Matchup Bonuses can help you predict if a fantasy player will score more or less than usual. We first model the team "Baseline", which represents the fantasy points expected from all team players at the given position. The rest of the table indicates the weekly deviations from this baseline-- i.e. the "matchup bonus". The AVG column therefore represents the rest-of-season strength of schedule.
Baseline
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AVG
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Playoffs
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Dolphins | 8.7 | 0.2 | Panthers 1.6 | Chargers -0.6 | Browns 0.0 | Falcons -0.1 | Ravens 0.6 | Bills -0.2 | Commanders -0.3 | BYE - | Saints 0.2 | Jets -0.2 | Steelers -0.3 | Bengals 1.8 | Buccaneers -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Jets | 10.0 | 0.3 | Cowboys 1.1 | Broncos -0.8 | Panthers 0.4 | Bengals 0.6 | BYE - | Browns -0.1 | Patriots -0.7 | Ravens 0.2 | Falcons -0.5 | Dolphins 0.6 | Jaguars -0.5 | Saints 1.0 | Patriots -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Cardinals | 14.1 | 0.3 | Titans 1.0 | Colts 0.1 | Packers -0.2 | BYE - | Cowboys 0.0 | Seahawks -0.1 | 49ers 0.0 | Jaguars 0.4 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Rams -0.1 | Texans -0.3 | Falcons 0.0 | Bengals 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Lions | 10.4 | 0.2 | Bengals 0.8 | Chiefs -0.8 | Buccaneers 0.7 | BYE - | Vikings -0.1 | Commanders -0.4 | Eagles -0.6 | Giants 0.7 | Packers 0.2 | Cowboys 1.1 | Rams -0.4 | Steelers 0.9 | Vikings 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Chargers | 7.9 | 0.3 | Commanders 0.7 | Dolphins -0.1 | Colts 0.3 | Vikings 0.2 | Titans 0.0 | Steelers 0.7 | Jaguars -0.8 | BYE - | Raiders 0.1 | Eagles 0.2 | Chiefs -0.1 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Colts | 11.8 | 0.3 | Raiders 0.6 | Cardinals 0.3 | Chargers -0.5 | Titans 0.9 | Steelers -0.4 | Falcons -0.3 | BYE - | Chiefs -1.6 | Texans 0.1 | Jaguars -0.6 | Seahawks -1.3 | 49ers 0.1 | Jaguars 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
Giants | 8.4 | -0.6 | Saints 0.5 | Eagles -0.8 | Broncos -1.2 | Eagles -0.9 | 49ers -0.7 | Bears -0.3 | Packers -0.8 | Lions -0.3 | Patriots -0.9 | BYE - | Commanders -0.9 | Vikings -0.5 | Raiders 0.1 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
Bengals | 9.8 | -0.7 | Lions 0.5 | Packers -1.6 | Steelers -0.9 | Jets -0.8 | Bears -0.7 | BYE - | Steelers -1.8 | Patriots -1.2 | Ravens -0.6 | Bills -1.4 | Ravens -0.3 | Dolphins -0.9 | Cardinals -1.1 | -0.9 | -0.8 |
Saints | 10.9 | 0.3 | Giants 0.5 | Patriots 0.4 | Bears -0.2 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Rams -0.2 | Panthers -0.2 | BYE - | Falcons -0.4 | Dolphins 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Panthers 0.8 | Jets 0.9 | Titans 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
Seahawks | 10.5 | -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Jaguars -0.6 | Texans -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -1.1 | Cardinals -0.1 | Rams -0.2 | Titans 0.3 | Vikings -0.1 | Falcons -0.2 | Colts 0.2 | Rams -0.6 | Panthers 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.1 |
Texans | 8.9 | -0.1 | Ravens 0.2 | BYE - | Seahawks -1.4 | 49ers 1.0 | Broncos -0.1 | Jaguars 0.7 | Titans 0.2 | Bills 0.2 | Colts 0.2 | Chiefs -0.7 | Cardinals 0.6 | Raiders 1.0 | Chargers -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Chiefs | 11.9 | 0.3 | Jaguars 0.2 | Lions 0.8 | Raiders 0.3 | Commanders 0.1 | Bills 0.2 | BYE - | Broncos -1.6 | Colts 0.2 | Cowboys 1.0 | Texans -0.1 | Chargers -0.4 | Titans 0.3 | Broncos -0.5 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
Cowboys | 13.5 | -0.2 | Jets 0.2 | Panthers -0.3 | Commanders 0.4 | Broncos -1.1 | Cardinals 0.6 | BYE - | Raiders -0.4 | Eagles 0.9 | Chiefs 0.2 | Lions -0.3 | Vikings 0.1 | Chargers -0.1 | Commanders -0.7 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
Rams | 8.7 | 0.1 | 49ers 0.1 | Ravens 0.3 | Jaguars -0.3 | BYE - | Saints 0.6 | 49ers -0.7 | Seahawks 0.3 | Buccaneers 0.7 | Panthers -0.1 | Cardinals 0.1 | Lions 0.4 | Seahawks -0.7 | Falcons -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Titans | 9.0 | 0.1 | Cardinals 0.1 | Raiders 0.4 | Patriots -0.3 | Colts 0.4 | Chargers -0.6 | BYE - | Texans -0.9 | Seahawks -0.5 | Jaguars -0.1 | Browns -0.2 | 49ers -0.8 | Chiefs -0.3 | Saints 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
