Fantasy Football Articles & Model Guides

June 7, 2026 TL;DR— The below explains all the reasons why I designed a new option for you to re-order player rankings, when you customize your cheat sheets [<- link to the free tool right here]. I explain how the method

Hold-My-BeerSheets are fantasy draft cheat-sheets for people who want: precise underlying numbers that get summarized in a very clean format. (For quick-n-easy instructions to generate them, use this linked article.) Peo

Our fantasy draft cheat-sheets (TapThatDraft tool, and printable Hold-My-BeerSheets) bring the power of VBD strategy into highly usable form. But before blindly using a VBD draft sheet, I will outline below the basics co

It’s probably not obvious to you, but I really got myself into a fix— How easy it would be to recommend all bets only at Closing! Opening lines cause trouble because the models and lines change— simultaneously— during th

This is a practical list of recommendations for getting the best use of TapThatDraft. Preferably, you should already understand the main purpose of such tools, as written up here. My advice (and opinions) may apply to an

Welcome to draft weekends. The original How-to-Use guide is here. And the following Reddit Posts describe the most recent developments: Hold-My-BeerSheets: A formatted 1-pager, Ready to Print! Reference lists integrated

This is a guide to help you select the right “Valuation” type, when you use a fantasy football drafting tool like TapThatDraft(and its printable 1-pager, Hold-My-BeerSheets). The terminology of Value-Based Drafting can b

Have you wondered why value-over-baseline calculations translate into a viable strategy for Auction formats? This is a follow up to my description of the Different Baselines in Value Based Drafting. Even if you’re not us

Summary / TL;DR For snake drafts, typical “Value-over-baseline” metrics alone are deficient for addressing the effect that positional scarcity has on maximizing points. To address the risks of missed opportunity in snake

Please support by this Link to Reddit Article, Friday Sep 19: Analysis of Streaming QB, over the last 10 years Hello everyone, and welcome to a new season at the Subvertadown website! To enjoy as best possible, here’s an

Here is a description of our new visualization for kickers, which can enhance your decision making. In very short: The curve in the tool shows, for each yard line, the expected number of occurrences of a drive stopping t

In my Survivor Strategy article, I outlined the main features of my approach. Now I will explain how I present the advice from my algorithm. You can better choose among the optimal paths recommended, if you also understa

In 2022, I started using my weekly game score forecasting models for a new purpose: generating advice for Survivor Pools. What’s different about the Subvertadown Strategy? Main features: The main input is from my own for

Updated Oct 1, 2022 after a comprehensive study on historical results with data back to 2010. For a while, I was not comfortable suggesting any single spread or O/U to bet on. The randomness is simply too large! However,

The projection charts display the key outputs from Subvertadown models, to facilitate your roster choices for streaming. Here are some answers to common questions: Timing of Week changeover: Charts are updated ASAP to th

The flex position models are meant to improve upon making lineup decisions according to “fantasy-points-allowed to this position by the opposing defense”. Instead of that weakly-predictive number, these models are more c

August 2024 Welcome back to Subvertadown! It’s been a super-busy offseason: model updates and new website tools, described below. For those new, you should catch up on the last status by reading the 2023 Final Accuracy R

September 2, 2023 Are you ready for this? Week 1 has arrived, and I want to make sure everyone knows all the features from this website. Therefore, please review the first 2 minutes of the video I’ve put together: Now, a

Updated August 31: The new models are now active! I have made a new improvement this year, which is that all 40 models have been re-calibrated to the first weeks of the season. That means that, instead of applying trends