Fantasy Football Articles & Model Guides

Please support by this Link to Reddit Article, Friday Sep 19: Analysis of Streaming QB, over the last 10 years Hello everyone, and welcome to a new season at the Subvertadown website! To enjoy as best possible, here’s an

This article is a natural follow-up to my discussion about Skill-Luck Ratio for each position (and Correlation Coefficients). Strength in Numbers: aggregate error All the above discussion treats fantasy positions as indi

It's not just fantasy results that are random-- Real world football is random. The rate of upsets is 35% compared to consensus predictions! Go with your gut and narrative you like in the end; rankings are a statistical g

I got a lot of requests to analyze kicker streaming. So I crunched a whole bunch new simulation programs, to try and find out whether it's better to hold or stream kickers. There were some mixed inputs from discussions h

Before this study, I was not completely convinced QB streaming was usually a good idea. Below I discuss some of the arguments and counter-arguments for streaming (vs. drafting+holding). TL;DR Of course I hope some of you

Analysis of the Predictive Accuracy of "Fantasy Points-Allowed" Since I've been so involved with statistical analysis of fantasy point projections, I have long wondered just how significant fantasy data (and trends) can

In extension of my "QB-Kicker Pairing" analysis, here is a look at all the fantasy positions. Why is this interesting? Especially for critical matchups, people often ask about the effects of using players from the same t

The idea of focusing on this specific position pairing (QB+Kicker) was partly based on columns I had read years back (one example is here). For some time, I've been wanting to investigate this methodically, and I hope yo

Updated Oct 1, 2022 after a comprehensive study on historical results with data back to 2010. For a while, I was not comfortable suggesting any single spread or O/U to bet on. The randomness is simply too large! However,

With D/STs, you should be prepared to stream in most leagues. D/ST is the most obvious fantasy position to stream, since the score is mostly dependent on the opposing offense—thereby affecting each D/ST’s value every new

There is some narrative that D/ST scoring is problematic, which has validity. Scores can go negative, making it the only position you might consider sitting. Scores decrease during the game, causing frustration. And scor

Good kicker projections can make it viable to stream the kicker position. And it can actually be easier to stream than D/ST, because your league-mates are probably not rostering 2 kickers (whereas rostering 2 D/STs can b

Recognizing that this crazy game of Fantasy Football feels serious for some people..., I want to remind you the importance of remembering how to have fun with the game. Treating fantasy as just a way to win the pot-- or