Broncos | 10.2 | 0.3 | Eagles 0.1 | Jets 0.1 | Giants 0.2 | Cowboys 0.7 | Texans 0.1 | Raiders 0.2 | Chiefs -0.2 | BYE - | Commanders -1.2 | Raiders 0.5 | Packers -0.7 | Jaguars 0.1 | Chiefs -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 |
Raiders | 10.3 | 0.2 | Colts 0.1 | Titans 1.3 | Chiefs -0.8 | BYE - | Jaguars -0.1 | Broncos -1.1 | Cowboys 1.3 | Browns 1.9 | Chargers -0.4 | Broncos -0.3 | Eagles -0.9 | Texans -0.2 | Giants 0.8 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
Eagles | 11.0 | 0.0 | Broncos 0.1 | Giants -0.1 | Vikings -0.1 | Giants 0.2 | BYE - | Packers -1.5 | Lions 0.4 | Cowboys 1.1 | Bears 0.6 | Chargers -0.4 | Raiders 1.2 | Commanders -0.6 | Bills -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Bills | 13.5 | -0.3 | Patriots 0.1 | Falcons -0.3 | BYE - | Panthers -0.7 | Chiefs -0.2 | Dolphins -0.1 | Buccaneers 0.0 | Texans -0.1 | Steelers -0.2 | Bengals 0.6 | Patriots -0.7 | Browns -0.2 | Eagles -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.4 |
Panthers | 13.2 | -0.4 | Dolphins -0.2 | Cowboys 0.3 | Jets -0.7 | Bills -0.7 | Packers -1.3 | Saints 0.2 | Falcons -0.6 | 49ers -1.2 | Rams -0.1 | BYE - | Saints 0.0 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Seahawks -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.5 |
Jaguars | 12.5 | 0.1 | Chiefs -0.3 | Seahawks 0.6 | Rams -0.1 | BYE - | Raiders 0.0 | Texans -0.2 | Chargers -0.3 | Cardinals 0.4 | Titans 0.4 | Colts -0.1 | Jets 0.5 | Broncos -1.1 | Colts 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Browns | 11.6 | -0.2 | Vikings -0.4 | Steelers -0.2 | Dolphins 0.3 | Patriots -0.5 | BYE - | Jets -0.7 | Ravens 0.6 | Raiders 0.5 | 49ers -0.4 | Titans 0.7 | Bears -0.1 | Bills -0.2 | Steelers 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Commanders | 10.0 | 0.2 | Chargers -0.6 | Bears 0.3 | Cowboys 1.7 | Chiefs -0.9 | Seahawks 0.5 | Lions -0.5 | Dolphins 0.2 | BYE - | Broncos -1.1 | Vikings 0.1 | Giants -0.3 | Eagles -0.3 | Cowboys 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Buccaneers | 6.2 | 0.2 | Seahawks -0.7 | 49ers -0.2 | Lions -0.2 | Saints 1.8 | BYE - | Patriots -0.6 | Bills -0.6 | Rams -0.3 | Cardinals 0.0 | Saints 0.7 | Falcons -0.3 | Panthers 0.0 | Dolphins 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Vikings | 10.2 | -0.3 | Browns -0.7 | BYE - | Eagles 0.0 | Chargers -0.3 | Lions -0.1 | Ravens 1.5 | Bears 1.2 | Packers -1.0 | Seahawks -0.9 | Commanders 0.5 | Cowboys 1.0 | Giants -0.2 | Lions 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Patriots | 13.4 | 0.1 | Bills -0.7 | Saints 0.8 | Titans 0.1 | Browns 0.3 | Falcons -0.6 | Buccaneers -0.6 | Jets 0.2 | Bengals 0.4 | Giants 0.0 | BYE - | Bills -0.9 | Ravens 0.1 | Jets -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
49ers | 11.3 | 0.0 | Rams -0.9 | Buccaneers -0.4 | Falcons 0.0 | Texans 1.1 | Giants 0.8 | Rams 0.3 | Cardinals 1.2 | Panthers 1.4 | Browns 1.8 | BYE - | Titans 1.1 | Colts 1.1 | Bears 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
Ravens | 12.9 | -1.0 | Texans -1.9 | Rams -0.8 | BYE - | Bears -0.3 | Dolphins 0.0 | Vikings -0.3 | Browns -0.1 | Jets 0.2 | Bengals 0.8 | Steelers 0.2 | Bengals 0.4 | Patriots -0.2 | Packers -1.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
Bears | 8.4 | 0.3 | BYE - | Commanders -1.0 | Saints 1.7 | Ravens 0.4 | Bengals 0.7 | Giants 0.3 | Vikings 0.0 | Steelers 0.4 | Eagles -0.7 | Packers -0.8 | Browns 0.5 | Packers -0.5 | 49ers -0.7 | 0.0 | -0.3 |
Falcons | 9.0 | 1.3 | BYE - | Bills 0.7 | 49ers 1.2 | Dolphins 2.1 | Patriots 0.4 | Colts 1.2 | Panthers 1.9 | Saints 1.7 | Jets 0.9 | Seahawks 1.3 | Buccaneers 0.4 | Cardinals 1.2 | Rams 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Packers | 14.3 | 0.0 | BYE - | Bengals 0.1 | Cardinals 0.1 | Steelers -0.4 | Panthers 0.2 | Eagles -0.4 | Giants 0.4 | Vikings -0.4 | Lions -0.5 | Bears 0.1 | Broncos -1.1 | Bears -0.2 | Ravens 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.2 |
Steelers | 11.5 | -0.4 | BYE - | Browns -0.5 | Bengals 0.2 | Packers -0.9 | Colts -0.4 | Chargers -0.7 | Bengals 0.6 | Bears -0.5 | Bills -0.6 | Ravens -0.1 | Dolphins 0.2 | Lions 0.4 | Browns -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
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