Rankings for Fantasy Football Quarterbacks - Week 1
Two Cents for a Quarterback
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| Player Projections represent team QB, so future weeks sometimes refer to a different starting QB. | Matchup |
Wk 1
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Wk 2
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Err.
This is an estimate of confidence in the projection. A lower error means less deviation is expected — this should mean a higher floor but also a lower ceiling.
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PaY
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RuY
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PTD
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| Lamar Jackson |
Ravens Week 1
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| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Bills vs Ravens | 2025 | 1 | 39 |
| Similar | Commanders @ Cowboys | 2025 | 7 | 22 |
| Boom | Bills vs Ravens | 2025 | 1 | 39 |
| Bust | Ravens @ Chiefs | 2025 | 4 | 14 |
Why so high?
- 3rd highest QB rushing stats
- 4th most points expected acc. betting lines
Why so low?
- 2nd lowest pass efficiency
- 4th highest chance of RBs taking points
Chargers Week 1
Justin Herbert
Chargers
Week 1 · Justin Herbert
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Cardinals vs Packers | 2021 | 8 | 8 |
| Similar | Texans vs Raiders | 2019 | 8 | 27 |
| Boom | Bills vs Dolphins | 2023 | 4 | 36 |
| Bust | Cardinals vs Packers | 2021 | 8 | 8 |
Why so high?
- most points expected acc. betting lines
- 9th highest QB rushing stats
Why so low?
- 9th least QB rushing allowed by opponent
Eagles Week 1
Jalen Hurts
Eagles
Week 1 · Jalen Hurts
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Bills vs Ravens | 2025 | 1 | 39 |
| Similar | Commanders vs Giants | 2025 | 1 | 19 |
| Boom | Bills vs Ravens | 2025 | 1 | 39 |
| Bust | Ravens vs Texans | 2023 | 1 | 7 |
Why so high?
- 2nd highest QB rushing stats
- 4th most points expected acc. betting lines
Why so low?
- 5th best opponent pass defense
Bengals Week 1
Joe Burrow
Bengals
Week 1 · Joe Burrow
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Cowboys vs Seahawks | 2023 | 13 | 25 |
| Similar | Chargers vs Raiders | 2022 | 1 | 23 |
| Boom | Chargers vs Jaguars | 2020 | 7 | 39 |
| Bust | Chargers vs Vikings | 2021 | 10 | 11 |
Why so high?
- 3rd most points expected acc. betting lines
- highest passing volume
Why so low?
- 4th best opponent pass defense
Lions Week 1
Jared Goff
Lions
Week 1 · Jared Goff
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Lions vs Rams | 2024 | 1 | 11 |
| Similar | Saints vs Packers | 2020 | 3 | 23 |
| Boom | Cardinals vs Buccaneers | 2016 | 2 | 25 |
| Bust | Lions vs Buccaneers | 2024 | 2 | 9 |
Why so high?
- 2nd most points expected acc. betting lines
- 10th highest passing volume
Why so low?
- most thrown interceptions
Bills Week 1
Josh Allen
Bills
Week 1 · Josh Allen
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Commanders @ Packers | 2025 | 2 | 17 |
| Similar | Texans @ Colts | 2019 | 7 | 15 |
| Boom | Commanders vs Bears | 2024 | 8 | 22 |
| Bust | Colts @ Rams | 2025 | 4 | 9 |
Why so high?
- highest QB rushing stats
- upgrade to receivers
Why so low?
- 3rd highest chance of RBs taking points
Buccaneers Week 1
Baker Mayfield
Buccaneers
Week 1 · Baker Mayfield
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Bears vs Packers | 2019 | 1 | 7 |
| Similar | Bengals @ Browns | 2023 | 1 | 2 |
| Boom | Seahawks vs Patriots | 2020 | 2 | 33 |
| Bust | Bengals @ Browns | 2023 | 1 | 2 |
Why so high?
- 8th most points expected acc. betting lines
- 11th highest passing volume
Why so low?
- highest chance of RBs taking points
- downgrade to receivers
Rams Week 1
Matthew Stafford
Rams
Week 1 · Matthew Stafford
| Matchup | Year | Wk | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Similar | Bengals vs Steelers | 2022 | 1 | 16 |
| Similar | Steelers @ Jaguars | 2018 | 11 | 20 |
| Boom | Lions vs Bears | 2025 | 2 | 34 |
| Bust | Bengals @ Browns | 2025 | 1 | 8 |
Why so high?
- 4th most points expected acc. betting lines
- 6th highest passing volume
Why so low?
- 5th highest chance of RBs taking points
Refreshed 36 minutes ago