0.2 | Cardinals 0.8 | Panthers 0.9 | Browns 1.1 | BYE - | Titans 0.0 | Colts 1.0 | Bears 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Cowboys | 12.4 | 0.4 | Broncos -0.4 | Cardinals 1.5 | BYE - | Raiders 0.0 | Eagles 1.6 | Chiefs 0.1 | Lions 0.5 | Vikings 0.9 | Chargers 0.8 | Commanders 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Browns | 13.3 | -0.1 | Patriots -0.5 | BYE - | Jets -0.4 | Ravens 0.5 | Raiders 0.5 | 49ers 0.3 | Titans 0.8 | Bears 0.1 | Bills -0.9 | Steelers 0.7 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Dolphins | 10.0 | -0.3 | Falcons -0.8 | Ravens 0.3 | Bills -0.9 | Commanders 0.2 | BYE - | Saints 0.1 | Jets 0.3 | Steelers 0.3 | Bengals 3.0 | Buccaneers 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Giants | 9.0 | 0.1 | Eagles -1.2 | 49ers 0.6 | Bears 0.2 | Packers 0.7 | Lions 0.5 | Patriots -0.3 | BYE - | Commanders 0.0 | Vikings 0.4 | Raiders 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Panthers | 9.2 | -0.2 | Bills -1.3 | Packers 0.2 | Saints 0.9 | Falcons -0.6 | 49ers -0.2 | Rams 1.0 | BYE - | Saints 0.4 | Buccaneers 0.2 | Seahawks 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Commanders | 10.4 | -0.5 | Chiefs -2.2 | Seahawks 0.6 | Lions -0.4 | Dolphins 0.0 | BYE - | Broncos -1.3 | Vikings -0.4 | Giants -0.8 | Eagles -1.1 | Cowboys 0.5 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| Jaguars | 8.4 | -0.4 | BYE - | Raiders -0.3 | Texans -0.6 | Chargers -0.2 | Cardinals 0.7 | Titans 0.4 | Colts 0.6 | Jets 0.9 | Broncos -0.6 | Colts 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Rams | 8.4 | 0.5 | BYE - | Saints 0.6 | 49ers 0.0 | Seahawks 0.8 | Buccaneers 1.0 | Panthers 0.4 | Cardinals 0.6 | Lions 0.6 | Seahawks -0.4 | Falcons -0.4 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
| Raiders | 10.1 | 0.2 | BYE - | Jaguars 0.2 | Broncos -0.6 | Cowboys 1.0 | Browns 1.9 | Chargers 0.0 | Broncos 0.1 | Eagles -1.0 | Texans -0.6 | Giants 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.4 |
| Seahawks | 11.5 | 0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -0.5 | Cardinals 0.9 | Rams 0.3 | Titans 0.6 | Vikings 0.3 | Falcons -0.2 | Colts 0.9 | Rams 0.2 | Panthers 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Lions | 12.3 | -0.1 | BYE - | Vikings 0.0 | Commanders 0.3 | Eagles -0.5 | Giants 1.0 | Packers 1.6 | Cowboys 1.4 | Rams 0.5 | Steelers 1.5 | Vikings 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Cardinals | 13.0 | 1.3 | BYE - | Cowboys 0.7 | Seahawks 1.4 | 49ers 1.8 | Jaguars 2.1 | Buccaneers 0.8 | Rams 1.5 | Texans 0.4 | Falcons 0.7 | Bengals 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
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